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Author Topic: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker  (Read 1652710 times)
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January 31, 2013, 05:59:48 AM
 #9101


Canadian Tire Money rocks!!!!

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January 31, 2013, 06:00:33 AM
 #9102

Not a long-term bear but Avalon is going to need to dump 600 * $1,499 back into fiat currency, probably half of that before the Chinese New Year. The real question is if a larger sell off will happen to try to grab some arbitrage before Avalon moves.

I figure less than $21.00 through tomorrow, then dropping back to $18.00 or higher until after CNY.
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January 31, 2013, 06:07:18 AM
 #9103

Not a long-term bear but Avalon is going to need to dump 600 * $1,499 back into fiat currency, probably half of that before the Chinese New Year. The real question is if a larger sell off will happen to try to grab some arbitrage before Avalon moves.

I figure less than $21.00 through tomorrow, then dropping back to $18.00 or higher until after CNY.

when do they start taking orders?


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January 31, 2013, 06:07:57 AM
 #9104

well pfft. sold my recent mined btc. figure people are going to buy avalon gear and the middleman will dump them
on the market soon after. be crazy not to.

Or a lot of folks like me and my friend are buying at market price right now, to grab BTC to order AVALON ASIC in 9 hours..  I'm pretty sure the 600 order of this morning will not affect the price at all Wink

And Avalon, who is rushing preorders in order to pay for parts before the weekend is up will turn around and sell $1500*600 = $900,000 into the bids beginning at 9 am.  Unless we get some buyers stepping up, that would take us to around $16.  There's always more buyers sitting off the books, but that's still a lot of selling pressure to absorb in a day or two.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
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January 31, 2013, 06:08:51 AM
 #9105

Not a long-term bear but Avalon is going to need to dump 600 * $1,499 back into fiat currency, probably half of that before the Chinese New Year. The real question is if a larger sell off will happen to try to grab some arbitrage before Avalon moves.

I figure less than $21.00 through tomorrow, then dropping back to $18.00 or higher until after CNY.

when do they start taking orders?



9am EST

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
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January 31, 2013, 06:14:46 AM
 #9106

only 7700 BTC to $20.  Bids moving up:

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January 31, 2013, 06:16:08 AM
 #9107

Not a long-term bear but Avalon is going to need to dump 600 * $1,499 back into fiat currency, probably half of that before the Chinese New Year. The real question is if a larger sell off will happen to try to grab some arbitrage before Avalon moves.

I figure less than $21.00 through tomorrow, then dropping back to $18.00 or higher until after CNY.

when do they start taking orders?



9am EST

it started with a million dollar pizza and it will end with 5$ super computers.

Poetic Justice?

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January 31, 2013, 06:23:34 AM
 #9108

only 7700 BTC to $20.  Bids moving up:



You look almost like you can't wait.

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January 31, 2013, 06:23:59 AM
 #9109



The bitcoin chart now looks like this ^

Watch out...

███████████████████████████████████████

            ,╓p@@███████@╗╖,           
        ,p████████████████████N,       
      d█████████████████████████b     
    d██████████████████████████████æ   
  ,████²█████████████████████████████, 
 ,█████  ╙████████████████████╨  █████y
 ██████    `████████████████`    ██████
║██████       Ñ███████████`      ███████
███████         ╩██████Ñ         ███████
███████    ▐▄     ²██╩     a▌    ███████
╢██████    ▐▓█▄          ▄█▓▌    ███████
 ██████    ▐▓▓▓▓▌,     ▄█▓▓▓▌    ██████─
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓█,,▄▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
    ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓─  
     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
███████████████████████████████████████

. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.        SMOOTHIE'S HEALTH AND FITNESS JOURNAL          History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
LEALANA  PHYSICAL MONERO COINS 999 FINE SILVER.
 
DoomDumas
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January 31, 2013, 06:24:06 AM
 #9110

well pfft. sold my recent mined btc. figure people are going to buy avalon gear and the middleman will dump them
on the market soon after. be crazy not to.

Or a lot of folks like me and my friend are buying at market price right now, to grab BTC to order AVALON ASIC in 9 hours..  I'm pretty sure the 600 order of this morning will not affect the price at all Wink

And Avalon, who is rushing preorders in order to pay for parts before the weekend is up will turn around and sell $1500*600 = $900,000 into the bids beginning at 9 am.  Unless we get some buyers stepping up, that would take us to around $16.  There's always more buyers sitting off the books, but that's still a lot of selling pressure to absorb in a day or two.

I'm pretty sure (I've read it somewhere a while ago) that Avalon pay some of their supplier in BTC.

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January 31, 2013, 06:49:11 AM
 #9111



The bitcoin chart now looks like this ^

Watch out...

Smoothie turned bull...  Shocked

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
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January 31, 2013, 06:50:01 AM
 #9112



The bitcoin chart now looks like this ^

Watch out...

Smoothie turned bull...  Shocked

Watch out...

███████████████████████████████████████

            ,╓p@@███████@╗╖,           
        ,p████████████████████N,       
      d█████████████████████████b     
    d██████████████████████████████æ   
  ,████²█████████████████████████████, 
 ,█████  ╙████████████████████╨  █████y
 ██████    `████████████████`    ██████
║██████       Ñ███████████`      ███████
███████         ╩██████Ñ         ███████
███████    ▐▄     ²██╩     a▌    ███████
╢██████    ▐▓█▄          ▄█▓▌    ███████
 ██████    ▐▓▓▓▓▌,     ▄█▓▓▓▌    ██████─
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓█,,▄▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
    ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓─  
     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
███████████████████████████████████████

. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.        SMOOTHIE'S HEALTH AND FITNESS JOURNAL          History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
LEALANA  PHYSICAL MONERO COINS 999 FINE SILVER.
 
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January 31, 2013, 06:54:57 AM
 #9113

well pfft. sold my recent mined btc. figure people are going to buy avalon gear and the middleman will dump them
on the market soon after. be crazy not to.

Or a lot of folks like me and my friend are buying at market price right now, to grab BTC to order AVALON ASIC in 9 hours..  I'm pretty sure the 600 order of this morning will not affect the price at all Wink

And Avalon, who is rushing preorders in order to pay for parts before the weekend is up will turn around and sell $1500*600 = $900,000 into the bids beginning at 9 am.  Unless we get some buyers stepping up, that would take us to around $16.  There's always more buyers sitting off the books, but that's still a lot of selling pressure to absorb in a day or two.

I'm pretty sure (I've read it somewhere a while ago) that Avalon pay some of their supplier in BTC.

A reference would be great, but I also don't find that too hard to believe.  Good news if true.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
12jh3odyAAaR2XedPKZNCR4X4sebuotQzN
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January 31, 2013, 07:23:18 AM
 #9114

the depth to a rally is best determined by the # of smoothie posts in the wall thread which is reaching critical mass


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January 31, 2013, 07:25:48 AM
 #9115

the depth to a rally is best determined by the # of smoothie posts in the wall thread which is reaching critical mass



lol wow I posted twice.

███████████████████████████████████████

            ,╓p@@███████@╗╖,           
        ,p████████████████████N,       
      d█████████████████████████b     
    d██████████████████████████████æ   
  ,████²█████████████████████████████, 
 ,█████  ╙████████████████████╨  █████y
 ██████    `████████████████`    ██████
║██████       Ñ███████████`      ███████
███████         ╩██████Ñ         ███████
███████    ▐▄     ²██╩     a▌    ███████
╢██████    ▐▓█▄          ▄█▓▌    ███████
 ██████    ▐▓▓▓▓▌,     ▄█▓▓▓▌    ██████─
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓█,,▄▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
    ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓─  
     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
███████████████████████████████████████

. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.        SMOOTHIE'S HEALTH AND FITNESS JOURNAL          History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
LEALANA  PHYSICAL MONERO COINS 999 FINE SILVER.
 
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January 31, 2013, 07:34:09 AM
 #9116

It'd be very stupid if Avalon is really going to dump the BTC right away. Since the price is denominated in USD but the pre-order funding is collected in BTC, dumping the BTC just means they end up with less USD.

I guess this is their plan:

1. Accumulate a lot of BTC from $13 to $17

2. Announce their 2nd batch which accepts BTC only

3. BTC/USD rate increases as demand increases

4. People buy BTC to pay for pre-order, they sell their BTC to them at current rate ($19.5)

5. They earn 15-50% profit in USD, and get all BTC sold in step 4 back as pre-order funding.

Since they have already got 15-50% extra profit in USD, they will use this to build 2nd batch and keep all BTC as profit and don't need to dump them right away.

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January 31, 2013, 07:36:27 AM
 #9117

dose no one see the price is being blatantly manipulated up Huh

epic crash in 5...

can you provide the links and reasons please ?

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January 31, 2013, 07:41:03 AM
 #9118

dose no one see the price is being blatantly manipulated up Huh

epic crash in 5...

can you provide the links and reasons please ?

I'm going to take a wild guess and say no.

Adam makes all kinds of shit up... he expects a dramatic move in every direction except left at all times.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
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January 31, 2013, 07:42:16 AM
 #9119

dose no one see the price is being blatantly manipulated up Huh

epic crash in 5...

can you provide the links and reasons please ?

If you watched http://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/ like me and adam you shoulda been able to see it

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January 31, 2013, 07:57:14 AM
 #9120

dose no one see the price is being blatantly manipulated up Huh

epic crash in 5...

can you provide the links and reasons please ?

If you watched http://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/ like me and adam you shoulda been able to see it

I've got that and btccharts.com open and I'll I see is the creep to $20.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
12jh3odyAAaR2XedPKZNCR4X4sebuotQzN
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