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401  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: How do you monitor ICO projects that you invested in? on: March 19, 2018, 06:15:01 PM
I've been using this website for a while:

https://icostats.com/roi-since-ico

You can select various statistics, the most useful are "return of investment since ICO" and the % increases against fiat and against BTC. There's also a ranking, you can set them in order and see what ICO performed best. Stratis was one of the best and I still hate how I missed that one. I has been pretty disappointing after the peak tho, you can see the evolution here:

https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/stratis/

Anatomy of a bubble 101... if Stratis has a future, then the ideal time to buy would be now. The alternative is being stuck in the stagnating limbo like most altcoins, so beware of that.
402  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Coincheck Drops Anonymous Monero, Dash, Zcash on: March 19, 2018, 05:43:37 PM
This is expected. I believe, and this is my prediction for the next 5 years, that ALL "anonymous coins" are going to end up banned from all major exchanges, and at some point they will be ostracized into very fringe exchangers of altcoins only, so there will be no way to easily buy Monero or any of these coins with fiat. This will help Bitcoin, since people will be forced to buy Bitcoin first if they want to buy any of these coins.

On the other hand, these anonymous coins may also go up in price long term since they will be use on darknets more than Bitcoin. This is of course assuming that Bitcoin doesn't step its anonymous game up enough that all of these anonymous coins are no longer relevant, which could of course end up in a ban on Bitcoin on all exchanges as well...
403  Economy / Speculation / Re: What if the Mt. Gox trustee didn't dumped bitcoin on: March 18, 2018, 07:39:05 PM
It's difficult to estimate, because there are 2 contradicting stories.

Story 1 says that he did indeed dump the coins at these given dates:

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-07/bitcoins-tokyo-whale-sells-400m-bitcoin-bitcoin-cash

Story 2 says that he did not sell on these days, only moved the coins:

https://cointelegraph.com/news/breaking-trustee-of-infamous-mt-gox-denies-btc-bch-sales-affected-crypto-markets

The official statement in MtGox website:

https://www.mtgox.com/img/pdf/20180317_qa.pdf

At this point it's probably a mix of two. Something strange happened and we are not getting the full picture, and uncertainty = panic sellers are easily triggered and avalanche begins.

There are no strong fundamentals for this continued crash. Current prices will be seen as a bargain eventually.
404  Economy / Speculation / Re: Mt Gox confirms he didn't crash the market, panic sellers did (again) on: March 18, 2018, 06:53:51 PM
Interesting, OP.

So he got OTC then.

We can conclude it was the weak hands who drove the price down.

Now, who will drive it up? There are good news around, but this market is weak.

Fact is that most people want to have their money controlled by banks and governments. They buy bitcoin only for a quick profit. If the profit dont come in just some days, they sell at the first bad news they find. They dont want to hold for years, or to spend their btc to buy stuff. In other words, they dont want to wait.




I want to make clear this: Im not sure if they are saying the truth or not, and I have no idea if they went OTC already. It's just what the official statement says, and if we are to believe that the official statement is the truth, then yes, people panic sold only because they read it on a couple websites. What we know for a fact is that the coins moved, what we don't know is if they were sold at these dates or not. It seems people panic sell whenever a big address moves coins, so if satoshi ever MOVES, only MOVES coins, it would be the same, people would panic sell because they would assume he is selling, while if I was satoshi, I would never sell, but I would definitely move the coins elsewhere so people stop controlling my wealth. But at this point im sure he is smart enough to do nothing.
405  Economy / Speculation / Re: What is Bitcoin? Nothing! on: March 18, 2018, 04:37:42 PM
Replying to a kwukduck impostor or just a troll but I will give my opinion anyway:

Bitcoin never promised anything but what it is today... p2p transactions, that's all. What else did you expect? And how is this not undervalued? Bitcoin should be worth more than gold, until then, it is undervalued. The concept is revolutionary, the execution is genius. People that don't agree with these facts, don't understand these facts, it's as simple as that. Once the world does understand these facts, it will be reflected in the market, with BTC being worth $millions per coin. Just be happy that you know it even exists, and don't fall for the will kwukducks wanting you to dump your money into shitty crashing bond markets and overpriced stocks.
406  Economy / Speculation / Our friend kwukduck back at it with an alt? on: March 18, 2018, 04:13:28 PM
I found this account:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1782109;sa=showPosts

This is pretty funny, posts exactly like what kwukduck would say and he is called cryptoduck. Is this an alt account of "teh duck", one of the biggest bears in bitcoin (biggest as in, comically permabear, I don't know how much BTC he has, I think he has 0 and sold them during MtGox and now wants to get back in as cheap as possible).

I predict we will have many kwukducks for a while, then once we start climbing to $100k they will disappear again until the next crash. Enjoy it while it lasts you pesky bears.
407  Economy / Speculation / Re: Mt Gox confirms he didn't crash the market, panic sellers did (again) on: March 17, 2018, 06:41:04 PM
It doesn't really matter anymore. The price was bound to go down anyway, so whether it's the speculation about MtGox dumps, or just the lower overall demand, it's the same in the end. If one thing became clear over the last months, the ranges have only gone lower and lower. People for now need to adjust their expectations to significantly lower levels, because the support of the last weeks wasn't able to maintain $11,000/$10,000/$9000, and perhaps not even the $8000 level. The less you expect from the short term market, the less disappointment you'll face. In other words, don't even dare to speculate about $50,000 this year.

A single tweet could destroy all technical analysis, for instance, Trump making a positive tweet about bitcoin, Jeff Bezos making a positive tweet about Bitcoin, or anyone with influence could pump the price and end the bear market, and technical analysts would say that their TA predicted it...

Bitcoin is too new of an asset, people can't properly value it, it's impossible to call the start or end of bull or bear markets.
408  Economy / Speculation / Re: The Mt. Gox dude won't let Bitcoin prices rise on: March 17, 2018, 06:09:24 PM
Everything you think you know about the MtGox sale of Bitcoin is completely wrong.
This statement was released by the MtGox trustee today :
https://www.mtgox.com/img/pdf/20180317_qa.pdf

It was all FUD.

Nobody is going to believe that and even if they do, too few will read or bother to read that statement in the first place.
The community needs a culprit, needs somebody to blame for the price drop.
Be it Gox, G20, just find somebody and blame him.

Already we have ideas about rubbing out everybody that tries to dump coins, the whole thing will only go downhill unless BTC goes up in price again.

I made a thread about this there:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=3146643.msg32532111#msg32532111

People always need a reason to feel good about dumping their coins. In this case, they went all schizophrenic on the MtGox coins moving. They assumed it was a sale, when it was only moved. I also assumed it was a sale, because of all the news guaranteeing it... but of course, I don't sell on that bullshit.

But then again, what is the trustee doing? Is he going OTC or is he going to keep being an idiot on Kraken?

And also, how do we confirm that the information in the pdf is real?
409  Economy / Speculation / Re: 2017 was maybe the last era of bitcoin? on: March 17, 2018, 05:25:05 PM
People have insanely short memory spans. Let's look at how much world reserve currencies lasted for:



It's rather obvious that:

1) Bitcoin is still in embryonic stages, not even born yet.
2) The US will stop being the world reserve currency during our lifetime
3) Due 2), Bitcoin could shine and be worth millions, specially during the transition period.

Anyone not holding big amounts of BTC is insane, or at least 1 BTC.
410  Economy / Speculation / Mt Gox confirms he didn't crash the market, panic sellers did (again) on: March 17, 2018, 04:44:33 PM
Apparently, he didn't sell the coins the same day he moved the coins, which is when it was speculated that the big selloffs happened. He only moved them, didn't sell them. The pdf was updated today in the mtgox website:

https://www.mtgox.com/img/pdf/20180317_qa.pdf

If this is true, the it just's another demonstration of the schizophrenic people looking for news to dump their coins. We have a bunch of weak handed panic sellers looking for FUD news to dump. Everytime these guys sell and the coins go in the hands of holders is good news.
411  Economy / Speculation / Re: Are we waiting for a bearish bomb? on: March 16, 2018, 08:05:26 PM
It will reach $6000 dollars again for sure. Just one bad coverage on a popular website and Bitcoin drops buy a thousand bucks lmao, we need regulations.

LOL. Someone says that it will go as low as $5000. There's really too much FUD going around right now. I think you already know that this is a speculative market, that's why the price is very volatile and just like you said a single negative news will turn the price down south. However, every FUD, every attacks that we have witness are short lived. Because one investors found out that the news is just fake or spreading lies, they will go back to the market again. Sometimes common sense and due diligence is the best weapon to combat all this bearish sentiments. As of now bitcoin is up, around $8600 so I don't think that $5000 could be test anytime soon. And talking about bitcoin coverage:

LIGHTNING NETWORK GOES LIVE WITH $2.5M FUNDING FROM TWITTER CEO, TESLA & SPACEX INVESTOR

First Bitcoin Mainnet Lightning Network Product Launches As Developers Net $2.5 Mln


Yep I also saw the news of the Twitter CEO supporting LN. It may not have an impact on the market for now tho... there's a lot of people that still don't even know what LN is.


We may go through a period of stagnation around the 3k to 7k area, potentially months, until people realize that LN is going to make Bitcoin the currency of planet earth, as well as the de-facto electronic gold and therefore reserve currency of planet earth. This will ignite a bullrun to a marketcap worth trillions. Until then, be lucky that you are aware and keep increasing your BTC stack.
412  Economy / Speculation / Re: The Mt. Gox dude won't let Bitcoin prices rise on: March 16, 2018, 07:51:28 PM
Well, it is not so much about him selling the remaining 160k Mt. Gox coins he has in his wallet as about the fear that many, if not all, buyers of crypto now have because of him. It doesn't even matter if the price crash as of recent was actually due to his massive sell-off, though the evidence seems to be overwhelming. In fact, he may not even sell them at all, not a single satoshi, though this is unlikely given the circumstances, but people will still think that one day he goes nuts about selling these coins at any price, and then prices will be halved again extremely fast. Therefore, Bitcoin won't rise until these coins are gone for good, burned or otherwise disposed of, and people become confident and positive again.

I think it's confirmed that he sold big amounts at the exact times that we saw these sharp red candles, and they tracked the amounts coming from MtGox addresses... Mr Kobayashi is a direct attack on Bitcoin. Trace Mayer or someone with influence on Kraken should tell him to get the fuck out immediately, they need to go OTC, this cannot be tolerated.

if they cannot get their shit together soon, someone else will. A guy with that many coins with only one mission: to crush the market, is a target. He needs to go OTC and he needs go OTC now.

Even if he isn't dumping anymore, everyone is paranoid about until the japanese government makes an official statement about what they are going to do.
413  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin, Crypto, and the Power of the Few on: March 16, 2018, 07:42:08 PM
The last few days of charts for BTC look like an alt-coin pump-n-dump, and this has been going on for a while. So what is the end game? Suck in newbies, get them to spend some money, shake them out with a crash, shake them out with erratic pump-and-dump manipulation so that the few can continue to amass BTC - to what end?

Where will they be when they are the only ones holding crypto and everyone else either a) has been burned and won't touch crypto again or b) doesn't care to join in the dance?

What's the point?

You need to put yourself in their shoes to understand the motives. Those guys who have a lot of coins, like 1000 or more, they are there to make money on a daily/weekly/monthly basis. Most of them don't care about the coins they're holding, they want a monthly wage to appear on their bank account. So they will pump and dump with those thousands of coins and each move can make them 10k USD, sometimes 100k, a couple moves each month and the newbie sheep get fleeced and there's 100k back on the bank account and they still got the initial 1k coins on the exchange and another month begins. They've been doing it for years and the fact that they are owning a large percentage of money on a given exchange gives them advantage.


If I had 1000+ or more coins I would be worried about the MtGox trusteed crushing my portfolio.

We have a guy hired by a government loaded with 160,000 BTC that's constantly dumping on Kraken. Is nobody going to do anything about that?

And if I was holding 1000+ I wouldn't trade much, all I have to do is sit and relax, in 5 years I would be a billionaire++ by only selling a portion of my BTC.

If you want to make money in a bear market you have to short and that's too much risk, don't want to take such risks when you already made it at 1000+.
414  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin, Crypto, and the Power of the Few on: March 16, 2018, 03:38:52 PM
Bitcoin is not really a social project, and if bitcoin gets adopted, rich people have more money, so they can buy more. The distribution will remain the same, that will not change....

Bitcoin sets itself as a new payment system. It's as simple as that! ...

Bitcoin was not made for the poor to get rich, and the rich to lose their money. Bitcoin was created so that a better payment system exists in our world.

True, it was more an observation of some of the ideals the community have adopted - or at least the image is presented.

The white paper is, as you say, straightforward in that it's essentially about money over IP, nowhere in there is talk of revolution or overthrowing traditional financial institutions - that has been implied and appended by members of the community, who have taken to this more as evangelists on a mission.

The manipulation you speak of is no secret and I struggle to see how it is any different to the current market. I think the harsh reality of it is that in any system where the rich, educated and experienced can take advantage of the poor, less educated and less experienced for their own personal gain - then that will happen.

A shame that we cannot escape this part of the human condition - for the time being. It might be centuries before we move on from this antiquated way of thinking - don't take this the wrong way, I'm for open free markets and capitalism - but it's the human condition (irrationality, fear, greed) that basically spoil what could be an elegant system.

I understand that Bitcoin isn't here to solve these problems, but it doesn't help that the community seems to preach that it will. Plus, I assumed the 'new money' personalities that crypto minted would be of the ilk that might try to solve these problems, instead, all I see is the same manipulation, the same greed.

--

There were a lot more replies here than I expected, so apologies I can't reply to everyone, but I've read through all of them - thanks for replying with your thoughts and balance to this discussion.

I agree that BTC is not about philanthropy (although there have been some fantastic examples) and that crypto isn't some global effort to re-distribute wealth proportionately, even though it is redistributing wealth to some degree. However, this is the 'image' that crypto portrays to a lot of people; that it isn't just tech solution, it's about a revolution in many ways.

To me, that revolution is nullified by the economic landscape that crypto has built, where it's basically the same as our current 1% system in many ways - which isn't the end of the world, it's just an observation of the difference in the image and the reality.

I suppose after some thought, my main concern right now is that larger players are hindering adoption through their manipulation and greed. Sure, we may never live in a 'fair' world, and that's fine, nature isn't fair, the universe isn't fair, perhaps it's a utopian pipe dream, and that's OK, but if the goal is to have BTC or crypto adopted globally, then how does that work with such blatant manipulation? As another user said:

Whales will be abandoned with a worthless currency...
Or they will turn it into a centralized market with majority's approval and will keep ruling everything as always, then decentralization fails.

Satoshi added the "The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks" thing in the genesis block for a reason (for these that don't know what this is, refer to:

https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Genesis_block

Why did he add that paper here if he didn't want to point out at how the current system is failing therefore bitcoin is subervise of the legacy system attempting to overthrown it?

Im not sure to what extent he wanted to do that, but I think that was his ultimate fate for Bitcoin, to destroy all fiat.
415  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin bubble 'just about to burst,' major money manager says on: March 15, 2018, 06:49:17 PM
The so called "bubble" already bursted, at $20k, and we already bottomed, at $5900. We may go lower? yeah who cares if you buy at $5900, $4000 or $3000, long term Bitcoin will be worth millions a coin so it's irrelevant.

This guy is yet another losser to add within bitcoinobituaries.com
416  Economy / Speculation / Re: More bad news: G20 wants to regulate crypto's on: March 15, 2018, 05:07:08 PM
Regulations should be irrelevant. If you bought bitcoin and expect that governments wouldn't either try to ban it or regulate it you are delusional and you got in the wrong place. Bitcoin is subversive in nature, it challenges the status quo, I always expected governments to criminalize bitcoin to insane levels, labeling anyone holding bitcoin a terrorist or something insane along the lines.

This was the reason why I never sold or used exchanges, I knew that they would label us as terrorist and get us in trouble. It's better to hold long term, don't use exchanges and don't give them your name if you use altcoin exchanges since they are all scammers. Keep your coins safe and wait it out, we may have to go through an extreme period in which they will go full nazi against bitcoin and crypto period, and when that happens, you don't want them to know that you ever were involved in crypto, who knows what will they do to you.
417  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin, Crypto, and the Power of the Few on: March 15, 2018, 04:26:51 PM
How could you "distribute the wealth" without having a censorship-centralized party that "distributes the wealth?" As you see, you are asking for communism, and last time I checked, Bitcoin never promised communism, but a set of solid rules, in which people, rich or not, must follow.

Just because you got a ton of BTC, doesn't mean you can raise the total coin supply for instance, but in the fiat world they can do that. The rich don't follow rules, in Bitcoin, the rich follow rules, same as the poor.

If you want more BTC, then go and get it.

And as far the price against fiat goes... it's irrelevant, long term, the supply is limited, fundamentals are strong, fiat not so much.
418  Economy / Economics / Re: Alternative investments on: March 15, 2018, 04:17:06 PM
Im still big on real estate. I still dream with owning my own house. I don't have anything to my name. I was poor, very poor before Bitcoin. Now I got some money, which im hoping that I can diversify eventually into a house. Ideally I would like to own 2 houses, one would be outside the city so I don't get all the air pollution and noise.

A secondary property in the city, this would be a decent flat, and I wouldn't even use it, I would just put it to work, im sure it would be easy to find someone willing to rent it for a decent amount. A nicely located flat can cover your basis expenses. I have some health problems that don't allow me to work so this would give me a peace of mind, having basic expenses covered.

Hopefully in the next 10 years I can make it, if Bitcoin delivers.
419  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin down ( Mt. Gox is dumping ) on: March 14, 2018, 05:36:57 PM
It's scary that one entity can do all this. Makes me fear what banks might do, since they can definitely profit from shenanigans.

Well, if banks want to do this, they would need to first own 200,000 BTC... so that would pump the price too. They could create fear in the market by pumping and dumping recklessly, but that would be short lived. Long term, the fundamental remains: 21 million coins. It doesn't matter how much you shake the box to create chaos, ultimately the order remains, they can't change the rules. This is why Bitcoin is the best long term investment, because they cannot change the rules. The can change anything else, except how Bitcoin works.
420  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin down ( Mt. Gox is dumping ) on: March 14, 2018, 04:55:57 PM
Bitcoin price will likely Surge as Mt.Gox Sell Off Paused Until september according to this article - https://www.newsbtc.com/2018/03/11/bitcoin-price-will-likely-surge-as-mt-gox-sell-off-paused-until-september/. This is a good chance to Hold until that time comes when he decide to sell his Bitcoin again.

Once again, if he hasn't been told that he should go OTC, his life is at risk. He is either stupid, insane, or accepts the risk. Big Bitcoin holders may get extremely pissed off at this amateur hour shitshow, and im sure someone is willing to "get things done" with this guy, if he intends to dump $1 billion in the open market. The situation could be solved easily by contacting a big buyer OTC, but if he keeps attacking Bitcoin, he may find fire back, and some day we may wake up with some news about how Mr Kobayashi had "an accident". I hope things don't have to reach that point, we all want things to end well, but this guy it's cooperating. I don't have much BTC and this is already annoying, imagine if you had a big fortune and a single guy was needlessly making your portfolio go into the trash. Not cool.
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