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3021  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: blockfreight? on: June 16, 2016, 05:06:39 PM
^^
vielen dank für die ausführliche antwort!
3022  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / blockfreight? on: June 16, 2016, 01:25:30 PM
ist das genial oder kompletter unsinn?

http://blockfreight.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/BlockfreightWhitepaperFinalDraft.pdf
3023  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 16, 2016, 01:19:43 PM
Foreign investors are dumping US debt at record levels at the same time that US debt is at record levels.

Who is going to buy our US debt? That's all the US has left at this point. They certainly don't produce anything except for war and debt.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-treasury-securities-idUSKCN0Z2038


the entire global financial situation becomes the perfect storm for bitcoin. it could still fail, we all know. but future price hikes could also surprise even the biggest bitcoin-über bull by orders of magnitude. well, i am definetely a bit euphoric right now.

But any gains in "dollar value" made from the economy crumbling will not increase buying value too much. If it costs $10,000 for a loaf of bread and the bitcoin price is $10,737 it will not be that great of an outcome. Though it would probably push the price up as people who still have money try to find a safe haven for their money.

And people with dollars will be up shit creek trying to buy a $10,000 loaf of bread if their salary does not also rise as quickly.

right, a global financial blow-off could create chaos in which bitcoin is worthless. it could survive, though.
3024  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: June 16, 2016, 01:09:09 PM
ist das genial oder kompletter unsinn?

http://blockfreight.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/BlockfreightWhitepaperFinalDraft.pdf

edit: hab eigenen thread aufgemacht:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1514314.0

3025  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 16, 2016, 01:01:24 PM
Foreign investors are dumping US debt at record levels at the same time that US debt is at record levels.

Who is going to buy our US debt? That's all the US has left at this point. They certainly don't produce anything except for war and debt.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-treasury-securities-idUSKCN0Z2038


the entire global financial situation becomes the perfect storm for bitcoin. it could still fail, we all know. but future price hikes could also surprise even the biggest bitcoin-über bull by orders of magnitude. well, i am definetely a bit euphoric right now.
3026  Economy / Speculation / Re: Parity watch -> Who's next? on: June 16, 2016, 11:41:09 AM
well said. i have to add though, that it ended a centuries long fuck up for every traveller crossing borders (in europe, the next border is just around the corner) when you wanted to travel from the netherlands to italy you had to convert your gulden into dmarks, swissfrancs/austrian schilling (depends how you crossed the alps) and italian lira. you got robbed by kiosk exchanges every time you needed to change, you never really knew how much to change, if you changed too much, you got robbed again converting it all back to your dutch gulden. we are talking about one little trip of less than 1000 miles. what a clusterfuck that was.

I wonder how far back in time you have to go to find people travelling the countries (kingdoms?) of Europe with raw gold or silver bullion in their pockets to solve that problem? It seems odd that such a ubiquitous institution as precious-metals-as-money could be stifled so effectively without electronic banking acting as a gatekeeper.

I mean, before WW1, it was possible to travel Europe without a passport of any kind quite far into the East or South unimpeded, and no Shengen agreement or United States of Europe was required! Could it be that simple freedom to choose is the most powerful universal system there is! It's cheaper and more effective than federalsim/statism at playing the same ostensible role.

correct. there was a rather liberal time before ww1.
before germany "deutsches reich" was formed 1871 you couldn´t even travel from hesse to bavaria without approval from government. even the right to travel for the traveling journeymen that was in place since medivial times was taken in the first half of the 19th century Tongue
3027  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 16, 2016, 11:30:18 AM
bitcoin up 11.5% in last 24 hrs.
3028  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 16, 2016, 11:19:08 AM
I don't want to say it out loud for fear of jinxing it but...if we hit $900 in the next 10 days...that would be double in a month.

Look at the last two run ups and see how long it took to double. Then look what happened again in the next 2 weeks, then 1 week.




i agree...

1st doubling: 04.feb. - 16.juni ($368 - $732) = ca. 18 weeks = done
2nd doubling: 16.juni - 25.aug. ($732 - $1450) = ca. 9 weeks
3rd doubling: 25.aug.- 29.sep. ($1450 - $2900) = ca. 5 weeks
4th doubling: 29.sep.- 13.okt. ($2900 - $5800) = ca. 2 weeks
5th doubling: 13.okt.- 20.okt. ($5800 - $11600) = ca. 1week
6th doubling: within 2-3 days = top of the peak.

somewhere through the 6th doubling or maybe when it tries to double yet again within 24hrs is peak. somewhere between $10k and $40k

all figueres bitstamp & my ass.

this is gentlemen.

 Cool

what do you think?
3029  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: June 16, 2016, 11:12:31 AM
ich war bis gestern cool&easy. vorbei. meine nerven flattern. aber nicht vor angst vor einem absturz. sondern weil wir demnächst ein neues ath sehen werden.
3030  Economy / Speculation / Re: Clear moon pattern forming on: June 16, 2016, 10:48:23 AM
the rise is so slow and steady i don't think we are going to see any kinds of moontime anytime soon. there is just going to be the same slow and steady rise for the time being and unless i see a spike not a small rise i wouldn't call it moon.


you nailed it. congrats.
3031  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 16, 2016, 10:46:59 AM
wtf, where are all the trains, rockets, moon and other related GIFs?

The poster above you has an avatar that looks like either a rocket or a spaceship.

It's from the Galaga space ship shooting game released by Namco in 1981. There's one low resolution rocket for you.



woah. my fav video game back then.
3032  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 16, 2016, 10:35:23 AM
wtf, where are all the trains, rockets, moon and other related GIFs?

the rockets have all left orbit. heading for moon.
3033  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: June 16, 2016, 10:33:57 AM
Did I see right? You're thinking we're going to test the ATH? Any timeframe in mind?
After 750, 1000 is the next stop (around ATH).

If we break 750 for good today (775+) then maybe until Sunday.

klee, will you marry me?

oh wait, i am already married.  Cheesy
3034  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: June 16, 2016, 08:41:58 AM
Roll Eyes
Zurück zum Thema: Warum sollte es?

because bitcoin
3035  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: June 16, 2016, 06:47:20 AM

Das ist nicht nur eine Verdoppelung sondern noch viel kraenker weil sich naemlich die Zeit halbiert, d.h.:

- x 2  in 18 Wochen
- x 16 in den folgenden 18 Wochen

Falls ich irgendwo nen Faktor 2 vergessen haben isses auch egal  Grin

ich glaub man nennt es exponentiell...  Cheesy

Nein, das ist schneller als exponentiell, exponentiell waere:

- x 2 in den ersten 18 Wochen (n=1)
- x 2 in den zweiten 18 Wochen (n=2)
- x 2 in den dritten 18 Wochen (n=3)

=> 2^n



Was Du aber beschreibst ist viel kraenker:

- x 2 in den ersten 18 Wochen (n=1)
- x 16 in den zweiten 18 Wochen (n=2)
- x 256 in den dritten 18 Wochen (n=3)

=> 2^(2^(4*(n-1)))

oh...danke.. (war bis 4 uhr wach...) und wie würden die zahlen bei einer exponentiellen steigerung aussehen?
3036  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 16, 2016, 06:43:33 AM
this will be a great day at work. there are 4 pc´s online there and lots of smartphones. i cannot escape. i cannot concentrate. good thing i am the boss, because if i wouldn´t be, my boss would kick my arse.  Smiley
3037  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: June 16, 2016, 06:38:44 AM

ich glaub man nennt es exponentiell...  Cheesy

ehrlich wie kommst drauf?  Grin

guten morgen mario.

deine bitcoins haben sich in den letzten 24 stunden um 7% verteuert. vergleich das mal mit der 10jährigen bundesanleihe. 0% in 10 jahren. muahahaha. oder bei einer bank anlegen. satte 1.5% p.a.  wir machen in 24h das, wofür andere 4 jahre brauchen.  Smiley

hasta la victoria siempre!
3038  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: June 16, 2016, 06:27:43 AM

Das ist nicht nur eine Verdoppelung sondern noch viel kraenker weil sich naemlich die Zeit halbiert, d.h.:

- x 2  in 18 Wochen
- x 16 in den folgenden 18 Wochen

Falls ich irgendwo nen Faktor 2 vergessen haben isses auch egal  Grin

ich glaub man nennt es exponentiell...  Cheesy
3039  Economy / Speculation / Re: Parity watch -> Who's next? on: June 16, 2016, 06:25:25 AM
Quote from: marcusofaugustus
It is an interesting question. I saw other EU countries on the CIA list also, like France, germany, etc and wondered how they calculate that since the European Union has it's own M1 (euros) also ... I wonder if the member banks have an allotment of their own money stock that they get to manage separately from their 'euro' stock?

i think every euro member still has an operating central bank and they are printing "their" €. but they are not independent, they are under EZB supervision. frankfurt tells them what to do. i can recall that there are ways to differentiate between an italian € note and a dutch € note for example.  

The whole currency union concept is somewhat of a dubious implementation, driven by a bizarre form of pragmatism, in fairness. It's not just the cash portion of the money supply that is separate, the commercial banks in each Euro member state are also partitioned from each other, so there's actually a fair amount of friction between these conditionally integrated pools of Euro currency. It amounts to more de facto serfdom for the wage-slaves of the Euro area, as the ordinary everyday individual has little opportunity to take advantage of the common market using the Euro: several countries have laws banning more than a few thousand Euros of cash, opening bank accounts in countries with the more stable banking systems is not easy for non-citizens (hurray for the single market!), and cross border transfers from one Euro account to another with SEPA are still treated as foreign transfers from a legal/regulatory perspective.

It's almost as if trying to shoe-horn a single currency into an area with multiple established currencies is totally unnatural..... Grin

well said. i have to add though, that it ended a centuries long fuck up for every traveller crossing borders (in europe, the next border is just around the corner) when you wanted to travel from the netherlands to italy you had to convert your gulden into dmarks, swissfrancs/austrian schilling (depends how you crossed the alps) and italian lira. you got robbed by kiosk exchanges every time you needed to change, you never really knew how much to change, if you changed too much, you got robbed again converting it all back to your dutch gulden. we are talking about one little trip of less than 1000 miles. what a clusterfuck that was.
3040  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 16, 2016, 06:05:00 AM
1st doubling: 04.feb. - 16.juni ($368 - $732) = ca. 18 weeks = done
2nd doubling: 16.juni - 25.aug. ($732 - $1450) = ca. 9 weeks
3rd doubling: 25.aug.- 29.sep. ($1450 - $2900) = ca. 5 weeks
4th doubling: 29.sep.- 13.okt. ($2900 - $5800) = ca. 2 weeks
5th doubling: 13.okt.- 20.okt. ($5800 - $11600) = ca. 1week
6th doubling: within 2-3 days = top of the peak.

somewhere through the 6th doubling or maybe when it tries to double yet again within 24hrs is peak. somewhere between $10k and $40k

all figueres bitstamp & my ass.

this is gentlemen.

 Cool
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