I understand what you guys are saying... and the "obvious" thing to do at this point is cut and run... but then, the "obvious" thing would have been to NOT put any money into this in the first place!  Which is kind of the entire point of this little experiment. Hopefully, by having an independent user actually participating and providing "real" data and not blowing smoke about "algorithms", "machine learning" and backtests using ridiculous bankrolls and fancy graphs... everyone will be able to see past the "marketing" and see exactly what this service is and what it is doing. And now... I'm just kinda morbidly curious as to what is going to happen next... it's a bit like a slow motion trainwreck... I find it fascinating and can't (don't want to?) stop watching!    Update: now imagine someone pays you $10 per month to gamble with their money, and if you win, you get to keep 30%, but if you lose, the loss is all theirs That's a terrible deal, unless you're the one who came up with it. Just to clarify... he doesn't actually get the $10 month for the VPS... I paid that directly to the VPS provider... whether or not he is getting any referral commission on those VPS accounts, I don't know. So essentially, the only income he gets is if the bot wins. Still, not a bad deal for him really... as you say, gambling with other peoples money with no risk (unless you value your reputation  )! |
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Ok... try and open the console in Bitcoin Core: Window -> Console Then try: getrawtransaction INSERT_THE_TRANSACTION_ID_HERE
eg: getrawtransaction 71dcc757a518b328e9d0493d....................... That should hopefully give you the raw transaction hex... a very long string of hexadecimal numbers/letters. If you get an error, then there is a good chance that the transaction doesn't actually exist (wasn't broadcast, or has been dropped) on the network and is only local to your wallet. You'll need to try gettransaction instead. gettransaction 71dcc757a518b328e9d0493d.......................
That should show you a "hex" as well. Once you've managed to get a hex, then you need to copy it and try: sendrawtransaction INSERT_LONG_HEXADECIMAL_STRING_HERE
What is the result of that? Do you get an error? Or does it simply return the TransactionID?  |
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It sounds like you're trying to change your behaviour to fit your app... rather than change the app to fit your behaviour. If you're using an HD wallet, then your app will need to work with Master Keys and derive addresses to track transactions/balances. This is just how HD wallets work. That is exactly how Electrum works (and how other wallet monitoring apps work). It will generate all addresses using the xpub, up to the set "gap limit" and then checks each of those addresses for transactions/balance. There isn't an "easier" way. If you don't want to deal with multiple addresses, then you'll need to stop using HD wallets and use a single address. Even if you switch Electrum to stop using Change addresses, or you manually consolidate all your BTC into one address, when you click "receive", it'll give you a new "unused" address... and you'll be back to this point, trying to figure out an "easy" way to find the balance of multiple addresses in your wallet... unless you manually consolidate again... until you click "receive"... ad infinitum. Note that If you go the "single addres" route, you'd also be compromising your privacy (and the privacy of others) to a certain extent by re-using addresses |
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Seems I'm going to get rekt... Guess: 610,538 HCP Current Blockheight: 610518 Time to go: 27.5 hrs unless something truly terrible happens and we get 1 hour+ block times for the next 24 hrs! Apparently, the average blocktime has been somewhat less than 10 mins over the last month... resulting in my very basic math failing. No surprises there then I guess |
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steps:
File -> create/restore
Next
Wallet with two-factor authentication
Next
I have seed
I am input my seed, but button "Next" not active
This only occurs if the seed is invalid, or you a using a NON 2FA seed. This is what you'll see if invalid seed:  This is what you'll see if NON 2FA seed:  Do you see "seed type"? or is it blank? If blank, then the seed you have is invalid. Most likely, you have a "similar" word, like kid, kit, kite etc. If I create new wallet, but can not check seed. Button "Next" not active
Do you mean you are also trying: "File -> Create/Restore -> Standard Wallet -> Create a New Seed" and after copying seed and then re-entering to check you have copied OK, that that isn't working as well? |
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That's not the full valid address... it's missing a bunch of characters off the end. If you want to check it on a blockexplorer, right click the transaction and select "Copy Address" and then paste that into a block explorer. What do you see if you right click the transaction and select "show transaction details"? What is the "status"? It is possible that the transaction may not have been broadcast properly. |
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I agree with you that the GUI does that for me, but I need to have a dashboard with BTC holding, ETH holding etc... I need to be able to get all the info from somewhere... so I was wondering, if I include one of the many Addresses of my wallet, somehow could I "get also the other addresses associated with the same wallet (read only)...
is it feasible?
With addresses? No... but as mentioned previously... using "Master Public Keys", Yes. Goto "Wallet -> Information" in your Electrum wallet... and look for the Master Public Key displayed there. Using that you will be able to generate all the addresses from your wallet (including the change addresses). There will likely be code examples floating around that show how to get from Xpub to address etc. You can read more about key derivation here: https://github.com/bitcoin/bips/blob/master/bip-0032.mediawikiAnd you can experiment using Ian Coleman's tool: https://iancoleman.io/bip39/ (don't recommend that you put your actual seeds or master private/public keys into this, unless you're running a local offline copy etc) |
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So this test has paused with a loss -39,29% and another test ended with 39,10%. Obviously this is a bad outcome for anyone and what you and others get is just a free VPS next month "paused" only because the bot has been taken offline... and I have zero control over the bot. The last "update" from the bot creator was this: Arakne is in maintenance , will be back online on the next hours That was nearly 14 hours ago at the time of posting this. But why haven't you stopped while others have withdrawn, canceled the API key, etc . At least the result is that this bot is not reliable, you can lose the remaining money if you continue to operate with it. Well, it has been a month since I started... but if I DON'T stop and withdraw now... then technically the 0.04 BTC loss is "unrealised" Seriously tho, I put the money in figuring it would probably be lost... I wanted to risk my money so others wouldn't need to and could get a reasonably independent and honest assessment of what the bot was actually doing (without the ludicrous claims of ROI based on backtests and imaginary bankrolls). I figure I may as well just ride it out until either all my money is gone (or maybe one more big loss? )... or I get back to 0.1 BTC. At this stage, I'm fairly confident that I know which one of those things is going to occur first |
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look at these entries on the 24th---doubling down every 0.075-0.1% drop and then liquidating after 1%! and when it does actually profit, it closes the positions only 0.2-0.7% in profit!
What you don't actually see from the list of trades... is that the Stop-Loss actually belongs to an earlier trade.... namely, the ones the bot made around 5 and 6pm on the "23rd" in guigui371's screenshot... ie. at the $7604.5 and $7558 level for quantities of 446 and 215. So, the stop loss of $7238 was actually some $320-370 away from the initial trades (about 5%)... and that seemed pretty reasonable... it was sitting on a tiny 1% loss for around 12 hours after the market dropped down to around $7300. Unfortunately, what then happened was the bot went full retard and put in a massive trade (some 12 hours after the original stop loss was set), when the market was only $70 from the original stop loss... and didn't adjust that original stop loss... so, when the market moved 1%, the original stoploss got triggered and EVERYTHING got liquidated  I had very similar results to the OP: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5206137.msg53474723#msg53474723Basically, imho, the bot was/is "broken". I would not recommend that anyone put money into this bot (or "The Platform"™). |
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Electrum seeds have a "version" built into them.. so when you restore from seed, Electrum will automagically detect if it is Legacy or SegWit seed and then restore the wallet as such. There is no option to disable that behaviour.
Theoretically, you could use an Electrum seed in conjunction with the "BIP39" option to try and circumvent that behaviour, but that has the potential to cause a lot of problems later and is not at all advised.
If you want an Electrum "Legacy" wallet, then create it as a "Legacy" wallet. If you want an Electrum "SegWit" wallet, create it as a "SegWit" wallet. But I DO NOT recommend attempting to make an Electrum Legacy wallet using an Electrum SegWit seed (or vice versa).
If you want to use the same seed to create both Legacy and SegWit wallets... then I'd recommend using an actual BIP39 seed (generated by some other method like a native BIP39 wallet, the Ian Coleman Tool or hand generated following BIP39 standard etc). However, I still think that is a "Bad Idea"™
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Can confirm... completed a trade with Podgor... my BTC for $126 of Amazon "gift of prime" balance. You get a link, you click on it and Amazon will give you the option to redeem it as X months worth of "Prime", or you can decline that offer if you already have Prime (or don't want it... which you obviously don't as you want the $$$ ) and then it'll add the value to your Account Balance as if you had redeemed a giftcard... like this:  Thanks for the easy trade. |
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I was exploring around Armory in Expert mode and noticed an issue when I clicked on the "Broadcast Raw Transaction" option - a window popped up saying "Bitcoin Core is not online, Armory will not be able to broadcast a transaction". But my main dashboard says "Armory is Online!", and the bottom right hand corner of Armory say "Connected" with the current block number and counting, new block count shows successfully; and any transaction that I send to my wallet shows as confirmed.
Just ignore it... I get the same thing. Main dashboard says "online" and shows connected with blocks etc, but the "Broadcast Raw Transaction" option says "Bitcoin Core is not online..." etc. All that does is allow you to manually broadcast a "raw" transaction (which you can do actually do from Bitcoin Core using sendrawtransaction)... it isn't related to creating/signing/broadcasting transaction using an Offline/Online airgap setup and the "Offline Transactions" button.  |
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It's blocking network traffic... it isn't the app itself:  Essentially, the data being received from the Electrum server (ie. crypto related data, blockheaders, transactions etc) is being flagged because it "looks like the same type of information that a 'coinminer' malware also transmits"... It isn't flagging Electrum as malware. Norton is basically trash... it's more "malware" than Electrum! |
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...Is there any way to restore my old wallet address by manually adding it to Bitcoin Core? If not, then I guess my Bitcoin Pool account is useless now. Unfortunately, while that will add the address into your new Bitcoin Core wallet... and you'd be able to see the coins sent to that address, and any transactions for that address... you still won't have the private key for it... so you wouldn't be able to spend those coins. ...my old wallet backup file was deleted. Without this, you are basically SOL |
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Any update on this HCP?
Yeah, sorry... been working pretty hard over the Xmas break. guigui371 was also running the same experiment. It seems he had a similar period of inactivity before the bot woke up again on Christmas Eve and made another poor trade for another large loss. I assume you have therefore suffered similar losses. Pretty much... it was a total shit show... as I'm lead to believe, their were FOUR different outcomes which was apparently dependent on what VPS your bot was running on??!? So, some users ended up with a 1% win... some users got hammered for a 30% loss... and a couple of results inbetween. I ended up with a ~25% (-0.01943218 BTC) loss... for a total loss now of -BTC 0.03928640 (-39.29%) since my original 0.1 BTC deposit on Nov 28:  The bot was taken offline for maintenance... and hasn't been trading since.  Seems that those on a "good" VPS, ended up with a trade being filled (for a couple of small amounts like "139" and "143")... and a (fairly reasonable) stoploss set around -$300 ($7238) from the market rate at the time (was around $7500-7600)... those on "bad" VPS, didn't... and turned in the small 1% profit. The market then dropped, and sat there for around 12 hours or so... bouncing around the $7300 mark... which in and of itself, wasn't exactly a bad thing... what WAS a bad thing however, was the bot deciding that it needed to go "full retard" and launched into massive 25x leverage trade within $70 of the previous stop loss that was still active!!?! You can see here how the bot decided that we suddenly needed close to "13,000" worth of contracts at prices within $70-$90 of the existing stoploss at $7238, and how everything got dumped when it inevitably got triggered:  Obviously, in a market as volatile as BTC... trading so close to a stoploss like that is asking for trouble... and inevitably, the stop loss from the earlier trade got triggered... which then liquidated EVERYTHING Cue massive losses. If the bot hadn't opened that "new" position... the loss would have only been ~ -0.00100000 BTC... inside we got slaughtered and much much much MUCH "salt" on the Telegram group... and eventually this response/"explanation" from CryptoSparks: Hello people, looks like we got an ugly Christmas gift but still an interesting one. It took me a while to read all logs of all bots so here is what happened.
After closing 3 exits in the 7.5k-7.6k area with +1% profit, some users suffered total and then partial VPS slowdowns caused by attacks on vps provider’s servers, that made them take a separate road. A missing entry fill allowed some users to close this trade in just a few minutes and go in stasis with full profit. Others got that extra fill but delay in placing exit caused a missing exit and stayed in the trade with extra risk. Remember that Arakne’s trade ends when last contract is dropped, so a missed fill, may that be an entry or an exit, can influence the final outcome.
Anyway price collapses and we get stuck in a low risk (1%-2%) long at 7.5k. But our stop holds the bart until detected support formation and breakout from it at 7.3k which Arakne bought and averaged down our entry from 7.5 to 7.3 so we could have exited on the 7.4k impulse. Problem was that when entries were added, stop was still considered strong so no update was needed. When the stop algorithm detected possible shakeout, we were already filled at max risk capacity and attempts to edit the stop in a safe zone failed.
The shakeout got our stop for 20$ right before starting the 7.4k “scheduled” impulse that triggered our strong adds. OUCH!
YES, Arakne uses some martingale mechanics, but in a controlled way to average the entry and avoid getting trapped in a trade. That’s actually common among marketmakers, and whatever you like it or not you can have FULL CONTROL on the risk. Long term users may have noticed how Arakne’s avg entry is always a key level in the market range, it simply how markets work. That’s why Arakne starts with leverage BELLOW 1 and reaches max 25 out of 100. We rarely go above 8, but being able to reach 25 is like having always one last ace to play when trapped in a trade. This time Arakne failed in playing it well, because indeed needed to add to position but also to increase stop size.
NO, is just not true that Arakne makes only small wins. For example the day before the first loss we had a +15%.
NO, is just not true that Arakne only makes big losses. Here the loss list of current version since 2018:
0 -1.0239223164147369
1 -7.770849221211668
2 -6.0998134976693805
3 -1.9440504813533817
4 -2.915077465267908
5 -4.060302922521566
6 -1.7726049435660876
7 -3.7430129787980335
8 -14.309137251004552
9 -6.345744077310631
10 -0.009555729922808811
11 -1.652253475973144
12 -1.8721211623094127
13 -1.9481837015325076
14 -8.124456834850443
15 -23.46791646786238
THE PROBLEM with last trade is how savagely she went in buying 7.3 without FIRST updating the stop at 7238 and taking that extra life space mandatory after surviving Bitcoin dipping. The shit happened for a combination of factors such as:
- strong long breakout detected with several supports to buy but at relatively small spread from each other .
- small spread from stop
- big spread from entry
- several algos approving the call
result is that risk was prioritised in averaging down the entry FIRST at all costs. How algorithms gets their priority is highly based on settings managed by machine learning. So i understand you guys are mad because she went crazy near the stop, but the function to increase stop size was there, if she chose not to use it means that statistically in the past that move worked. When shakeout alarm triggered it was already too late and got stuck in that stop. So we are talking about a missing logic part. She needs a way to increase stop when maxed out or the flow stops there, in another and more dangerous trap!
Anyway Stop gets triggered by 20$ right before the impulse’s start to 7.4 that Arakne was expecting as our best chance for exiting the trade . And with the trade setup she was doing, the win would have been absolutely massive(above 30%). DOUBLE OUCH!
The point of failure was that the probable shakeout signal triggered right after we hit max fill capacity, at that point she couldn’t put more risk on the table by moving the stop further.
Getting shakedout is something we cannot ever RISK. So this scenario showed that we need an EMERGENCY TRAILING STOP algorithm that manages this risky situation where we needed to add in order to exit the trap but ALSO we urgently need to increase stop size without risking over the max drawdown allowed to avoid the shakeout. That is already being done by Arakne but with some mathematical limitations. Some fixes to the MM algorithm will make sure that in a way or another, we will 100% of times have the possibility to safely get some ‘survival space’ when is needed. There are different ways to achieve that, for example dropping some levels at loss and use that risk for increasing the stop and dynamically keep it at safety distance or “save some risk” for emergencies.
And for the ones that say that i adjust graphs, look how the backtest engine shows the same loss. I bet that if a loss similar would have already happened in the 2 year of data analysed , the machine learning optimisation would have differed and so the trade result. Is about teaching the algorithms but without giving them too much freedom.
WHAT NOW?
Our vision is to make algorithmic trading accessible to everyone, and a couple losses will not prevent us from delivering the final goal, especially since both losses made the products better.
You are free to leave and yell scam after a loss, but we are here to stay, this is just the beginning.
We care about our users because our business model cannot succeed if users don’t succeed. That’s why most competitors ask for high entry fee while we will be a free to try SaaS. To further reward our early adopters, both losses that hit Arakne in december will be transformed in credit on our platform since day 1.
Just register and send us your nickname in private to receive the credit, then connect different Bitmex accounts via API and spread the capital among all bots based on their risk indicator! With that free credit you will be able to safely recover and start grinding profit again.
As for now you are 100% in one bot, as in any investment, differentiation is the key. Even though you have seen Arakne keeping 100% win rate for 3 months, trading is not about always winning but about managing risk properly over a long period of time. Last trade clearly showed a point of weakness in Arakne’s risk control that absolutely needs to be patched, that’s why i immediately put it in maintenance.
Stay tuned for updates on launch date, meanwhile Arakne will get updated and be back running on your accounts in the next days, so no action is required until platform launch.
Lastly I understand that losing this way is frustrating , but have some consistency. ZakZak just a couple weeks ago you sent me a beautiful message full of thanks and stuff like that, now Im not only a scammer but also the bot doesn’t exits ?
Even tough the new Arakne will start on a new public trading journey, i will also let it manage the previous one account that after peaking at +57% is now down at -18% to demonstrate how recovery is not only possible but an inevitable consequence of proper risk management over long periods of time.
NOTE: CryptoSparks has announced that all users will get next months VPS "free" due to the large amount of maintenance this month and no active trading etc. A lot of users have pulled their funds and cancelled their API keys etc to cut their losses etc... and the bot is currently in "maintenance". But, I promised I was going to see this through (and I pretty much wrote my 0.1BTC off the moment I deposited it anyway ), so my 0.06071360 BTC shall stay there, API keys are still active and we'll see how it all plays out. Who knows? Maybe I'll claw back my losses before next Christmas!  NOTE: Basically, imho, the bot was/is "broken". Trading that close to the existing stoploss was reckless. I would not recommend that anyone put money into this bot (or "The Platform"™). |
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I've reported both of their posts... hopefully they get nuked. As far as I'm aware... promoting illegal goods/services is not allowed, nor welcome. Pretty sure selling malware/botnet services is illegal in most jurisdictions.
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It will show that error if the password is incorrect, or the json file is corrupt. If you open the wallet.aes.json file with a text editor... does it look something like this: {"pbkdf2_iterations":5000,"version":3,"payload":"6E1O4bFmyo9gNflsqxw5KMDPLUK2XPC4D4StqqFT5mMyoDlz1p6OHZS3L6AfwxFAWHHN4QPOD9r+
I+8sVP0K8EQ72wUaJOELsuYRQznQ+J7H3wwVYR6t3ItwTfsnKx/e0Lq7qWZSrYbufw2+OieNMXRcMMBKq4HqIKd93KFtWunj+d8C4C0B70w7dtpe7du2h9
N/Wjt51Lw1F3tfYrKWw0Dx5Rtwb0jAnsIhC/V8A5ag5LoEWwJCG0oboycwYhOheIu8zdo37HTmVFuP0Oz/zU+e5TlxVJ5qL0Ol9jWZTT1cYs/Sbjxu+ZX2XF6y
CBJhN9+X3MreRkZbo+1qGL4NMTgM2VPPMG3eWGdwSsi/QM3aUwJRsWh2pCjLOs5431tSmoBZKqjj5kBU/DgsotOttEuBrrHK5Jtmyk1wqWq+eFLkQSA/f1
IgxZEivVQC+Q6NfazM/YzafLkgcJHvY9sHe2XnwlII5Fw9MXMijGhSKTfoot8NR+9kP23dtzUJus/9moC0Luov1HBnyOCAf0WmWsbGaQt9FmneDHNRXM4Ne
ShmQQXJHbGEAT168s="}
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You'll need to check the debug.log file in the Bitcoin Core "datadir" to see if you can identify the error... it's just a text file, so you should be able to open with any text editor like Notepad++ (or even windows Notepad).
You could try posting as much of the end of that file as you can on pastebin.com and then link the unique generated pastebin URL here.
Additionally, you might want to check the Windows Event Viewer (Press "Start", Type: Event Viewer), then look under "Windows Logs" -> "Application"... and have a hunt through the list for "Errors" relating to Bitcoin-qt.
Hopefully, one or both of those logs will give the reason why it keeps crashing when it is attempting to load the vps_wallet.dat.
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Idk how can i send images here but i bought one cash app acc december 9 and i didnt receive the acc.
You need to upload your images to an image hosting site like imgur.com and then post the links here using the [ img ] tags or the direct link to the hosted image. |
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I'm confused with Ledger Live as it won't let me use the "manager Tab on the left. It's saying "go to the dashboard on device" or some like that with a rotating icon next to it on the right that just keeps trying to connect to something but is unable to.
Are you actually on "The Dashboard" on the device? That is to say... it's connected, unlocked and sitting on the list of coin apps+settings...  |
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