Bitcoin Forum
June 04, 2024, 11:29:43 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 ... 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 [135] 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 ... 274 »
2681  Economy / Economics / Re: The mining downward spiral FUD was predicted months ago on: December 12, 2018, 09:31:01 AM
The current bitcoin crash reminds me of 2013/2014 when chinese imposed restrictions and the closing of silk road conspired to crash bitcoin. I would be interested to know how heavily bitcoin mining is centralized within china and how vulnerable it is to chinese regulation strangling bitcoin miners in china as the crash may have occurred without significant cause. Anyways sorry guys I have no real insight into this. The US stock market is also crashing which could suggest that both are related and produced by analysts projecting a holiday retail season that falls short of expectations.

Amazon's earnings and revenues reported for 3rd quarter 2018 would seem to suggest weaker than expected consumer spending(as did other retailers iirc). That could translate to decreased utilization of payment exchange like bitcoin, suggesting declining transaction volume which led to the recent downturn.

If this is anything like the 2013/2014 bitcoin collapse, we may see a resurgence later on with greater all time highs.

It is possible, btc's latest downturn could also represent a correction in terms of mining difficulty resembling a bubble although I don't know enough to offer intelligent commentary on that.
2682  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Stable coins the new way of scamming people? on: December 12, 2018, 09:21:36 AM
I think people tend to underestimate how much stablecoins are worth and how profitable they are.

Earlier this year, tether destroyed $500 million dollars worth of their own supply. I can't speak for their motivation but the impression I got is they did it in an attempt to make tether a more scarce commodity and elevate its price back up to $1.00.

Imagine your market cap being so large that you can literally destroy $500 million dollars worth of your own supply and have everything be peachy cool--nothing to see here folks. Business as usual.

IMO that's the reason so many are excited to enter the stablecoin market and appropriate market share for themselves. Even if they succeed in amassing only a small percentage of the stablecoin market, it can still amount to large sums of money with potentially little effort on their part.
2683  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UFC 231: Holloway vs Ortega Prediction and Info Thread on: December 06, 2018, 07:36:21 AM
**Jesse Ronson was pulled from the card due to him being deemed too heavy to fight @ lightweight as scheduled.

Don't really have notes worth reading for this card.

The main event isn't as clean as it may seem on the surface. Brian Ortega tested positive for steroids back in 2014 & trains out of blackhouse MMA, the same gym where Lyoto Machida, Anderson Silva and Kevin Casey trained when they all tested positive for steroids. Max Holloway had unknown health issues which prevented him from stepping in and fighting Khabib Nurmagomedov. Some believe Max still doesn't look 100% healthy.

Other than those technicalities both Max Holloway and Brian Ortega have some of the most impressive winning streaks in all of mixed martial arts.

Should either of them be injured, Renato Moicano is the alternate who will step in & fight.

I don't have any good betting picks for this event. I suspect some of the underdogs could hit. Aside from that I might skip it from a betting perspective.
2684  Economy / Economics / Manila Residents to Be Paid in Ether for Cleaning Up Polluted Habitat Area on: December 06, 2018, 07:10:29 AM
Quote
People will be paid in Ether for helping to clean up one of the most polluted beaches as part of a new movement to clean up plastic waste.

Bounties for the Oceans
The Bounties Network is teaming up with ConsenSys Social Impact to tackle the issue of plastic waste in our oceans.

Back in June, the Network undertook its first bounty-based social impact project with MakerDAO as part of World Oceans Day. However, since then, the team have been looking to see how they can make a bigger impact.

As part of their first pilot, they will be targeting Manila Bay in the Philippines. According to Greenpeace, the Philippines is the third biggest source of plastic ocean pollution in the world, making it an ideal place for the Bounties Network to start.

Taking place over two days from the 1st and 2nd of December, from 0800 until 1700 on both days, participants will be cleaning up the Las Piñas–Parañaque Critical Habitat Area. They will be paid up to 550 Philippine pesos ($10.50) per day, which will be made in Ether.

Taking to Twitter, Joseph Lubin, founder of ConsenSys and co-founder of Ethereum, announced the project.

On its website, the Network said:

Quote
With our oceans in crisis, the devastating ecological consequences of our actions are becoming abundantly clear, and global solutions are needed. We believe blockchain-based bounties have the potential to incentivize global participation in social impact projects and donation crowdsourcing.

The hope is that this will create a “decentralized social impact contribution network with the ability to extend across the globe.” By doing so, it will “incentivize and activate millions of hours of human capital” that will “collaborate for positive social and environmental outcomes.”

According to the UN, 80 percent of all pollution in our oceans comes from people. Additionally, eight million tons of plastic per year end up in our oceans, impacting wildlife, jobs, and tourism. With plastic causing billions of dollars worth of damage each year, steps need to be taken to tackle the issue.

With Bounties for the Ocean, it’s hoping to achieve just this.

In order to receive Ether for the cleanup, a photo of the participant and the rubbish they’ve collected must be taken at the Las Piñas–Parañaque Critical Habitat Area. This should then be uploaded with one of the Bounties anchor volunteers. If possible, the image should be shared on social media tagging @ethBounties and using #bountiesfortheoceans.

Each correct submission will be rewarded 0.03 ETH on acceptance.


https://www.livebitcoinnews.com/manila-residents-to-be-paid-in-ether-for-cleaning-up-polluted-habitat-area/

....

Perhaps good news for a change.

This could be a good idea both for practical purposes such as cleaning up pollution as well as marketing and promotional purposes in terms of spreading positive examples of crypto utilization as a means of furthering societal good.

Not certain how cost effective it is or how well their payment scaling stacks up against cost of living in the philippines.

But it is nice to see someone making an effort.   Smiley
2685  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UFC Fight Night 141: Blaydes vs Ngannou 2 Prediction and Info Thread on: November 23, 2018, 04:04:09 PM
Notes.

--This card is hosted in beijing china and will start around 10 hours later than normal.

--This will be Rashad Coulter's 1st fight @ 205 lbs. Previously he competed as a heavyweight.

--Yadong "The Terminator" Song could be a future prospect. Tough fighter lives up to his name, could be why he's on the main card despite not having many fights in the UFC.

--Not certain why Alistair Overeem is a betting underdog here. There were calls for Alistair to retire awhile ago. Some said he should retire after being knocked out so many times throughout his career. It is possible those losses and the damage he absorbed has caught up to Overeem. Not 100% certain what the reasoning behind the line is.

Wish I had more info, I don't recognise many names on the card which makes it hard to say anything about them.

Main event could be tough to call. Its hard for me to pick sides knowing what a freak athlete Ngannou is. Heavyweight fights can be like rolling a dice. Whoever lands the 1st solid punch can conceivably win the fight, even against a more skilled opponent.
2686  Economy / Economics / Re: Warning - The price will drop more on Black Friday! DO NOT Panic. on: November 23, 2018, 03:42:23 PM
Hopefully, the inverse opposite will happen.  Smiley

A spike in bitcoin transaction volume on black friday will be associated with increased demand. Which in turn will elevate the overall value of BTC and tug the crypto market cap upwards with it.

I see news outlets quoting outdated and obsolete "investigators focusing on tether bitcoin link" content. Quoting #fakenews that is near to a year old that was disproven months ago appears to be a weak attempt at negative market manipulation for crypto. That seems to imply there is an attempt being made to devalue btc, perhaps to create a buy in point for hedge funds and institutional investors who recently entered crypto markets.

On the plus side, those who complained about a single bitcoin being too expensive could have a more affordable bitcoin to celebrate the holidays with.
2687  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UFC Fight Night 140: Magny vs Ponzinibbio Prediction and Info Thread on: November 20, 2018, 08:17:12 AM
Its difficult to determine how depleted some fighters are on the scale. The best method I've been able to come up with so far is to look at their eyes. When a person is dehydrated (it is possible) their eyes become dry, red and irritated. Another indication of dehydration is fighters licking their lips. Cynthia Carvillo displayed neither of those symptoms, if I'm remembering right. It might be fair to say she wasn't that depleted during her weight cut. This is a topic I would very much like to have more insight on, with fighters missing weights being such a dicey prospect when it comes to gambling.

Notes.

-Darren Elkins is another guy who has looked vastly improved since moving to train out of team alpha male. Not certain he has the kickboxing or wrestling/grappling to defeat Ricardo Lamas but Elkins has shown a lot of heart and has been difficult to finish. The over prop could be worth betting if not Lamas straight.

Over 2.5 rounds prop and Lamas straight both hit.

Glad I got something right.   Smiley
2688  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UFC Fight Night 140: Magny vs Ponzinibbio Prediction and Info Thread on: November 17, 2018, 10:41:10 AM
Notes.

-Cynthia Calvillo missed weight by 2 pounds weighing in @ 118 lbs. Make of that what you will. Sometimes it can be an advantage, other times a disadvantage. It all depends on how much effort an athlete put into making weight and how much they depleted themselves in the process. Their relative degree of preparation (or negligent lack of preparation) can be a factor in the fight.

-Cynthia Calvillo was with Justin Buccholz at weigh ins. Justin Buccholz used to be head coach at team alpha male--he trained Cody Garbrandt for the Dominick Cruz fight where Cody Garbrandt was elusive and difficult to hit. After that Justin Buccholz and team alpha male had a falling out and Buccholz no longer trained Cody. This might be seen in Cody Garbrandt fighting more flat footed and his defense not being as tight. Anyways long story short Calvillo also used to train at team alpha male, her being with Buccholz could mean she no longer trains there which could negatively affect her preparation as she is in a period of transition or improvising her training regimen.

-Yuta Ulka Sasaki trained out of team alpha male for his last fight & showed improvement. His opponent Alexandre Pantoja worked with Henry Cejudo in the past, his wrestling technique and takedown defense looked sharp against Dustin Ortiz. That fight could come down to Pantoja's Henry Cejudo counter wrestling versus Ulka Sasaki's team alpha male wrestling. That battle of gym training technique could make things interesting.

-Darren Elkins is another guy who has looked vastly improved since moving to train out of team alpha male. Not certain he has the kickboxing or wrestling/grappling to defeat Ricardo Lamas but Elkins has shown a lot of heart and has been difficult to finish. The over prop could be worth betting if not Lamas straight.

A lot of fighters on the card took these UFC fights on short notice without having fought in the UFC before. A lot of virtual unknowns competing.
2689  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Nitrogensports froze my account on: November 17, 2018, 09:32:00 AM
I've seen many threads like this one posted on internet gambling forums.

Usually if an account is frozen, its due to someone making wagers on more than one active account to avoid bet limits or hide their hedge and arbitrage plays. That is against the rules and something they do enforce.

The second issue most seem to have with nitrogensports is browser incompatibility issues. Sometimes changing to a different (more modern) browser will clear up many of the technical issues people experience.

Those two bullet points have cleared up all of the issues I've seen people have with nitro so far.
2690  Economy / Economics / Re: Is the use of credit cards a strong indicator of a nation's economy? on: November 16, 2018, 12:01:22 PM
As some may have observed, highly developed countries like the US encourages their people to use credit cards for transactions. Cash transactions are still used but mostly they prefer people to have their credit cards. I want to know if having a credit card really necessary even if they can afford to pay in cash? Are credit cards reflective of your ability to pay?


There isn't a good method of charging interest on lump sum cash payments. Credit cards introduce APR's (annual percentage rates) as a means of charging interest on top of existing transactions with late payments. Thus credit cards are more greatly incentivized due to them offering greater profit potential over the mechanics of straight cash payments.

Outstanding credit card debt per population is considered a negative economic/financial statistic when it is high. It generally means credit is tapped out for consumers.

Having a credit card isn't a good indication of a person's ability to pay. That is generally measured by a person's credit rating which is generated from a history of the electronic payments a person makes. To get a high credit rating a person must always make payments on schedule. No late payments. This in turn allows a person to qualify for better loan standards & other benefits.
2691  Economy / Economics / Re: Bank of America will help large financial institutions to store cryptocurrency on: November 15, 2018, 10:56:10 AM
Banks being a go between for crypto currency purchase has been a long time in the making. I think in some cases they're offering insurance which could be a decent advantage in cases where hacks or theft occurs.

That said with the issues venezuela recently had getting its gold back from the bank of england, do those types of news stories sew distrust in banks as pillars of our financial establishment? I'm not 100% certain how to feel on that topic. On one hand venezuela isn't the most trustworthy client and so it makes sense to withhold their gold. On the other hand, like it or not Maduro is the President of venezuela and so perhaps his requests for venezuela's gold being returned should be taken a bit more seriously. Its complicated and difficult to see a clear cut moral ground in this debate.
2692  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UFC Fight Night 139: Korean Zombie vs Rodriquez Info and Prediction Thread on: November 15, 2018, 10:51:48 AM
Yair was like a matador luring Korean Zombie into making those bull charges, late in the fight. In the way that matadors with red capes lure bulls into charges so they can evade and hit the bull with their own attack. I think if Korean Zombie could have gotten up after the bell and recovered, it would have gone to the scorecards the way that Ovince St Preux vs Dominick Reyes did.

There's a bellator MMA card later today headlined by Emmanuel Sanchez vs Patricio Freire. Co main is Phil Davis vs Vadim Nemkov.

Anthony Pettis vs Justin Gaethje and Cowboy Cerrone vs Conor McGregor seem to be fights the UFC is targeting.

And of course Neil Magny vs Santiago Ponzinibbio is this weekend.
2693  Economy / Economics / The problem bitcoin solves on: November 13, 2018, 09:53:25 AM
Quote
Modern financial history is littered with hyperinflation, defaults and currency devaluation. Bitcoin could put an end to that, says Saifedean Ammous

Paul Krugman, blogger, fiat-currency enthusiast and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics earlier this year justified his scepticism about cryptocurrencies in the New York Times. He asked readers to give him a clear answer to the question: what is the problem cryptocurrency solves? He wrote: ‘Governments have occasionally abused the privilege of creating fiat money, but for the most part governments and central banks exercise restraint.’ He added that, unlike bitcoin, ‘fiat currencies have underlying value because men with guns say they do. And this means that their value isn’t a bubble that can collapse if people lose faith.’

Case closed, apparently. What he omitted to mention was that bitcoin has been operating successfully for almost ten years now, with no confirmed cases of fraudulent transactions. Every day, its traded volumes run to billions of dollars. In fact, bitcoin’s increasing reputation for security and the growth it is still undergoing suggests it is not about to go away. Could it be the market knows something about bitcoin and central banks that Krugman does not?

A closer look at the track record of government money offers a perspective somewhat different to that seen through Krugman’s rose-tinted spectacles.

As I write, Zimbabwe and Venezuela are undergoing the ravages of a collapse of government money, while Argentina, Iran and Turkey teeter on the brink. A quarter of a billion humans live in these failing economies — but not enough, evidently, to dissuade Krugman from endorsing government control of money so wholeheartedly.

It’s not even as if what is happening in these countries is a new phenomenon. Hyperinflation has occurred 57 times since the end of the first world war, afflicting several billions of people. In every instance, it has been the type of money whose worth is supposedly protected by men with guns that has become, well, worthless.

Indeed, hyperinflation is a form of economic disaster unique to government-created money. There was never an example of hyperinflation when economies operated a gold or silver standard. Government money is relatively cheap to produce, meaning governments in crisis are all too happy to produce it. In this way — as we have seen too often — it is possible for a society to lose all of its savings in the space of a few months, or even weeks. This is what happens when the wrong people gain control of the financial levers. Whatever alleged benefits government-managed money may have, a single episode of hyperinflation far outweighs them all.

While most countries have not experienced hyperinflation, they have almost all experienced significant currency devaluation over sustained periods. Between 1960 and 2015, for example, money supply in all countries increased by an average 32 per cent per year.

Krugman doesn’t seem to believe the value of government money needs to be justified intellectually. Instead, he believes ‘men with guns’ will suffice as an argument. The good news for him is that intellectual justifications do not ultimately matter when set against the realities of the market. The power of the state is usually sufficient to protect the economic monopolies he defends. However, the bad news is that the flow of bitcoin — which is decentralised, digital and cryptographically secured — is far harder to stop with guns.

Krugman cites the relatively high cost of bitcoin transactions as a reason the cryptocurrency cannot compete long term with fiat currencies. He seems, mistakenly, to assume bitcoin is competing with consumer payment networks like Visa or PayPal. But as I argue in my book The Bitcoin Standard, that is not what bitcoin is best suited for. Rather, bitcoin is an international settlement network, one that competes with the central bank settlement systems that are the foundation upon which networks like Visa or PayPal depend.

It must also be said that bitcoin transaction costs are relatively cheap compared with those of traditional settlement systems. And that’s not to mention that bitcoin offers international clearance within an hour, while the current banking system usually needs days, and sometimes weeks.

Certainly, there is appetite for a credible alternative to government-controlled fiat currencies. In the nine years that it has been trading, bitcoin has appreciated 700,000,000 per cent against the dollar, despite the naysayers and warnings of its impending collapse.

Perhaps the most compelling argument for bitcoin is the completely apolitical and predictable monetary policy it operates within. Bitcoin cannot be used for quantitative easing, for example. You can’t just print more of it when the whim takes you. If bitcoin’s continued growth deprives central banks of the ability to finance catastrophic wars by printing money, or if it prevents even one more tragic incidence of hyperinflation, the energy consumption required to mine it will be the best bargain humanity ever got.

Could bitcoin collapse? Of course it could. Any investor who puts a large amount of money into bitcoin must know they are taking a significant risk. But bitcoin’s price-falls these days bottom out at prices many times higher than they did only a few years ago.

Can government currencies and bonds collapse, or drop significantly in value, despite the ‘men with guns’ that protect them? The answer — after 100 years and more of hyperinflation, financial repression and sovereign default, which together have affected billions of people — is a resounding yes.

It’s no wonder so many people do not share Krugman’s enthusiasm for the last century’s experiment with government-controlled money, and herein lies the problem that bitcoin solves. Bitcoin offers anyone in the world an escape from being controlled by economists who believe they are immune to the lessons of history.

https://www.spectator.co.uk/2018/11/the-problem-bitcoin-solves/

....

Here we have someone addressing fundamental economics & finance topics mainstream sources have a tendency to avoid.

This could be a neglected area where discussion and debate are in dire need, as well as greater awareness and proliferation of information.

Many have talked about the importance of skepticism and peer review to maintain good standards in society. The question could be raised of whether Paul Krugman's stance: "fiat money retains value as it is backed by guns" is verifiable by history. Certainly many are aware of venezuela and other nations issues with inflation and overprinting of fiat currency. However most seem not to comprehend the negative consequences of these principles until they have first hand, real life, experience with them. That learning curve could blind many to the intrinsic value of crypto currencies. Its possible bitcoin is still undervalued.

Anyways, I would be interested to know if anyone cares to defend Paul Krugman's stance in late 2018. Some consider Krugman to be a valid source due to him being awarded a nobel prize in economics. However there is a recent school of thought which says: nobel prizes like the nobel peace prize haven't been awarded to deserving recipients in recent times. Obama received a nobel peace prize for *some say* making war in the middle east and around the world worse than it had been before he took office. There could be a precedent for Paul Krugman doing similar things with fiscal, financial and economic policy in terms of him pushing quantitative easing (QE), economic stimulus and other policies which are controversial in nature.
2694  Economy / Economics / Bank Of England Refuses To Release Venezuela's Gold on: November 09, 2018, 10:51:37 AM
Quote
Three days ago, when we reported that following Trump's latest sanctions targeting Venezuela's gold sector president Maduro was seeking to repatriate all of Venezuela's gold - some 14 tons - held at the Bank of England, we cautioned that since the BoE "sought to clarify what Venezuela wants to do with the gold", this suggested that despite Venezuela being the rightful owner of this gold, Venezuela was about to face challenges in getting it back.

Today, the worst case - for Venezuela's president - was confirmed, when the Times reported that the Bank of England has "refused to release the gold bars" worth just over $550 million to President Nicolas Maduro.

According to the Times, the reason the BoE has refused release is due to its insistence that standard measures to prevent money-laundering be taken — "including clarification of the Venezuelan government’s intentions for the gold."

“There are concerns that Mr. Maduro may seize the gold, which is owned by the state, and sell it for personal gain,” the newspaper said.

Separately, as we reported on Monday, an official told Reuters that the repatriation plan has been held up for nearly two months due to difficulty in obtaining insurance for the shipment, needed to move a large gold cargo: “They are still trying to find insurance coverage, because the costs are high,” an official told Reuters.


As we reported on Monday, Venezuela’s gold located at the BoE was previously used as collateral until last year, backing loans up to several billion dollars from global banks.

Maduro is not the first to attempt to repatriate the country's gold. Venezuela's late socialist leader Hugo Chavez, sensing which way the wind is blowing and citing the need for Venezuela to have physical control of central bank assets, in 2011 repatriated around 160 tonnes of gold from banks in the United States and Europe to the central bank in Caracas. But some of Venezuela’s gold remained in the Bank of England. Starting in 2014, Venezuela used this gold for “swap” operations in which global banks lent Venezuela several billion dollars with the gold as collateral.

Meanwhile, as shown in the chart above, Venezuelan central bank statistics show the central bank’s gold holdings by June this year had dropped to 160 tonnes from 364 tonnes in 2014, as some of the swap agreements expired without Venezuela returning the funds - leaving the gold in the hands of the banks. By 2017, swap agreements with Caracas became impossible due to U.S. sanctions, which blocked U.S. financial institutions from bankrolling any new financing operations, while leaving the legal fate of pledged gold in limbo.

Last week, Washington imposed new restrictions against Venezuela targeting the country's gold exports, accusing the Maduro government of "looting" Venezuela's stocks of the precious metals amid the country's economic crisis. The sanctions, which target US individuals and companies trading in Venezuelan gold, was announced by US National Security Advisor John Bolton last week, with Bolton also branding Caracas a member of a "troika of tyranny" along with Cuba and Nicaragua.

Venezuela has made a concerted effort to become a major gold exporter, and is engaged in certifying some 32 gold fields, and building 54 processing plants in a bid to become what Maduro said would be "the second largest gold reserve on Earth."

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-08/bank-england-refuses-release-venezuelas-gold

....

There have been rumors of war between the USA and venezuela. Also rumors of armed conflict between brazil and venezuela. Not certain if those factors are influencing the Bank of England's decision to withhold Venezuela's gold. This could also mean official channels are refusing to recognise Maduro or his administration as the legal government presiding over venezuela. Maduro is being considered an illegitimate or rogue actor and perhaps there are plans to remove him and replace him with another form of government?

Gold is considered a competitor to bitcoin and crypto. If conflict over gold breaks out, or if trust in banks decreases due to them witholding gold. It could raise the value of bitcoin over the long term. I know that some say bitcoin lacks the scalability to replace modern financial institutions like the SWIFT system. A complete replacement isn't necessary however. All we might need is for a significant spike to occur in bitcoin transactions, which would in turn be considered a spike in demand and possibly we could see highs rivaling that of 2017--when transactions volumes were higher...
2695  Economy / Economics / Re: Central Bank Cheap Money Now A Global Contagion on: November 09, 2018, 10:31:33 AM

The video posted @ the above link is of very good quality for anyone interested in the 2008 financial crisis, current state of affairs in terms of economic policy. (Yes, I actually do read and watch a lot of things that posted in this section).  Smiley  For a 40 minute video its 100% worth it.

What she says has potential to explain a lot of questions we didn't have good answers for. Listening to what she says, a good portrait for recent stock market trends and economists predicting doom and gloom in projecting future economic decline begins to emerge. She offers the best breakdown and analysis of current era financial/economic policy any of us are likely to ever hear imo.

Didn't realize US inflation stats went unreleased over the last two months with inflation numbers last reported greater than 3%. Of course with the way statistics are redefined in this day and age, real inflation is likely to be significantly higher.
2696  Economy / Economics / US Threatens SWIFT With Sanctions If Iran Isn't Cut Off on: November 08, 2018, 08:15:12 AM
Quote
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin threatened the global financial messaging service SWIFT on Friday that it could be penalized if it doesn’t cut off financial services to entities and individuals doing business with Iran. The warning came just days ahead of the US re-imposition of all US sanctions on Iran that had been lifted under the 2015 nuclear deal, which will take effect at midnight tonight and cover Iran's shipping, financial and energy sectors.

Speaking to reporters, Mnuchin was quoted by Reuters as saying that "SWIFT is no different than any other entity," adding "We have advised SWIFT that it must disconnect any Iranian financial institutions that we designate as soon as technologically feasible to avoid sanctions exposure."

The Trump administration has been pressuring allies to cut Iranian oil imports to “zero” next month although on Friday the US agreed to grant exemptions to 8 countries that import Iran oil; the countries include Japan, India, and South Korea according to Bloomberg. China, the leading importers of Iranian oil remains in discussions with the US on terms but is among the eight, as is Turkey which will likely receive an exemption, the country's energy minister said on Friday. The full list of countries receiving waivers will be released on Monday.

By cutting Iran off from SWIFT, Iran would lose its ability to be paid for its exports and to pay for imports. Washington has been pressuring SWIFT to cut Iran from the financial system as it did in 2012 before the nuclear deal. Six years ago the EU imposed sanctions on Iranian banks, forcing SWIFT, which is subject to EU laws, to cut financial transactions with at least 30 of Iran’s financial institutions, including the central bank.

Iranian banks were reconnected to the network in 2016 after the Iran nuclear deal came into force, allowing much needed foreign cash to flow into Tehran’s coffers.

While SWIFT (The Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication), which is a financial network that provides cross-border transfers for members across the world, is based in Belgium, its board includes executives from US banks with US federal law allowing the administration to act against banks and regulators across the globe. It supports most interbank messages, connecting over 11,000 financial institutions in more than 200 countries and territories.

Washington’s pressure has pushed Brussels to look at creating a SWIFT alternative. As we reported at the time, in August German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas called on the EU to set up an independent equivalent of the system. Later, EU Foreign Affairs Chief Federica Mogherini confirmed that the bloc’s signatories remain committed to the nuclear deal with Iran and are working to create special payment channels to do business with the Islamic Republic. That proposal stalled in Brussels and major European firms left Iran.

* * *

Whether with or without SWIFT's involvement, Iranians are bracing for the full force of US sanctions due to hit on Monday. The new sanctions, which also aim to cut off Iran’s banking sector from the global market, are timed to coincide with the anniversary of the 1979 storming by Iranian revolutionaries of the US embassy in Tehran, when angry students took 52 American diplomats hostage for 444 days.

Iran has remained defiant, saying it is confident it can weather the impacts, and that the US will fail to bring down Iranian oil imports to zero.

On Friday, President Trump announced the reimposition of sanctions by tweeting on Friday a photograph of himself in the style of an advertisement for the Game of Thrones series, with the tagline: “Sanctions Are Coming, November 5” (much to the chagrin of HBO).

The office of Iran’s Quds force commander, Qassem Soleimani, retaliated by posting a photo of himself in a similar style alongside the tagline: “I will stand against you.”

But ordinary people, wary of the fluctuations of the currency and the rising prices of goods, are anxious. On Sunday, a state-organised rally took place in front of the former US embassy compound in central Tehran to mark the anniversary. The crowd held placards reading “Down with USA”, and “Down with Israel”, while others set US and Israeli flags on fire.

“Never threaten the Iranian people,” Mohammad Ali Jafari, the commander of Iran’s elite revolutionary guards told people gathering in front of the former embassy, officially referred to as a “den of spies”. “Do not make military threats against us, and do not frighten us with military threats,” he added.

Iran is also relying on European support: as noted above, the EU has set up a mechanism – known as a special purpose vehicle (SPV) – to sidestep US sanctions and persuade an increasingly reluctant Iran to stay inside the deal in the hope of rescuing its economy. It is unclear if Europe will be willing to actually activate this "SWIFT-alternative", however, in light of Mnuchin's threats.

Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, reacting to Trump’s threats on Saturday, said America’s power was in decline. “The US’s goal in imposing sanctions is to paralyze and prevent the growth of national economy; but it resulted in a movement towards self-sufficiency in Iran,” he said.

Inside Iran, however, people are on tenterhooks. Economic grievances were a trigger for a wave of nationwide protests in recent months over the scarcity of the US dollar, unpaid wages and rising prices. “Nov 5th isn’t the most pivotal moment in this saga,” said Ali Vaez, Iran project director at the International Crisis Group told the Guardian. “Paradoxically, if sanctions prove as effective as the White House is hoping for, they are bound to push Iran to either revive its nuclear program or become more aggressive in the region. Both will significantly increase the risks of a military confrontation.”

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-04/us-threatens-swift-sanctions-if-iran-isnt-cut

....

Not certain this will amount to anything. There's a possibility we'll see a small surge in the value of bitcoin and crypto currencies if SWIFT is penalized. Sanctions imposed against SWIFT could create a vacuum crypto could grow in to meet needs and demands of consumers.

If Iran is cut off, it could mean we'll be reading news stories about large banks laundering money for Iran in the future as it would represent billions in under the table business. That would appear to be the trend we've witnessed with sanctions imposed against russia.

Mainly posting this is as it is the 1st time I can remember anyone threatening SWIFT. Could be a historic moment, here.
2697  Economy / Economics / Intel CPUs fall to new hyperthreading exploit that pilfers crypto keys on: November 08, 2018, 07:35:54 AM
Quote
Side-channel leak in Skylake and Kaby Lake chips probably affects AMD CPUs, too.

Over the past 11 months, the processors running our computers, and in some cases phones, have succumbed to a host of attacks. Bearing names such as Meltdown and Spectre, BranchScope, TLBleed, and Foreshadow, the exploits threaten to siphon some of our most sensitive secrets—say passwords or cryptographic keys—out of the silicon microarchitecture in ways that can’t be detected or stopped by traditional security defenses. On Friday, researchers disclosed yet another leak that has already been shown to exist on a wide range of Intel chips and may also affect other makers, too.

PortSmash, as the new attack is being called, exploits a largely overlooked side-channel in Intel’s hyperthreading technology. A proprietary implementation of simultaneous multithreading, hyperthreading reduces the amount of time needed to carry out parallel computing tasks, in which large numbers of calculations or executions are carried out simultaneously. The performance boost is the result of two logical processor cores sharing the hardware of a single physical processor. The added logical cores make it easier to divide large tasks into smaller ones that can be completed more quickly.

Port contention as a side channel
In a paper scheduled for release soon, researchers document how they were able to exploit the newly discovered leak to recover an elliptic curve private key from a server running an OpenSSL-powered TLS server. The attack, which was carried out on servers running Intel Skylake and Kaby Lake chips and Ubuntu, worked by sending one logical core a steady stream of instructions and carefully measuring the time it took for them to get executed.

The specific timing allowed PortSmash to deduce the key being processed in another logical core of the same processor. The resource providing the leak is port contention, a phenomenon that happens when multiple instructions using the same physical processor resources get assigned to various ports to await completion. The vulnerability is indexed as CVE-2018-5407. It affects PCs as well as servers, although the vector for exploit generally favors the latter.


“Our technique can choose among several configurations to target different configurations to target different ports in order to adapt to different scenarios, thus offering a very fine spatial granularity,” the researchers wrote in the paper. “Additionally, PortSmash is highly portable and its prerequisites for execution are minimal, i.e., does not require knowledge of memory cache-lines, eviction sets, machine learning techniques, nor reverse engineering techniques.”

In an email, Billy Bob Brumley, a professor at the Tampere University of Technology in Finland and one of the authors of the paper, said he expects that chips beyond the Skylake and Kaby Lake architectures are similarly vulnerable with slight modifications to the attack code. “We strongly suspect AMD Ryzen architectures which feature SMT are vulnerable, but we leave that for future work,” he wrote. “(The real reason is we don’t have the [hardware] to test it on at the moment, so we have to wait.)”

Brumley said the most likely real-world scenario for maliciously exploiting the vulnerability is in so-called infrastructure as a service environments, in which a cloud provider hosts all the trappings of an on-premises data center, including the servers, storage and networking hardware, and the virtualization or hypervisor layer.

“Personally speaking, I feel remote login scenarios are the biggest targeted threat,” Brumley wrote. “Here, a [malicious] user with credentials logs in (e.g. via SSH), compiles the exploit code, and runs it to extract information from other processes running in parallel.”

Brumley said the exploit was written in x64 assembly code that runs locally on a vulnerable computer. He said he knows of no evidence the results can currently be reproduced using JavaScript downloaded from a website. Given the ability of Spectre to be exploited in JavaScript, it remains a possibility. The researchers' proof-of-concept exploit is available here.

In a statement, Intel officials wrote:

Quote
This issue is not reliant on speculative execution, and is therefore unrelated to Spectre, Meltdown or L1 Terminal Fault. We expect that it is not unique to Intel platforms. Research on side-channel analysis methods often focuses on manipulating and measuring the characteristics, such as timing, of shared hardware resources. Software or software libraries can be protected against such issues by employing side channel safe development practices. Protecting our customers’ data and ensuring the security of our products is a top priority for Intel and we will continue to work with customers, partners and researchers to understand and mitigate any vulnerabilities that are identified.

Hyperthreading under the gun
PortSmash is the second processor attack that targets hyperthreading. TLBleed disclosed in June also used hyperthreading to determine a private encryption key. The researchers developing that attack ran a program calculating cryptographic signatures using the Curve 25519 EdDSA algorithm implemented in libgcrypt on one logical core and their attack program on the other logical core. They were able to determine the 256-bit encryption key used to calculate the signature with a combination of two milliseconds of observation, followed by 17 seconds of machine-learning-driven guessing and a final fraction of a second of brute-force guessing. The side channel in that case was provided by the translation lookaside buffer.

TLBleed was worrisome enough to prompt developers to disable hyperthreading in OpenBSD, the operating system that prioritizes security. Brumley also recommended that users disable SMT in their BIOS or choose platforms that don’t offer it at all. Better yet, he told Ars, OS developers should disable SMT at boot time.

On a vulnerability disclosure group thread discussing PortSmash, Alexander Peslyak, the security specialist better known as Solar Designer, praised the research as “top notch.” He then said that the port contention side-channel has long been obvious and “a fully expected property.”

“Maybe the problem is it wasn’t documented as such,” he wrote. “Maybe we should have put more effort into making it more obvious to everyone in 2005, like it’s finally done now.”

Peslyak went on to say that the version of OpenSSL exploited by PortSmash was doing things that in theory could leak keys even when SMT is turned off, albeit at a pace that would require much more time and many more resources.

An OpenSSL bug, too
Paul Kocher, the cryptography security expert who discovered Spectre, agreed that a key weakness that makes PortSmash so alarming was the way OpenSSL carried out sensitive operations using branch instructions that’s based on secret values.

“This kind of leakage is something that crypto library authors already understand pretty well and know they need to protect against,” Kocher wrote in an email “E.g. it’s typically assumed that any situation where secrets to affect the control flow, such as the condition for a branch, needs to be avoided. As a result, I’d say that this work describes an OpenSSL bug that can be exploited using well-known issues with hyperthreading (and perhaps other ways as well, e.g. branch predictor state).”

OpenSSL developers have since released an update that makes PortSmash infeasible. While details weren’t immediately available, they likely involve changes in the way OpenSSL uses, or interacts with, SMT.

The PortSmash paper, titled Port Contention for Fun and Profit, continues to recommend fully disabling SMT, not only to blunt the threat of PortSmash, but also those of TLBleed and two similar attacks known as CacheBleed and MemJam. But the authors go on to recognize the performance loss the countermeasure will have on thread-intensive applications.[/b] A defense that would have less of a performance cost is a proposed change to OSes to support logical core isolation requests that apps could make when carrying out sensitive tasks. The selective SMT disabling would inflict a much lower performance penalty, but it also requires a large upfront investment in the form of changes to OSes and the code libraries.

Another approach the authors recommend is for applications to use port-independent code, which “can be achieved through secret-independent execution flow secure coding practices, similar to constant-time execution.”

To repeat a point made earlier, PortSmash currently poses a threat mainly to people using computers or services that allow untrusted people to use the same physical processor. These users should pay close attention to the research and carefully consider the recommendations. For the time being, the risk to others is likely low, but that could change with more research.

https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2018/11/intel-cpus-fall-to-new-hyperthreading-exploit-that-pilfers-crypto-keys/

....

More vulnerabilities. Some are recommending end users disable hyperthreading or SMT (simultaneous multi threading?) on devices where security is a top priority to maintain system integrity.

To a degree, computer security depends on exploits to push standards higher. We've seen virus and malware authors write relatively harmless code in the past, in an effort to compel vendors to fix vulns before they develop into real issues. It would seem this has been an issue since 2005 but for whatever reason, the topic went neglected and ignored and hasn't been addressed until now.
2698  Economy / Economics / Big investors sue 16 banks in U.S. over currency market rigging on: November 08, 2018, 07:23:11 AM
Quote
NEW YORK (Reuters) - A group of large institutional investors including BlackRock Inc and Allianz SE’s Pacific Investment Management Co has sued 16 major banks, accusing them of rigging prices in the roughly $5.1 trillion-a-day foreign exchange market.

The lawsuit was filed on Wednesday in the U.S. District Court in Manhattan by plaintiffs that decided to “opt out” of similar nationwide litigation that has resulted in $2.31 billion (£1.76 billion) of settlements with 15 of the banks.

Those settlements followed worldwide regulatory probes that have led to more than $10 billion of fines for several banks, and the convictions or indictments of some traders.

The banks being sued are: Bank of America, Barclays, BNP Paribas, Citigroup, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, HSBC, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Japan’s MUFG Bank, Royal Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Scotland, Societe Generale, Standard Chartered and UBS.


Investors typically opt out of litigation when they hope to recover more by suing on their own.

The plaintiffs in Wednesday’s lawsuit accused the banks of violating U.S. antitrust law by conspiring from 2003 to 2013 to rig currency benchmarks including the WM/Reuters Closing Rates for their own benefit by sharing confidential orders and trading positions.

This manipulation was allegedly done through chat rooms with such names as “The Cartel,” “The Mafia” and “The Bandits’ Club,” through tactics with such names as “front running,” “banging the close,” “painting the screen” and “taking out the filth.”

“By colluding to manipulate FX prices, benchmarks, and bid/ask spreads, defendants restrained trade, decreased competition, and artificially increased prices, thereby injuring plaintiffs,” the 221-page complaint said.

Norway’s central bank Norges Bank and the big public pension fund California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS) are among the several other named plaintiffs.

Many of the plaintiffs plan to pursue similar litigation in London against many of the bank defendants with respect to trades in Europe, a footnote in the complaint said.

Citigroup’s $402 million settlement is the largest in the earlier litigation. Credit Suisse has yet to settle that case. Neither had an immediate comment on Wednesday’s lawsuit.

The law firm Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan represents the opt-out investors.

The case is Allianz Global Investors GMBH et al v Bank of America Corp et al, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York, No. 18-10364.

https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-forex-lawsuit/big-investors-sue-16-banks-in-u-s-over-currency-market-rigging-idUSKCN1NC34J

....

This portion could have relevence to crypto trading:

Quote
The plaintiffs in Wednesday’s lawsuit accused the banks of violating U.S. antitrust law by conspiring from 2003 to 2013 to rig currency benchmarks including the WM/Reuters Closing Rates for their own benefit by sharing confidential orders and trading positions.

I think most of us suspected at one time or another crypto market pump and dump cycles were influenced by coordinated trades made by whales and larger institutional actors. The media has done a good job of convincing the public forms of collusion based trading only occur in "unregulated" markets such as crypto altcoins. The sad truth may be it occurs everywhere with regulatory agencies ignoring what is blatantly happening right in front of them.

If nothing else, the tendency financial analysts and experts have to ignore these indiscretions while harping incessantly upon purported negatives of crypto currencies, could be interesting to some.
2699  Economy / Economics / Asteroid mining company Planetary Resources acquired by blockchain firm on: November 03, 2018, 05:58:54 AM
Quote
WASHINGTON — Planetary Resources Inc., once a high-flying company backed by billionaires with aspirations to mine asteroids, only to later suffer funding problems, has been acquired by a blockchain company, the firms announced Oct. 31.

Planetary Resources said in a statement that it was acquired by ConsenSys, Inc. in an “asset-purchase transaction.” The companies did not disclose specific terms of the agreement. Chris Lewicki, the president and chief executive of Planetary Resources, and Brian Israel, the company’s general counsel, will join ConsenSys as part of the deal.

ConsenSys describes itself as a “blockchain venture production studio focused on building and scaling tools, disruptive startups, and enterprise software products powered by decentralized technology, specifically Ethereum.” Ethereum itself is a decentralized computing platform best known for supporting a cryptocurrency called Ether similar to the better-known bitcoin.

ConsenSys was founded by Joseph Lubin, one of the co-developers of Ethereum, in 2015. It said it has more than 1,100 employees on six continents. ConsenSys has more than three dozen “spokes,” or companies working on various projects that make use of Ethereum, including financial management company Balance, journalism platform Civil and gaming company Virtue Poker.

In a statement, Lubin said that Planetary Resources’ expertise in space would be folded into ConsenSys. “Bringing deep space capabilities into the ConsenSys ecosystem reflects our belief in the potential for Ethereum to help humanity craft new societal rule systems through automated trust and guaranteed execution,” he said, referring to the “smart contracts” enabled by Ethereum. “And it reflects our belief in democratizing and decentralizing space endeavors to unite our species and unlock untapped human potential.”

Lubin didn’t disclose how specifically Planetary Resources fit into his company other than that he would be “sharing our plans and how to join us on this journey in the months ahead.”

Planetary Resources first announced its asteroid mining plans in 2012 after three years in stealth mode. The company’s original vision called for prospecting near Earth asteroids for water ice that could later be extracted and then sold as propellant. “I think we’ll have propellant depots in operation within the decade,” Eric Anderson, the co-founder and original co-chairman of the company, said in a 2012 interview.

Anderson, best known in the space industry as the co-founder and chairman of space tourism company Space Adventures, established the company with Peter Diamandis, founder of the X Prize Foundation. The company’s initial investors featured a group of wealthy individuals, including Google co-founder Larry Page and chairman Eric Schmidt, Ross Perot Jr., and Charles Simonyi, the former Microsoft executive who flew to the International Space Station twice as a client of Space Adventures. Richard Branson later invested in the company, as did the government of Luxembourg’s SpaceResources.lu initiative.

The company developed a series of cubesats to serve as technology demonstrators for future asteroid prospectors. The first, Arkyd-3, was lost in the October 2014 Antares launch failure. A second, Arkyd-3R, was deployed from the ISS in July 2015, followed by Arkyd-6 in January on an Indian Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle.

By the time Arkyd-6 was in orbit demonstrating its mid-wave infrared imager, though, the company was in financial difficulties. Planetary Resources made was industry sources said were substantial layoffs early this year when it was unable to close a funding round.

Lewicki said in a March interview the lead in that planned funding round was an unnamed “major global mining company” that delayed an investment it planned to make last year for budget reasons. “We just have to adjust everything and find the right timing and the right value proposition,” he said then.

In the statement about the ConsenSys acquisition, Lewicki and Israel offered few details about Planetary Resources’ future. Israel, a former State Department lawyer who worked on issues such as the Outer Space Treaty, suggested that the company could leverage ConsenSys’ technology for space commerce.

“Ethereum smart contract functionality is a natural solution for private-ordering and commerce in space — the only domain of human activity not ordered around territorial sovereignty — in which a diverse range of actors from a growing number of countries must coordinate and transact,” Israel said.

“I am proud of our team’s extraordinary accomplishments, grateful to our visionary supporters, and delighted to join ConsenSys in building atop our work to expand humanity’s economic sphere of influence into the solar system,” Lewicki said in the statement.

In a comment attached to the statement on the Planetary Resources’ website, one person asked if the ConsenSys acquisition would allow for alternative “tokenized” investment into Planetary Resources using Ethereum. “That’s a possibility that could be enabled by the new venture,” Lewicki responded. “Stay tuned!”


https://spacenews.com/asteroid-mining-company-planetary-resources-acquired-by-blockchain-firm/

....

Ethereum hasn't had the best run thus far in 2018. It is nice to see ETH based enterprises pushing the technology, associating themselves with ambitious and futuristic plans like asteroid mining. I like that someone seems optimistic and positive about its future and is taking the bullish route on the future of crypto markets.

That said does anyone get a feeling this asteroid mining announcement parallels cases where corporations announced vaporware "blockchain projects" in an effort to boost their stock price? I can't recall much being invested in fleshing out how asteroid mining is expected to work in principle. There is a vague outline but afaik most of the key details and problems with it remain unresolved. Hopefully they can figure it out and hit their 10 year timeline.
2700  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UFC 230: Cormier vs Lewis Prediction and Info Thread on: November 03, 2018, 05:14:06 AM
^  Is Brunson's wrestling really that good?  I don't think we've seen enough of it as of late to be considered a threat against Adesanya.  I think Adesanya will finish Brunson ITD.

And thanks for the notes.  Smiley

You can see Derek Brunson slamming Yoel Romero twice here in their fight highlights. The only person to do that to Yoel in MMA. Brunson won rounds 1 and 2. Yoel needed a finish to win that fight & he got it. Also notice the dark spot on the rear of Yoel's shorts? He pooped himself in that fight for whatever reason.

Brunson vs Romero Fight Highlights: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7XrgnBowWDk

Its hard to say how good of a wrestler Brunson is, now. That fight happened back in 2014 when Brunson was still training out of Greg Jackson's MMA gym. These days Brunson started his own MMA gym and his sparring partners and training might not be as good. That 2014 fight might also have been before Yoel Romero joined American Top Team. His training and preparation might not have been as good as it is now.

Brunson's chin might be gone the way Jacare finished him so easily. That could make Adesanya's job easier....
Pages: « 1 ... 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 [135] 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 ... 274 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!