rdponticelli
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Activity: 325
Merit: 250
Our highest capital is the Confidence we build.
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June 18, 2013, 05:14:49 PM |
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Please, can somebody interested on keep on speculating about the short term hashrate changes of AM create a thread about it on the speculation subforum?
And please, link it here and everybody, please, keep the speculation there.
Thank you, very much.
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SOSLOVE868
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June 18, 2013, 05:16:48 PM |
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Selling blades in bulk for cash would make a lot of sense if some NRE costs are coming up for the next generation of chips, seeing as those costs must be paid in cash (selling a ton of BTC to raise RMB might be problematic). If that is the case we won't see the dividend pop, but it will all be cool nonetheless.  Sold half of its blades to some rich Chinese people who interest to mining business, and received RMB with transaction. Received RMB could prevent exchange this amount of BTC over exchange will absolutely caused a huge price dump...Friedcat a nice guy makes every possibly effort to protecting us.. God bless you ,mate!!! |
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mc_lovin
Legendary
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Activity: 1190
Merit: 1000
www.bitcointrading.com
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June 18, 2013, 05:43:31 PM |
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I have asicminer.org / bitfountain.org if anyone is interested in putting something quality there and doing regular updates. |
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ianp
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June 18, 2013, 05:46:44 PM |
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I'm going to disagree. The most reasonable reason is variance. The hashpower is unchanged, but the luck is a little bad for a few hours. The charts calculate hashpower based on blocks found, not based on actual hashpower. A decline in luck for AM can easily correspond with an increase in luck for a major pool.
Now, for the last time, can we stop discussing why hashpower changed over any period shorter than 3 days? If you think hashpower changed, ask yourself what time period the change is over. If it's less than 3 days, the MOST likely explanation is variance. If it's greater than 3 days, then you can start speculating about hardware being moved, planned slowdown before difficulty reset, etc.
It feels like we have this discussion every 7-10 pages in this thread.
Variance.
Again, variance.
Again, variance.
I think that attributing this to variance is a bit of a stretch. Something is going on, we just don't know what. With that said, I'm inclined to believe there is a valid reason behind the drop (hardware sales, etc.) The probability of finding a block per hour based on a given difficulty is easy to figure out. Conversely, the probability of not finding a given block per hour (or any timeframe) is easy to figure as well. Therefore, determining hashpower over 24 or 48 hours should be fairly accurate. A lot of variance would have to happen for 24 or 48 samples to be incorrect. Over 48 hours, AM is hashing at ~18.75 th/s. Using a larger sample size takes us before the dip, and the numbers are still lower than expected. 120 hours works out to 28.84, and that average is weighted heavily in the first couple of days. Tomorrow (and the next day) will provide us with good insight as to current hashpower over the past 5 days Regardless, it's fun to talk about and look at the data. |
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ianp
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June 18, 2013, 05:47:33 PM |
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I have asicminer.org / bitfountain.org if anyone is interested in putting something quality there and doing regular updates. Would you contact ThickAsThieves, FrankTank, VJain or myself? We would probably be interested. We're collecting questions from the community, allowing the community to vote, and TAT is submitting them to Friedcat for us. This might be a nice place to post/mirror the info. Ian |
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ianp
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June 18, 2013, 05:49:02 PM |
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Sold half of its blades to some rich Chinese people who interest to mining business, and received RMB with transaction. Received RMB could prevent exchange this amount of BTC over exchange will absolutely caused a huge price dump...Friedcat a nice guy makes every possibly effort to protecting us.. God bless you ,mate!!!
This is just pro-ASICMINER rhetoric until we can confirm. Information without sources are more harmful than good. If you have a source, post it. |
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mc_lovin
Legendary
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Activity: 1190
Merit: 1000
www.bitcointrading.com
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June 18, 2013, 05:51:29 PM |
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I have asicminer.org / bitfountain.org if anyone is interested in putting something quality there and doing regular updates. Would you contact ThickAsThieves, FrankTank, VJain or myself? We would probably be interested. We're collecting questions from the community, allowing the community to vote, and TAT is submitting them to Friedcat for us. This might be a nice place to post/mirror the info. Ian Sure thing. You know where to find me!  |
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SOSLOVE868
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June 18, 2013, 06:24:25 PM |
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Sold half of its blades to some rich Chinese people who interest to mining business, and received RMB with transaction. Received RMB could prevent exchange this amount of BTC over exchange will absolutely caused a huge price dump...Friedcat a nice guy makes every possibly effort to protecting us.. God bless you ,mate!!!
This is just pro-ASICMINER rhetoric until we can confirm. Information without sources are more harmful than good. If you have a source, post it. Isn't feel I am overstated something by told rhetoric language. just think this is a meaningless , do not take it seriously. |
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SmiGueL
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June 18, 2013, 06:30:29 PM |
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Blue dots incoming!  |
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oaxaca
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June 18, 2013, 06:43:58 PM |
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I have asicminer.org / bitfountain.org if anyone is interested in putting something quality there and doing regular updates. I have http://asicminerauction.x10.mx/ which features WP auctions if anybody wants it. While it's a free site which I will give away for free, don't think it doesn't have value... |
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nycgoat
Member
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Activity: 117
Merit: 10
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June 18, 2013, 07:30:37 PM |
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We're not going to 3 BTC guys...
We're going to 3.5 BTC. How long did it stay 2 BTC? Not very. Enthusiasm brings us to a middle-ground. We see 3 BTC. We want 4 BTC. We settle for 3.5 BTC.
At a price of 5 BTC this share gives you a rock solid yearly return of more than 20%. This is from mining alone. Considering the growth potential, the value cannot be undererestimated. Probably in the 10 to 15 range. on the other hand if every share would be worth 5 BTC, then the company would be worth pretty much 2 000 000 BTC, which is 17 percent of bitcoins in circulation, that would be a lot, some could say too much It would be worth that much if everyone had paid 5BTC for their shares. Many people bought and are holding, so they technically bought for much lower. Even though the company value could be 2,000,000 BTC, that doesn't mean that there are that many BTC tied up in the assets. |
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SOSLOVE868
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June 18, 2013, 07:31:58 PM |
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Did anyone notice that HASHPOWER drooped to 99TH...What happen???
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SmiGueL
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June 18, 2013, 07:34:12 PM
Last edit: June 18, 2013, 08:13:35 PM by SmiGueL |
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Did anyone notice that HASHPOWER drooped to 99TH...What happen???
Blockchain.info API timeout/error...  *In that case I used 99.99 as a backup... Better than 0 (devide by zero errors etc.  )Now added the bitcoinwatch hashrate as backup too  |
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velacreations
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June 18, 2013, 07:34:58 PM |
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Please, can somebody interested on keep on speculating about the short term hashrate changes of AM create a thread about it on the speculation subforum?
And please, link it here and everybody, please, keep the speculation there.
Thank you, very much.
We've got an AM speculation thread right here, but people are speculating about future value of BTC/USD...  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=235763 |
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twentyseventy
Legendary
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Activity: 1386
Merit: 1000
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June 18, 2013, 07:43:00 PM |
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Did anyone notice that HASHPOWER drooped to 99TH...What happen???
I guess I'm hedged pretty well - I wasn't sure whether to be glad that AM will now pick up more of the Network % or sad that my DMS.SELLING would take longer to pay off...  Did anyone notice that HASHPOWER drooped to 99TH...What happen???
Blockchain.info API error... *fixed Thanks, I was wondering as well! |
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Vbs
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June 18, 2013, 07:57:57 PM |
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Blue dots incoming! 7/28 dots = 25% |
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alexius89
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June 18, 2013, 08:01:06 PM |
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does nobody ask friedcat via mail/PM what happend with the AM Hashrate?
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twentyseventy
Legendary
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Activity: 1386
Merit: 1000
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June 18, 2013, 08:05:15 PM |
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does nobody ask friedcat via mail/PM what happend with the AM Hashrate?
Pretty much everyone tries not to bug him incessantly. Highly doubting he's going to respond to PMs unless they're from someone like TAT or a well known forum/exchange member. |
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SOSLOVE868
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June 18, 2013, 08:05:40 PM |
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Blue dots incoming! 7/28 dots = 25% Where did you get this 7/28 from?? I only see 10 in the picture .... |
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SOSLOVE868
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June 18, 2013, 08:07:16 PM |
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Pretty much everyone tries not to bug him incessantly. Highly doubting he's going to respond to PMs unless they're from someone like TAT or a well known forum/exchange member.
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Agree with you ,friedcat is a human, not superman.....we should believe him and let him do some his things.
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