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2121  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: November 14, 2022, 03:08:35 AM
@danherbias07. Agreed! This deserves an immediate rematch for Izzy. However, does Izzy want to risk another knockout and to be in the octagon immediately versus this scary man after losing against him in kickboxing and in MMA?


                                            scary man

I speculate that this will be the beginning of Izzy's disaffection from the sport of MMA and the beginning of his demand for more in his paycheck. He will also support to increase payment for UFC fighters. If uncle Dana wants to promote a rematch, they should pay Izzy more money.

He can also retire if he does not want to do this and I speculate that he might retire quietly. Did everyone witness Izzy wave and bow to everyone?
2122  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Kucoin deposit problem on: November 14, 2022, 02:51:43 AM
If the rumors are true, the problem for users might not be the deposits going into Kucoin. It might be withdrawals going out of Kucoin.

In any case, there are rumors circulating that Kucoin has a large exposure in FTX and FTX has a large exposure in Kucoin. These exchanges might only be holding each other's tokens with Kucoin left holding millions in worthless FTT. However, if the exposure is deeper, this might be a problem.

Not that it's not possible but I doubt it. In addition to the CEO dismissing those rumors, they released a list of their hot/cold addresses and also promised that the Merkle-tree proof-of-reserves will be available soon: https://www.kucoin.com/blog/transparency-and-trust-a-detailed-list-of-kucoin-s-wallets

Okay, however, it appears there might be other exchanges and some hedgefunds that are not in a very safe position after FTX's collapse if they had partnerships with FTX or had deposits in FTX. I am hoping and wishing that this will be the end of this comedy show, however, it might only be the beginning of a clear out of the weak exchanges because they're solvency will be tested.

In any case, if we speculate on an exchange's insolvency, speculate responsibly. Do not spread fud but ask the right questions. Also for @everyone, not your keys not your coins. Hold them in your wallet.
2123  Economy / Speculation / Re: Countertrading Jim Cramer on Bitcoin on: November 14, 2022, 01:56:21 AM
My speculation for this. Is this Jim Cramer telling his truth or is this Jim Cramer telling the inverse analysis of his truth?

If Jim Cramer is telling his truth then according to the strategy of countertrading Cramer, we should buy. However, similar to what I have mentioned before, Jim Cramer might already have learned from his mistakes and has already begun telling everyone the inverse of his own analysis heheheehe.



Cramer advises investors to cash out on crypto while they can

Source https://www.cnbc.com/video/2022/11/11/cramer-advises-investors-to-cash-out-on-crypto-while-they-can.html
2124  Economy / Exchanges / Crypto.com and Gate.io will also bite the dust? on: November 14, 2022, 12:36:29 AM
According to some rumors on social media crypto.com sent 320,000 ETH of customer deposits to gate.io on October 21 then gate.io showed this as proof of reserves on October 28. Gate.io sends back 285,000 to crypto.com after this.

https://etherscan.io/tx/0xb426efda7525776e856b414c87ec0d7859e9bccafe727c174c7b51ed7ada6bee

Also, Bitmex listed an FTT perpetual futures contract before the collapse of FTX. This implies that Arthur Hayes speculated on the collapse. If this is true, it appears Arthur Hayes is also speculating on crypto.com's collapse. Bitmex has listed a new CRO perpetual futures contract ready for shorting.
2125  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin and the cryptospace is threatened by this legislation backed by Sam on: November 13, 2022, 06:37:57 AM
We should live in reality. Agreed, there are powerful people that are threatened by what bitcoin and the cryptospace can bring for the people, however, do you really think that bitcoin and the whole cryptospace is safe? Those powerful people has made the control over national currencies their lifeblood because this is what gives them their power. They will try everything to control the cryptospace. We cannot be certain if they will be successful in this but I would not be shocked if they acted more violently and we read in the news that a Bitcoin or an Ethereum developer died under questionable occurrences.

my stance of the whole "government" thing is this

senators and congressmen live their professional lives by their 2-4 year contract(voted in period of position)
they are not personally interested and do not sit at a computer watching every citizens daily activities, they are not interested in watching what coffee or chicken burger people buy.
the whole "government is watching your every move" is a dream

it does not matter the currency there will always be "government" but its just a game of which currency can lobby the best, wins
we see this with many nations. where european countries moved to the euro and UK moved out of euro grasp. we see african countries pivot from euro to dollar at a whim.. governments dont care about currency they just want to get paid in whatever is valuable/offered at the time of their voted in position

BANKS on the other hand are a business. and they want to continue doing business..
its banks and financial institutions that collect data on their customers.
they dont like new 'money businesses' setting up new industries where MSB's make more profit but dont have to do all the paperwork.

much like taxicabs and transport regulators didnt like Uber

i dont view the SEC/CFTC as child of senators/congressmen
instead i see them as the mother and father of banks/financial industry

i view SEC/CFTC not as a government department. but as a business..
they lobbied congress/senate decades ago to give their business powers that allow them to parent an industry

setting rules where by you have to buy a licence(membership) to be allowed to enter an industry(pay rent to live in the family). it helps avoid boiler room scammers just setting up shoddy banks. but also puts up barriers to ethical people that want to set up genuine money businesses to compete against the banks(unless your part of the elites)

lets take DCG (coinbase, bitfinex, ftx) via their business connections of their elite social group they get to easily set up exchanges/businesses with no oversight. but they also know the best tax accountants and fiat law lawyers to know the loopholes to escape the costs of doing business, which more common folk dont get this privilege access to

yes senators and congress have a say in what powers and actions the SEC/CFTC have and can use. because senate/congress control the law. but get bribed(ops i mean lobbied) to re arrange the law in businesses favour

decades of bribes and golden handshakes and buddy system allowed these regulators(businesses) to gain power and prestige pretending to be government departments. but in reality business partners of industry

we seen this with the bitlicence . the then head of SEC set up a bitlicence(membership NY businesses had to subscribe to) and once set up he resigned as regulator(job dne) and entered the business of bitlicence adviser taking extra fee's to guide businesses in the loopholes (of the rules he set up) to aid the business buddy system of who should enter the crypto world in NY

the regulators are businesses in of themselves getting money both from treasury to do the good deeds of law. and also the corporate money from business to do the deeds of banks
..
DCG(greyscale) wanted an SEC regulated ETF. but got pushed back. and so DCG and FTX now want to pivot bitcoin away from mommy and daddy SEC regulations and instead get adopted by foster parents CFTC

.. even other regulators like the EPA(environmental protection) are a business. they have powers to shut down farms and tell power companies to not service certain industries..

if you stop viewing regulators as some trump/biden grandchild.
and instead view them as business parents. where by they bribe, beg, coerce or blackmail government(senate/congress) via "lobbying"

you start to see how trying to point fingers with "biden/trump is /was spying on all your transactions" (facepalm)

and instead realise banks dont want competition who has less work but more profits.. the picture becomes clearer

knowing the difference between:
congress/senate (contracted men that like side deals)
paper law (national/state level) which has no arms to punch
law enforcement(idiots who like guns) employed to do raids and punch
regulators (businesses with power) that can call on law enforcement
banks(that fear other financial industries/competing jurisdictions finance)
MSB(lower level less elitist financial services) some are family some are outsiders
crypto code(rules of code) which has no ear to hear paper law and no body to be hit or arrested

you learn the middle guys (banks) are the ones fighting to stay alive.. not the congress/senate
......
bitcoin itself as code if everyone just ran the same code and never changed. would be unstoppable

the "safe" of bitcoin is to not allow any business to coerce or mandate changes to code. not allow businesses to gain power to control the edges of bitcoin where people enter and exit

we need to fear firstly BUSINESSES (like DCG(blockstream devs, NY agreement economic nodes) and their CEO's that lobby to change regulator jurisdiction of the industry over all)

then the regulators whom may gin powers to stifle mining locations or which merchants can startup

then lastly "government" but more so about how businesses (banks and MSB) lobby said government.

rather than thinking that its a top down finger point of government downwards.. its actually the businesses upwards
.. because .. "capitalism" not "communism"


congress/senators do not call the FBI/SWAT to do raids on citizens.. thats just bad practice and not good for future election hopes of their career

what happens is BUSINESSES watch their customers and suspicious activity or activity one business doesnt like seeing another business do is reported to regulators.. the regulators then call on FBI/SWAT

..
th electric car industry sees crypto as a threat to the electric availability. if power is going to crypto then people wont want to buy electric cars due to lack of electric to drive to work. so the electric car industry(elon) is lobbying regulators to push hard on bitcoin businesses to be more "environmental"
its not a biden decision top down. its a business lobby middle up

banks dont like non fiat becoming common money. thus there is a push to have crypto only as investment not money. again (middle up)

then there are msb's  they also want to have their other financial products like ETF, sidechains and subnetworks. so they want regulation changes. but dont care about the other effects that can happen due to their selfish wants. heck they have been bribing the regulations middle up.. and also the devs at the bottom..

However, I am not talking about the government and those politicians who have limited time in their positions under their 2-4 year contract. I am talking about those powerful people who put those politicians where they are. The real powers of the world. The Rothschild types, the Soros and those old families who really control the world. Those people who ordered the assasination of John F. Kennedy and who can make anyone disappear.
2126  Economy / Exchanges / FTX has been hacked, delete the app, don't go to website on: November 12, 2022, 05:22:39 AM
According to some people in social media, FTX has been hacked and users who have the app installed in their phones might be at risk for malware if they update this. It will be safer to delete it. It is also adviced to avoid going to the site because there might be trojans.

This is a public service announcement and I created this thread here in main bitcoin subforum on purpose where it will be seen by more people. Moderators can delete or move this thread later.

2127  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: November 12, 2022, 04:32:27 AM
@wheelz1200. Yes, out of full of anger on Sam Bankrupt-Fried for scamming him, he can use his face to be the face of Binance hehehehe. However, I reckon that he will be very afraid to touch anything that will have connections to cryptocoins or the cryptospace. It will be very much similar to a Vietnam war veteran having a traumatic disorder for him heheheheehee.
2128  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Kucoin deposit problem on: November 12, 2022, 04:13:57 AM
I am from UK and started using Kucoin in June but since July I have not been able to deposit using bank card and have spoken to their customer service and they still say deposit via bank card is still under maintenance.

It has been over 4 months now since I was able to deposit by bank card. The last person I spoke to on live chat an hour ago mentioned depositing via P2P but didnt give any detail in how to do this, only a link that didnt work.

I am pretty new to all this, can anyone advise how else we can currently deposit on Kucoin? Not sure if it is just a UK problem.

Find a different exchange? If they don't want your money, fuck them... Roll Eyes

Edit Kucoin support really sucks, I wouldn't waste too long... Tongue

If the rumors are true, the problem for users might not be the deposits going into Kucoin. It might be withdrawals going out of Kucoin.

In any case, there are rumors circulating that Kucoin has a large exposure in FTX and FTX has a large exposure in Kucoin. These exchanges might only be holding each other's tokens with Kucoin left holding millions in worthless FTT. However, if the exposure is deeper, this might be a problem.
2129  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin and the cryptospace is threatened by this legislation backed by Sam on: November 12, 2022, 03:39:39 AM
No, Bitcoin feels safe in our hands and cannot be threatened. The reverse seems to be the case as they are threatened by Bitcoin which is more superior to anything they have created. It's incredibly hard to defeat. They are free to try.
They will only succeed in capturing the centralized  crypto/cryptospace which will be a good thing for the decentralized crypto/crypospace.




I feel sorry for prisoners whose solutions to security problems within their prison wall is to add more security layers that it becomes hard for their children to escape the prison during the time of tyranny. Their children grow up to blame the "deep state" without realizing the system was built by their parent and handed over to "deep state" to keep them "secure". Replace the deep state with satan and you won't be wrong


We should live in reality. Agreed, there are powerful people that are threatened by what bitcoin and the cryptospace can bring for the people, however, do you really think that bitcoin and the whole cryptospace is safe? Those powerful people has made the control over national currencies their lifeblood because this is what gives them their power. They will try everything to control the cryptospace. We cannot be certain if they will be successful in this but I would not be shocked if they acted more violently and we read in the news that a Bitcoin or an Ethereum developer died under questionable occurrences.
2130  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2023 Oscar Awards betting and discussions on: November 11, 2022, 06:15:05 AM
@Sithara007. I have not watched much of those movies also hehehe. This is very strange for me because the pandemic is over.

In any case, for bettors these are the important dates that might change the odds.

Golden Globe Awards - January 10, 2023
Oscars nominations announcement - January 24, 2023
Director's Guild Awards - February 18,  2023
Actor's Guild Awards - February 25, 2023
Oscars final voting - March 2, 2023 - March 7, 2023

The Oscar awards for 2022 witnessed Coda with the shocking win of the best picture category. It was very much unexpected. I reckon if we followed the important dates in 2022's Oscar awards thread, we might have found the changes in odds and make a more educated prediction hehehe.
2131  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: November 11, 2022, 05:30:21 AM
Poirier vs Chandler would be exciting and some articles said that it could be the 'fight' of this year.

That does not look like a fight of the year to me. I think it is easy to predict a winner here - Poirier. Because Chandler is overrated. Chandler, a master of wrestling, wont use that advantage over a pure striker like Poirier, and will be knocked out. Chandler should have stayed in Bellator. He was a champ there, but now is 2-2 in UFC, lost to every good opponent. Who has he beaten? Old Ferguson? Hooker, who has lost 4 out of 5 last fights. And Poirier, who has only lost by subs to a submission master like Khabib and Oliveira (if we take last 5-8 years).

I very much disagree with your certainty on Dustin Poirier will be the winner. Yes he will be more favored by the fans and the bettors, however, Michael Chandler should never be underestimated after he showed everyone that he can fight against Justin Gaethje and never surrender.

Alex Pereira is the other fighter that should also never be underestimated. Izzy cannot hide from this man because Alex Pereira is faster than anyone that he has faced in MMA. A stretcher should be ready for Izzy hehehehehe.

However, the most exciting fight is between the sexy fighting kittens Karolina vs. Silvana hehehehe. I want to be referee.


2132  Economy / Speculation / Re: Crypto exchange wars going on... FTX vs Binance on: November 11, 2022, 04:36:14 AM
The CEO finally replied,

https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX

Basically appologizing and saying he screwed up. Saying he made many mistakes and one was with the under-assumption of the max daily withdraws which led to this liquidity crunch.

FTT reached $4 during his tweet. And todays CPI was good, if it wasn't for him, btc would be most likely at $25K right now.



Also, from this apology is another speculation that has started in social media. It appears that his writing style is very much similar to Chef Nomi. He is Sushi's founder who rugpulled his own users and community. The Defi swapping protocol was later saved by Sam Bankrupt-Fried. This made Sam the hero of Defi on 2020.

Sam's apology

https://mobile.twitter.com/sbf_ftx/status/1590709166515310593

Chef Nomi's apology

https://mobile.twitter.com/nomichef/status/1304442495342796800

There are similarities, however, I am not sure if the people speculating if Sam and Nomi are the same person are only skeptical or paranoid hehehehe.
2133  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Bitcoin and the cryptospace is threatened by this legislation backed by Sam on: November 11, 2022, 03:27:47 AM
The comedy in the cryptospace never stops. I am shaking my head so many times, my head is spinning hehehe.

In Washington D.C., there was a bill that was proposed by Sam Bankrupt-Fried that would give the government more oversight and create more regulations on the cryptospace which would certainly make decentralization lose some of its advantages. It is a bill that might kill the cryptospace.

He also caused the collapse that gave the lawmakers the reason to pass the bill into law a priority. I am beginning to be very skeptical of Sam. He might not only be another cryptobillionaire. His mother is a lawyer of Hillary Clinton and an active member of the Democratic party. I will post more information if I can find them. They are easy to find. If you can help me, share them, thank you.



The bipartisan authors of Senate legislation that would increase oversight of cryptocurrencies considered to be digital commodities in the U.S., like bitcoin, plan to move forward with the bill.

Embattled FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried had been the strongest industry proponent of the bill, known as the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act. The bill would grant the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, one of the two U.S. markets regulators, more power over cryptocurrency markets and exchanges.


Read in full https://www.theblock.co/post/185746/senators-moving-forward-with-sbf-backed-bill-after-ftx-collapse
2134  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: November 10, 2022, 03:49:14 AM
This might be the season to bet against goat Brady. I am presently quite certain the stress of the cryptospace has begun to negatively have an effect on his concentration on the football field. The cryptospace might be the cause of him losing his wife and going back to work after retirement. We might witness Brady to become the oldest football player to play in the NFL in his 50s.

2135  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Sam Bankman-Fried the "savior" and his ideas on: November 10, 2022, 02:52:24 AM
We might be living our lives in a comedy. We traders and investors in the cryptospace might now have begun to understand that Gary Gensler was really trying to protecting us heehehhe. FTX customers will start demanding for more regulations.

2136  Economy / Speculation / Re: Crypto exchange wars going on... FTX vs Binance on: November 10, 2022, 02:38:40 AM
Dropping in late on this thread.

Guys, something I missed on the great scheme of things.

Having the following diagram in mind:



Who lent the stablecoins to Alameda with FTT as collateral (Step 3)?



The cryptolending companies. Voyager, Celsius, Blockfi? Was this not why Sam Bankrupt Fried gave liquidity to Voyager and Blockfi during Luna's failure, for them to not dump FTT?

Also, Tether? Justin Sun and Alameda Research were known borrowers of USDT from Tether to pump the market on 2021. However, FTT as collateral was not mentioned.

In any case, this is FTX and Alameda's balance sheet. I am not quite certain if this is real, however.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/0/d/1dSG6ER9N_YABnmUKzKaeUikZ2-isBQpL/htmlview#gid=2071322894
2137  Economy / Exchanges / Re: FTX comedy and might be another exchange that bites the dust? on: November 10, 2022, 01:49:56 AM
@Ratimov. I very much cannot comprehend how Alameda Research could lose in the casino if they control the casino. They have been making billions during the bull market but end agreeing to CZ for a possibility of a bail out. They had all of the advantages.

In any case, I have another speculation. Is CZ supported secretly by the communist party of China? He has become very powerful in the cryptospace only through hard work? I am very skeptical of this.

This can be discussed a lot, I have seen various hypotheses regarding the secret interaction of these two exchanges. In general, there is such a widespread belief that FTX has always been part of Binance. Suffice it to recall their close cooperation in terms of trading BULL / BEAR tokens. Then the hype began with these tokens and Binance made a rough delisting of these credit tokens from its platform.

In general, Binance had big problems with regulators before. If you remember, in 2021 there was a lot of news with restrictions for Binance. I once created a separate topic on these restrictions: July Regulatory War Against Binance...is CZ Ready to Surrender?.

Against the backdrop of these persistent problems, Binance could begin to transfer liquidity to another exchange that has a cleaner history and does not have such problems with regulators. At some point, plans to distribute the influence of the two exchanges could change and Binance again made the main bet as the main exchange of the entire crypto industry, and FTX was decided to absorb. Of course, this is just a hypothesis, and we won’t know the whole truth, but FTX really seemed to be the main contender for the most powerful exchange until recently.

I am talking about Sam who owns Alameda Research, his own quantfund-hedgefund-marketmaker, who also controls FTX as something similar to their own casino and Sam who also issued his own token through FTX, however, he lost everything? This is real life comedy.

It is confirmed now, Binance is out of FTX deal.


https://twitter.com/binance/status/1590449161069268992


I was skeptical of this. I reckon CZ only wanted to look at FTX's balance sheet and operation to collect data on what his enemy was doing hehehe.

I very much cannot comprehend how Alameda Research could lose in the casino if they control the casino. They have been making billions during the bull market but end agreeing to CZ for a possibility of a bail out. They had all of the advantages.

This has always been my curious question every time a crypto exchange that earns suddenly lose solvency, except if it is hacked. And it's probably always about financial mismanagement. This is definitely what happened to SBF as well.

For one, it certainly didn't help that he acted as the industry's savior and redeemer during the crypto winter. It drained him of so much money.

This ambitious guy probably spent more than he should. He's obviously extravagant in his marketing decisions including renaming the Miami Heat's basketball arena as well as in his political commitments and probably many more others. A billion here, a billion there in the middle of a severe bear market is apparently over-commitment. He must have somehow lost his mind and wrongly estimated his capacity.

And he's caught off guard by this untimely conflict against CZ, who's always been a very measured businessman in and out. In the end, CZ's actions proved to be the final nail in the coffin.

Quote
In any case, I have another speculation. Is CZ supported secretly by the communist party of China? He has become very powerful in the cryptospace only through hard work? I am very skeptical of this.

I guess CZ has already lengthily answered this. Although Binance is originally made in China, he has dismissed that it is involved with the red party.

But I guess it wasn't just hard work; it was also smart work. And perhaps the timing was also a considerable factor.

I do not trust CZ's words.
2138  Economy / Speculation / Re: Crypto exchange wars going on... FTX vs Binance on: November 09, 2022, 02:46:36 AM
Yeah I didn't get a chance to withdraw everything. I had a small account and had the $2000 limit. Nothing I can do now.

Perhaps degen trade 100x on two different exchanges and try to lose everything on FTX and gain the same amount on the other exchange.

For the last 12 hours. No outgoing transactions.



What is strange is that the exchange is still functional, why? Why trade on the exchange or market make when you can't withdraw anything. Also FTT is $5-6, it should be $0.

So 50/50 whether I will ever see those funds again.

Oh well.

I speculate that we might witness another scheme similar to what Bitfinex has done before. FTX's losses will be shared among all user balances and you might only get 50% to 70% of your money and the rest will be in issued tokens with a promise to pay 1 token for $1.

Did anyone understood why it went up that much and then it went down that much?

Leverage backed by loans collaterized by illiquid tokens.
2139  Economy / Exchanges / Re: FTX comedy and might be another exchange that bites the dust? on: November 09, 2022, 01:55:09 AM
@Ratimov. I very much cannot comprehend how Alameda Research could lose in the casino if they control the casino. They have been making billions during the bull market but end agreeing to CZ for a possibility of a bail out. They had all of the advantages.

In any case, I have another speculation. Is CZ supported secretly by the communist party of China? He has become very powerful in the cryptospace only through hard work? I am very skeptical of this.
2140  Economy / Exchanges / Re: [Updated] Binance intends to acquire FTX! on: November 09, 2022, 01:11:07 AM
I am very skeptical if CZ can really acquire FTX very easily. This might be blocked by some politicians from the executive level and also with the backing of political voices from the legislative level. I do not wish this, however, FTX might be left to die unless it can find an American company for a bail out.

What I speculate might happen is much of the derivative traders in the cryptospace might go back to Bitmex and Arthur Hayes will become the king of cryptoderivatives again. Bitmex has settled all of their legal problems with the government already.

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