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Stioll waiting for launch
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It seems that Ukraine has stopped in a quite expedite and violent way the Ruzzian attempt to attack the Krinki bridgehead on the east bank of the dnipro. One could say that the drone operators of Ukraine basically "work from home". The degree of surveillance and potential to destroy anything in 20 km of Kherson is astonishing - nothing moves without Ukraine knowing. The only exception is the air launched heavy bombs, which are inaccurate but in large quantities so occasionally they hit something of value.
Other bits of the front have also some good news, but it changes from day to day, .... stalemate.#
Oh, Be.open you are going to like the price levels in your country... 6% inflation, 3% growth... If you cannot do the math I will for you: Ruzzia is effectively shrinking a 3%.
Ya, indeed https://www.newsweek.com/ukraine-dnieper-kherson-river-1851143"The Odesa outlet Dumskaya described the operation to maintain the bridgehead as resulting in large losses for little achievable purpose. "Marines cross the river and most are killed as they approach the shore," it said. "There is no talk of any further breakthrough; now the forces are being wasted simply on staying there. For what?" It called for the Ukrainian command "to curtail this operation," which was going to be linked with the offensive in the Zaporozhzhia region which has already ended." BTW, how is Russia growth compared with UK 0.5% growth and 6% inflation, is that better than Russia? https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/september2023#:~:text=The%20core%20CPIH%20annual%20inflation,in%20the%20constructed%20historical%20series. |
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155mm is not "depleted worldwide", only the excess stocks have been sent to Ukraine, while most countries keep their strategic stock pretty much intact. The US has not passed to Ukraine anything they cannot spare without hindering their ability to wage two significant wars. South Korea has stocks of unknown depth. Perhaps only Europe is doing more of an effort. But worry not, US has ramped up production so they can spare even more. https://www.defensenews.com/digital-show-dailies/2023/03/28/us-army-eyes-six-fold-production-boost-of-155mm-shells-used-in-ukraine/The Army is spending $1.45 billion on capacity “to expand 155mm artillery production from 14,000 a month to over 24,000 later this year,” and 85,000 in five years, ... 24.000 a month is a good target. High intensity and now sustainable effort. Yep, there is a dip for sure. Just follow URAL oil, not the general commodity chart. https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/urals-oilSometimes, unintentionally, even politicians say the truth https://nypost.com/2023/07/09/biden-lets-slip-during-interview-us-low-on-artillery-ammunition-rounds-as-it-tries-to-aid-ukraine/...and, you reposted my link to prove I'm wrong? On both your and mine (same) link current price is $56, not $50, and last time it was $80 was 2 months ago, not yesterday as you suggested |
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The result depends on the degree of support. Ukraine has proven more resilient than expected, Europe an US more willing to confront, Ruzzia less powerful than could be expected... so this is a situation can be broken by sending a proper yearly long aid package. As of now, Ukrainians have done a lot with a very limited supply of weapons and limits to their use.
In the end, it depends on how good of ally is US going to be and, to be honest, how smart they are about their own stance in the world if they choose to step back.
Something really strange occurred today with the price of Ural Oil. from 80 to 50 US per barrel.
So limited that it depleted 155mm rounds worldwide, while many countries will need years to replenish ATGMs Urals oil is at $56 and it was nowhere near $80 for a while https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/urals-oiljust following global oil market https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil |
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Except Paxmao and few Ukrainian bots here, even Ukrainians see the truth https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/articles/2023/12/7/7431958/"I’d even go so far as to say that this isn’t even a stalemate on the chessboard now: we’re on the point of losing the war. I believe that our people are mature enough to be told the truth. And this truth needs to come from the Supreme Commander-in-Chief." Ukrainian telegram channel https://t.me/legitimniy/16817"Everyone realized that now Ukraine cannot win. The offensives have failed, equipment reserves have thinned out, the shortage of ammunition has worsened, public disappointment is off the charts, and no one wants to fight. Now the populists from the Office of the President are realizing that it is necessary to pump up the defense case, but it will be difficult to package this into “victory,” but they are trying, promising people fairy tales again. But everyone soberly understands that from the risk point of view, Ukraine’s future looks like this: - gradual loss of territories - gradual collapse of defense - increased internal squabbling - financial crisis - social crisis - disappointment - banking crisis - energy and fuel crisis - bankruptcy of many farmers, carriers, etc. - poverty - increase in mortality - increased repression as Zelensky tries to retain power The list goes on, but there is nothing good. Zelensky chose slow and painful death/collapse/chaos for Ukraine. But he could have changed the course of events many times and prevented literally everything that the Ukrainians are now reaping. " |
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Something peculiar is happening with the SUs airplanes lately. There is no official confirmation of what is happening or if there is a new system in place or an improvement of an existing system or perhaps a SAM battery placed near the frontline, but it seems that Ruzzia is losing planes beyond what you may expect by the usual trends. There may be something out there that has not been officially been "transferred to Ukraine".
Are you having mental wet dreams again? This is doubly funny, considering that Ukraine literally lost half of its combat aircraft fleet in just a couple of months (after Russia successfully modernized its radar reconnaissance aircraft), and the issue of transferring F16 fighters to Ukraine was put on pause after the victory in the Netherlands of the far-right opponent of military aid to Ukraine. How are the crossings of the Dnieper going? Do the Ukrainian marines feel good at the Krynki bridgehead?  It seems Ukrainians are remaking Gallipoli there https://youtu.be/UclsBepOfm4?t=205 |
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Meanwhile today in Moscow who one of the most nasty Z-person, traitor of Ukriane Ilya Kiva was eliminated: https://www.ft.com/content/834e90a5-6ae0-4839-b184-2c7c5e22ced0Previously he was member of Ukraine's Rada, but after start of invasion he run away to Russia where he actively supported war in Ukraine and become frequent guest on propaganda shows. Interesting moment that in 2014 he was active participant of Maidan, become member of nationalist Right Sector, but later he changed views to pro- Russian. What a chameleon. Quite ironical that Kiva in his last post on Telegram today posted that best option for Zelensky now is suicide, well, that didn't aged well: https://t.me/The_Kyva/6381This SBU operation shows that traitors can't feel safe even far away in Moscow. FSB killed him, because Zelensky is too valuable to Russia |
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Germany sent
14 Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine
88 Leopard 1 tanks to Ukraine
“14” - Words is a reference to the white supremacist slogan: "We must secure the existence of our people and a future for white children”
“88” - is the NeoNazi numerical code for “Heil Hitler”
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USA tried to replace Russian sphere of influence by destroying Russian one, employing nazis
to do that for them. So Russians battle it by fighting Nazis and protecting Russians
replacing a language is part of changing the spheres of influence
[...]
Why wouldn't the west sponsor neo-nazis to fight against Russia once again?
LOL you've been massively lied to about the purposes of the "special operation" but you're fine with that because it was never about "nazis" or anything... just some good old genocidal Russian imperialism that you adore so much. I'm just not quite sure why you're shy to parrot all of the Kremlin propagandist stuff, not just select bits. You're skipping the parts about nuking Berlin and London and all that shit, as if you don't really believe it perhaps, yet all the things about "nazis" must be absolutely true. No cognitive dissonance? I don't understand the reason for your cognitive dissonance. There are subjective countries in the world and objects of their influence. Russia is a subjective country, Ukraine is an object of its influence. Ukraine does not have actual sovereignty, even if it has all the formal characteristics of a sovereign state. If this is news or revelation to you, then you don’t understand anything about politics. Even under your imperialistic and simplistic view of the world, it seems that Ukraine has decided they have a say on whose influence they are better of with. Even a "subject" seems to be able to choose the "whateverf**k" that fits best. I am not sure what you call "actual sovereignty", Ukraine is a recognised independent nation and as any country has to live with a range of influences - no country is free to do at will, not even the US, they are all subject to conditions, influences and relations. By now, they have figured out that Moscow would treat them like they treat the rest of the "subjects" - impoverishing them, sending them to die and letting them to deal with the local despot. They want to try something different. That is very simplistic view...since nation is sociological and not biological fact, its subject to influence and change Fact is that currently USA can fight with $$$ and Russia has to use weapons...but thats subject to change too, in next few decades, or, why not, centuries |
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USA tried to replace Russian sphere of influence by destroying Russian one, employing nazis
to do that for them. So Russians battle it by fighting Nazis and protecting Russians
replacing a language is part of changing the spheres of influence
[...]
Why wouldn't the west sponsor neo-nazis to fight against Russia once again?
LOL you've been massively lied to about the purposes of the "special operation" but you're fine with that because it was never about "nazis" or anything... just some good old genocidal Russian imperialism that you adore so much. I'm just not quite sure why you're shy to parrot all of the Kremlin propagandist stuff, not just select bits. You're skipping the parts about nuking Berlin and London and all that shit, as if you don't really believe it perhaps, yet all the things about "nazis" must be absolutely true. No cognitive dissonance? Its not "Kremlin propagandist stuff", western media called them nazis too...before they stopped for propaganda purposes https://www.reuters.com/article/us-cohen-ukraine-commentary-idUSKBN1GV2TY/https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=5SBo0akeDMYhttps://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/E-8-2015-000653_EN.html |
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What happened to "protecting" Russian language in Ukraine, and "nazis"?
Synonyms USA tried to replace Russian sphere of influence by destroying Russian one, employing nazis to do that for them. So Russians battle it by fighting Nazis and protecting Russians |
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Lets see what Germans say, then
[link to propaganda removed]
Because the Germans speak with one voice, and you just happen to have found the guy who speaks for them? And it happens that the origin of the comment is a Norwegian guy, involved in propaganda activities from Ruzzia. I any case, again, irrelevant, the deal was a bogus, it imposed conditions on western democracies and it would only last until Putin felt like taking more land. Economically, Putin should fail. If the US citizens are convinced that they should "do nothing" then is likely Ruzzia will have some type of success. Europe is one of the few allies of the US in the world, if US fails to support the price to pay would be felt for generations. Ok, here's another Norwegian for you: https://www.politico.eu/article/nato-boss-jens-stoltenberg-warns-of-bad-news-from-ukraine/ |
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You need to learn to summarize. Putin demand was that Ukraine would not join NATO and Ruzzia would keep the illegally acquired territory - something difficult to see as a "win-win". And on top of that he also wants to impose conditions on NATO and the European countries. That's not a plan is a threat.
What is another obvious problem with this "plan"? There is nothing preventing Putin for annexing more land at will. The "West" cannot provide guarantees to a country that is effectively prevented from having the means to defend itself and from getting the protection of an alliance.
What type of deal is that then? What would prevent Putin from toppling the government of Ukraine at will or take new territories? Again, not a plan but a threat -"do as I say or else it will be worse"
The answer is "since Ukraine has to either fight or be under Moscow control, we fight and we s do it ASAP". Sorry if this was not the answer Putin was expecting, sorry if he thought the European Union would not help, US not get involved and the Ukrainians not willing to fight. A head of state that makes such as errors in judgement should not be in charge of a country. Well... except Ruzzia.
It does not resist even the most elementary analysis.
Even Ukrainians see it more clear now than you do "Ukrainian telegram channel Ze Rada: "Hero of Russia Boris Johnson. It was Boris Johnson who convinced Kiev to withdraw from all negotiations on June 20, 2022. At the moment when the Russian Federation made a critical mistake, deciding that a police operation (now the beginning of the SMO is assessed in this way) could persuade Kiev to compromise, at the moment of weakness of the elites, ready to record a historical defeat by signing the “Shameful World 2.0”, the “shaggy one” came to the rescue. A man who held a position in which the fight against Russia never stops. When it seemed: “that’s it record the actual defeat of Russia, write textbooks about it, create a movie, blow up the country from the inside with “patriots,” but Boris decided that the main thing was not to lose his place in London intrigues, and to please his personal desire to remain in chair, convinced the second such tyrant to “put the squeeze” on Russia. And Russia resisted, as it has resisted many times in history. People suddenly returned from African missions who knew how to fight in a new way, specific instructions came down from above, and a new paradigm was explained to the elites. The opposition left on its own, purges of generals and officials began, billions were invested in the military-industrial complex. Russia showed exactly that “long will” that Arestovich spoke about: slowly and ponderously, with mistakes and obstacles, but they began to change the country. And then Xi arrived and said: “We’ll stand a little behind and won’t let you fall.” 90% of the sanctioned goods went through the PRC, increasing the production of drones, Shaheds arrived from Iran, a million shells arrived from the DPRK, but that was all later, and at the most difficult moment, Boris was the first to help Russia. And you called Trump an agent of Russia..." |
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I have not yet seen a video from the Ruzzies depicting something like the sea of rusted steel near Avdiivka. Not even the disasters at Vulheldar last year.
RE meatwaves attacks, I have recently seen a document on how Wagner threw the convicts in front. They had the worst equipment, but also were without radio. There was no way they could communicate that they were being hit by friendly fire or retreating. They would not know where the second line was. Thus, any retreat would mean that they would be fired upon by their own (I guess they did not really have "their own").
On this attack the Ukrainians would fire upon them and reveal the positions. Then mortar and artillery fire would be used in the general direction of this positions. Logically, the first line of Ruzzis was very close, so they were as likely to die as the Ukrainians, perhaps more since they were not digged in.
That's Bhakmut, but now the regular army is trying the same technique, but the problem seems to be that at least Wagner had good instructors and good morale in the contractors. The regulars don't, so they just loose the front troops and achieve nothing.
Look, this technique is not that uncommon, the armies use screeners and in the musket age, they had the skirmishers to "protect the main body of the troops" by putting themselves in the middle.
You got it all wrong about who won Bakhmut battle And recent reveal about 1.1m dead Ukrainian soldiers also tells who had upper hand all this time https://9gag.com/gag/amAZB2j |
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About "meat grinder attacks" and which side employ such tactic: https://twitter.com/Gulag2030/status/1729375445383049720Theres literally hundreds of those videos from both sides
Thank you captain obvious for telling obvious thing. There is lot of videos of drones hitting tanks, cars or troops straight line into dugouts, but I haven't see video of such level of precision. Offcourse, probably you would be more impressed if such video would be from Russian side. |
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So what does your theory say about loss of power if we follow your thought?
That one drone that went through hit the worst spot possible? |
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 Meanwhile, the Ruzzi offensive is starting to look ridiculous. Meat assaults one after another for no gain, no strategy seems to work...They just keep shelling mostly randomly civilian locations that add nothing to war. My guess this is just pure frustration as they have been sold they were a great army and they can actually be stopped by a much smaller force. BTW, much less missile intensity than last year. I am not sure be.open is telling us the truth about how great things are going in Ruzzia. Edited to add: Strange new Ruzzi-tank loooking trees growing in Avdiivka every day. Must be climate change. https://t.me/marmuletik_life/17491Actually, instead of 7 dead Ukrainians for every dead Russian, at battle for Avdeevka its already 15 dead Ukrainians for every Russian...but keep dreaming about "meat assaults", shovel fighting and chips from dishwashers, lol |
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This is a well know republican comparing Putin with Hitler. https://youtu.be/AEmGLZ95iUc?t=536He must have read my old posts saying exactly the same: first taking the power, destroying the institutions, removing any opposition, brainwashing the population, attacking for the "unification of the Ruzzians", pan-slavic style, then justifying the murdering of civil population, ... I mean, the comparison is there, it only fails in the fact that this was totally unmotivated by the economy and the treaties of WW I. That is actually well known Russophobic clown If you say so... I mean, he is quite a high ranking Republican, you know, the people you are trusting to stop helping Ukraine? Is not like a blogger or those "sources" you drop here from time to time. Russophobia, well that seems to be the go-to word for anything that is not favourable to Putin. Like when you shell the Ukrainian people you call them Nazis... etc. So that you do not have to really have any argument or reason. Edited to add: Have you seen the fireworks in the Saki powerplant in Crimea? https://t.me/Crimeanwind/48319The soldiers or the missile forces that were celebrating in Kumachove cannot see them. The 300 of them have been hit by a HIMARS strike. Have you seen new Russian drones? https://youtu.be/siLgXa44b60https://t.me/militarysummary/5385 |
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