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1681  Economy / Economics / Re: Unusual Situation as Russia’s Ruble bounces back as world best per fiat currency on: June 09, 2022, 07:24:49 PM
EDIT: Yes, Russia limited by law the amount of RUB to USD you can exchange: https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/03/08/ruble-dollar-exchange-barred/
This is a very old article from the beginning of March, the information in it is not up to date at the moment. Today, Putin canceled the mandatory sale of foreign exchange earnings for exporters, yesterday the Central Bank of Russia increased the export limit from $50,000 to $150,000. Russia is trying in every possible way to weaken the rapidly strengthening ruble, because it is unprofitable with a large positive trade balance. So far, it is not working out very well, apparently the Central Bank will again reduce the key rate in the near future.
1682  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 09, 2022, 07:08:39 PM
So they've been living in Ukraine for years, enlisted with Ukrainian military, but because they're British citizens they are sentenced to death instead being treated as prisoners of war like the rest?
Yep. I heard that Sean Pinner was declared a terrorist in the UK for participating in an armed conflict in Syria. I also heard that the captured Azov militants testified against him that he was a sniper. He himself, when surrendering, seems to have declared that he was a cook and instructor. In any case, this is a show trial to show the foreign mercenaries fighting in Ukraine that they will be treated as civilians and tried for war crimes with the strictest severity if they are surrendered.
1683  Other / Politics & Society / Re: [POV] War in Ukraine (I will answer your questions). on: June 09, 2022, 05:38:19 PM
Let's not forget Russia did not send Kamikaze passenger planes into these buildings, but rockets, which cause a totally different type of destruction.
The nature of the destruction from Russian sea- and air-launched missiles used in Ukraine is fairly well known. Most likely, the photographs show traces of destruction from downed Russian missiles, for which we must thank the Ukrainian missile defense system.
1684  Economy / Economics / Re: Who will Replace Russian Gas Supplies to Europe? on: June 09, 2022, 05:06:26 PM

The answer is extremely simple - a corrupt, corrupt, or mired in compromising evidence, European lobby like Merkel, Sarkozy and other Orbans. These are people who have made the most of their efforts to ensure that Russia gains a foothold in the European oil and gas market, and gas and oil have become, in fact, levers of influence on entire countries! And many continue to do so to this day. Honor, conscience, moral and ethical principles, universal values, for many European politicians - is an empty phrase. And they are even proud of the status of a Kremlin prostitute! I think that Britain did not just leave this "union"

You needlessly accuse the former political leaders of Germany and France of corruption, yet these are the leading countries of the European Union with developed democracies. Germany under Merkel was the economic leader and locomotive of the European Union, and Germany under Scholz is now like a worthless hysteria. No steel from Krivoy Rog, no cheap gas from Russia - and all the industrial power of Germany stopped and crumbled to dust. France was asked from Mali, and France now has problems with the supply of uranium for nuclear plants. Several nuclear power plants will have to be mothballed this year due to resource depletion. Europe is facing serious energy starvation in the near future. Cooperation with Russia for Europe is not only a matter of political preferences, but also a matter of well-being, and possibly a matter of survival.


Democracy, developed or not, hysterical or not - all this cannot deny corruption. Corruption did not appear under Scholz or Merkel. The historical connection between Germany and the USSR / RF has been very intertwined since the beginning of the 20th century. From the October Revolution, to the Hitler-Stalinist alliance and the unleashing of the Second World War by them - this was the beginning. Then, in the 20th century, the USSR, having both agents and a very "thick" collection of compromising evidence on high-ranking officials of the FRG and the GDR, continued the "game". Realizing that in the 60s of the 20th century, Germany became the leader of Europe, not to put her on a drug in the form of gas and oil would be an omission for the USSR, which always needed currency. And it is precisely the convenient contracts that give the status of almost a monopolist, and the strongest lobbying for the interests of the USSR and then the Russian Federation, that everything was built on bribery, and it is possible to intimidate those who were compromised. Tell me - was the prime minister of Gabon offered a place at the very top of Rosneft or Gazprom? Or maybe Spanish? Or Mongolian? No. To the one who, in fact, "planted" key European countries on Russian gas. There are a lot of materials about the corruption of the German top leadership. I really hope that Frau Merkel will go to trial and will be forced to testify. Well, if she suddenly does not die unexpectedly immediately after the announcement of suspicion to her, having gone on a "business trip to the Russian Federation" Smiley
And your answer perfectly demonstrates precisely the complete dependence of Germany on Russian resources. But ... Germany will have to go through the "breaking of a drug addict" in order to become a really independent Germany, and not be a hand-me-down Kremlin terrorist! Smiley
Where exactly are these materials, how can I get acquainted with them?

I'm tired of your baseless accusations. It would be nice if the Pope wrote from your account, but you are from Ukraine, and Ukraine has one of the highest levels of corruption in Europe, and maybe in the world. Therefore, your sweeping accusations to the right and to the left are like empty air shaking.
1685  Economy / Economics / Re: Who will Replace Russian Gas Supplies to Europe? on: June 09, 2022, 04:30:45 PM
The UN was unable to confirm Ukraine's accusations against Russia of stealing grain
1686  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 09, 2022, 03:52:43 PM
The Supreme Court of the DPR sentenced to death British citizens Sean Pinner and Aiden Aslin, as well as Moroccan Saadoun Brahim, who are accused of participating in hostilities as part of the Ukrainian armed formations as mercenaries.

Putin might have enough sway in Donetsk to convince them to commute the sentences to life.

Maybe if Zenensky and Bojo went to Putin, hat-in-hand, and asked Mr. Putin nicely he would see what he could do.  If Zenensky and Bojo don't care enough about their own nationals (and people who fought on their behalf in coke-head's case) to even try that simple thing then there will be that much more blood on their hands.

Seriously for a minute, I'm curious if there are strong indications that the trial was either fair or unfair on the part of the DPR.  A non-partisan analysis of what is know of the proceedings would be of interest if anyone (serious) runs across such a thing.
The verdict was passed, but has not entered into force and can be appealed within a month. As far as I know, the verdict was passed on the basis of the confessions of the accused and the testimony of the Azov militants who surrendered. For foreign mercenaries, a Ukrainian safari can be deadly. As I understand it, the line of defense was that these mercenaries served in the Armed Forces of Ukraine and should be considered combatants, but the line of defense did not work and they were tried as civilians for a criminal offense.
1687  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 09, 2022, 02:21:07 PM
The Supreme Court of the DPR sentenced to death British citizens Sean Pinner and Aiden Aslin, as well as Moroccan Saadoun Brahim, who are accused of participating in hostilities as part of the Ukrainian armed formations as mercenaries.
1688  Economy / Economics / Re: LMAO: India resells Russian oil to the European Union. on: June 08, 2022, 04:16:35 AM
Let's see how Russia will be able to sell about 3 million barrels that were going to Europe and its allies.
Through the Druzhba pipeline? Haven't you realized yet that the EU oil embargo is pure farce and bluff. Hungary did not join the embargo, Bulgaria, Slovakia and Croatia did, but with a number of reservations and delays. A large refinery in East Germany that produces aviation fuel for the whole of Europe is designed for heavy Russian oil, and it is easier to build a new plant than to reconfigure an old one. Europe has painted itself into a corner with populist statements by incompetent politicians, and now their voters will have to pay the price. Russia does not need to sell three million barrels to Europe when Europe is driving up oil prices through its actions. It is enough to sell two million and get the same money or even more.

False. The embargo is real. The oil bought by those countries is 10% of the total and does not make any difference. Hungary is as close as a country can get to being expelled from the EU for failing to follow the rule of law, implementing one state of exception after another. They are already excluded from the EU funds for those reasons. Let them buy from Adolf Putin, eventually they may only be able to buy from him.

There is no lack of refining capability in Europe, there is no lack of heavy crude oil in the world. Unfortunately, the RF citizens are going to have a though time in the next decade.

US and EU are avoiding what is called "secondary sanctions" to India and China, but India will pay a price for this eventually.
Do not accuse me of lying, if you are not able to confirm this with evidence and facts, with unfounded accusations you only discredit yourself and lose the status of an adequate interlocutor in the eyes of others. There is too much hypocrisy to consider the EU oil embargo real in a thread discussing India's resale of refined Russian oil to Europe lol.
1689  Economy / Economics / Re: World has just ten weeks' worth of wheat left after Ukraine war on: June 08, 2022, 04:09:15 AM
It is a chain reaction. In the long term, the price of olive oil can't remain at the same level as that of sunflower oil. As people start replacing sunflower oil with olive oil, the price for the latter would go up. Sunflower oil prices have already gone up by around 50%, and we can expect the olive oil prices to rise by a similar level. The equilibrium in the market is disrupted. And it will have an impact on all the commodifies, and not just on the commodities that are mostly sourced from Russia and Ukraine, such as wheat, sunflower oil, barley and oats.
Sunflower and olive oil are not interchangeable products, although in stores they often stand side by side on the next shelf. Refined sunflower oil is ideal for frying and is difficult, if not impossible, to replace here. There are many good and different options for salad dressing, but not for frying.
1690  Economy / Economics / Re: Who will Replace Russian Gas Supplies to Europe? on: June 07, 2022, 06:30:28 AM
There have been rumors and news about the possibility that Biden administration is willing to lift some sanctions so Venezuela can export oil to Europe.

https://www.businessinsider.com/oil-from-venezuela-to-help-replace-russian-crude-reuters-reports-2022-6

Now, this first step was taken so Venezuela can pay a debt with oil shipped to Europe, however, this may be the beginning of a deal between USA an Venezuela to supply even more energy to the old continent, in order to replace Russian gas.

This would result in a weird situation for Venezuela, since we have relatively close diplomatic relations with Russia and perhaps if this government (Nicolas Maduro) seeks blindly the profit and acceptance of USA, the Russia-Venezuela relations could result hurt.

Why don't these western idiots realize that even if Venezuela, Iran and all the GCC nations come onboard, still they won't be able to replace the output from Russia? And I am flabbergasted by this sudden love for countries such as Venezuela. If I am not wrong, the Americans seized a few tons of Venezuelan gold reserves some time back. Since the relations have now warmed up again, are they going to release those reserves? And maybe Biden administration will go up one step further and recognize Nicolás Maduro as the legitimate ruler of Venezuela?
The US interest in Venezuela and Iran is not accidental; their grade of oil is similar to the Russian grade of heavy oil. Some fuels, such as jet fuel and diesel, are made in refineries that need heavy oil for their processing cycle, and this oil cannot be replaced by light oil from the Middle East.
1691  Other / Politics & Society / Re: The Russia Taiwan Connection (speculation) on: June 07, 2022, 06:17:06 AM
Seems like a lot of people don't get what I was saying. The military might that the US is sending into the Ukraine is going to Russia as Russia gradually conquers. Any body who thinks that US leaders don't know this has to be pretty slow on the uptake.

So, why is the US giving its military wealth away to Russia? I suggest it is being done under secret agreement, that Russia will use much of it to antagonize China if China decides to attack Taiwan. This will take the Chinese focus off Taiwan.

The fact that the Ukraine is the method through which the transfers are made - Russia conquers more and more of the Ukraine on a regular basis, just to get the US armament that Ukraine has been given - is a ploy to hide the secret agreement from the eyes of the world... and particularly China.

Why doesn't the US simply threaten China directly rather than going through Russia? To many trade agreements with both China and Taiwan. Using Russia to protect Taiwan from China lets the US have its cake and eat it too.

Cool
Russia's only interest in Taiwan is semiconductors. Taiwan imposed sanctions on the supply to Russia, Russia restricted the export of inert gases, the Chinese Foreign Ministry recently made a statement that "Taiwan's attempts to create problems for Moscow are doomed to failure." From Russia's point of view, this is China's internal affair, so China will have to decide the Taiwan issue on its own, with Russia's tacit support and consent.
1692  Economy / Economics / Re: Who will Replace Russian Gas Supplies to Europe? on: June 07, 2022, 06:10:36 AM

The answer is extremely simple - a corrupt, corrupt, or mired in compromising evidence, European lobby like Merkel, Sarkozy and other Orbans. These are people who have made the most of their efforts to ensure that Russia gains a foothold in the European oil and gas market, and gas and oil have become, in fact, levers of influence on entire countries! And many continue to do so to this day. Honor, conscience, moral and ethical principles, universal values, for many European politicians - is an empty phrase. And they are even proud of the status of a Kremlin prostitute! I think that Britain did not just leave this "union"

You needlessly accuse the former political leaders of Germany and France of corruption, yet these are the leading countries of the European Union with developed democracies. Germany under Merkel was the economic leader and locomotive of the European Union, and Germany under Scholz is now like a worthless hysteria. No steel from Krivoy Rog, no cheap gas from Russia - and all the industrial power of Germany stopped and crumbled to dust. France was asked from Mali, and France now has problems with the supply of uranium for nuclear plants. Several nuclear power plants will have to be mothballed this year due to resource depletion. Europe is facing serious energy starvation in the near future. Cooperation with Russia for Europe is not only a matter of political preferences, but also a matter of well-being, and possibly a matter of survival.
1693  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 07, 2022, 05:39:13 AM
re: This is not to mention the regular shelling of residential areas of Donetsk by the Armed Forces of Ukraine
Ukrainian army shelled Russian positions in response to attacks on their positions.
Ukraine is methodically shelling the residential areas of Donetsk, where there are no Russian positions and there were just peaceful people living there. Even when Russia bombarded Kyiv with cruise missiles in response to the recent shelling of Donetsk, the factory workshops where tanks were being repaired were hit.

Methodically?  Jesus, you need to stop watching whatever you are watching. Donetsk does not know there is/was a war in Ukraine.

Have you seen pictures of Donetsk and Mariupol?

Which one looks like it was bombed?
What's wrong with Mariupol? Maybe release 2,500 Azov Nazis from captivity and award them with medals for military prowess? Ukraine would shell Donetsk on a larger scale if it could. But it can’t, because it doesn’t shoot from stationary positions, but in the run-shot-ran mode, because if you stand still for a long time, ten shells will fly in response to each projectile.

Cowardly killers, you can only fight civilians.

Ok, now I know you don't know much about what is happening in Ukraine.
I have been closely following the developments in Ukraine since the beginning of the operation. From the latest news - Svyatogorsk is taken.
1694  Economy / Economics / Re: Wheat War I is going to be World War III on: June 07, 2022, 02:42:40 AM

You are right, it depends on the country. I think Russia, by its actions in Ukraine, deserves to be taken seriously enough. The demonstration of combat use of the Kinzhal hypersonic missile at the beginning of the operation was quite impressive, the missile penetrated 60 meters of earth and several meters of reinforced concrete, and then exploded in an old Soviet bunker that was specially designed to withstand a direct hit from a nuclear missile. Nevertheless, the bunker was hit, albeit by a conventional non-nuclear warhead, and the missile defense systems worked after the target was hit. Russia has made very significant progress in offensive tactical and strategic nuclear weapons in recent years and the balance of power has now shifted in its favor. Hypersonic missiles Dagger, Zirkon and Sarmat with Avangard warheads allow Russia to unhinderedly launch a preventive nuclear strike anywhere on the planet, and its S-400 and S-500 missile defense systems give hope that this strike will go unpunished. In addition, Russia also has Poseidon unmanned underwater nuclear drones on combat duty, which are called the "Continent Killer". The US has squandered its technological lead by 20 years of chasing terrorists and now the world has a new sheriff.
Has anything happened yet? The whole world turned against Russia and it didn't affect Russia. However - now EU is in trouble because of oil and gas.
The sections are not going to have a single effect on the Russia - but dont you think whoever has done boycott with Russia is now in troublesome condition
I think the countries that imposed sanctions against Russia were counting on a completely different effect. Putin set a good example of political judo.
1695  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 06, 2022, 02:14:20 PM
re: This is not to mention the regular shelling of residential areas of Donetsk by the Armed Forces of Ukraine
Ukrainian army shelled Russian positions in response to attacks on their positions.
Ukraine is methodically shelling the residential areas of Donetsk, where there are no Russian positions and there were just peaceful people living there. Even when Russia bombarded Kyiv with cruise missiles in response to the recent shelling of Donetsk, the factory workshops where tanks were being repaired were hit.

Methodically?  Jesus, you need to stop watching whatever you are watching. Donetsk does not know there is/was a war in Ukraine.

Have you seen pictures of Donetsk and Mariupol?

Which one looks like it was bombed?
What's wrong with Mariupol? Maybe release 2,500 Azov Nazis from captivity and award them with medals for military prowess? Ukraine would shell Donetsk on a larger scale if it could. But it can’t, because it doesn’t shoot from stationary positions, but in the run-shot-ran mode, because if you stand still for a long time, ten shells will fly in response to each projectile.

Cowardly killers, you can only fight civilians.
1696  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 06, 2022, 01:46:49 PM
re: This is not to mention the regular shelling of residential areas of Donetsk by the Armed Forces of Ukraine
Ukrainian army shelled Russian positions in response to attacks on their positions.
Ukraine is methodically shelling the residential areas of Donetsk, where there are no Russian positions and there were just peaceful people living there. Even when Russia bombarded Kyiv with cruise missiles in response to the recent shelling of Donetsk, the factory workshops where tanks were being repaired were hit.
It is time for you to go home.
I'm home. And you're in no position to tell me what to do.
1697  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 06, 2022, 01:08:36 PM
As for this current war, other than just a land grab I see no other justification. Historical revisionism at its best. All the talk about NATO expansion, 'denazification', 'demilitarization', and 'genocide of the Russian peoples' are just empty propaganda points.

This war started with the aggression, occupation, and annexation of Crimea in Feb 2014. Followed up by the Russian invasion of Donbas in March 2014.

Putin sells this war as a defensive war against the 'Russian peoples' but it is a war of conquest, plain and simple. There were no Russian people in Ukraine before 2014.

Just because someone speaks Russian as their first language, it does not make him Russian. Many Canadians speak North American English
but are not Americans, or speak French, yet are not French, they are Canadians.  The same goes for Russian-speaking Ukrainians. They are Ukrainians. Many became Russians, no doubt. But to bomb and level the country? How nuts does someone has to be?

Nazism or more precisely imperialism 101. I think Russia poke the wrong wolverine. They will have their ass handed to them.
Sooner or later. It will be 100 times worse for them than Afghanistan and in the end, they will go home empty-handed.
I note that Ukraine itself is actively pushing Russian-speaking Ukrainians to become Russian. Ukraine stopped paying pensions to residents of Donbass, Ukraine cut off water to residents of Crimea after the referendum, Ukraine turned off the Internet and cellular communications for residents of the Kherson region, etc. Imagine that your mobile phone has stopped working and now you need a Russian SIM card, which can only be obtained with a Russian passport, which is issued according to a simplified scheme right next to a mobile phone shop. Of course, many of the townsfolk in such circumstances made their choice in favor of Russia and I cannot blame them for their lack of patriotism. This is not to mention the regular shelling of residential areas of Donetsk by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which does not climb into any gates. If Russian-speaking Ukrainians live there, why the fuck are you shooting at them?
1698  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 06, 2022, 12:33:52 PM
BTW, I'm a bit confused by wheat shortage...Ukraine is producing
24 out of 750 million tonnes of world production...that is around 3%...
how can such tiny number have such big influence on price
By itself, this figure is within the limits of natural fluctuations from year to year. But it looks like 2022 has decided to compete for the title of the year of the perfect storm, because in France there is a two-month drought, in India there is a drought and abnormal heat, and Russia expects a record harvest, but prudently limited the export of wheat to unfriendly countries. As a result, the Ukrainian three percent has increased to double digits and this is already causing serious concern on a global scale. Especially when you consider that wheat is not only spaghetti and bread, but also the basis for animal feed.

Well, the human factor has not been canceled, let me remind you that the oil crisis in the 70s of the last century was caused by a real decrease in oil supplies from the Middle East by only 7%, and the rest was done by expectations and fears.

The main thing is not to lose heart. Poland's deputy climate minister is advising Poles to gather firewood in the forest to keep their homes warm in the winter amid rising fuel prices.
1699  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 06, 2022, 08:55:59 AM
I am saying that I consider the treaty signed under threats and it was never fully followed by ANYONE.
Now it doesn't matter, forget about the Minsk agreements, they have lost their relevance. There are two types of people, some in a difficult situation ask "What to do?", while others ask "Who is to blame?". I urge you not to engage in fruitless searches on whom to blame for what happened, this is an infantile position in life. It is wiser and more productive to actively look for a way out of the current situation, and not the reasons for getting into it. It will take about the same amount of force, but the result will be significantly different. Now Ukraine is facing an incredibly difficult challenge associated with the complete loss of its statehood - that's what you should focus on! Otherwise, there will be no Ukraine soon, as it did not exist before 1917.
1700  Economy / Economics / Re: Wheat War I is going to be World War III on: June 06, 2022, 08:24:36 AM
and therefore nuclear weapons are only a deterrent, like a loaded gun that hangs on the wall but will never fire.
It actually depends on the country. There are cases that such WMDs are completely useless.
For example Pakistan has nuclear weapons but nobody takes them seriously. US just toppled their government and over the past 2 decades has been invading their territories even bombed some places when they were occupying Afghanistan. Or Israel is a terrorist regime that has a lot of nuclear warheads and nobody gives a shit since the land they occupy is already surrounded by armed forces, so essentially they would have to detonate the warheads inside their silos due to the close proximity which is impossible!
You are right, it depends on the country. I think Russia, by its actions in Ukraine, deserves to be taken seriously enough. The demonstration of combat use of the Kinzhal hypersonic missile at the beginning of the operation was quite impressive, the missile penetrated 60 meters of earth and several meters of reinforced concrete, and then exploded in an old Soviet bunker that was specially designed to withstand a direct hit from a nuclear missile. Nevertheless, the bunker was hit, albeit by a conventional non-nuclear warhead, and the missile defense systems worked after the target was hit. Russia has made very significant progress in offensive tactical and strategic nuclear weapons in recent years and the balance of power has now shifted in its favor. Hypersonic missiles Dagger, Zirkon and Sarmat with Avangard warheads allow Russia to unhinderedly launch a preventive nuclear strike anywhere on the planet, and its S-400 and S-500 missile defense systems give hope that this strike will go unpunished. In addition, Russia also has Poseidon unmanned underwater nuclear drones on combat duty, which are called the "Continent Killer". The US has squandered its technological lead by 20 years of chasing terrorists and now the world has a new sheriff.
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