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1521  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 12:21:56 PM
Unless this is an insider move, or a news driven move, this is just gonna be a boring ping pong night. with or without the macd.
1522  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 12:15:15 PM

sorry my mistake, it's $5-6 per day.



I think you missed the point entirely

huge dumps everywhere

$5 move = huge dump? still miss the point.
1523  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 11:00:37 AM
So if the news is bad you feel we dont go down and then a rally ignites due to no more China news and if its good we rally anyway?

More or less. If the news is bad, I think we will not manage to make new lows. the large players know that the 15th might be their last chance to buy into panic.
1524  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 10:54:52 AM
I dont think that tonight is the night for a large rally either, but I do think that the new uptrend will have begun before the 15th. In that case, time is quickly running out for the market to reach new lows.

On the 15th, good news or bad news, that will likely be the last opportunity to buy cheap coins (if we are still at 400) as the 'chinese ban' theme comes to an end.

I think the market will prepare for this, and we will be at 550 before next Wednesday, and back at home in the 600s within 2 weeks.
1525  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 10:37:15 AM
well I've said before, I think if china goes to sleep tonight and nothing much is happening, we will rally when USA wakes up. It has happened many times over the last week.

...interesting stuff btc6000.
1526  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 09:56:23 AM
Ha... I think we're breaking out of the triangle horizontally right now... Is this unprecedented?

... I dont see it. very calm right now.

1527  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 09:06:28 AM
well, when you think about it...until the last coin is mined, btc needs constant inflow of cash to remain stable.

or people holding.

thats how the US dollar works lol. but really? I think professionals would manage liquidity for profit and we would have no problem keeping a turnover of bitcoins.

the US dollar is partly stable because most oil reserves are denominated in USD. if you want to buy and sell oil, you need to buy and sell USD. This is the buffer.

I wish that was true for bitcoin....... maybe bitcoin will take on a massive commodity market, like alpaca socks.
1528  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: April 09, 2014, 08:56:41 AM
When the officials speak, there is an official opportunity to gamble.
For the quick it's an opportunity to sell high, and for the smart it's an opportunity to buy low.
I wonder if we will be under way before the 15th?
caught between the hammer and the anvil, I don't see how it can rest easy beforehand.

This is where I see we are at. a second capitulation.



1529  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 07:34:46 AM
who said bitcoin is not a stable currency  Cheesy Im gonna sleep well tonight.
1530  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 04:03:24 AM
So it's exactly the opposite of what I have heard then?

I dont think there is a rule. price moving into resistance equally reveals a buyer and a seller. in theory, the one that makes the market order is the weakest, but thats not a reason why the wall should move.
1531  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 03:58:32 AM
Isn't it so that the more times we test resistance, the better chance to break through?

hmm dont know so much. only one thing is true, the longer consolidation goes on for, the sooner it has to stop  Grin that is true in bitcoin.

One could argue that the more times resistance rejects the price, the stronger it is. same is true for support.
1532  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 03:54:19 AM

sorry my mistake, it's $5-6 per day.



I think you missed the point entirely
1533  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 03:51:28 AM


this consolidation just keeps going on and contracing.

TERA. I sold at 750 and 630. I was really bearish then, so I dont know about that Hodl mentality.....
1534  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 03:20:39 AM

You believe that capitulation took place with 40k of volume?? lol

the volume over the two days of that wave adds up to more than 300k..... dont forget that capitulation doesn't happen just once. when the news that mattered came out, we went down to 2200 yuan.
1535  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 03:05:42 AM


despite all the news following the first hit, we have spent more time above the low of the first wave. The first wave is where the volume is at, that's where I believe capitulation took place.
1536  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 02:33:50 AM

No way.  600 is blocked by about 5 different resistances in the 1D, 3D, and 1W charts, and is also blocked by that diagonal line at 540. I don't know what makes you think there would suddenly be a surge to 600 from 455 based on a low volume breakout on daily charts. The breakout from 570 to 700 was backed by a reversal day with 120,000BTC of volume.

nobody expected the last one either..... and sorry, your TA is only a small edge, that I dont agree with. the market can very easily move $150 in a day. This is reversal territory, and the fundamentals are pushing up. bears can only pray that Huobi shuts down and quick.
1537  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 02:30:40 AM
You don't really have proof of how many people are 'hodling' and how many are dedicated to holding and aren't just waiting for their chance to get out.

they have had their chance.... they have had 3 months.

1538  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 02:23:03 AM




this is how it was on the night before 700 on stamp. the market can so easily surprise. if this bounces off 400, that's a strong bull signal and could go to 600 easily.

1539  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 02:02:41 AM
every time the market gets a risk off opportunity it rallies up. the fundamental forces are ripening. the price is not happy where it is now, it wants to be higher. each tragic news item has less and less effect on the market. we are now approximately at the low caused by the first news item (465). since then, even the worst news cant hold this market down for more than a couple of days.
This coming rally will likely be sustained and supported.

1540  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 01:24:10 AM
hmm, I wonder whats gonna happen when he gets to 0
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