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321  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Streaming community are getting worst!!! on: April 27, 2024, 11:42:43 PM
All that needs to be true from a stream is the game being played is the same game available to anyone.   I see no problem with watching a stream of gambling, decide if you want to watch or not and the decision is on you as an adult.  Why it became controversial is a mystery, theres a stream of a log burning on stream and thats been a classic broadcast going back decades and its perfectly harmless.  Do I support forest fires no, but people can burn a log if they feel like it and put it on steam and so to gambling.  I'd only dispute it as deceptive if the game odds were not true to life, if its a different game not available to the public in any way.
322  Economy / Economics / Re: World price tag on every product. on: April 27, 2024, 11:29:18 PM
Awesome idea but only in theory.   Prices do not stay the same even in the same place but a different time, it always varies.  Price varies by whether you collect or want it delivered and so many other factors.  The universal price would ignore geography and alll kinds of factors that make up pricing.

This would require enforcement that is not really a positive, it would equate to a subsidy and would require payment from the people via government force to continue in operation.     The best attempt at this idea would be to give some foods tax free status as a bonus to their production vs normal luxury taxes on other items.  There some attempt at this in many countries and also books are sometimes given beneficial status on some kind for transport costs.    We cannot just force a singular price, it fails to pay the retailer, the logistics and even production cost according to market varies they all must be paid for.
323  Economy / Economics / Re: We need higher wages off course but goverment need to do one thing on: April 27, 2024, 11:16:18 PM
Thats a military dictatorship, more of a hostage situation then what I would call a system of governance.  The way I would classify the terrority of North Korea is like a satellite nation of China with China also being a military dictatorship for its continuance.  In theory they worship at a different school of politics but ultimately the countries are occupied by an army holding a gun to its people on whether they contest the government or not.  I dont think they make it as far as communism or long words, its just shot vs shot. 
324  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Eurovision 2024 bets on: April 27, 2024, 09:37:21 PM
The cheat sheet for who wins will be similar to the oscars, look for the theme.  We have a few wars ongoing at present etc.  so a peace theme might easily gain a global consensus which will secure the majority of votes over just a normal song that is ok in a pop way.   I reckon this is how it will go down this year especially with so many possibilities, they'll want some united positive type themed song and on average it will collect the most votes.

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Israel is set to participate in the Eurovision Song Contest 2024 in Malmö, Sweden, with "Hurricane" performed by Eden Golan.

Remote as Israel might seem from Europe, the troubles ongoing will be a part of this contest so some discussion around this is inevitably going to occur.  Hence I do think some peace type anthem wins or some similar theme.

4.8m views Hurricane.   I like it tbh so post if theres a better song -  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lJYn09tuPw4
325  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why do some people hide to gamble on: April 27, 2024, 06:04:52 PM
Quite funny if people manage to judge gambling badly when equal or greater risk is being taken by banks or those in finance every day and that damage can be serious from larger amounts risked.  

Gambling if done right is just a game and you should not risk your overall financial stability on bets which can always go either way if you are being honest with yourself.  Do that much and play as a game everyday with limits on what is leisure money to spend and you will be superior to the bank manager with no shame at all applicable.
326  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why has bitcoin prices not increased just after halving ? on: April 27, 2024, 01:57:41 PM
This topic title and the attitude that goes with it is totally reasonable but does make me wonder if the missing presumative positive could even lead to an ironic negative sell off.  Might just be short term but today Im watching the line to see how we end this week off.

We're below the 50 day average and this alone is never resistance but it is some indicator for caution.   We cannot be bullish or think that way while hesitating below the 50 day average, its a solid measure of medium term momentum and we are lacking at present.

The other point Im watching is totally simple, its the edges of the fish bowl we've swimming in circles within since Feb.  It looked good at first but Im bored now and worse still would be if the market itself lost patience and sold off from here.

  Failure to hold the 60k range and not recover quickly as we managed just week would put us back into the bad lands, outside this hospitable if restraining borders.
327  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Jake Paul to Fight Mike Tyson in Live Netflix Boxing Event - July 20 on: April 26, 2024, 11:59:57 PM
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There is a huge chance that Jake is going to win this fight actually.

Slight chance of a good punch and somehow that's enough to get a win but it seems mighty unlikely overall.  The consistency is not there in a superior way to say Jake has the advantage overall, a bit luck who knows what can happen but thats a minor scenario.  If the fight is not straightforward and has a script then sure that's a huge chance of an erratic result but I don't think they'll risk literally setting it all up so I agree there is a chance of Jake winning but its less then 10% imo.

He hasnt got the advantage on any point of play not even the power with height and reach its not enough, Tyson has faced that disadvantage before.  That only leaves us one conclusion, poor health and some kind of points win awarded to Jake Paul.    If I judge Tyson has serious substance abuse problems either current or previous and its been serious enough that he'll never recover his technique to defend himself then that leads to a Jake Paul win fair and square but otherwise Tyson can and should win even at an older age.
328  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Have you consider yourself, the family and gambling? on: April 26, 2024, 11:49:49 PM
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1. At what age will you allow your child to start gambling? that is if you will even allow for that at all?
2. At what age do you see yourself quit gambling? that is also if some of us are going to ever do so?
3. Ever since you have started gambling, have you ever achieve a satisfying level that makes you think it has good impact on you?
4. Would you have missed out on anything if you were not a gambler?


Allow is a bad concept, children need to be prepared for normal events in life and gambles are a normal thing to encounter.  I dont see how you are better treating a children by pretending a risk does not exist then letting them deal without alone without any guidance first.   People have the false perspective they can control everything which is unfortunate because that is not life.

No need to give up normal levels of gambling, play when you feel like it and have time to do so.   Never overplay because it'll not do much good or be much fun in my experience.

Satisfying level would be just gambling as a game for fun, ideal is to find a game you like then the loss is less if any.

I think I'd think less without gambling and considering all odds etc.  Play nothing instead of a game and you are less capable surely so thats a loss.
329  Economy / Gambling / Re: Why they need a license if bitcon is not money? on: April 26, 2024, 06:30:52 PM
Laundering is probably the main concern rather then anything else, all the sites mentioned are probably keen not to be seen as mixers and follow similar rules to avoid being used for any possible criminal activity.   To not do so would only cause more trouble then its worth, from what Ive read where asked by authorities they would provide information so as to avoid any unnecessary association with any illegal money movements etc.  

I agree on the main point that BTC is not classed as money but that might not be as relevant as it would seem; Ive even seen computer game items almost anything online that's exchangeable, any tradable tokens treated in a similar way.
  They are apprehensive about movements of value especially large amounts even if its not really a currency, its just some virtual token and games are usually centralized not related to decentralized blockchains  but digitally I see them treated similarly over many years.
330  Economy / Economics / Re: Is Bitcoin’s bull run coming to an end? on: April 26, 2024, 05:56:21 PM
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how many people have money left and how many people will be brave enough to buy more bitcoin if it drops further?

That is the ultimate driver of prices, not speculation but the absence of any ability to speculate on asset prices.  This scenario can happen if a collapse occurs in any large market, its part of why the FED will always inflate the monetary base no matter what while trying to keep it somewhere moderate.

Only the older folk here  seriously know what a dire retraction feels like.    Interest rates can be 10% and governments can go broke, all of the ones holding far too much debt are on crutches right now pretending its fine.   They arent always ok even the seemingly powerful rich countries can actually fall over because gravity is greater then all of us.

  Economics isnt about politics and the latest funding squabble its about the natural dynamics larger then all of us, the 3 largest global currencies can fall over, this will half BTC price at least to begin with.
331  Economy / Economics / Re: Better Money: Gold, Fiat, Or Bitcoin? on: April 26, 2024, 04:48:06 PM
The other perspective to this is not rely on your own opinion of each asset you might hold but check you know the desire of your trading partner.

If you want to buy something from people who make a required product  or own it then you must exchange something of worth to them.  If China and India both value gold for many decades and into the future then gold is money quite easily and they may not want the alternatives you value.
332  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: April 25, 2024, 11:58:35 PM
I got 9936 and you were whiskers away from being in the same category as me.  I checked the number of free rolls and Im near 21k overall but I dont remember being too lucky, no biggest prize but just getting that many rolls free & going back some time years when BTC was low with the free roll base value similar but BTC nominal figure much higher I cant complain at all can I Cheesy

  Anyone in BTC for a while has to be grateful to be in the right place at the right time, imo for reasons I dont fully understand BTC has always done far better then I expected when writing dismissive things in 2011 about BTC not having any backing etc..  Had I been fully bullish then I'd be a millionaire or equal now, not often that kind of statement in magnitude is fully probable or an exaggeration.


I noticed BTC caught a longer term uptrend on its recent lows, hence a quick recovery.  We resolve higher but so far as month end I think more time required.


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I actually get this number very often but never share it here because I think the prize is too small,
Ignoring the amounts, the probability is quite slim hence its a valid win.  You or anyone else getting that is very lucky on that particular day, maybe its an omen
fag packet maths Tongue  1 in 714  or an eighth of a percent chances aprox.

Looking for similar odds, the odds of being struck by lightning in a lifetime—1 in 15,300
Dying by car accident was only 1 in 100
Odds of becoming a millionaire by any means is 1 in 16 but is not standard.    Imo its 1 in 1 we all make a million when the inflation hits :p
"chances of becoming an astronaut  1 in 1,525." Cool
333  Economy / Speculation / Re: another ATH , 71k and still climbing. on: April 25, 2024, 10:50:21 PM
I think the lows recently caught an uptrend that extends over months going back to last year however the recent action has formed some negative action that will have to be digested before we can progress especially


The uptrend or diagonal line upwards here is roughly in line with the majority of the BTC price action since we registered lows early autumn last year.  Since that time the pace has been regularly positive, we could not have reached 70k aand held it so well if that were not roughly true as a spike up is very often returned backwards just as fast.

The uptrend should be stronger as the longer duration of the two.   We just have to see that fight play out and correctly confident to back the winner when it concludes.  We are below the 50 day average and we are just lying on the weekly average so its a fight still underway.
334  Economy / Speculation / Re: Road to 100k? on: April 24, 2024, 09:05:47 PM
Daily highs for the last few days are both 50 day average and very near to touching the monthly average also regularly.   Could that both in the same place is enough, the lows have now fallen back to a weekly average so BTC remains positive more or less but remains obstructed in any path upwards.

This is he 4th repeat of this sequence in this area of price upwards,  we are just now about to complete a 4th repeat of the sequence downwards from 68k roughly down to 63k.   Even we beat either border we soon clip back onto this range like its the road and we hit the kerb.

No clear road forward yet so we can delay the speculation on targets far over the horizon.
335  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why has bitcoin prices not increased just after halving ? on: April 24, 2024, 04:44:53 PM
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before

1yr before would be fine advice and a cheap price.  Before as in a day before when its clearly signaled and easily known as an flagged event, this is hardly advice more akin to bet on red.     The market works just like any other price anywhere, if everybody already knows about it then the price reflects the tip or advise or clearly known factors already.  Its in the price, take it as lesson to remember because it happens frequently.

Halvening is a change sure but its an alteration of a repeated 10 minute event.   So there is alot of 10 minute blocks every day, across weeks and months.  Thats the real time frame on BTC, it is confusing that the moves can be sharp but the real vice like movement to halvening is like a tortoise race it matters and it is occurring but the change is slow not sharp and immediate.  I believe that dynamic does matter and we see it reflected in prices.  Your friends will be fine imo, dont worry.
336  Economy / Economics / Re: Food shortages coming to the United Kingdom, BUT - on: April 23, 2024, 11:48:03 PM
Meat shortages can occur because its a cattle stock can take up alot more space, the logistics can be greater then plain grown goods but UK can always import from many nearby farming countries.  There is a trading agreement for farming within the commonwealth countries so I dont even think (frozen) meat could come into shortage normally.   I dont believe the UK is quite in that bad situation just yet but possibly bad crops can occur and force some liability in the trading balance.
337  Economy / Economics / Re: Your aging and retirement plan is your responsibility. on: April 23, 2024, 10:25:40 PM
Buy a Gold Dollar or equal value coin every year of your working life and the legend says you will retire and be happy and able to pay your bills.    That one track idea may not work so well in modern economies where we believe we  are beyond basic commodities especially the precious metals that have always been there.

I disagree we have surpassed any prior mistake in economics so I imagine gold will continue to be useful to some extent but not exclusively is that a strategy I would deploy.

    On the other hand some people rely on government bonds in retirement as the safest possible option and that lack of diversity could easily result in problems imo.
338  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Sentiment Poll for April on: April 23, 2024, 06:07:53 PM
Good turn around for BTC this month, its lost its negative movement even if that only means a return to neutral for end March to end of April its still alot more positive then it was looking.

We regained the weekly average, price is now above the 2 day average and just below a monthly average.  Most I would summarise this price action as negative until you find the price range since late Feb is broken and we have new ground.   

If we only keep going sideways it is a positive situation and accumulation of volume at a higher price is positive further out I think.   200 day and 200 week average are often how slow BTC will move and its doing that just now so April by itself was just us going in circles working that out and providing prices with slight variance for those who would find that useful buyers at the lows and sellers at the highs.  I guess every should be happy then and not impatient.
339  Economy / Economics / Re: Is Bitcoin’s bull run coming to an end? on: April 22, 2024, 11:15:41 PM
Retrospective wisdom coming into play here perhaps just less then a week later this is a question obviously not especially correct and its obvious now with recent gains in BTC that the battle far from over with a victory for either side positive or negative.   Very good gains from the bottom of the recent pricing is normal, attempts lower were not found to be profitable and since a large amount of trading price action in BTC is speculative it reverses like stretchy elastic.  

This is all something to recognize and remember for next time because its a common BTC feature imo.   We are within a trading box like cattle penned in, obviously BTC does want to go anywhere but the borders are quite well defined at this point.  It might be less frustrating to call out an actual move when we get past those fences, rougly what I recognize as being 69k down to 59k.

We have moved past these prices but not especially established it with weekly bars and also volume.  So a break higher ideally must confirm the old ceiling as now ground support and vice versa if we go lower.  Last attempt lower didnt confirm itself so here we are very positive it seems, yet it might all repeat again.
340  Economy / Gambling / The Long and Winding Road on: April 22, 2024, 05:46:19 PM
The burn isnt big enough to be a deciding factor someone commentated, probably correct or at least its very slowly altering things.   The larger factors are BTC itself and overall growth of the site, if people buy, use and hold the token then thats going to raise the price.   The majority of users may not be going down that path and only lightly holding some btc, placing some bets etc.  growth there would alter the token price alot I think.

The end of month BTC price bet ends in about 24hr and its indecisive as ever.  We did get a very good threat of downward breakout and its not done that at all.   We are just on repeat and end April I would guess now will be similar to a month ago.

Its not easy to break out of a range upwards any more then we have seen that bounce off the bottom.  So I have to guess a kinda boring conclusion this month, Im biased to wanting unexpected surprises but no prediction for that from me it looks dead calm.  BTC itself is doing well, good news overall.
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