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1361  Economy / Gambling / Re: ✨ BITCASINO - Elevate Your Gameplay 💎 #1 VIP Crypto Casino ✈️ on: September 19, 2023, 11:39:18 AM
you are going to win. Smiley
Yeah, we will win Grin


Absolutely. That's the spirit we should have here. To be born is a big win already. They say, it's 1 in 400 trillion chance. So, we can expect to win with any odds. Smiley


Unfortunately, my internet connection has trouble. Until now, sometimes it gets slower. I already phoned my ISP and they only said we apologize for your inconvenience. Please be patient and wait until it is fixed.

But in my last game, I did not win and only lost some money. After it is finished, I will try to see my luck. I hope it will change soon and get my wins.

Your troubles with internet will be solved soon. I'm not a fortune teller, but some things are easy to predict. Smiley May luck be with you next time!
1362  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [POLL] Using AI to predict outcomes on: September 19, 2023, 10:30:05 AM
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Maybe in the future we will see AI and human interact together for the betterment of the world. But as far as sports predictions, as this point I highly doubt that they can predict the outcome as humans do as there are a lot of parameters to look.

~

But isn't it easier for AI to look at a lot of parameters? Machines have been doing it for many years, analyzing better than humans something with a lot of parameters. I agree that at this point we don't have such an AI or we don't know how to properly prompt it. But I'm sure, in the future using AI to predict outcomes with a good accuracy will be possible.
1363  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: do you lose on slots? on: September 19, 2023, 09:46:50 AM
Thank you Op for sharing very interesting tips with users on the forum to avoid losing streaks or bad luck when playing slots. I hope these tips are also useful for those of you who keep on losing streaks. The first thing you need to do is allocate funds every time you want to play slots to minimize bigger losses. Luck in slot gambling doesn't come all the time, there are certain times when a slot machine turns into a very scary machine that can drain all your money. When you are in this situation, you need awareness to immediately stop and then come back again on a different day.

There are such times, I agree with you, but it's not like slots are programmed that way. It's just bad luck. Coming back again on a different day will not change anything. You can win big on the same day when you had a losing streak, and you can lose again on a different day, and then on another day too. It all depends solely on luck.
1364  Economy / Gambling / Re: Stake.com - The Leading Crypto Casino - Drake, UFC, Everton, Alfa Romeo F1 Team on: September 19, 2023, 09:18:55 AM
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I don't know the person that founded Stake and created it. But I can only guess it was a person that always in his live wanted money, fast cars, luxury life... and for him it's worth it, to steal from honest customers on his way to the top! That's up to him, but one day all this will come to an end, mark my words my forum friends.
 
KARMA .......... KARMA .......... KARMA ..........
~

What kind of garbage is that? Do you have proofs or you're just one of those unfortunate gambling addicts that refuses professional help?

Stake is a solid site. Millions of people know it, and I can confirm it from my own experience. You believe in Karma, huh? The maybe don't spread false accusations. I mean, just in case.
1365  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Success or Fail? - Talking about Gambling as a major income on: September 19, 2023, 08:20:10 AM
I`m sure that gambling can be a major income - i know several men, who have no any income except bets. But the same time i`m sure that not lots of people possible to make the same.

It's interesting. Are they making sports bets or playing poker? Because I don't think it's possible to make a living through anything else in gambling.
I talked about sport bets. But when you said about poker i remembered one familiar person who teached me to play poker. It was about 10-12 years ago and i don`t know how it is today but that time he got big money from online poker.

How is he doing today? I mean, poker depends a lot on skills but luck is still involved. Liv Boeree set a good example. She has amassed around $4 million in live tournament earnings during her poker career, but today she is referred to as a "former professional poker player". She started playing poker in 2005 and she decided to drop it in late 2019. I think it was a smart move. She didn't give Luck a chance to rob her of her winnings.
1366  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: A person who won 600k$ in lottery on: September 18, 2023, 12:53:15 PM
~snip~
And this is once again an example of short term thinking, if we are lucky enough to obtain important profits out of gambling then it would be a mistake to spend them all on things that we want, a part of that money should also go towards a business which can generate even more profits or it should become an investment that can eventually bring you even more money down the line, but after such a big win people are not thinking clearly and they seem to think their good luck will last forever.
By having thoughts like that, at least we already plan to use the money we will win from gambling. Starting a business will provide more money. Perhaps we won't need to gamble because there is already a source of income we can rely on, especially if we think about having an investment, which is a bitcoin investment, that will give us the opportunity to gain profits in the future so that we can have other sources of income from investing in bitcoin.

But gambling shouldn't be a source of income for us. It's very important to keep that in mind. If you have spare money, you can gamble for the sake of entertainment. If you don't have enough money, do not resort to gambling to increase the amount of money. It's like a rule, a rule that you might really regret breaking.
1367  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🚀-Sportsbet.io-🚀 Official Partner of Newcastle United Football Club on: September 18, 2023, 12:06:29 PM
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I also try not to let the odds get too high, and this time it worked out really well. And ofc smooth Sportsbet experience again. Love it!  Smiley

Speaking of the odds too high, what do you think of this bet I lost recently?




Should I have picked just 8-9 matches instead of 12? It would still be a great win if I'd picked the right ones. Smiley I'm joking. I would never pick "the right ones". Also, sometimes to bring more fun in life, we have to act in the all-or-nothing mode. Thank you, Sportsbet.io for the opportunity to bet with such high odds!
1368  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Bundesliga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2023/2024 on: September 18, 2023, 11:05:36 AM
I don't know if you guys picked on it but BTCGOSU is killing it this week. I have no idea how he is last one on the table and already has 22 points in this round. Something does not compute Smiley

He even got correct score on Bayern game, kudos efialtis, not an easy feet to predict that.

Wow! 22 points. Congrats, @efialtis! I'm very happy for you, mate. You aren't going to stay at the bottom for too long , aren't you? Smiley I know you wouldn't be there at all if you didn't miss round 1 and 2. Amazing job!

I've only got half of your points this time



And yet it's a good achievement for me. If I was getting 11 points each round I'd have 44 points total right now, and I have only 39. Will try at least to stay on this level in the future matchdays. You are inspiration to us all, efi.
1369  Economy / Gambling / Re: Roobet.com | Crypto’s Fastest Growing Casino 🦘 on: September 18, 2023, 10:19:56 AM
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I've been following the roobet art contests for a while now and I realized they changed the free spins rewards.



The first one said every real artwork entry will get a free spins. Did every entry got it? I would have joined if I read that one. Now they just award selected users. It would be nice if someone can confirm if there is really a consolation prize.

And I have nothing against it. It's their contest, their money, so, they can decide whom to reward with free spins.

To be honest, I wasn't expecting much with my entry



I saw better works than mine in the thread in the Hand Drawn category. And this one by @Scripture



is an amazing artwork in my opinion and it didn't receive any prize, so I definitely shouldn't complain. Just wondering, has anyone received the free spins?
1370  Economy / Gambling / Re: Whats happening with Betnomi? on: September 18, 2023, 09:35:26 AM
~ Being a regular user on betnomi for a bit, I really don't see how very many lost a bunch period. I barely ever seen anyone playing there unless it was a poker tourney sponsored or they did dumbass VIP transfers. Other then that, the site was pretty dead. Doesn't make it ok for them to exit on everyone who had a balance, but I'd bet the legitimate scam total was barely 20k IMO.

$20k? I thought there were millions of USD on the site. I'm not a whale or something, but I had around $400 on the site. My balance was $150 and I would never deposit more but my friend offered to sponsor my poker game and I deposited $250 more just couple of days before the site disappeared. Was I among those few unlucky ones who had much more than $100 on their balance? Too bad.
1371  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: who Want To Bet On 2024 USA elections? on: September 17, 2023, 12:09:34 PM
Yeah, but can he win? He could be a popular showman, no doubt about that, but people are smarter these days than to elect a guy like him as president.

Btw, something has changed recently. Desantis was kicked out from the top 3 by Vivek Ramaswamy:



I didn't know him before. Why do people think he has a chance?

There is always a new flavor of the month in the early days of the campaign which gets a lot of media attention. First it was DeSantis, then Ramaswamy, and now Nikki Haley is starting to rise in the polls. Realistically, Trump's lead appears to be insurmountable and the primaries should be over very quickly.

Regardless of who gets the Republican nomination, recent CNN polling is not looking so favorable towards Biden. Even Chris Christie could beat him in a direct face off.

Nikki Haley is far below from other candidates, she has 26.00 odds. But what's interesting is that Vivek Ramaswamy went down lately to the 5th place:



Chris Christie you say? He has the same chances as Hillary Clinton, very small chances:



Biden is still number one. And in predictions like these I trust gamblers more than anyone because their motivation is money and they put their efforts in research more than anyone.
1372  Other / Off-topic / Re: Do you gamble because you don't have sufficient money? on: September 17, 2023, 11:06:05 AM
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Only you can help yourself. That is really the scary truth for sure. That kind of gambler is kind of blind and deaf on advice and doesn't see those people who are trying to help those people, but for sure he will be waken up after something happens very worse to him. Because right now, for sure, if that mistake happens to him, even if we see it as a big one, for that gambler it is still small, so he is not shaken up on this. But again, if worse happens to him, he will struggle a lot, like pain emotionally or physically.

The thing is that in some cases nothing can "wake up" an addicted gambler. He always thinks he's main problem is not enough time and money. If he doesn't have sufficient money he thinks he should gamble even more. This is a big mistake that you should try improve your financial situation through gambling, but many people think like that. I said "think", but hardly it can be called "thinking". Gambling addiction deprived them of their ability to think. Only professionals can help such people.
And even professionals can have problems helping those people, as once a person has been addicted to anything for a very long period of time, it is very difficult for them to understand their life without the source of their addiction, so even if they could stay away from it for months or even years, at some point an event will happen on their lives which they will be unable to endure and in their minds the only way to cope with the situation is to go back to what they know best, which is their former addiction.

I think if they could stay away from the source of their addiction for years it would be a big victory for them. Then if they snapped at some point, they should turn to professionals again. You can't be cured for life from your addiction, or at least it happens in very rare cases.
A few years of abstinence is a great achievement, imo.
1373  Economy / Economics / Re: Real estate vs cryptocurrencies vs business on: September 17, 2023, 10:19:47 AM
That's what I'm talking about. I'm not saying it from my personal experience, but not from from the movies or some stories on the internet either. A good friend of mine inherited $50k 10 years ago. He thought real estate would be the best investment. So he bought a house for the money, a nice house near the river that according to the agent should cost two times more in 10 years. And now it costs $20k max.
Both the real estate and farming businesses require fundamental knowledge. These are costly industries, and one must exercise caution when entering them. It's safe to say that land is indeed limited, and there's a consistent demand for homes every day because everyone needs a place to live.

However, many overlook the fact that there are numerous seasoned professionals with extensive experience, and they are your competitors even if you're a newbie. When it comes to money, there's no room for pity in the business world. So, it's actually not easy to dive into the real estate world without sufficient experience.

Bitcoin offers another long-term opportunity, and you can choose to incorporate it alongside your primary business.

What? No. The percentage of earth that is inhabited is approximately 10%. Overpopulation is a myth from the 19th century. We are very far from the point when any land has a value because "everyone needs a place to live". Real estate brokers tell this myth to their clients to make them buy the land that is not as valuable as it appears. And then you end up in a situation like I described above.

I still think that Bitcoin is in more cases than not a better investment than real estate.
1374  Economy / Economics / Re: I wonder if food prices in your country have also increased? on: September 17, 2023, 09:36:32 AM
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If you are residing near the country side, then there is a farmers market where you can buy cheap and fresh goods, but if you are in the metro area, that is really the problem, as everything is expensive and there are times that the cheap is of bad quality, but others are also when it is too late in the night and only a few people are buying fresh foods, and others tend to lower their price so that their goods are already sold and they can go home.

It is really lucky if you have a backyard or an open area where you can make it a garden and plant foods in there because it can save you money, you can use it, it is fresh, and for sure it is safe as it is all organic and no pesticide was sprayed on it.

It is not necessary to reside near the country side for buying cheap food of a great quality during the harvest seasons. Maybe you are working too much in the office and you don't know what going on on the streets around. Just ask people and they will tell you that these markets are arranged regularly somewhere near you. I've seen them in Hamburg, Munich, Geneva and Kyiv(where I live rn), I think they are everywhere. Am I wrong? Do you really don't have them where you live?
1375  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Will you cheat in gambling? on: September 17, 2023, 08:44:51 AM
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We shouldn't cheat. Even if we cheat successfully a few times, we should not be proud that we did it and will continue to follow that dirty path. Nothing can be hidden forever. One day, it will be discovered. Think how terrible the consequences would be.
Simply put, we already have the pressure of gambling, plus the fear of being caught cheating. I don't think that gambler has the mind to stay awake in the game. For example, if we discover that a casino is cheating its players, the question is, will we be calm enough to ignore that casino?

I blame books and movies. The so called "con artists" are glorified in some of them and people think it's cool. People with low moral standards shouldn't be allowed to write books and make movies these days. I don't know, maybe it's in our genes, maybe many thousands of years ago you wouldn't survive without cheating, but today, I mean, in the last several hundred years, we are trying to build a better society and cheating has no place in it. Appealing to low instincts should be forbidden.
1376  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How will you feel if it happens to you just like this? on: September 16, 2023, 01:00:36 PM
People like those (me) who don't gamble for fun have this question to answer: how will you feel when you don't have money to stake a game that you predicted and better winning games you predicted played the way you predicted it and when you checked the winning was something that could have changed your life for ever if you didn't gambled again after such winning?

This question can be very tough to answer, but believe me, many people won't stop thinking of that if it happened to them, so I want to know your opinion about how you would feel if it happened to you.

If it happens to me, I can't stop thinking of it, but definitely one day I will stop thinking about it and see it as history or not yet, my time for big wins just like how it happened to me when I lost a bet that would have given me long-term smiles.

There's a famous gambling quote, "Nobody has ever bet enough on the winning horse." Well, what can I say, we gamblers know it's true. Once I won with 9,900x multiplier on dice, and I had $50 on balance back then. I bet with a fraction of a cent and won only $20, but of course I was thinking WHY, why didn't I bet with $10 or $20 and won a life-changing amount?
1377  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Reckless gambling starts after a win round. on: September 16, 2023, 11:59:04 AM
I disagree with the premise, most people will take off half the winnings after any sizable win.   Im not saying they maintain complete wisdom, may come to add back onto the table the same winnings they took away earlier but often in the moment of winning people do quite often realize they are lucky and reduce the risk of losing it immediately.  Others will keep increasing the bet as they are winning, but I think thats only some and most dont believe in an endless winning streak.
  My general take if I win a loss is coming, I need to reduce size to win overall; I always 50/50 in win or loss though its never that simple.

I understand. I too think this way sometimes. But it's not a scientific way of thinking, right? Whether we lose or win doesn't depend on what happened to us before.  We can win right away after a big win, and we can lose and lose again after a long losing streak.

But of course you are right, reckless gambling doesn't' necessarily start after a win round.
1378  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can Chat GTP destroy poker on-line gambling??? on: September 16, 2023, 11:21:15 AM
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Exactly, the reason why computers are able to beat humans is that chess is deterministically in design, has no hidden information, and 2-player game. It is able to calculate the most advantageous move in some set of actions within the game state. So obviously there is no point in luckiness and a bluff. On the other hand, it is completely the opposite in poker.

Still, if it is only a matter of following rules, I believe that many LLM AI would do just fine. As I have said before, the prompts that are being used are essentially important.

The prompts are very important, no doubt about that, but still today there is no such machine that can beat human professionals right away, without studying them for tens of hours, as far as I know.

I believe that there is just a big hype behind AI and a whole series of ad hoc messages released by various media campaigns are trying to sell this technology as something "incomparable".
I don't believe at all that we are so close to systems that are so strong that they beat human nature in itself.
No ... It could possibly be true; the only exceptions there is that the main idea to surpass human nature as you said isn't actualized yet...I don't think it can for some consolidated reasons... Cus how TF would you expect something that was barely made outta one quarter of man's infinite wisdom to surpass the maker itself?? Isn't it weird??..bahahhhahaha!!

Sandra 🧑‍🦰

Sandra, to surpass in what exactly? It matters. In everything? No, you can't make such a machine. But in one particular task, it's easy. Take simple calculator, for instance. It surpasses humans in calculating.
1379  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Crash may take bitcoin to 1M dollar on: September 16, 2023, 10:50:29 AM
Firstly, USD and the global economy won't crash. Only gullible people think of such doomsday scenarios. Secondly, BTC won't magically rise to a million bucks in such a situation logically speaking.

Tip: Speculating crypto prices shouldn't be taken too seriously thanks to the extremely volatile crypto market.

I agree with you regarding the global economy, only I want to say that theoretically if any currency, not necessarili US Dollar, loses its purchasing power, say, 20 times, then Bitcoin, even if nothing good like more investors happens to it, becomes 20 times more expensive in relation to this currency. But I agree, USD will not lose its purchasing power that much.

I'm not trying to say that BTC willl never reach $1 million. It can happen, but not because of the global economy crisis but because of some favourable events for Bitcoin.
1380  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Slots 101: Basics, Strategies, and Discussion (with poll) on: September 16, 2023, 10:15:17 AM
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With 10 million spins, the total results should be closer to the theoretical RTP, but still, since the number is still far from infinity, it won't be the exact 102%. See this article: https://www.gamblingcommission.gov.uk/licensees-and-businesses/guide/page/how-to-calculate-return-to-player-rtp

From the above example, 1 million spins still deviate the RTP by +/- 1.09%, so yeah, the expected range from your case should be about 101-103% assuming it has the same volatility (std dev) of 5.6.

I thought with 10 million spins the result will be very close to actual RTP, with deviation only maybe about 0.1%. Interesting. It looks like deviation by 1% in either side is acceptable.

~
Back to slots. If there was a slot where the house edge was negative, meaning that a player had, say, a 2% advantage. Would that imply that you would definitely win money on that slot after playing it a thousand times? It's obvious that after 100 million times you would win some money, but what about a thousand spins?

No one knows since gambling is not a math that can be calculated on when we will win because it is pure luck game. Luck may come anytime without notice. If we are in our great luck time, no matter how much is the RTP or house edge of the game, we may win some money in our very first spins. Vice versa, we may not even win some money after thousands or even million spins when we are in bad luck time.


What depends on luck when we are making several bets is almost guaranteed when there are millions of bets made. Big casinos survive because of this rule. They have their house edge, around 4%, and with millions of bets they get their profit, around 4% of all money wagered.
It doesn't seem like it because luck never comes suddenly and we don't know when luck will come when betting so it's not like we guarantee a winning bet but it's really uncertain and we can't expect when it will come.
Moreover in the gambling industry casinos are always the most profitable and the percentage of profits owned by casinos is almost 70% of the gambler chances of winning.
But we are here to have fun so whatever happens,defea whether it is luck to win or even defeat we must be able to accept it without the slightest feeling of annoyance.
~

Sorry, I don't understand what you are talking about here. Can you please elaborate more?

~

Nothing in real life has a 100% probability of happening, there is always a small chance of weird things to happen.

Right, but the more attempts is made the closer you are to what is expected: losing the house edge to the house.

Well, I agree with this and last week I also experienced the same thing where for the initial session in two types of pragmatic games I could easily collect profits in just a few rounds but considering that the profits were not really feasible I continued 500 rounds but as a result I actually lost the entire balance I had.

You can't make any conclusions from just hundreds or even thousands of bets. You need tens of millions for that.
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