I hope you aren't suggesting helicopter money  Do you have a problem with helicopters? |
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I will share some of my secrets with you. Incentives - Mass market doesn't care about liberalism, decentralization, and all that jazz which attracted us here in the first place. The incentives to use it need to be different and relate to them as a consumer.
I think that is a critical error. The mass market doesn't but the early adopters will.  Stability - The value of the currency HAS to be stable. "Stable" is defined as no more than 2% +/- value movement in each 24 hours over the long term.
I think this is another critical error. Rise in price is what drives speculators to HODL. You don't need stability of exchange price. Rather you only need adopt it as their unit-of-account. On/Off Ramps - Efficient and reliable on/off ramps for fiat are required, again without giving away control. Buying crypto at the moment is difficult and time consuming, it needs to be simple and easy.
Or eliminate the need for on/off ramps. |
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Foundries getting gag orders is not a realistic problem. It is difficult to enforce a U.S. court order on a Taiwan company.
Nothing is difficult when they control the global monetary system. I think you've been sleeping under a rock since China announced a mandatory social network where its citizens are required to report their friends who speak out against the Communist Party. Asians are very pragmatic. They will do what is best to "get their loans", etc.. If you have their cooperation, it doesn't matter anyhow because it's easy to read the chip, and see if it contains deviations from the masks. It is very open to review.
And you can inspect every one of the chips that is sold into the market? And what do you do when every foundry you contract delivers you chips which have "defects"? And are you entirely sure that hardware logic can't be obscured with 3D layering and other obfuscation methods (including those yet to be published)? Do you think the national security agencies and intelligence agencies with their $100+ billion in funding have not looked into developing the necessary technology? There are other ways the governments could sabotage your business plans. Be realistic. You don't defeat collectivism with collectivist action. Edit: Enabling individuals defeats collectivism. |
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everyone would want to debate him to boost his own project,now wouldnt they ?
I don't have a burning need to debate Vitalik. My project's future depends entirely on marketing that will occur entirely outside of the cryptocurrency arena. I won't announce here nor any of the crypto currency focused news sites. I gain nothing by debating Vitalik, that I don't already have. He is the one who is going to lose by not debating me, because he will waste his time, money, and eventually everyone will start to trust my knowledge more as they see I am accomplishing more in the real world than Vitalik did. Vitalik isn't a genius. I can already see that clearly. To be a qualified genius, you have to prove your rarity by your accomplishments. Read this and learn something:
I will absolutely support his coin.
Please don't do so without researching carefully at that time. |
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The killer app for blockchains is currency.
And not store-of-value. That was Bitcoin's critical marketing and design flaw. Because 1) a store-of-value is precisely at odds with government in the age of peaking socialism, and 2) its value is predicated on its trustless rarity and future popularity, neither of which a centralized block chain can provide. And no one has published how to scale a block chain decentralized. Some technobabble BS, but no actual published solution. That very well states the conclusions I had come to about the Dapp Koolaid. |
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> Android has a 2% uptake of their latest software revision,
> which iOS has somewhere near 90%. Yep, I'd say that's a flaw. Agreed that the overriding flaw is the 90% centralized control is indicative of the lack of degrees-of-freedom in the iOS ecosystem, which will eventually rear its head as the network effects insideously eat away at the what iOS doesn't support. This has surely begun already as the relative market shares of Android and iOS have diverged significantly but it is likely still under the radar. It predict it will slam Apple some years from now just as did for the Mac and the bottom will fall out of the market share. Originally I thought I was writing these posts maybe because you would benefit from recognizing these trends early, but I am fairly convinced now that your best future lies with Apple because you appear to be very ideologically invested in Apple's business philosophy. I am ideologically invested in the power of network effects. I wasn't wrong for Windows and I don't expect to be wrong this time either. KitKat which was new when I bought my Samsung a year or so ago, is already at 73%. Jelly Bean which was my prior (and first) Android is at 95%. Btw, the only copy of Windows I still run is XP SP2. My up-to-date desktop is running Linux (Mint Mate). > exposes the innocent and unaware Android-using populace
> to malware and such horrible things ... People put their lives
> into their devices I am all for high quality software and timely security updates. But past a certain level of basic needs met, this can be seen as a pita. If a user is really concerned, they can go buy a new Android and pass their old one down to a maid or family member. Which is precisely what happens, thus driving more Android market share. I was thrilled to upgrade because the hardware available for the same price had improved. This reminds of the Monero CC lead developer who argued that non-anonymous CCs were risking the lives of dissidants. Btw, a Jeeney crashed today and people were killed. I think we ought to get rid of Jeepneys and for that matter roads and have everyone transported in Apple flying cars that are all coordinated by a central command center in Cupertino. That diesel power plant at the new Apple campus will insure 100% up time, and then we just need to figure out how to allow Apple to take control of the quality of the entire internet so we can insure 100% up time of the internet connectivity between Cupertino and Davao. Oh and yes we will need Apple to be control of all natural disasters that could possibly disrupt that line. No worries because Apple has the competent engineers and requisite vertical integration. |
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> Consider that the right thing to do is to enable people rather
> than giving them handouts. The west simply has to get it right. I think this is right up there with fairytales such as Dumbo The Flying Elephant and the reason is because an Iron Law of Politics which is that it is a power vacuum that rewards those who can promise the most collectivized debt financed "freebies". I mean I am all for enabling individuals (and via technology and not ineffectual political delusions). But I am not for ignoring fundamental, inescapable economic truths. > If the US were accelerating towards socialism, then you would
> see Bernie winning over Hillary. Disagree. We would instead see Rand Paul winning. Bernie is a liberal socialist. His rhetoric rails against corruption and such, but he would pile on the debt-based freebies. Hillary represents the status quo which is massive socialism, corruption, and driving stakes through the heart of our technology industry with NSA shenanigans (which is just a sheepskin masking the real purpose which is to track all the money for coming capital controls in 2018). They will get their backdoor on encryption even if they have to do it with national security letter gag orders and martial law. Watch 2018. I'll come back around then so we can acknowledge who won this prediction. The establishment will steal this election if necessary to make sure there is no departure from crash & burn trajectory we are on because it is part of their plans for global monetary reset and unification of global hegemony. What Bernie and Trump represent is the ultimate rebellion and fracturing of the USA into regions of cultural differentiation, after the establishment steals the 2016 election for Hellary proving that democracy is a charade. > What worries me are the idealists. They are so righteous.
> Idealists will literally do anything to see their programs
> through because they literally believe they are right. And so
> often the ends justify the means. I predict this will precisely describe what Apple will become over the next several years. Hope I am wrong. One of us will be correct. > My humble opinion is that our higher education system is a bit
> outmoded and heading for disruption.
> what becomes disrupted? Well, probably government. Agreed. But socialism is the elephant in the room that won't leave through the door because he can't fit through it. He'll destroy most of the house on the way out. Then we will rebuild after 2024 or 2032. Note this disruption will be starting from small seeds right about now. And come into major adoption while the socialism is burning the old system to ground. > To assume that the trend towards socialism has America
> in its grasp might be hubris on Armstrong's part. The West will break free of it when most of the boomers are dead by 2033. But by then Asia will have moved ahead of the West in total GDP. The tables will have turned. We will be outsourcing for Samsung, instead of them outsourcing for Apple. The best and brightest from the USA will leave or virtually subcontract to Asia well before the elephant has left our house. Silicon Valley might shift to some where in Asia. Times change. We seem to forget that lesson from history. > Diversify. Nobody can know the future. Please understand the science of the Strange Attractor before alleging that Armstrong's literally $1 billion investment in a computer model hasn't correlated something informational and predictive. There is hidden order in chaos. |
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I was reminded today of another problem with Android, is that there is no uniform way to push security updates out to older devices. Add that to inconsistent software across different hardware vendors. Nevertheless 84% of global consumers seem to prefer Android. Although (afair) the gross profit is closer to parity with iPhone, I will posit it is network effects that matter most going forward. More on that with Horace Dediu below. I concurred that consumers which already have credit cards are not going to cognizantly switch to a CC. I stated I am not insinuating Apple Pay couldn't take this fiat driven payments market if it has no capable competitors and/or is so annointed by the key players. I also stated that I am talking about new markets that afaics haven't been tapped yet. It is not only the currently unbanked, but also the disenfranchised such as musicians stomped on by corporate fascism in the music industry. I believe these disenfranchised would like to own a share of the exchange token that is their ideological protest and ensuing victory. I believe there are features they need which can't be optimally done with a centralized variant such as Apple Pay. If Apple Pay is decentralized, then Apple can't monetize it. Apple can't have it both ways. Btw, the video game market is $100 billion and afaik we haven't even monetized yet the majority in the developing world who may be playing most. Of course biting off a chunk of the mainstream payments market is $billions, but that is pocket change for Apple. They need something that scales much bigger if they are going to grow significantly beyond iPhone. As for my plans, even let's say a $100 million initial market will provide the minimum economy-of-scale to scaffold the ecosystem. Horace Dediu who drank the Koolaid[1] that says Apple is different in some invincibly synergistic way than every other hi-tech company in the world and who based on that thus predicted 5 years ago that Apple would innovate around Android and in that intervening time Android has risen from single digit percentage market share to 84%. In my limited study over the past half-hour, Horace's model[2] appears to be that Apple is integrated where it matters most to maximizing value (even he makes the point I agree with which is advertising is the lowest ROI monetization model) while being open or modular enough (e.g. open to Apps) to avoid the disruption that Windows did to the Mac. My rebuttal is that someone (and I might know him) will disrupt the iPhone by making an App a superior and consistent platform across all smartphones (solving Android's security update issue perhaps), thus taking away Apple's control and ability to charge higher prices for the essentially the same hardware as Samsumg. The battle is all on the software and do you understand then why I am concerned that Apple would ban my App? Luckily I don't really have to care that much because Android is winning and afaik Google doesn't care what an App does as long as it is not illegal, immoral, and isn't deleterious to their advertising revenue. Any way, I am doing too much talking. I should be instead coding. Talk is cheap. [1] https://soundcloud.com/drericjackson/ep-6-horace-dediu-on-ifwhen-the-iphone-will-be-disrupted (listen at 8:30min) [2] https://soundcloud.com/drericjackson/ep-6-horace-dediu-on-ifwhen-the-iphone-will-be-disrupted (listen at 27min) I had some more time to listen to remainder of that audio of Horace Dediu's and others' criticism of Clayton Christensen's theory of low end price disruption. As I briefly mentioned before, I agree with him that the advertising monetization model is a low quality trolling mode and is not the future of the internet. The future of internet advertising is viral social network sharing due to the value users get from sharing, not from being paid to share. Users will make their money from creating, and thus sharing. I agree that companies can create long-term niches via differentiation on style and quality— e.g. Mercedes Benz and Ferrari. And I agree that consumers will pay more for this, as long as it is within their means. However, I argue that once the market size comprises a significant percentage of the world's population, network effects rule the outcome. The reason people chose Windows over Mac was not because of price, because they weren't able to run all their software on the Mac. And they became worried about being locked into a narrow range of hardware choices. Several times I considered buying a Mac, but I couldn't choose the display I wanted, the hard disk I wanted, and some of my software wouldn't be fully supported on the Mac even if did run more slowly and buggy in some software emulator. For example, Samsung has this curved screen smartphone that is the rage here in the Philippines among affluent women. How many years do I have to wait for a curved screen iPhone? The hardware choices that won't be available on iOS will continue to proliferate. The range of price points won't be available on iOS. Eventually this will make it into software choices that won't run natively on iOS. This can be because they run on some platform that Apple bans from their App store because it threatens to abstract away the differentiation that Apple depends on to create the "reality distortion field" status symbol effect that drives iPhone sales. Apple may do excellent integrated software and hardware, but they can't write all the software for a general purpose computing device. And thus as the quality of the Apps becomes consistent between Android and iOS, then network effects will dominate more the logic about consumer choices. I am flummoxed that these Apple diehard analysts missed this. I have only studied this for one hour and I see what they ostensibly haven't figured out over the past years.
> OTOH the concepts surrounding the small payments issues
> are constantly being solved by existing ecosystems and
> really aren't a problem for them When Apple or any other music streaming site offers ad-free free streaming of music and enables indie musicians to set their price-per-song for purchases, then you can make that claim. Ditto for game gamification monetization. And when everyone can pay, even if they don't have a credit card nor a bank account. > Also, more and more ecosystems and app stores are going
> towards curation and away from pure openness. The inherent
> chaotic lack of appeal of anarchy is pushing this trend along
> with the need for security and less malware. How can an
> ecosystem survive otherwise? Android is open to hardware vendors, not to malware Apps on the Playstore. Don't erroneously reject open source based on an issue that has nothing to do with open source. The problem with Google and Apple controlling the App store is that vested interests can cause them to ban an App. One of the key features of what I want to do is eliminate that monopolistic control. Users should be able to choose from many App stores without a reduction in ease-of-use. Walled monopolies need to die within what is remaining of my career. > There can't be a backdoor - it must not even exist. Knock yourself out trying to convince the totalitarianism of bankrupt socialism. > Some bugs, as we both know, are practically invisible to the knowledgeable eye. I fixed one of those in your undocumented low-level algorithms for tiling the paper grain. I didn't know what the algorithm was doing but I recognized the structure of the loop and nailed it. I never forgot that one because I initially looked at that maze of 68000 assembly and thought I would never figure it out. And ended up only consuming some minutes, not even an hour. Open source proponents argue this is precisely why open source excels at identifying and fixing bugs, because of the Linus rule, "given enough eyeballs, all bugs are shallow". > The best way is to let people try to break your system
> and offer a reward. The reward goes up over time. Open source proponents argue the better way is to open source so many corporations have a vested interest to invest in fixing bugs. Spread out your costs over a larger ecosystem, and thus reduce in house inertia that is not nimble. Increases degrees-of-freedom. |
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males exhibit most of the mathematical talent and the divergence increases in the right tail I found some analysis of known data which supports my intuition that women are making this choice; and they even present evidence of the fluidity of women to increase their variance in the right tail. And they find no support for "institutional sexism" as an explanation. Sex Differences in Math-Intensive Fields Stephen J. Ceci and Wendy M. Williams Cornell University Two Quora anecdotes which support my intuition that women want the flexibility to do jobs which enable their social cause and family priorities, and add to that anecdotally women don't want to be stuck in a field where the (e.g. small startup) nerds sleep under their desk (aren't concerned with their wellbeing and body odor) and there isn't a dedicated female restroom: I was one of 8 women out of class of 200 in engineering. Why didn't more women go into the field? [...] So when you look around and there's no one like you (any minority will be able to relate to this), it can be hard to stay in that field. Plus - only nerds go into engineering and most girls don't see that as a great thing to be - the stereotypes of engineering are not particularly cool for women. The guy you're dating or later marry will get some heat from the guys around him if he doesn't "earn more" than you It's also a field of study that requires a lot of time in school (not a lot of time for those great parties other students go to). After all that is said, though, engineering has let me do whatever I want. I've worked in manufacturing, IT, HR, project management, etc., on projects around the globe. [...] I think there are so few women in engineering that it's hard for other women to see how this field works for them. Engineering is also not as flexible as many of the health care fields (part time work, weekend work, etc.) to the needs of women and families although there are significant efforts at changing that. --- Hmmmm...I like science fiction and video games....but I work in healthcare. I'm also not too bad at math.
However, I will say that the field I am in (medical laboratory) is dominated by women. To the point that women had their own bathroom in the lab at my last job, the other two bathrooms were unisex.
I care about people, but I don't want to see them in person, hence I work in the lab. I thought about going into software programming, but it looked pretty boring compared to working with instruments, reading bacterial cultures and doing molecular testing. Engineering seemed excessively difficult and expensive to get into. Physics seemed like something I could never get a job with. I suspect it distills to evolutionary game theory at the generative essence. In my experience women are more balanced than men (inhibiting themselves from the right tail?) when making long-range decisions on risking wellbeing and stability; and I posit (as I believe esr has stated) because they must nurture their offspring because they can't scatter an overabundance of eggs to many men. One of the sexes has to be made responsible for child rearing to prevent information loss in evolution, and the other has to be pushing the limits of variance to provide maximum opportunities for discarding information which is not optimally fit. That sentence comes from some research in biology. Men sacrifice wellbeing and risk-aversion continuously to take shot at winning against other males to better the odds of inseminating more women. Perhaps some women will risk their wellbeing in the heat of the moment (hindbrain?) with a badboy (e.g. who may carry STDs) which they perceive to be an alpha, probably because of the game theory of the probabilities in their evolutionary purpose. Refer to esr's past blogs on PUAs and hypergamy. |
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Boomers in denial and state of disbelief... "The West is dying and will go over the cliff in 2018" BS my friend. Please don't go around shouting that the sky is falling. The failure of the West is baked in due to the requirement to finance socialism. Asia and the developing world doesn't have this dead weight, which is why it will scale faster. The West has significantly greater hi-tech productivity, but unfortunately socialism is at a bankrupt crossroads and it needs to go, but politically it can't go. So the government is going to likely destroy its own hi-tech sector by for example requiring a backdoor on encryption. Socialism will kills the goose that lays the golden eggs. As for the 2018 date, it is going to surprise many people and I was hoping you wouldn't be one of them. Who predicted this Muslim crisis in Europe? Who predicted the Ukraine crisis well before it was on anyone's radar? Who predicted the 2007 subprime crash back in the 1990s? Who predicted precisely the crash and rise again of the Japanese stock market in the 1980s? Armstrong and his $billion investment in A.I. and collection of 6000 years of every relevant shred of data he could find. The man who purchased a bust of Julius Caesar and can rattle off details of human history that will make you dizzy. |
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Boomers in denial and state of disbelief... "The West is dying and will go over the cliff in 2018" BS my friend. Please don't go around shouting that the sky is falling. The failure of the West is baked in due to the requirement to finance socialism. Asia and the developing world doesn't have this dead weight, which is why it will scale faster. The West has significantly greater hi-tech productivity, but unfortunately socialism is at a bankrupt crossroads and it needs to go, but politically it can't go. So the government is going to likely destroy its own hi-tech sector by for example requiring a backdoor on encryption. Socialism will kills the goose that lays the golden eggs. As for the 2018 date, it is going to surprise many people and I was hoping you wouldn't be one of them. Who predicted this Muslim crisis in Europe? Who predicted the Ukraine crisis well before it was on anyone's radar? Who predicted the 2007 subprime crash back in the 1990s? Who predicted precisely the crash and rise again of the Japanese stock market in the 1980s? Armstrong and his $billion investment in A.I. and collection of 6000 years of every relevant shred of data he could find. The man who purchased a bust of Julius Caesar and can rattle off details of human history that will make you dizzy. |
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Good for you man, for keeping in shape. But at 5'7" you have only succeeded in knocking out a dwarf in your workout. If you are just looking at a cardio vascular workout then thats fine - but if its any kind of training for your own physical self defence, then you need to be raising the bag and punching higher - you'll get more power punching uphill, cos then you are getting power all the way from your knees and above, potentially - try to punch with your body and not your arms. Tyson was a master at it - a natural.
Thanks for the tip. I noticed that too when watching the video again this time. Also instructor at my gym had mentioned not punching only with my arms. Several times I have begged them to raise the bag higher at my gym. They have it so low because the steel cage holding it is low, their chain is not well designed for the application, and because many of the filipinos are shorter than me. Even in the house I am renting, the damn mirror in the restroom displays my neck (concrete walls and I don't own a drill). I am punching it low because if I punch it higher there is not much filler in the bag up there, so it isn't solid and I don't get the thud feedback from the bag. I did try punch it higher and it felt like I was punching the top of a bowling pin where all the weight was below where I was punching so it just gave way. Also you are viewing me sick where I was only working out perhaps once every 2 weeks or so. (And that was February 2015 and I got acutely more ill and lost all my muscle later in 2015) If I get healthy, I won't look like that. That is no where near my athleticism potential when healthy. Even as a freshman in high school, my neck was good 1 inch thicker in circumference. I don't have any pics of myself from when I played American football, but here is one from my high school graduation wherein I had stopped playing American football for 3 years and was doing XCountry and middle and long distance for Track&Field and you can see here my neck even without weight training and being thin:  (Ah I would much prefer to be doing it than talking about it and showing pics of myself like a narcissistic pussy) Put it this way, at 5'5" and maybe 135 lbs as a freshman in high school, I played the offensive guard and defensive end positions, which looked ridiculous since that is incredibly undersized for those positions. My natural positions were cornerback and wide receiver, but due to politics, coaching perceptions, lack of an opportunity to demonstrate my capabilities at my natural positions, and also due to myself being a team player and not caring where I played as long as I could play the entire game, I took the assignments that were less in demand. I had so much energy I did not want to rest even for one play. When the game was over, I wanted to continue playing. I wasn't tired. Ditto partying in college in California (after I left L.S.U.) where I didn't want to sleep even a 4am after drinking til you drop style. I wanted to eat and head to beach and drink some more. Play some volleyball at the beach, and then party again that evening. In 8th grade, I played flag football every afternoon at PE with the guys who ended up being our cornerbacks and wide receivers, and I was regularly the top player on the flag football field (even against African Americans) but I guess the coaches were just letting us play out there and not even paying attention. But I was accustomed to being the (especially laterally) quickest (not fastest) guy on the field in the USA (and that even the case later in 2002 in Texas in some pickup football games), but I had my ass handed to me by the filipinos. My ex's brother (a skinny 5'3" dancer) could run rings around me and I couldn't even lay a finger on him. Well that was when he was 17 and I was 29. Later when I was in my 40s and he was late 20s, he was considerably slower perhaps being out-of-shape, but that was just tossing the ball to each other. I didn't actually try to tackle him that day. I'd be very curious to experience Pacquiao's speed. The owner of a buffet near my house says he can introduce me to Manny after his next fight. I'm hoping i have time for that, am healthy enough to go down to GenSan and work out in his gym. Just dreaming. Note when I worked out on a junior college team one summer in California, I was shamed by negro wide receivers there. But I had degraded my quick twitch muscle fiber by doing so much long distance training the prior years. So I really don't know. I have always had too many interests to juggle, didn't focus enough on just one. Maybe many of you can relate to that dilemma. Oh another data point is I played pickup football in late 1980s with the incoming freshman recruits for the Cal Lutheran college in Thousand Oaks. I forget how many solo touchdowns I scored, but I was pretty dominant. I broke my nose on a big guy's knee that day but played on because I was enjoying it too much. Btw, I squatted with the lineman at that Junior college and after only a month of training, I was squatting 400+ lbs to parallel in a strict way. I am punching with my arms partially to protect my rotator cuff. I can overpower the load that my joints can handle at this age, and especially being sick and not able to train consistently. As it was even with wraps and the gloves, I was messing my hands up (partially because I have a broken right hand (which makes my ring finger knuckle protrude when in a fist) due to punching a concrete wall when I was drunk in the 1990s). I really need to tape my hands, but I was just doing this for messing around. I wasn't yet taking it seriously because I can't even train seriously due to the illness I have. Due to inability to train, I had very minimal aerobic capacity as I was huffing and puffing after each ~40 seconds round. Lately I have been doing more running albeit quite limited by the illness (can't run more than 1.5 miles without abdominal pain stopping me), so I am still waiting for my cure to materialize so I can go balls out training. My resting pulse is still 40 given the enlarged heart from all my endurance training in high school. Believe me, I am eagerly anticipating being cured and royally fucking up a heavy bag the way Tyson does. After 3 years of debilitating hell (and 6 years of declining health before that), I have some progress on a potential cure just in the past weeks. What you probably don't realize is that for several days after doing that boxing in the video, I was probably laid up in the bed with horrible Chronic Fatigue Syndrome which is why I couldn't train. That evening, I was probably not feeling well after that day in the gym. Recently I am seeing some improvement on this, but I am still not 100% in the clear. Still having some issues. |
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The risk of social stigma seems unsupported by some flimsy misinterpretations of a couple of anecdotes. My intuition is the ladies are not sufficiently motivated to work on the code until it works. Presuming Jeff Read's claim of women in biotech is factual, noting the anecdotes from TED script, and even glancing at Susan Sons' interest in children and education, points to women being highly motivated by social causes around childrearing, wellbeing, and family. Whereas men seem to be motivated by social causes involving innovative disruption of power structure, as noted by Kenpachi. I posit the real risk here may be the combination of a perceived lack of direct applicability to women's social priorities and perhaps even the hypergamy opportunity cost of being locked away with nerds far from the social nexus of the workplace. The cited Malaysian exception has misleading statistics. A UNESCO study says: In South Korea, for instance, the proportion of females enrolled at the bachelor level was 52% in science and 19.5% in engineering as of 2011. At the doctoral level, however, those numbers sunk to 38% and 12% respectively.
In addition within STEM fields in higher education, women overwhelmingly tend to pursue science-based disciplines rather than maths-based ones. This was the case even in countries which had comparatively higher rates of female participation in STEM fields than others in Asia, such as Malaysia, where females accounted for 62% of students enrolled in medicine, while comprising only 36% of those in engineering.
What seems to be happening w.r.t. computer science demographics in Malaysia is a combination of the strict culture which requires women to stay home with the children and programming being an outstanding income for virtual work, combined with what I see here in the neighboring southern Philippines, where the boys are reknown for not undertaking bookwork seriously and the girls do. The reason is actually hypergamy. The boys are dreaming of doing masculine work and the females are dreaming of learning English and a skill that enables them to go abroad to earn money to support their families and maybe also meet a handsome rich husband. When it comes to world class innovation, men are most always going occupy those extreme outliers on the bell curve, because men are uniquely tooled to sacrifice everything to compete for those rarer eggs in the female. The smartest females are not going to risk their priorities just to be a trophy case statistical outlier. |
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Regardless of the truth you're trying to reveal, practicaldreamer has a point.
[...]
I've found the Socratic method to be far more effective than pressing an issue. Is everyone at the same level of awareness and understanding?
Building a community requires such couth. Boulders need to be dynamited in order to become gravel— a pliant building material. Talking (even circumspectly) to boulders is insane. Say nothing or get the dynamite. Thinking rationally is one thing - it's hard to act rationally when angry. Not that I've been able to handle that exceptionally well...
Fire and passion can be a productive conduit for energy, a.k.a. "controlled rage", not necessarily a surge of cortisol that disrupts the pre-frontal cortex. I think it can also become a dopamine addiction if not properly directed. I am thinking it depends how the person has conditioned himself to direct his energy towards stimulating creativity and production, although I haven't studied this science around adrenal cognitive stimulation, adrenal fatigue and possible interactions with neurotransmitters such as dopamine: http://scicurious.scientopia.org/2012/12/05/stressed-out-and-not-thinking-straight-blame-the-dopamine-in-your-prefrontal-cortex/http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352289514000101I have found that directing such energy stimulation into a combination of mental simulation and physical exertion, can properly direct this so it doesn't become an unproductive addition cycle (i.e. of trying to make needless drama to stimulate the dopamine rush into the brain). If a man never stimulate his adrenals, this can also have deleterious ramifications. A man wasn't given his hormonal structure just to sit at a desk and never get riled up. |
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We all have our faults, try to except them. She is not changing you any more so why fight!
For most of my life I followed the policy of not telling my parents that which I knew they would not agree with, nor bothering to try to change them. And I think they adopted the same attitude about me, when they realized I was going to do everything different or probably from their perspective stupid or "bipolar" or what ever label my relatives wanted to stereotype on my experimentation. If curiousity doesn't kill you, it can make you stronger. I was going to just leave it alone after deciding to end the call because it was a waste of time, but knowing my mother would then internalize it for weeks as if I was trying to hurt her, I felt compelled to write up something to try to explain to her that I got suckered into it. And when I started to write that email, I couldn't sugar coat and have it retain any relevant meaning. I just had to speak frankly otherwise I would be teaching myself how to make my life a confused doublespeak. At some point a man has to be a man and stop being moved off of his foundation otherwise he will be nothing to himself and this may be reflected in his own actions. I think the following video by Evander Holyfield is inspirational: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ADGDiNUcn14#t=49Tyson bit Holyfield's ears out of frustration because Evander was employing his head as a third boxing arm. Evander has a very big and strong bone structure in his head and this is one of his assets. Evander conspicuously employed this technique in his second fight against Lennox Lewis: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W7a3i1VyUkY#t=243One thing I like about Tyson is his frankness: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=emaVhjK_GKU#t=115And his bizarre, bipolar mind: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=emaVhjK_GKU#t=32Arguably Manny Pacquiao lost his mojo when he become a devout Christian (and this is also apparently destroying his political career when he spoke out against gays). Here is what I am talking about if you are too young to remember: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GoCOg8ZzUfghttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t4WnPp754UcComparing two 49 year olds: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Rz6j-1hnYU (Tyson 5'10", 71" reach, and 240 lbs) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zi2Rev8OgcI (Myself 5'7", 69" reach, and 165 lbs a year ago and with a chronic illness and I've never really trained as a boxer, just messing around AFTER my 2 hour barbell workout) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7JByKcv8_uIhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1f5yKyb3mYs |
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For anyone bothering to read my comment posts over at the quoted linked blog of my former boss who now works at Apple, please note the following comment post has not yet appeared on the blog (apparently waiting for moderator approval). Also I am not sure if my recent comment posts there which appear for me, are also visible for other readers. So readers may want to check back at that blog page after a few days when presumably Mark will have approved all my comments for publishing on his blog. The following is best read while listening to this (challenge yourself to listen to both the words of the song and read the following simultaneously): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JDC82LCZ2Z4I didn't advocate downplaying disruption, which is an essential component of my economic theories and software business models.
I intended to imply a shift from behemoths who can't afford to disrupt themselves towards nimbler teams which don't incur a massive retrenchment when their core business is disrupted with a technology that generates a thousandth of the profit. Apple gets 63% of its revenue from iPhone which is being disrupted by Google which gets 83% of its revenue from advertising thus can afford to drive the direct profits on smart phones to a thousandth (for Google).
The yen and yang is that closed and open source each has an optimum use case. Open source is ideal for code that must be maximally scoured for bugs and more saliently where distrusting teams (with different vested interests) depend on that same code base. Trustless, permissionless systems scale better. Any platform (including a payment system) will need to be open source in order to gain maximum support and network effects. Thus open source scales network effects better than closed source.
I concur wholeheartedly closed source is superior for the creative process and tapping new markets, for the reasons you very eloquently stated. So companies will still build moats around some proprietary intellectual property, but this property will be leaner, nimbler and leverage a lot of open source. These teams can then afford to disrupt themselves or some other team can. The behemoths carry too much inertia and are so large are tempting power vacuum bed mates with the regulators and legislators; and while they fend off their monopoly they injure society and then they injure again when they crash and retrench.
Trying to be objectively data driven here. Android is proving that now blasting through the roof to 84% global market share after starting from 5% back in 2009 when Apple and RIM had 67% Comscore USA share. The iPhone has dropped from a peak of 32% USA share to oscillating around roughly half that for global share. I read Android has passed iPhone on total profit and App downloads. The writing appears to be on the wall. Microsoft open sourced Windows' interoption with hardware vendors and that is ostensibly one major reason Windows adoption outpaced the MacOS. History appears to be repeating, with Google disrupting both Apple and Microsoft.
No amount of monkeying around the distinctions and interoption of tablets, laptops and smartphone can rescue Apple. Apple needs another big hit to replace iPhone profits as Android will broaden its quality and have more network effects to cannabalize the reasons for preferring an iPhone.
Next some new Steve Jobs (maybe his name is Shelby, lol) will disrupt Google's advertising monetization model. Many nimbler teams are working on this as we speak. So I must continue to argue the behemoths are going away and permanently, but not overnight.
Nimbler startups can offer RSUs, flex schedule, and big rewards for innovation, but the risk is very high. But with great risk comes great reward. I think also people are enjoying being able to work virtually most of the time and come together for brief jamming stints to get synchronized and mutually jazzed. I think the mavericks will choose to go for it. What have we got to lose? We only live once. Might as well try for greatness. My football coach said you only fail when you don't try. And you are defeated only when you don't stand up and try again.
How many Mercedes Benz does one programmer need .
I really admired Steve's insights and intincts. Replicate that and keep the collaboration within expert teams and even cross-team collaboration in the nimber model. Or do you see a reason not? |
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Based on the extremely limited contacts I have w/ cryptographers (and limited reading), it is my opinion that a large group of concerned folks like us can make it VERY HARD for LE to get some information, even on cellphones. (Not including phone call info of course)
That is incorrect. The OS and hardware can be designed to leak everything. Although perhaps the encryption could be done on a USB dongle mini-computer (plugged into the user's computing device) that is running custom open source OS and hardware. What is very hard is to hide that the OS and hardware has that capability. Easier to hide if closed-sourced. But knowing it has that capability won't help us prevent it from leaking the data. Well I guess it could if we refuse to connect our device to any network. But who the hell is going to use a mobile device that is never connected to any network. The only technical solution is to open source all the OS and the hardware. But we can't open source the hardware because the foundries can be subjected to a national security gag order. The only non-technical solution is political. And the politics won't be improving until the boomers are gone. If Apple loses the case and the government mandates a backdoor on encryption, then computing is fucked. Because any backdoor can be hacked. The tech giants are all fighting the government on this. It would lead to a computing Dark Age. If they explain it properly hopefully the political support exists to stop the government. But that might not even stop the NSA from handing out national security gag orders and finding some way to put a backdoor in the hardware. |
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On the positive side, my mother is very consistent about encouraging females (and males) to get an education (although she pretty well scattered mine, but I had never faulted her for that since my father did leave when I was 5). My sister was murdered (or suicide?) in 2006 and I wasn't able to speak to her ever again after 2001 (which btw was when I was recovering from 3 surgeries over several months to save my blinded right eyeball) because I refused to give her $5000 to bribe a judge to get her drug addict murderer husband out of jail and then my parents supported the position of not allowing me communicate with her. My father's wife won't let him communicate with me. My beloved, traditional grandparents have all passed on. And my mother loves her children and grandchildren. And she is very astute about respecting other people's rights and relationships. And she is very concerned about the humanitarian perspective, such as she has lot of empathy for Muslims who are escaping the war in the Middle East and migrating to Europe. My guess is she thinks guaranteeing these humanitarian goals requires the government make it available and thus I presume that is a why she is aghast about a breakup of the USA with the Bible Belt reverting some of the liberalism. I think she is oblivious to the fraud and delusion of feminism as a movement, as are so many of the boomers. Because it was the idealism of the 1960s that defines how they value their generation. They actually are under the delusion they were improving the world with liberal socialism.  Piling on $trillions of sovereign debt can sustain such an illusion until the Minsky Moment hits in 2018 (earlier for Europe, now for China). Boomers have been spoiled since the moment they were born and the debt-driven delusion of liberal socialism is just another of their spoiled escapades that we will be paying for after they are gone. Let's just hope they don't legitimize any government to require a backdoor on all encryption and send the internet and our global economy into a 600 year Dark Age of totalitarianism. I don't think they will win, but the up and coming China is also apparently upping the ante from 2032.95 forward. China launched a mandatory centralized social network[1] which requires all Chinese citizens to report their friends who criticize the Communist Party. I think it is difficult for boomers who grew up with traditional parents, stability, and the true devotion of their traditional parents, to comprehend what they have done to us. I am not a person to blame my life on anyone else. When I traveled to the Philippines and coded CoolPage from abject poverty in a Nipa Hut in a hyper-densely populated squalor swamp infested with mosquito born diseases and weekly bouts of dysentery and Giardia, contracted Typhoid and Dengue fevers (probably more than once, which is supposed to be very destructive to the immune system), I realized some people had it worse than me. I had to experience their life to really comprehend. I take responsibility for my life and take matters into my hands. My mother said yesterday when I alleged the boomers were collectively legitimizing the political corruption, "what are you doing about it?". I replied, "good point". Enough said. And my parents, relatives, and former co-workers were all, "And why did you do that to yourself!?!?  ". You never know until you've walked in the other person's shoes. So I guess I can't comprehend the boomers' "sacrifice"? Sacrifice? Well my mother sacrificed 9 months of carrying me in her womb and another pain of tearing up her orifice to push me out into the world. And then doing her best as a husband-less 20-something to keep me sheltered, fed, and in school. Who would presume a son doesn't love his parents and wants anything negative for them. Well I must admit I put nails under the tires of my Dad's Triump TR6 convertible when I was 5 years old. Maybe it was because they said I was holding on to his belt loops and refusing to let him leave. Then again, I also helped him design the framing for the wood bed platform for the back of his VW bus when I was 5. That was a piece of cake since I was already employing tools and taking apart my toys in the earliest pictures I have seen of myself as a toddler. I built my own more interesting toys from the parts. I was off in my own world. I even travelled the galaxy in my spaceship. But in my dreams, the Indian dancing hypnotized cobra tribe had captured my father in Belize. And there was the dark death of grey that would chase me in the brightly colored cartoon that was my dream, and the grey pipe could zigzag across the display screen of my dream until all the color had been enveloped and I had been swallowed. My nightmare was a video game and I was in it. Then I would half-awake on my stomach and I couldn't take a breath or move. Terrified. I suppose we all had some dreams like that. Pain is relative. You don't know pain until you've had a hole in your stomach leaking acid into your abdominal cavity. I counted every half-second 1,2,3,4,5,6... for 3 days non-stop knifing pain coupled with super intense burning (except for only 2 times they allowed me the strongest narcotic pain killer than I was floating in a cloud for 3 hours each time). You'll pray there is no hell because if there is one you understand you can't handle it for eternity. Of course, you realize there is no eternal hell right. Just take an overdose of sleeping pills and get it over with. Maybe I just haven't experienced other forms of physical pain such as having my guts or leg blown off by some form of ballistic incident. I broke my nose flat on my face taking a knee to the face during an American football game (college level without any padding or helmets), got hit on the skull with a hammer (permanently hole in my skull), and torn the ligaments for really bad high ankle sprain that put me on crutches for a month and made it too painful to sleep well. But that was nothing compared to the exploded acute ulcer. Emotional distress is different. You fight it by becoming a man. Becoming hardened. Doing more sports and increasing the level of testosterone. I didn't precisely know that most of life, even I was sometimes very engrossed into athletics. [1] https://www.google.com/search?q=China’s+new+mandatory+social+network |
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Edging into a new topic for the moment, I read recently that one way PEOPLE may get to be better able to secure their iPhones (and others) would be for someone to write cunning little apps to do that. I can think of one or two possibilities already (one would be to mimic the iPhone being off and then require a new password, perhaps another to hide info that a user would want hidden if an FBI were to break into the phone, I am sure other ideas would come along...).
Perhaps the apps writers would have to be outside the USA. And I suppose Apple might have its own requirements (burdens) on such apps to make them accessible to AAPL itself or the FBI/NSA.
What's say TPTB? That might be a fairly quick way to make a buck...
The operating system and hardware vendor can undermine any security programmed into an App. We need to move to completely open sourced OSes and hardware, but even Android is not that. Sorry you won't be able to hide from the backdoor if Apple loses their case. |
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