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201  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 26, 2013, 08:39:41 PM
If you haven't already contacted your attorney general and FTC going for a lawsuit is just stupid.  A lawsuit likely means a partial recovery (and a guaranteed loss) many months from now.  The FTC or attorney generals office could work with you to get a refund much sooner.

Take the easy route before the hard route. 

Quite a few people reported having done so. That will only get you a refund.
I think some people want to take it a step further and punish BFL via the courts.
202  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 26, 2013, 08:34:33 PM
A pre-order is an order placed for an item which has not yet been released.  Everything since is an order and won't be shipped until the pre-orders are taken care of.  The only way YOUR version makes sense is if I word it "wont be shipped until the pre-order BACKLOG is taken care of"  No need to "change the rules" you already stated it above, which I highlighted.  Placed to order = not pre-ordered.  Feel free to contradict yourself.
Simple solution. Don't post in the thread titled "BF Labs Inc. WILL process ALL backlogs by September 30, 2013!" where this whole conversation got started. If you only want to talk about orders before April 5th...

Now, by using YOUR DEFINITION, I could place an order on Sept 29th, and when they did not ship it on Sept 30 I could scream and yell and holler that they did not meet their stated aim of shipping their backlog.  Sorry, it does not hold water.  To estimate clearing ANYTHING you have to have a set figure.  If you are constantly adding to this figure, the time will therefore increase as well.  You are now claiming BFL can see into the future to know what orders will be placed and KNOW they can satisfy it.  Typical troll.
New orders would not change the fact that they cleared their backlog, it would just create a second backlog. If at any time they shipped all outstanding orders, the backlog is cleared. Plus they would ship your order Sept. 30 if they had cleared their backlog. They would actually have inventory of assembled units. They could have same day turnaround just as real companies such as Newegg.com. 

Whoa, I need wikipedia here.... The twenty-foot equivalent unit (often TEU or teu) is an inexact unit of cargo capacity often used to describe the capacity of container ships and container terminals.  There is a lack of standardisation in regards to height, ranging between 4 feet 3 inches (1.30 m) and 9 feet 6 inches (2.90 m), with the most common height being 8 feet 6 inches (2.59 m)... AMAZING! 20' long, 8' wide and 4'3" to 9'6" tall.  680 to 1520 CUBIC FEET.  Quite a range there bud.  That'd hold 1360 to 3040 of the large .5 cubic foot USPS flat rate packages measureing 12 by 12 by 5 1/2.  Yea, I see a HUGE need for those TEUs.
A TEU is just a unit of shipping. Also, if you have 300 boxes, you need to put them on pallets otherwise they would roll around inside the truck and they couldn't efficiently move them around. The point is, they would need a large truck instead of the normal little USPS trucks you see arriving in the pics. Maybe they only took pictures on small shipping days. However, they were bragging about how big the piles were. Also, the guy who posted the pics left the company and there haven't been any pictures posted since. Sad

When were these pictures taken?  For 2 months only Jalapenos left the building, would really need that container for those!  And gee, the post office would NEVER think to change the vehicle size they pick up with if the orders started ramping up, that'd be silly!  Let's make 10 trips!  And of course EVERYTHING is shipped by USPS as well!  Why use Fed-Ex and UPS and DHL like the customers want for their expedited shipping?  That'd make WAY too much sense.
Not my fault BFL uses USPS. Jalapenos are the smallest boxes. Obviously, 300 singles would take up more space and require even more space in trucks.

You are looking a bad data and making assupmtions.  That 15.5 Jalapenos a day average could be well over 100-150, we'll never know.  The lowet Jan. Jala order is 15742 and the highest is 18379.  83 Jalapenos from 68 orders.  All told, 182 orders spread over 2600 order numbers.  Using the minimum they shipped 21 a day since Jan was cleared in 4 days.
My point was to use how fast BFL claims they can ship to demonstrate we can estimate the size of their backlog.

Keep chanting your mantra, <Oooom... long con... Ooooom>.  You refuse to acknowledge anything but your limited point of view, even though you are wrong. 
I have acknowledged everything almost you have posted (some of the more vapid stuff I just reply with a PSA).
It seems that you are just here to derail threads for your lord and master Inaba. Exhibit A, you didn't even post this response in the thread it belongs in:
BF Labs Inc. WILL process ALL backlogs by September 30, 2013!
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=268055.0

Did you get lost? Derailing so many threads you can't keep track anymore?
203  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 26, 2013, 08:17:00 PM
I have to wonder about how much time BFL_Josh/Inaba is spending in this thread. Is he trying to bury something? Is he afraid of being sued?
I also notice BFL_Josh/Inaba is still dodging this statement he made. I am sure his lawyers told him never to speak of it again.

When is the Jalapeno getting FCC approval?

Maybe two weeks? We are waiting for the test lab to issue the test report.

With the bump in power requirements on the MR and the new screen, we had to make changes, although the new screen is already certified.  We are doing all the devices at once, since they all share the same board.

Of course, that "Jalapeno" could not have existed (nor the other devices) because as we found out later the chips had not reached BFL from the fab until Feb 2013. When they did, there were major issues with heat and power and their first board design did not work. The issues were so serious in fact that they could not use the original Jalapeno form factor. They had to put them in the singles cases.

That is the material misstatement that BFL made about the status of their product. Anyone who wants to demonstrate civil fraud charges can add that statement to their evidence list.

And the thread is back on track.
204  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BF Labs Inc. WILL process ALL backlogs by September 30, 2013! on: August 26, 2013, 05:36:47 PM
Counted a few hours of Josh in these forums firefighting posts from people who think BFL is a joke... doesn't he have to get out orders? What the hell is he doing here? They need to fire his ass and replace him.

Pre-orders are the life blood of BFL. If they don't derail threads, they run the risk of word getting out.
205  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: YES, you can get a REFUND from BFL on: August 26, 2013, 05:30:39 PM
If you have ordered from ButterFly Labs and have not yet received your product, you are entitled to a refund whenever you request one (per FTC rules).
First ask ButterFly Labs for a refund, they will probably say no but you might get lucky.
If you ordered via PayPal you can file a complaint with them even if you are outside the 45 day window. Multiple customers have already gotten a refund from PayPal that was outside the 45 days.
If you ordered via Bitcoin or Bank wire, you can fill out a complaint with the FTC at  http://www.ftc.gov/complaint and they will advocate for you with ButterFly Labs to get your refund. You can also contact the office of the Kansas Attorney General and inform them that you have had your money taken with no product delivered for months, just more promises.
You can also do a paper filing with the DA here: http://da.jocogov.org/complaint-forms

There are also several threads on how to get a refund from ButterFly Labs, here are two:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=266945.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=272585.0
206  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 26, 2013, 05:29:22 PM
I just got a reply from BFL:

Quote
Peter,

We estimate the bulk of the pre-orders will be shipped by the end of September. We are not granting refunds at this time. That is all I am able to share with you at this time.

Regards,
name (censored)
BF Labs, Inc.

What a bullshit. They spent four months producing two weeks worth of orders. Now they somehow magically do 25-times more orders in just one month, e.g. 1/4th of the time? That would be possible only if the units are already produced, but instead of being shipped, has been hashing secretly for someone else.
Common sense would dictate sheer volume of orders once they opened it up.  But unfortunately, common sense is not common on this forum.  The hashing argument is one of the old standbys, debunked time and again, yet it still rears it's ugly head.  Listen to K9 sometime...  BFL is DAMN LUCKY to have 80TH on the network, and counting 150TH of Avalon chips he admits "Right now, all that I am aware of is the chips supposedly left Yifu's hands but never arrived in the customers".  But that 150TH drops BFL down to like 30TH on the network.  So by k9's theories alone you are mistaken about BFL hashing with customer rigs.

Oh look, you are spreading lies again. Quoted for posterity.
There were 97 Avalon chip batches of 10,000 chips each that was posted in a spreadsheet. That is roughly 300TH. The official story is:
While we have send out some chip orders, there is currently ~200k chips stuck in custom right at this moment for about 2 weeks now, this matter is very painful for us and our customers.
That is only 22% of their chip orderbook. They were still shipping out chip orders as of 8/19. Orders destined for addresses inside China would not require customs, so those chips have had 1.5 months to get onto boards and into the hash rate.

207  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL upgrade now offered on 5ghz orders.(screenshot) YES, IT'S BACK!! on: August 26, 2013, 05:18:25 PM
How them old upgrades going?

Try the new upgrades yet?
-another 1000 for trolling ancient posts.

People like to check back to see if predictions and speculations held true.
208  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 26, 2013, 05:15:41 PM
<intentional troll bait deleted>

I have been doing math. Math which shows that either your 7PH/s orderbook stance is wrong, or BFL can't ship by the end of Sept 30th. Both cannot be true, because by BFL's own admission they can only ship maximum of 300 units a day.

So you take the data you have from http://bfl.ptz.ro/. You don't like it so you double it. That is not far enough from 80TH/s (which was the last number calculated for BFL shipments using a method that made sense), so you want to triple it. You feel like you might be pushing things so you decide not to quadruple it. Nice method. Very MIT chic.

After we put to bed the 7 Peta/Hash per second BFL order book prediction you made. We can focus on adding up the hash rate of the other ASIC players and seeing what is left. Until you can agree to the old math or point out where it is flawed, it is pointless to move on. You will just continue to claim 2+2=5 and play fast and loose about your own statements (which I will have to continue to post here to "refresh" your memory).
7PH 7PH 7PH 7PH 7PH 7PH... damn, that troll record is still stuck.  <--- fast and dirty estimate.  nothing else.   untill you accept this fact you are just more troll bait.
I know it is a fast and dirty estimate. I have been demonstrating that either the estimate is not accurate or BFL is lying about their ability to clear the backlog by Sept. 30th. Nothing in my posts is intentional troll bait. Until you either say that the 7 PH/s estimate is not accurate, or say that it is accurate but BFL can't ship we cannot move on  Since you cannot seem to stay on this subject, lets make 3 simple questions for you to answer:

Were there 7PH/s of BFL orders in your estimation?
Were there 70,000 orders in your estimation?
Were there 100,000 devices ordered in your estimation?

Pre order not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog... Preorder not backlog...

You're record is stuck and now so is mine.  You are using TOTAL POTENTIAL ORDERBOOK vice pre-order fact.

Now, do I believe there POSSIBLY COULD have been 7PH ordered? yes.
Do I believe there POSSIBLY COULD have been 70,000 potential orders? yes.
Do I believe there POSSIBLY COULD have been over 100,000 devices ordered? yes.
With all of the cancellations and refunds, do I still believe the above POSSIBLE ESTIMATES to be 100% valid? no.

Since the POTENTIAL 100k units ordered have been decimated by cancellations and refunds, your continued harping is still trolling.

Since the Backlog is only the preorders up until April 5th when the price changed, I do believe they have a fair shot of completing pre-orders by Sept 30.

Ok, you finally answered the questions. See how easy that was, now we can discuss your answers. Next time, don't give 47 posts of evading the questions and you won't get a broken record.

The backlog includes every order up to the current minute.
backlog: 1. an accumulation of something, esp. uncompleted work or matters that need to be dealt with.
BFL said they could clear the backlog so they could then ship units to order.
If you want to change the rules, just change it so pre-orders were only orders before October 12th 2012. That way you are more certain to win.

It looks like you are saying you really have no idea how many orders BFL has. Good, we can stop talking about that purile nonsense of 70,000 orders of BFL backlog.

The closer we get to Sept 30th, the more we know about the size of BFL's backlog. BFL's cap on production per day is 300 units (if you believe them). There are 26 work days between now and Sept 30th. That says they can ship a maximum of 7800 devices between now and then. Using the 1.5 devices per order average from http://bfl.ptz.ro/ that says on average at their highest production rate for 26 days the ceiling on filled orders is 5200. They could work weekends too. That would add another 2400 devices which would increase their fulfillment to 6800 orders. That is pretty much the ceiling of what they can accomplish.

Reality is going to be a good deal lower than 300 units a day. There is no evidence that they have ever done 300 units a day. In fact when we have seen pictures of  stacks of BFL boxes going into USPS trucks, there has never been more than 60 boxes. Also, the size of the USPS trucks (also visible in the pics) that show up couldn't fit more than 60 boxes inside. You would need a 1 TEU container to hold 300 boxes, so those should have been showing up daily. Each USPS box has roughly 1.5 to 2 cubic feet of space in it. 1 standard TEU has 1,360 cubic feet in it. So they would need 300 to 450 cubic feet and they would need to be on shipping pallets (so they don't jumble around and break). That would probably fit in 1 TEU, but definitely not in the small size trucks.

Even if I give them the benefit of the doubt and say that BFL could ship 150 units a day for the next 34 days straight, that means they will fill roughly 3400 orders. If that makes up 80% of their order book (20% already shipped). Then there were roughly 4200 orders total to begin with (8400 if we use the less likely 300 units a day). That is the ballbark we are dealing with if BFL can actually ship their backlog by Sept 30th.

Of course, if they weasel out of that and there are still thousands of orders in a backlog after Sept 30, I won't be surprised.
209  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: YES, you can get a REFUND from BFL on: August 26, 2013, 04:26:41 PM
This is what I love most.  Start-up after start-up fails yet people cling to the next new thing out there and denounce everything else.  Everybody uses the LONG CON example on BFL.  Ok, so maybe they are a long con, does that make every other company legit?  

No, but BFL has been giving new schedules and then failing to meet them for months on end now. Also, they are insulting and dismissive of any and all complaints. Those are two very serious red flags for scams, so many people think BFL is a scam.

The 100TH/s mining pool delay was due to their boards that they designed having issues, not Bitfury chips having issues. There are several deployments of Bitfury that are successful.
Avalon has failed to get their chips into the hands of developers of a lot of the English speaking DIY. There have been photos of Avalon chip batches arriving from multiple sources but there is no getting around the fact that a large chunk of DIY projects are ruined by the delay. It is impossible to know the cause of the delay at this time, but eventually more evidence will come to light and then we can start speculating. Right now, all that I am aware of is the chips supposedly left Yifu's hands but never arrived in the customers.
Yet 150TH of those chips are on the network.

Which chips?
210  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 26, 2013, 04:23:18 PM
Wow, interesting turn of events.  Makes me think one thing... Everyone is looking for FCC approval of the Jalapeno and the LS and teh Single and the Mini... What if only the board needs to be FCC approved?  That, like the scren, would not be "manufactured" by BFL...


Food for thought.

We have been asking this question for 9 months. If there were a simple answer, Josh would have given it 9 months ago.
He refuses to even discuss it. Not once in 9 months. He will spend hours insulting his customers, but won't spend 15 seconds to clear up a valid question?

And like I said, for pure troll value, *I* would have led you down the primrose path.

His lawyers muzzled him. Because of threads like this one. He will never clear that up.
Also, we now know that you are capable of the same sort of behavior that Josh is.

I sure hope the mods implement something so that the Bitcoin community can purge itself of these scams and their supporters.
211  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 26, 2013, 04:18:25 PM
Wow, interesting turn of events.  Makes me think one thing... Everyone is looking for FCC approval of the Jalapeno and the LS and teh Single and the Mini... What if only the board needs to be FCC approved?  That, like the scren, would not be "manufactured" by BFL...


Food for thought.

We have been asking this question for 9 months. If there were a simple answer, Josh would have given it 9 months ago.
He refuses to even discuss it. Not once in 9 months. He will spend hours insulting his customers, but won't spend 15 seconds to clear up a valid question?
212  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 26, 2013, 04:16:15 PM
I suggest that because the small claims and the BFL customer post was so damaging that the cadre of Wolfie / Inaba and BCP have made it their mission today to get this thread closed. How about we reign this back in on topic.

Who needs help setting up this lawsuit?

Where have I been off-topic? I have been discussing FCC regulations.

What you should be discussing is why BFL claimed they were getting FCC certification from a lab that they had sent functional units to.

Notice how hard Inaba and PuppetCo are attempting to derail this thread.
They are really worried.
Someone should make a moderated thread for this subject and just delete the BFL derailments.
213  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: YES, you can get a REFUND from BFL on: August 26, 2013, 04:14:13 PM
This is what I love most.  Start-up after start-up fails yet people cling to the next new thing out there and denounce everything else.  Everybody uses the LONG CON example on BFL.  Ok, so maybe they are a long con, does that make every other company legit?  

No, but BFL has been giving new schedules and then failing to meet them for months on end now. Also, they are insulting and dismissive of any and all complaints. Those are two very serious red flags for scams, so many people think BFL is a scam.

The 100TH/s mining pool delay was due to their boards that they designed having issues, not Bitfury chips having issues. There are several deployments of Bitfury that are successful.
Avalon has failed to get their chips into the hands of developers of a lot of the English speaking DIY. There have been photos of Avalon chip batches arriving from multiple sources but there is no getting around the fact that a large chunk of DIY projects are ruined by the delay. It is impossible to know the cause of the delay at this time, but eventually more evidence will come to light and then we can start speculating. Right now, all that I am aware of is the chips supposedly left Yifu's hands but never arrived in the customers.
214  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 26, 2013, 04:05:54 PM
Are you not reading this thread?  WTF?  How do you teach children and be completely unable to follow a conversation for more than 10 minutes?  It's no wonder you had to start your own school, no real school would hire you I'd wager, once they learn of your disability.
 
PG committed to sending $200 and to stop posting about BFL for a week if I provided him with the FCC ID/certification of the screen in the Minirig. I did.

PG then proceeded to not send $200 or stop posting about BFL.  There's your proof.


I notice BFL_Josh/Inaba is still dodging this statement he made. I am sure his lawyers told him never to speak of it again.

When is the Jalapeno getting FCC approval?

Maybe two weeks? We are waiting for the test lab to issue the test report.

With the bump in power requirements on the MR and the new screen, we had to make changes, although the new screen is already certified.  We are doing all the devices at once, since they all share the same board.

Of course, that "Jalapeno" could not have existed (nor the other devices) because as we found out later the chips had not reached BFL from the fab until Feb 2013. When they did, there were major issues with heat and power and their first board design did not work. The issues were so serious in fact that they could not use the original Jalapeno form factor. They had to put them in the singles cases.

That is the material misstatement that BFL made about the status of their product. Anyone who wants to demonstrate civil fraud charges can add that statement to their evidence list 
215  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 26, 2013, 04:00:44 PM
<intentional troll bait deleted>

I have been doing math. Math which shows that either your 7PH/s orderbook stance is wrong, or BFL can't ship by the end of Sept 30th. Both cannot be true, because by BFL's own admission they can only ship maximum of 300 units a day.

So you take the data you have from http://bfl.ptz.ro/. You don't like it so you double it. That is not far enough from 80TH/s (which was the last number calculated for BFL shipments using a method that made sense), so you want to triple it. You feel like you might be pushing things so you decide not to quadruple it. Nice method. Very MIT chic.

After we put to bed the 7 Peta/Hash per second BFL order book prediction you made. We can focus on adding up the hash rate of the other ASIC players and seeing what is left. Until you can agree to the old math or point out where it is flawed, it is pointless to move on. You will just continue to claim 2+2=5 and play fast and loose about your own statements (which I will have to continue to post here to "refresh" your memory).
7PH 7PH 7PH 7PH 7PH 7PH... damn, that troll record is still stuck.  <--- fast and dirty estimate.  nothing else.   untill you accept this fact you are just more troll bait.
I know it is a fast and dirty estimate. I have been demonstrating that either the estimate is not accurate or BFL is lying about their ability to clear the backlog by Sept. 30th. Nothing in my posts is intentional troll bait. Until you either say that the 7 PH/s estimate is not accurate, or say that it is accurate but BFL can't ship we cannot move on  Since you cannot seem to stay on this subject, lets make 3 simple questions for you to answer:

Were there 7PH/s of BFL orders in your estimation?
Were there 70,000 orders in your estimation?
Were there 100,000 devices ordered in your estimation?
216  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 26, 2013, 03:41:00 PM
red wolf,

Any manufacturer who can't come up with $10k to certify that their product is compliant with the law is not a manufacturer, they are a hobbiest.  BFL has 10k, but I suspect I'll get certified before them because I am a law abiding citizen of the USA.  (BFL is suspected of being a criminal organization).



Basically the FCC is there to stop dodgy, crap quality equipment like cordless phones that splatter interference across the band in the wrong frequencies and GPS disruptors/jammers. Things that affect the airwaves.


And so they MUST be alerted to ALL mining hardware.   When my design is complete I'll be submitting it for review and anyone who does not is a criminal; read BFL.

Hope you've got a spare 10k+ available for the testing, it needs to be done in a proper lab with some very expensive gear

Mining equipment shouldn't need to be certified in my opinion. The BFL fanbois (who were not around for the early seasons of the BFL drama) don't realize that Josh ridiculed the other ASIC manufacturers for not getting FCC certs and then claimed that BFL was in the process of getting theirs:

When is the Jalapeno getting FCC approval?

Maybe two weeks? We are waiting for the test lab to issue the test report.

With the bump in power requirements on the MR and the new screen, we had to make changes, although the new screen is already certified.  We are doing all the devices at once, since they all share the same board.

Of course, that "Jalapeno" could not have existed (nor the other devices) because as we found out later the chips had not reached BFL from the fab until Feb 2013. When they did, there were major issues with heat and power and their first board design did not work. The issues were so serious in fact that they could not use the original Jalapeno form factor. They had to put them in the singles cases.

https://forums.butterflylabs.com/announcements/692-bfl-asic-status.html
Feb 8th 2013 - Chips have shipped from the fab and are on their way to the US. They are expected to arrive early next week (Monday or Tuesday), but since the bumping facility won't be ready until the 14th as the earliest, it isn't quite as critical.

The chips were still in wafer form 3 months after Josh said they had completed units sent to a lab for FCC certification. So there was no way they could have sent devices to a lab for testing, there were no chips to put in them. That is the material misstatement that BFL made about the status of their product. Anyone who wants to demonstrate civil fraud charges can add that statement to their evidence list  Wink
217  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 26, 2013, 07:49:58 AM
There is no failure to communicate here.  There are no semantics.  The definition of "screen" in this context is absolutely clear, as there is no other definition of screen that would apply in context.  You asked for exactly what I gave you, here let me post it again:

Josh, would you be so kind as to state which, what and when the screen was passed by the FCC? Us monumental assholes ain't got a clue as to how the FCC site works and desperately need your expertise in helping us find the info.

Your failure to understand what you are asking for is not a failure to communicate.  It's your failure to understand the situation, which has been what you've been doing for the past 3 months.  It is not a failure on my part.  Pay up and shut up, or are you going to weasel out of this commitment, too?

Oh good. Josh is linking documents from the FCC.
Please link the ones that correspond to this statement you made in November of 2012:
When is the Jalapeno getting FCC approval?

Maybe two weeks? We are waiting for the test lab to issue the test report.

With the bump in power requirements on the MR and the new screen, we had to make changes, although the new screen is already certified.  We are doing all the devices at once, since they all share the same board.
218  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 26, 2013, 07:45:34 AM
*I* still never said 100,000 you did.
But you did when you said 70,000 orders from the http://bfl.ptz.ro/ dataset. You said there were 70,000 orders. That dataset has roughly 1.5 devices per order. Thus, roughly 100,000 devices. Therefore, if you want to use that data set and you want to declare that there are 70,000 orders then you have to accept that there are roughly 100,000 devices in those ordres. Elementary math.

*I* also stated refunds and cancellations were not taken into account
Right. So between 0 and 7 PH/s were canceled.

*I* knew I was overestimating, but you are still taking it as gospel.
We argued about it. You defended it religiously until the math became so obvious that you could not longer deny with a straight face. Then you started deleting the math from your posts like that would somehow make it disappear. Now you have started backpedaling. Just a few posts ago, you reaffirmed your support for a 7PH/s backlog. I take it now that you are disavowing that estimate? Or maybe you would just like to say that you have no idea what the size of BFL's order book is?

*I* am not the one using childish "GOTCHA!" tricks to prove nothing.
You may think math is childish, but unfortunately it underpins everything about bitcoin. So if you want to hang out here you better learn not to make simple math mistakes or you will be ridiculed for it.

http://bfl.ptz.ro/, while containing some bad data, is the ONLY source of KNOWN BFL orders.

Using it, we can simply add up:

Current blogs entries show MR up to July 28  32 known devices (1/3). + 13 known(2/3) 22.5TH minimum. (from ~13%[1/3] and ~25%[2.3] of possible orders.)
Singles are up to 6 JUL, 298 known devices.  18TH minimum. (from ~14% of possible orders)
LS are up to 11 Oct, 123 known devices.  3.075 TH minimum (from ~9.6% of possible orders)
Jala up to Jan 31.  930 known devices.  4.65TH minimum. (from ~8.4% of possible orders)

48TH from minimally known orders.  I think we can easily double that to 96TH and say minimum they shipped.

Tripling it to 144TH possible.  Quadrupling it to 194TH doubtful.

your 80TH is looking shaky.

But then, you refuse to do the math, likely cause you are afraid to show your ability.
I have been doing math. Math which shows that either your 7PH/s orderbook stance is wrong, or BFL can't ship by the end of Sept 30th. Both cannot be true, because by BFL's own admission they can only ship maximum of 300 units a day.

So you take the data you have from http://bfl.ptz.ro/. You don't like it so you double it. That is not far enough from 80TH/s (which was the last number calculated for BFL shipments using a method that made sense), so you want to triple it. You feel like you might be pushing things so you decide not to quadruple it. Nice method. Very MIT chic.

After we put to bed the 7 Peta/Hash per second BFL order book prediction you made. We can focus on adding up the hash rate of the other ASIC players and seeing what is left. Until you can agree to the old math or point out where it is flawed, it is pointless to move on. You will just continue to claim 2+2=5 and play fast and loose about your own statements (which I will have to continue to post here to "refresh" your memory).
219  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Protecting the blockchain as an art on: August 26, 2013, 05:16:52 AM

Also captured for posterity. Post contains no content except denials so:

If you have ordered from ButterFly Labs and have not yet received your product, you are entitled to a refund whenever you request one (per FTC rules).
First ask ButterFly Labs for a refund, they will probably say no but you might get lucky.
If you ordered via PayPal you can file a complaint with them even if you are outside the 45 day window. Multiple customers have already gotten a refund from PayPal that was outside the 45 days.
If you ordered via Bitcoin or Bank wire, you can fill out a complaint with the FTC at  http://www.ftc.gov/complaint and they will advocate for you with ButterFly Labs to get your refund. You can also contact the office of the Kansas Attorney General and inform them that you have had your money taken with no product delivered for months, just more promises.
You can also do a paper filing with the DA here: http://da.jocogov.org/complaint-forms

There are also several threads on how to get a refund from ButterFly Labs, here are two:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=266945.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=272585.0



cool down the threadjacking, BFL refunds are a totally different topic for one of 100 other threads

my 0.02btc : the new erupters look really cool, and i actually kind of want one Smiley  at least once they drop to 0.2BTC

Good point. They do look cool. I would buy at 0.20 BTC.
220  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 26, 2013, 05:05:34 AM
The FCC claim is relevant to this thread because it is a material misrepresentation about the state of the product from BFL.
That is a key ingredient to proving fraud in a civil case.
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