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Author Topic: (Basketball) Olympic Games Paris 2024 - Betting discussions  (Read 1850 times)
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July 31, 2024, 02:50:41 AM
 #161

After loss to Spain today Greece already is in complicated situation. They now have to beat Australia in last round and it can be not enough to reach 1/4 final. Gianis is carrying his team alone and isn't getting much help from his teammates. And you can't blame him for that missed 3-pointer in the end. He was open, there wasn't much time remaining, so, he had to shoot.
They should've given more playing time to Thanasis so he can help his brother. Cheesy

Kidding aside, it's kind of surprising for me to see the Spain winning against a team like Greece. I guess this is what the NBA analysts are saying with regards to other countries starting to cope up against them. They always say that they aren't anywhere near to them, and this is one proof. One NBA superstar isn't enough for the whole team to win since it's a 5v5 and 1v1. As for the Greece defeating Australia, there's a slim chance but let's also take note that the Boomers are also stacked up with some NBA players as well.

It's kinda surprising me to see Greece at the bottom since them and Canada is what I predict will go to the next round.
Giannis is not enough to move them to the next round. As you have said, other teams are pretty much stack up with NBA player in this competition. And with the Boomers losing to the Canada, I think the Canadian team will be the second favorite and for Greece, it's close to nil. They have to beat the Boomers by at least 3 points. The Boomers are one of the dark horse here so I don't see the Greek team beating them with a solid line up of NBA players like Josh Giddey. So still very complicated at this point because of the point system in the Olympics.

R


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July 31, 2024, 04:16:00 AM
 #162

Giannis is not enough to move them to the next round. As you have said, other teams are pretty much stack up with NBA player in this competition. And with the Boomers losing to the Canada, I think the Canadian team will be the second favorite and for Greece, it's close to nil. They have to beat the Boomers by at least 3 points. The Boomers are one of the dark horse here so I don't see the Greek team beating them with a solid line up of NBA players like Josh Giddey. So still very complicated at this point because of the point system in the Olympics.
This is true for Greece and Giannis but despite that, I've prepared my bet as I am a believer of Giannis. I don't care whether this bet of mine for them win or lose. And as for Japan and Brazil, Japan gave France tough time and this is why I am going for them.


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July 31, 2024, 04:23:47 AM
 #163

Wasn't able to watch the game as it was midnight my time zone, but I have a bet on France by a -14.5 that is the initial betting line and yet the game went into overtime. So I was surprised to see that Japan really played that good against France and almost pulled a win. So France stays as one of the favorite with Canada. While Giannis and his Greece chances are slim now to go to next round.

I didn't think the match-up was interesting, so I didn't bother to stay up late to watch the game. However, when I saw the news in the morning, it turns out it was a very good game, and Japan almost upset the home team. Actually, there are a lot of rumors on social media saying a "cooking show" happened because there was no contact on the 3-point shot from France that was given an and-1, which allowed them to tie the game. After that, I think France isn't really a good contender against the USA because they struggled against a low-ranked team. So, for the next game in the QF, I'm not sure if they'll win.

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July 31, 2024, 05:26:40 AM
 #164

Wasn't able to watch the game as it was midnight my time zone, but I have a bet on France by a -14.5 that is the initial betting line and yet the game went into overtime. So I was surprised to see that Japan really played that good against France and almost pulled a win. So France stays as one of the favorite with Canada. While Giannis and his Greece chances are slim now to go to next round.

I didn't think the match-up was interesting, so I didn't bother to stay up late to watch the game. However, when I saw the news in the morning, it turns out it was a very good game, and Japan almost upset the home team. Actually, there are a lot of rumors on social media saying a "cooking show" happened because there was no contact on the 3-point shot from France that was given an and-1, which allowed them to tie the game. After that, I think France isn't really a good contender against the USA because they struggled against a low-ranked team. So, for the next game in the QF, I'm not sure if they'll win.

Japan should've won that one in my opinion. The call was too soft and there was no contact mid-air that could've affected the play. So, there was like an exaggeration on the soft contact before the shooter took off. Well, this could always be remembered as Japan wom this game against Goliaths. It's just that France is the host team in the olympics this year, that's why most of the calls have favoured them. Can't deny that. And, yes they won't stand a chance against the USA lol.

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July 31, 2024, 05:48:39 AM
 #165

Wasn't able to watch the game as it was midnight my time zone, but I have a bet on France by a -14.5 that is the initial betting line and yet the game went into overtime. So I was surprised to see that Japan really played that good against France and almost pulled a win. So France stays as one of the favorite with Canada. While Giannis and his Greece chances are slim now to go to next round.

I didn't think the match-up was interesting, so I didn't bother to stay up late to watch the game. However, when I saw the news in the morning, it turns out it was a very good game, and Japan almost upset the home team. Actually, there are a lot of rumors on social media saying a "cooking show" happened because there was no contact on the 3-point shot from France that was given an and-1, which allowed them to tie the game. After that, I think France isn't really a good contender against the USA because they struggled against a low-ranked team. So, for the next game in the QF, I'm not sure if they'll win.

Japan should've won that one in my opinion. The call was too soft and there was no contact mid-air that could've affected the play. So, there was like an exaggeration on the soft contact before the shooter took off. Well, this could always be remembered as Japan wom this game against Goliaths. It's just that France is the host team in the olympics this year, that's why most of the calls have favoured them. Can't deny that. And, yes they won't stand a chance against the USA lol.

I don't understand the rules of the game. Do they not have a challenge like the NBA? Because if they do, they could have challenged that shot, it would be reviewed, and for sure they couldn't deny it once they see the slow-mo. Japan could have won at least 1 game after that, but it was denied to them, so I think they'll end up their journey winless.

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July 31, 2024, 06:22:52 AM
 #166

While I as well do watch many of these games, it doesn't even make sense because it looks like USA is just on another level. They are really not playing with same level of talent, it's like NBA superstars versus NCAA level players at college.

I think European players and teams are usually very good, but these days most of them go to NBA as well and do not play European type of basketball neither, maybe Jokic does, but look at what Giannis does, that's not European at all, that's all American.

At the end of the day, you can't beat them on their own game neither, you need to play with certain plays and take time and slow the game down, that way USA will lose their focus on defense when it takes 20 seconds of running around, and they won't defend very well every single possession when that happens, and on offense they will have to playmake, instead of transition offense.

But many teams are playing fast pace these days, and you can never beat USA on that, they are not only far superior on talent, but they are far superior on athletic department as well, they are just totally physically different. That is why I think USA will not face anyone who would be even remotely close and easily win this gold.
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July 31, 2024, 07:04:39 AM
 #167

@danherbias07, @Jating - congrats to both of you, Canada won by double digits so your bets won. It was very close game though till the last 5 minutes of the game when Canada really play defense against the Aussie and stop them from scoring. I will say that RJ Barrett is the one that really seal the win for them and obviously, SGA as well.

What a game that was indeed! It could be the most enjoyable game I have watched in the Olympics so far.  Grin  I really admire Japan players' ambition honestly. Kawamura (29 points) and Hachimura (24 points) played their best games in their Olymics career I assume. Wembanyama made difference for France with a double-double. This time I didn't see Batum playing good enough.

Carrying the game to OT despite the loss is still an admirable work by Japan. Good work. In the end, France are one of top title favourites (even though we all know USA are at another level).

Wasn't able to watch the game as it was midnight my time zone, but I have a bet on France by a -14.5 that is the initial betting line and yet the game went into overtime. So I was surprised to see that Japan really played that good against France and almost pulled a win. So France stays as one of the favorite with Canada. While Giannis and his Greece chances are slim now to go to next round.

Thank you, it was a sweet win by the Canadians, yes, was very closed in the first half, but Canadian knows how to play defense. I do agree with the result of the Japan against France, I didn't on it because I know that France is going to win by double digits and just like the majority here, did not watch as we don't think it will be interesting. But guess what, it's no longer the exhibition match and so Japan trying to win an Olympic game.

Puerto Rico vs Serbia, I'll go with with Jokic over 6.5 assists with @1.75. And then under 21.5 points @1.82.

I don't know if you guys wait to watch the game or it is really late in your time zone. But this game, I'll probably can watch this game for my time zone and enjoy and see how my bets will do this time. Good luck to all bettors.

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July 31, 2024, 07:14:53 AM
 #168

Canada vs Australia in the next 40 minutes or so. This is going to be very hard to predict as both them are very tough. Canada has almost all NBA players, and they have SGA and Murray. While Australia has Giddey, Patty Mills, Josh Green, Joe Ingles and Matthew Dellavedova.

Canada is a huge 1.40 ML, while Australia 3.05.

So it's obvious that Canada is the favorite here to win, -5.5 @1.87 is very attractive bet to me and I will go in this handicap.

I just went against the majority of you here. I got the moneyline for Australia at x3 odds, as I found it very hard to resist. I know Canada has more NBA players than Australia, but I see the line giving me a discount, so I had to grab it. I just placed $50 to win $100 on this game, and so far, I'm seeing some positive signs that this will not go down the drain.

Good luck, Australia, and my bet!


In the first half, it looked so positive, but in the second half, Australia stopped scoring, especially in the fourth quarter when Canada had a strong run while they only scored 2 points. Canada was the better team, and they have now qualified for the quarterfinals.

Ohhh yes, I was quite excited at the beginning as I thought Australia was a real deal to beat the Canada. Unfortunately, when Canada made an adjustment, they weren't able to respond. That's how he game goes, sometimes you're right sometimes you're wrong, so I accepted that as I still have my bankroll balance that I could use in the upcoming games.


Anyway, there's still one game later. Which team will you choose? It's Japan +16.5 vs. France -16.5. I think France will cover this spread.

I'm glad I didn't read this as it might reminded me to bet on that game, and I also believe that France are gonna dominate Japan but it was a different scenario that happen, good thing I didn't made another bet after my losing bet.

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July 31, 2024, 02:02:51 PM
 #169

Today it looks like Serbia and USA have really comfortable matches waiting for them on paper.  Smiley  My expectations are like Serbia to win by 15+ points and USA to do the same by 20+ points.

Even South Sudan destroyed Puerto Rico by a difference like 11 points. Serbia should technically be able to win easier. I expect a Jokic show.  Cool

I know how the USA - South Sudan friendly match ended but I don't think it matters at all here. Even against Serbia they won by 26 points. I think a similar scenario could be seen today also.

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July 31, 2024, 02:09:01 PM
 #170

Today it looks like Serbia and USA have really comfortable matches waiting for them on paper.  Smiley  My expectations are like Serbia to win by 15+ points and USA to do the same by 20+ points.

Even South Sudan destroyed Puerto Rico by a difference like 11 points. Serbia should technically be able to win easier. I expect a Jokic show.  Cool

I know how the USA - South Sudan friendly match ended but I don't think it matters at all here. Even against Serbia they won by 26 points. I think a similar scenario could be seen today also.

Puerto Rico just fell apart in the second half, they were ahead by 6 or something at halftime. This game was far from a destruction, trust me.
About USA vs South Sudan, they still shouldn't take this game too serious. Yesterday I saw an interesting stat line. Actually for the whole match, while Jokic was on the field, this game was 82:82 but with Jokic on the bench they were like 29:3 or something similar.
South Sudan doesn't just depend on 1 single player so let's see how this turns out. +29.5 is definitely worth trying in my opinion. Of course it might also be that team USA wants to set a statement win and show their test match was just a fluke.


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July 31, 2024, 02:09:38 PM
 #171

I know how the USA - South Sudan friendly match ended but I don't think it matters at all here. Even against Serbia they won by 26 points. I think a similar scenario could be seen today also.
Didn't know South Sudan could play ball, but the last couple of weeks these lads have been on my news feed and had to take an interest to look them up...and I must say standing up against the USA for a close game shows they have b*llz of steel and the boys should give the USA a good game... but am not expecting any surprises either but am guaranteed of a close game here!

Just hope the USA bring their A game because this might be one for the record books, let's go team South Sudan #Underdog

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July 31, 2024, 06:16:11 PM
 #172

Didn't know South Sudan could play ball, but the last couple of weeks these lads have been on my news feed and had to take an interest to look them up...and I must say standing up against the USA for a close game shows they have b*llz of steel and the boys should give the USA a good game... but am not expecting any surprises either but am guaranteed of a close game here!

Just hope the USA bring their A game because this might be one for the record books, let's go team South Sudan #Underdog
That friendly game with USA before Olympics showed that you have to look seriously at South Sudan. I want to see close game here, but probably nobody wouldn't be surprised much if USA will blew them by 20-30 points, they probably don't want that game would be decided by one buzzer-beater again.
In other game Serbia brutally destroyed Puerto Rico 107:66, game outcome was clear already after 1st quarter.

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July 31, 2024, 07:12:12 PM
 #173

I know how the USA - South Sudan friendly match ended but I don't think it matters at all here. Even against Serbia they won by 26 points. I think a similar scenario could be seen today also.
Didn't know South Sudan could play ball, but the last couple of weeks these lads have been on my news feed and had to take an interest to look them up...and I must say standing up against the USA for a close game shows they have b*llz of steel and the boys should give the USA a good game... but am not expecting any surprises either but am guaranteed of a close game here!

Just hope the USA bring their A game because this might be one for the record books, let's go team South Sudan #Underdog
One fact about South Sudan, they don't have indoor basketball courts and look at how far they're able to reach with this Olympics. Going to the Olympics is already a big challenge for most teams and participating countries, that Olympic Qualifying Tournament is a tough tournament and that's why going to the Olympics and the fact that they don't have indoor basketball courts is really impressive. One big guy that has also helped them is Luol Deng that has sponsored them for everything, hotels, flights, etc. out of his own pocket.

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July 31, 2024, 07:25:49 PM
 #174

I know how the USA - South Sudan friendly match ended but I don't think it matters at all here. Even against Serbia they won by 26 points. I think a similar scenario could be seen today also.
Didn't know South Sudan could play ball, but the last couple of weeks these lads have been on my news feed and had to take an interest to look them up...and I must say standing up against the USA for a close game shows they have b*llz of steel and the boys should give the USA a good game... but am not expecting any surprises either but am guaranteed of a close game here!

Just hope the USA bring their A game because this might be one for the record books, let's go team South Sudan #Underdog
One fact about South Sudan, they don't have indoor basketball courts and look at how far they're able to reach with this Olympics. Going to the Olympics is already a big challenge for most teams and participating countries, that Olympic Qualifying Tournament is a tough tournament and that's why going to the Olympics and the fact that they don't have indoor basketball courts is really impressive. One big guy that has also helped them is Luol Deng that has sponsored them for everything, hotels, flights, etc. out of his own pocket.

Goodness that's for real? That's really sad, I feel for them and I've got a ton of respect for them like you said, coming all this way under the circumstances that they have had to go through. 

Of course being from the US I'm rooting hard for us and enjoying the game so far.  I got caught up with work and wasn't able to place any bets in time..what was the spread for the game anyone able to fill me in?

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July 31, 2024, 07:45:37 PM
 #175

I know how the USA - South Sudan friendly match ended but I don't think it matters at all here. Even against Serbia they won by 26 points. I think a similar scenario could be seen today also.
Didn't know South Sudan could play ball, but the last couple of weeks these lads have been on my news feed and had to take an interest to look them up...and I must say standing up against the USA for a close game shows they have b*llz of steel and the boys should give the USA a good game... but am not expecting any surprises either but am guaranteed of a close game here!

Just hope the USA bring their A game because this might be one for the record books, let's go team South Sudan #Underdog
One fact about South Sudan, they don't have indoor basketball courts and look at how far they're able to reach with this Olympics. Going to the Olympics is already a big challenge for most teams and participating countries, that Olympic Qualifying Tournament is a tough tournament and that's why going to the Olympics and the fact that they don't have indoor basketball courts is really impressive. One big guy that has also helped them is Luol Deng that has sponsored them for everything, hotels, flights, etc. out of his own pocket.

Goodness that's for real? That's really sad, I feel for them and I've got a ton of respect for them like you said, coming all this way under the circumstances that they have had to go through.  

Of course being from the US I'm rooting hard for us and enjoying the game so far.  I got caught up with work and wasn't able to place any bets in time..what was the spread for the game anyone able to fill me in?
Mad respect for them and that's a fascinating fact. After their practice game against USA the last time, this made headlines over the internet. And a lot of articles has came out praising them after getting toe-to-toe against the super USA team.
https://www.reddit.com/r/nba/comments/1e8mc5m/wenyen_gabriel_reflects_proudly_after_south
Although they're still a new country, but something like this has really got the world struck. I won't be surprised if after the Olympics and whatever their outcome throughout this journey, there will be a lot of sponsors to build indoor basketball courts for them. As for the spread, it's not available on stake as the betting for their match against USA is suspended.


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July 31, 2024, 08:33:00 PM
 #176

I know I'm not the only one who thought the game between Team USA and South Sudan today would be close, but we were wrong—South Sudan is getting blown out, and I don't think they'll be able to catch up. Please correct me if I'm wrong, but is it true that even if South Sudan loses here against the USA and against Serbia, they'll still make it to the quarterfinals because the only team that will be eliminated from their group is Puerto Rico? Right?

I placed some bet to Team South Sudan to win the tournament w/o Team USA.



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July 31, 2024, 11:58:47 PM
 #177

I know I'm not the only one who thought the game between Team USA and South Sudan today would be close, but we were wrong—South Sudan is getting blown out, and I don't think they'll be able to catch up. Please correct me if I'm wrong, but is it true that even if South Sudan loses here against the USA and against Serbia, they'll still make it to the quarterfinals because the only team that will be eliminated from their group is Puerto Rico? Right?

I placed some bet to Team South Sudan to win the tournament w/o Team USA.

Maybe you are right mate because they need eight teams in the quarterfinals so probably South Sudan will advance to the next round because they have beaten Puerto Rico.

The odds for them to win the tournament is really juicy but i think they have a slim possibility because Serbia and Canada are very hard to beat for them but anyways, good luck to your bet.

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August 01, 2024, 04:23:06 AM
 #178

Giannis is not enough to move them to the next round. As you have said, other teams are pretty much stack up with NBA player in this competition. And with the Boomers losing to the Canada, I think the Canadian team will be the second favorite and for Greece, it's close to nil. They have to beat the Boomers by at least 3 points. The Boomers are one of the dark horse here so I don't see the Greek team beating them with a solid line up of NBA players like Josh Giddey. So still very complicated at this point because of the point system in the Olympics.
This is true for Greece and Giannis but despite that, I've prepared my bet as I am a believer of Giannis. I don't care whether this bet of mine for them win or lose. And as for Japan and Brazil, Japan gave France tough time and this is why I am going for them.


If you've watched how Japan played against France, as a bettor you will surely bet on them against Brazil. I mean when the France fought against Brazil, it wasn't a close one, but against Japan, it went to overtime. Nevertheless, I also think that Japan will win on this one against Brazil, but it isn't enough for them to clinch... I guess.

Now with regards to Greece and Australia, it's a huge risk from the bettor's perspective to put a bet against Greece. I mean the Boomers are stronger than Spain just by looking on their roster. One problem also with Greece is that they don't have Thanasis who can help his brother. Cheesy Kidding aside, Giannis scored 27 points in their last match, but the other 4 starters are combined for only 27 points also. If they want to win, they need to help Giannis on offense. This is I think is the way for them to win. Help Giannis in offense.

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August 01, 2024, 10:01:14 AM
 #179

Just as I expected South Sudan couldn't do much against USA. But at least they lost to USA by a smaller point gap compared to Serbia.  Tongue  This is like a playground for USA you know. Seeing them not winning the tournament would be a big surprise.

The only team they can have more difficulties could be Canada I assume. Because Canada are really meeting the expectations so far. I would like to watch a final game between them and USA honestly.  Smiley

In that case, I would try my luck with a bet on Canada to win the gold medal. Anyways, quarter final draw isn't decided yet right? But one thing seems certain that USA and Canada aren't facing each other in that phase already.

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Natalim
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August 01, 2024, 10:58:21 AM
 #180

Just as I expected South Sudan couldn't do much against USA. But at least they lost to USA by a smaller point gap compared to Serbia.  Tongue  This is like a playground for USA you know. Seeing them not winning the tournament would be a big surprise.
I expected them to surprise the USA like what they did in the exhibition match, turned out USA had already figured out how to dominate them.
still I would think that South Sudan are going to be a great contender in the future since they have achieve this kind of development in basketball already.
more years maybe, we might see them winning the champ.


The only team they can have more difficulties could be Canada I assume. Because Canada are really meeting the expectations so far. I would like to watch a final game between them and USA honestly.  Smiley

In that case, I would try my luck with a bet on Canada to win the gold medal. Anyways, quarter final draw isn't decided yet right? But one thing seems certain that USA and Canada aren't facing each other in that phase already.

Same here, Canada have a lot of NBA players, however, if we compare to the roster of the team USA, canada look like a class B players, so they can't beat team USA.

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