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Author Topic: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker  (Read 1652223 times)
damnek
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January 24, 2013, 04:47:12 PM
 #8221

oh my.  how many have been left behind?

I got left behind by 8% of my btc.. Cry

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January 24, 2013, 04:47:21 PM
 #8222

Is there a reasonable top to this bizarreness?

Tired of substandard power distribution in your ASIC setup???   Chris' Custom Cablez will get you sorted out right!  No job too hard so PM me for a quote
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January 24, 2013, 04:48:17 PM
 #8223

Is there a reasonable top to this bizarreness?

probably, but good luck predicting it.
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January 24, 2013, 04:49:07 PM
 #8224

Well fuck me sideways and call me skippy
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January 24, 2013, 04:49:20 PM
 #8225

In case you missed it, during the action last night, two parties built up a very sizable options position during the move.

Someone bought ~33,000 calls between $17-20 strike.
Someone else sold short 27,000 puts between $33-35 strike.

Chatlog :
http://polimedia.us/trilema/2013/marketplace-excitement-with-expert-commentary-for-your-vicarious-trading-pleasure/

The puts alone would require a deposit of at least 60,000 BTC in the seller's MPEx account.  Could this person also be preparing to push the exchange rate upward?

All of these options expire TONIGHT. So the rate needs to be moving NOW.



Sorry for my ignorant. Does it mean someone promise to buy 27000BTC at $33-35 tomorrow?? How much premium does he earn by selling the puts?

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mccorvic
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January 24, 2013, 04:49:53 PM
 #8226

Well fuck me sideways and call me skippy

That sounds both horrible and awkward.

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January 24, 2013, 04:57:32 PM
 #8227

What a rally ! 
I am so glad I looked back into bitcoin (better late than never).
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January 24, 2013, 04:57:48 PM
 #8228

this daily-dollar pattern can surely not continue. Itchy trigger finger on the $20 sell button anyone?
mccorvic
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January 24, 2013, 05:01:23 PM
 #8229

this daily-dollar pattern can surely not continue. Itchy trigger finger on the $20 sell button anyone?

$200 sell button here Tongue

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January 24, 2013, 05:04:52 PM
 #8230

What a rally ! 
I am so glad I looked back into bitcoin (better late than never).

same here, sticking to cypherdawg, can't sleep, gray hair, coffee overdose, dafuq?
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January 24, 2013, 05:06:00 PM
 #8231

Bought 8,5 BTC at 19,1 wtf am I doing?!?
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January 24, 2013, 05:07:10 PM
 #8232

this daily-dollar pattern can surely not continue. Itchy trigger finger on the $20 sell button anyone?

that would be a mistake.  once we get over $20 it'll be smooth sailing to $32.
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January 24, 2013, 05:07:39 PM
 #8233

In case you missed it, during the action last night, two parties built up a very sizable options position during the move.

Someone bought ~33,000 calls between $17-20 strike.
Someone else sold short 27,000 puts between $33-35 strike.

Chatlog :
http://polimedia.us/trilema/2013/marketplace-excitement-with-expert-commentary-for-your-vicarious-trading-pleasure/

The puts alone would require a deposit of at least 60,000 BTC in the seller's MPEx account.  Could this person also be preparing to push the exchange rate upward?

All of these options expire TONIGHT. So the rate needs to be moving NOW.



Can you explain the significance of this to (like I am five)?

the person who bought the calls can exercise a right to buy BTC at the strike price (17-20).  So the buyer thinks that the price will be above this price (and obviously the seller does not).  But it is not quite even in sentiment because a seller generally walks away happy -- he gets to sell the BTC at what is presumably a profit AND gets the price of the option (read abt covered call investment strategies).

The buyer of a put has the right to sell BTC at the strike price (33-35).  So some seller is VERY bullish.  Except I don't understand the terminology "sell short a put"... I suppose that might mean the seller does not have the USD in his account to cover -- he only has BTC (or some other security).


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January 24, 2013, 05:12:06 PM
 #8234

LOL I thought you meant selling artillery  Grin

mccorvic
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January 24, 2013, 05:13:30 PM
 #8235

this daily-dollar pattern can surely not continue. Itchy trigger finger on the $20 sell button anyone?

that would be a mistake.  once we get over $20 it'll be smooth sailing to $32.

But dearest BTC prophet, what happens at $32?

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January 24, 2013, 05:26:42 PM
 #8236

SELL SELL SELL Smiley
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January 24, 2013, 05:27:09 PM
 #8237


The buyer of a put has the right to sell BTC at the strike price (33-35).  So some seller is VERY bullish.  Except I don't understand the terminology "sell short a put"... I suppose that might mean the seller does not have the USD in his account to cover -- he only has BTC (or some other security).




I think the seller is not that bullish because he received 0.979BTC premium for that. If I didn't misunderstand, the break-even point for the buyer and seller is $17.685 for the $35 put option

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January 24, 2013, 05:27:34 PM
 #8238

Can you explain the significance of this to (like I am five)?
Option=option to buy or sell stuff at a set price
call = the right to buy
put= the right to sell
premium=price

I=me=buyer
chriswilmer=You=seller

example for call
you sell me the right to buy 1 bitcoin at 10 USD for a premium of 0.1 bitcoins
if the price of bitcoins goes above 10 i can buy bitcoins from you at discount and you are forced to sell them, my gain is=market price-10-premium
if the price of bitcoins goes below 10 i will not use my right to buy at 10 since the market price is below 10 so the option is useless and i only lose the premium and you gain the premium

example for put
you sell me the right to sell 1 bitcoin at 10 USD for a premium of 0.1 bitcoins
if the price of bitcoins goes below 10 i can sell you 1 bitcoin for 10 USD and you are forced to buy the bitcoin at 10, my gain is=10-market price-premium
if the price of bitcoins goes above 10 i will not use the right to sell at 10 since the market price is above 10 so this option is useless i lose the premium and you gain the premium

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
Beta-coiner1
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January 24, 2013, 05:31:43 PM
 #8239

Bought 8,5 BTC at 19,1 wtf am I doing?!?
Lol,A lot of individuals sold earlier but think of it as an expensive investment.You WILL lose on it....but sometimes the market surprises you.

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January 24, 2013, 05:34:05 PM
 #8240

Bought 8,5 BTC at 19,1 wtf am I doing?!?
Lol,A lot of individuals sold earlier but think of it as an expensive investment.You WILL lose on it....but sometimes the market surprises you.

buy high sell low or what you are talking about??

EDIT: overprized at $19.20. people realize this and take the profit out. market is too hot at the moment. stay away from it.

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