‎Who will win the 2026 Ballon D'or? 🏆⚽

[Out of mind]

In the list of Ballon d'Or winners, I think Harry Kane is ahead, he is ahead with the highest percentage among the few contenders in 2026. However, we can already see that Mbappe is much ahead of Lamine Yamal. If we look at the percentage, he has come a long way. If we consider all aspects, then of course this year's best player award will go to Harry Kane. However, Lamine Yamal is also in quite good form, but if we look at Mbappe's performance, he has also done a lot better, but if we consider all aspects, it can be seen that Harry Kane deserves this season's Ballon d'Or award.

[Justbillywitt]

Someone in here wrote that rumours of Mbappe win started circulating (in Whatsapp groups or something, lmao).

After this incredible El Clásico match, Mbappé, go and pick up your Ballon d'Or tomorrow.
Mbappé truly deserves that award. He has been remarkable all through last season and has started a season that will be awesome at last.
The debate is over. Give Mbappé the honor or give it to Harry Kane. If it is not given to any of these players, questions should be asked.

Question should be asked as how? El Clasico is not a determinant of who win the ballon d’Or. Mbappe scored two goals yesterday but that’s not enough to give him the award. The top 3 candidates are all worthy of the award, anyone who win it is okay. If your favorites doesn’t win, you should accept it with open heart. If it were possible for the 3 of them to share the award, it would have been good, but somehow has to win it.

[Showlove01]

I believe we are just making noise because our say here doesn't really count and it won't change anything and if FIFA want to favor a particular player I know they will be on pressure even though no one can twart their final decision. However, all the nominated players has their advantage and disadvantage and so i am having the feeling FIFA will award their own favorite and not the world favorite and off course the world doesn't see one player because everyone has their favorite and like I said until I see the winner tonight every other thing is noise and I don't look at this voting that are popping out.

[*Ace*]

Someone in here wrote that rumours of Mbappe win started circulating (in Whatsapp groups or something, lmao).

After this incredible El Clásico match, Mbappé, go and pick up your Ballon d'Or tomorrow.
Mbappé truly deserves that award. He has been remarkable all through last season and has started a season that will be awesome at last.
The debate is over. Give Mbappé the honor or give it to Harry Kane. If it is not given to any of these players, questions should be asked.

Question should be asked as how? El Clasico is not a determinant of who win the ballon d’Or. Mbappe scored two goals yesterday but that’s not enough to give him the award. The top 3 candidates are all worthy of the award, anyone who win it is okay. If your favorites doesn’t win, you should accept it with open heart. If it were possible for the 3 of them to share the award, it would have been good, but somehow has to win it.

That's right, the "El Clasico" is a match like any other in the Spanish league. It's not decisive for winning the Ballon d'Or. It could be considered but I don't think they ever do. Rather, they look at the individual or team awards the player has achieved. So as of today, in my opinion, the challenge could be between Yamal and Dembele. The Spanish won the World Cup, the French won the Champions League. I have no preferences but I think Lamine Yamal deserves it more than anyone else.

[Curious T]

I believe we are just making noise because our say here doesn't really count and it won't change anything and if FIFA want to favor a particular player I know they will be on pressure even though no one can twart their final decision. However, all the nominated players has their advantage and disadvantage and so i am having the feeling FIFA will award their own favorite and not the world favorite and off course the world doesn't see one player because everyone has their favorite and like I said until I see the winner tonight every other thing is noise and I don't look at this voting that are popping out.

First of all, FIFA don't give out the Ballon d'Or. The Ballon d'Or is given by French Football It is not a FIFA award. Secondly, it is voted for by 100 of each jounarlist from the top 100 FIFA-ranked countries, so French Football themselves don't have a favourite. The journalist votes for who their favourite is. As humans, they can be biased towards what they like most. They can vote based on the player, club or his style of play. Some like goals, while others like flair.

As for the winner of the Ballon d'Or, I have always maintained that it is between Harry Kane and Lamine Yamal. People who want Mbappé to win it are just his fans, and they are sentimental towards him. He might have scored the most goals, but he was not the best player of last season. Of course I won't be surprised if he wins it, because people are moved by goals, but I don't expect him to win it because he did not lead his team to any trophy. Didn't even play a single final out of a possible three. He didn't even make it to the Copa dey rey final.

[shinratensei_]

Kane's odds is moving down from 63% to 53%, meanwhile, Mbappe's odds is surging a lot from 32% to 41%. This is a strange pattern is going on. So many people predicted Kane to won this, but Mbappe may be flipping it in the last minutes. It's gonna be a a big bomb if Mbappe wins it today by flipping Kane.
Does anyone aware about how wild odds is moving right now?

[igebotz]

Kane's odds is moving down from 63% to 53%, meanwhile, Mbappe's odds is surging a lot from 32% to 41%. This is a strange pattern is going on. So many people predicted Kane to won this, but Mbappe may be flipping it in the last minutes. It's gonna be a a big bomb if Mbappe wins it today by flipping Kane.
Does anyone aware about how wild odds is moving right now?

Surely, his performance last night gave him a bit of PR but I guess it's already late now - the winner was sealed since last week and what fans are doing on the charts doesn't matter anymore. Too late.

[Sandra_hakeem]

Kane's odds is moving down from 63% to 53%, meanwhile, Mbappe's odds is surging a lot from 32% to 41%. This is a strange pattern is going on. So many people predicted Kane to won this, but Mbappe may be flipping it in the last minutes. It's gonna be a a big bomb if Mbappe wins it today by flipping Kane.
Does anyone aware about how wild odds is moving right now?

Surely, his performance last night gave him a bit of PR but I guess it's already late now - the winner was sealed since last week and what fans are doing on the charts doesn't matter anymore. Too late.

Botz, if Harry wasn't given his flowers this time around, it would have been a disaster. Now I would easily believed what Penaldo said about balon d'Or losing its credibility, with the popular meme circulating online to this day Bahahaha! But the reverse is the case so maybe he needed to retire much more early. I don't even know what he's doing at Nassr anymore  

Harry kane is still the most likely winner of tonight show why Lamine Yamal seems to have lost his chances of being the youngest ever winner of Balon d'Or.

How that happened, I can't say for sure.

[Decimetre]

Kane's odds is moving down from 63% to 53%, meanwhile, Mbappe's odds is surging a lot from 32% to 41%. This is a strange pattern is going on. So many people predicted Kane to won this, but Mbappe may be flipping it in the last minutes. It's gonna be a a big bomb if Mbappe wins it today by flipping Kane.
Does anyone aware about how wild odds is moving right now?

Surely, his performance last night gave him a bit of PR but I guess it's already late now - the winner was sealed since last week and what fans are doing on the charts doesn't matter anymore. Too late.

Perhaps what a player did yesterday or recently shouldn't be influencing this award as it should be all behind the 19th July performance if everyone was to be fair enough. Fans still judge the Balon d'Or winner with bias just like we see recent performances affecting previous records. Harry kane is still the most likely winner of tonight show why Lamine Yamal seems to have lost his chances of being the youngest ever winner of Balon d'Or.

Mbappe departed Madrid this afternoon to London with full hopes of winning, let's see how the night ends. It will be a close contest between kane and Mbappe, anyone that wins is fairly deserving.

[yixichloro2xx]

Kane's odds is moving down from 63% to 53%, meanwhile, Mbappe's odds is surging a lot from 32% to 41%. This is a strange pattern is going on. So many people predicted Kane to won this, but Mbappe may be flipping it in the last minutes. It's gonna be a a big bomb if Mbappe wins it today by flipping Kane.
Does anyone aware about how wild odds is moving right now?

Most of this odds that changes constantly are based on rumour and speculation. The only person that knows the Winner is the Chief Editor of France football and head of the Ballon d'or organisation (Vincent Garcia) , so I don't think he would have told anyone. Barcelona, Real Madrid and Bayern Munich will be in the ceremony because each of them feels their players could lift the award tonight. From many reports still says Harry kane is the favorites, the only thing that can make me to be convinced that the Ballon d'or will be given to mbappe is if Harry kane gets the Gerard Muller award and Yamal also gets the kopa trophy. To me as long as you win either of those two , then you can't win the Ballon d'or. Just few hours to go and we will know our winner, but who ever wins will cause an uproar among fans.

[Dreadboost]

Kane's odds is moving down from 63% to 53%, meanwhile, Mbappe's odds is surging a lot from 32% to 41%. This is a strange pattern is going on. So many people predicted Kane to won this, but Mbappe may be flipping it in the last minutes. It's gonna be a a big bomb if Mbappe wins it today by flipping Kane.
Does anyone aware about how wild odds is moving right now?

Last night's performance contributed to the PR. Mbappe is a world class. It is because he didn't win any trophies last season. If not, he would be leading this debate.

Before 8 PM UK time, his odds will increase even more. The surge began early this morning. Perhaps for once, people want Harry Kane to win the debate as the best player in 2026.

[Odusko]

Someone in here wrote that rumours of Mbappe win started circulating (in Whatsapp groups or something, lmao).

After this incredible El Clásico match, Mbappé, go and pick up your Ballon d'Or tomorrow.
Mbappé truly deserves that award. He has been remarkable all through last season and has started a season that will be awesome at last.
The debate is over. Give Mbappé the honor or give it to Harry Kane. If it is not given to any of these players, questions should be asked.

Question should be asked as how? El Clasico is not a determinant of who win the ballon d’Or. Mbappe scored two goals yesterday but that’s not enough to give him the award. The top 3 candidates are all worthy of the award, anyone who win it is okay. If your favorites doesn’t win, you should accept it with open heart. If it were possible for the 3 of them to share the award, it would have been good, but somehow has to win it.

That is bulshit rumor and which Whatsapp group is that, and Whatsapp is not like other social media that is open to all, only members that have each other's number can chat in there, so don't take such rumors seriously, although Mbappé is a strong contender in the award, and based on current odds on most predictions market and gambling sites, you can see that the Real Madrid players have increased chances lately, may be that could be the reason for the rumors of him winning, but that is also just speculations and anything can happen because he is not close to the other player leading right now.

[Lida93]

Snip

Fifa can't just be trusted, i wish they don't do any silly thing on monday by giving the prestigious Ballon d'Or award to either Messi, kylian Mbappe or Lamine yamal, this year Ballon d'Or award should go to England greatest player Harry Kane, individually he has done great and most people are pointing finger at him to win the award.

Harry Kane winning the Ballon d'Or award is going to reduce the debate that would have go on all over if either Messi, kylian Mbappe or Lamine yamal should win it because these people clearly don't deserve it.

What if I say to you that you're also being bias with your own judgement and choice about who should be rightly given the Ballon D'or award in person of Harry Kane of England. As much as gain has done exceptionally well in last season's campaign it's in same view has the rest of the contenders to the award has done in their respective leagues and even in the World Cup tournament.

What would you speak about Lamine Yamal that won the World Cup with Spain, or Kylian Mbappe that scored the highest numbers in the la'liga last season. I think the controversies and arguments would always remain same regardless of who is awarded tonight as Ballon D'or winner.

[ZeroVinsonN]

In the list of Ballon d'Or winners, I think Harry Kane is ahead, he is ahead with the highest percentage among the few contenders in 2026. However, we can already see that Mbappe is much ahead of Lamine Yamal. If we look at the percentage, he has come a long way. If we consider all aspects, then of course this year's best player award will go to Harry Kane. However, Lamine Yamal is also in quite good form, but if we look at Mbappe's performance, he has also done a lot better, but if we consider all aspects, it can be seen that Harry Kane deserves this season's Ballon d'Or award.

Initially I was considering Harry Kane and Lamine Yamal to be the most likely to win but Mbappe has shown that he is in a better place to win them Yamal so right now my top top two will go to Kane and Mbappe because at the end of the day individual performance plays a good role and so far Yamal is where he is because of his country and his club and that's where he's going to get his major points from the country and the club and not from his own individual performance, although knowing how much bias goes into this it is still very likely they are going to 'give' it to him.

[Audrey Simmons]

Kane's odds is moving down from 63% to 53%, meanwhile, Mbappe's odds is surging a lot from 32% to 41%. This is a strange pattern is going on. So many people predicted Kane to won this, but Mbappe may be flipping it in the last minutes. It's gonna be a a big bomb if Mbappe wins it today by flipping Kane.
Does anyone aware about how wild odds is moving right now?

Last night's performance contributed to the PR. Mbappe is a world class. It is because he didn't win any trophies last season. If not, he would be leading this debate.

Before 8 PM UK time, his odds will increase even more. The surge began early this morning. Perhaps for once, people want Harry Kane to win the debate as the best player in 2026.

Well, this statistics does not in any way affect the result of the Ballon D'or as voting has being closed so I would not judge based on that. The ceremony has started and the countdown is on, some players really are not placed in the right position for me and should have being placed higher.

We know who our top three are but the winner is still under speculations, Harry Kane is looking like the most favorite to win with Mbappe coming second place ahead of Lamine Yamal. Few minutes from now, the winner should be announced and I hope it would be a just decision without any bias.

[skarais]

~~~

Question should be asked as how? El Clasico is not a determinant of who win the ballon d’Or. Mbappe scored two goals yesterday but that’s not enough to give him the award. The top 3 candidates are all worthy of the award, anyone who win it is okay. If your favorites doesn’t win, you should accept it with open heart. If it were possible for the 3 of them to share the award, it would have been good, but somehow has to win it.

One of the all candidates will win regardless of whether we agree or disagree with the result of the vote.
Lamine Yamal is obviously very young to receive such a prestigious award, but considering his performance in the team as well as in the national team, it makes sense why he deserves such an award. For this year's edition I don't really expect Lamine Yamal to win the award, but I'm also not sure if players who have failed in domestic and national competitions can claim it. It's up to whoever wins, but I just want the winner to be judged fairly based on his achievements and contribution to the club and the national team.

[sergiorus]

Kane's odds is moving down from 63% to 53%, meanwhile, Mbappe's odds is surging a lot from 32% to 41%. This is a strange pattern is going on. So many people predicted Kane to won this, but Mbappe may be flipping it in the last minutes. It's gonna be a a big bomb if Mbappe wins it today by flipping Kane.
Does anyone aware about how wild odds is moving right now?

Last night's performance contributed to the PR. Mbappe is a world class. It is because he didn't win any trophies last season. If not, he would be leading this debate.

Before 8 PM UK time, his odds will increase even more. The surge began early this morning. Perhaps for once, people want Harry Kane to win the debate as the best player in 2026.

That would be the definition of the ''dumb money'' and the Polymarket folks aren't really it.

At the very least they'd know that not only post-World Cup preformance wasn't considered for the award, but the voting itself was already concluded a week or two ago.

What caused that spike was probably some ''insider leak'' psyop as it already was with Yamal a bit earlier.

[Shadiq]

Surely, his performance last night gave him a bit of PR but I guess it's already late now - the winner was sealed since last week and what fans are doing on the charts doesn't matter anymore. Too late.

Yesterday's performance may not affect the award in any way. Time is already up and now is the time to announce. I don't think we will see any unexpected announcements, I am still waiting for Harry Kane's name to be announced. Like me, there may be many other football fans waiting for this name.

I will definitely be surprised to hear any exception, even if it is Mbappe's name. From my point of view, a player should not be declared as a person eligible for the Ballon d'Or whose performance does not play any effective role for the team. If the Ballon d'Or is awarded based on World Cup performance alone, I think Messi will be ahead of Mbappe. But I don't want to see either of them win the award.

[Just Say]

Initially I was considering Harry Kane and Lamine Yamal to be the most likely to win but Mbappe has shown that he is in a better place to win them Yamal so right now my top top two will go to Kane and Mbappe because at the end of the day individual performance plays a good role and so far Yamal is where he is because of his country and his club and that's where he's going to get his major points from the country and the club and not from his own individual performance, although knowing how much bias goes into this it is still very likely they are going to 'give' it to him.

Harry Kane is still likely to win this season's Ballon d'Or but I see Mbappe moving up in the Ballon d'Or rankings. Note that it was correct to consider Harry Kane as a possible contender to win the award but Lamine Yamal was not eligible to win the award.The youngster has surprised everyone by breaking into the top 10 rankings for the 2026 Ballon d'Or but he may not have done much for his country and club. Even Mbappe has performed consistently this season and he scored twice in yesterday's El Clasico so it is clear that individual performance plays a big part in winning this award at the end of the day.

Another thing to note is that Fabian Ruiz's name may seem different but we need to remember that he is the only player who has managed to win the UEFA Champions League and the FIFA World Cup trophy together this year.

[alastantiger]

Yesterday's performance may not affect the award in any way. Time is already up and now is the time to announce. I don't think we will see any unexpected announcements, I am still waiting for Harry Kane's name to be announced. Like me, there may be many other football fans waiting for this name.I will definitely be surprised to hear any exception, even if it is Mbappe's name.

Harry kane is a worthy player to win the award because of his contributions to football over the years and it will be a nice way to reward him after playing many years and not being able to win any trophy or individual awards that has this amount of respect. After he went to Bayern Munich, I knew his full potential is going to come out and him now being among those that are likely going to win the award is a big thing because if he was still playing for Tottenham in the premier league, I do not think he would have be able to be in this position. The display of Mbappe was goof but it is not going to have any impact for this current edition but can help him win the next one if he keps being consistent.