So If USA vs russia fight with nukes how everything look like
People who never experinced nuke war what they should know?
Will the internet connection Will be disturbed Also when it's war i still want to trade online.
Like how powerful the nuclear Are ... How to keep still good life Even when nuke hit ?
Is home basement good idea ?
If you want to increase your chances of surviving massive strategic nuclear strikes, stay away from big cities and ocean shores. This does not give any guarantees, but it significantly reduces the risk. |
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I think the move by China to try to limit the supply of gallium and germanium to the market, specifically to U.S. companies, is very stupid. Japan is already willing to supply the necessary quantities of gallium and Canada the necessary quantities of germanium.
The bottom line is:
- China has shown its stupidity.
- The U.S. has once again demonstrated that the West does not depend on China.
- The U.S. has an official reason to introduce new "counter-sanctions" against China, which will really bring real problems for China. Which will have an extremely negative impact on China's economy.
A light version of "shooting yourself in the foot".
Prooflink?  To my knowledge, China controls about 80% of the gallium market. Japan and South Korea left the gallium supply market in 2016, Ukraine in 2019. In general, this is a very unstable and difficult market for a number of reasons, gallium is a by-product in the production of aluminum and it requires, first of all, a large amount of cheap energy for its production. We have already discussed the issue of China's rare earth metals, and at the same time gallium and germanium. And you are well aware that what you say is, to put it mildly, distorted information  Ok, for everyone, I will once again bring the data about this metal. The key "problem" of gallium is that there are no deposits of pure metal in nature. It is always presented as compounds with low metal content, and very "evenly" distributed. Today, the richest source of gallium is the mineral germanite, an ore composed of copper sulfide that can contain 0.5-0.7% gallium, mined in southwest Africa. These are the Tsumeb (Namibia) and Kipushi (Zaire) mines .... It's a strange name for China, isn't it ? Gallium is also widely distributed in small amounts along with zinc obscurants, in aluminum alumina, feldspars, hard coal and ores: iron, manganese and chromium. The largest deposits of gallium, amenable to economic extraction, are in China, Germany, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, South Korea and Russia That was all about primary mining. But there is also secondary mining - Canada, Slovakia, Japan, Germany and the USA are the leaders there. At the same time, there are more nuances: gallium can be replaced in the manufacture of semiconductors by indium, and in the technology of production of thin film solar cells - silicon-based technologies, some forms of thin film cadmium selenide or copper indium selenide based photovoltaic cells among others. So the reality is quite different - China was by far the most massive and cheapest supplier of this metal, but there is no question of exclusivity. Now other suppliers will increase production, and consumers will simply switch to them. For the second time in this thread I ask you for a prooflink and you again merge on some ridiculous brakes, hiding the lack of evidence behind verbosity. Japan has not supplied gallium to the foreign market since 2016. China has crushed all competitors by weight and squeezed them out of the market. |
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Эрдоган демонстративно нарушил договорённости по репатриированным пленным из состава Азова, потому что обиделся на вероятное закрытие зерновой сделки, на которой Турция хорошо погрела руки. На этих петушков на самом деле абсолютно похуй, это отработанный материал, шлак. Я конечно понимаю, что Украине наплевать на Женевскую конвенцию от 12 августа 1949 года об обращении с военнопленными, но на всякий случай процитирую статью 117: Ни один репатриированный не может быть использован на действительной военной службе. И в любом случае вероятность, что их перевербовали за время нахождения в российском плену, значительно больше нуля. |
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Я не сторонник Зеленского, от слова СОВСЕМ Это хорошо, думаю даже самые упоротые сторонники Украины начинают понимать, что Зеленский сейчас действует против интересов Украины. Про Бахмут - просто наблюдай следующие 2-3 недели, поверь, про "пиздит как дышит", поймешь что не к нему это Да я думал к саммиту гораздо сильней на Бахмут поддавят, типа чтобы продемонстрировать спонсорам тире партнёрам хоть какой-никакой завалящий успех от контрнаступа. По идее надо или сворачивать неудавшееся мероприятие и закрываться в глухую оборону, или идти ва-банк и раскупоривать стратегические резервы для организации прорыва. А тут чёт ни два ни полтора. С военной точки зрения навал на Бахмут это самый настоящий беспонт, бессмысленная трата тысяч украинских жизней на алтарь политических амбиций Зеленского, который тупо ссытся признать свою профнепригодность. Ну допустим возьмёт Украина Бахмут, и чё она с ним будет делать? Дальше то что? Ради медийной перемоги загнать самих себя в глубокий стратегический тупик, из которого один выход назад - ну такое себе. Кстати - можешь назвать хотябы ОДНУ боевую операцию, где только они чтото "пабедили дон" Могу, Мариуполь. Не в одну каску конечно, но чечены там нормально поработали. А Азов лососнул тунца, хотя понта было тоже ниибаца. |
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UPD. А сейчас слушаем звук разрывающихся...нижних извилин рашистов Генсек НАТО поддержал отмену ПДЧ для вступления Украины в НАТО. Зеленскому надо научиться как-то лучше владеть собой, я понимаю глубину его разочарования отсутствием конкретных сроков и общей туманностью перспектив, но зачем было истерить и ссориться с половиной НАТО? Нервишки видимо уже шалят изрядно. ps 3) ВСУ взяли под контроль основные господствующие высоты вокруг Бахмута, - Маляр.
Маляр в своём репертуаре - пиздит как дышит. Ахмат сила, Аллах акбар! |
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As for charitable assistance, Russia has repeatedly stated that it is ready to deliver targeted supplies of wheat and fertilizers to the most needy African countries in the required volume free of charge. No grain deal is needed for this, Russia again had a record grain harvest last year.
Except "russia" is not doing that. Why? For example, in order not to sabotage the grain deal. Do you have any idea what it's all about? How could Ukraine sell its grain under this deal if Russia would supply it for free? Let's go again, Russia is ready to supply free wheat to countries in need if the grain deal is not extended. In other words, the starving countries of Africa will receive for free from Russia all the volume of wheat that fell from the closing of the grain deal. How many tankers Ukraine sent to Africa as part of the grain deal, Russia will send as many tankers free of charge after the cancellation of the deal. Is it clear now? |
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World, we have a problem. It seems that Putin's regime is not willing to continue the grain & agricultural exports deal through Odessa. What does this mean for you:
- If you live in Africa, you are unlikely to be able to afford grains this year. Time for cat hunting.
- If you live in Poland, good news: you now hold the key for passage of 25% of the grain food in the world (or so).
- If you are Putin, you are likely to get some calls from your developing countries' "friends" all over the world begging you not to be an asshole.
Perhaps once you get into killing, it does not matter if you are killing beyond your means.
I think with a 95% chance the grain deal will not be renewed. There are several reasons for this, in fact, none of the conditions requested by Russia within the framework of this deal was fulfilled. Any deal assumes that all interested parties receive their part of the benefits from its implementation, in this case, the benefits of extending the grain deal for Russia are not obvious. I assume that supporting the countries that need that grain does not count as an "advantage" to the RF? No wonder you have to keep the federation together by force - the RF do not seem to understand the basics of human relations other than "do as I tell you or I kill you". LOL what? Do you really understand the meaning of the word "deal"? Since the conclusion of the grain deal, none of its points regarding Russia has been fulfilled. Moreover, immediately after its last extension, the Togliatti-Odessa ammonia pipeline was defiantly blown up by Ukraine in the Kharkov region. A deal is a deal, if one of its parts is not fulfilled, the deal is terminated. As for charitable assistance, Russia has repeatedly stated that it is ready to deliver targeted supplies of wheat and fertilizers to the most needy African countries in the required volume free of charge. No grain deal is needed for this, Russia again had a record grain harvest last year. |
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It looks like a gesture of desperation from Biden against the backdrop of empty NATO arsenals. It won't fundamentally change anything on the battlefield, but it could split the ranks of NATO allies, many of whom have already denounced the move, and rob the US of "moral high ground" if it used to be. The use of cluster munitions can be qualified as a war crime.
So, you want to admit that Russia did war crimes by shelling Ukraine with cluster munitions? Or you trying to deny facts that Russia used it in this war or as you call ''special operation? But as I said, Ukraine didn't ratified convention against cluster munitions, same as USA. And Russia too. So, there is no point ot look for war crimes there. I want to say what I already said above. Personally, I don’t see a big problem in the supply of cluster munitions from the United States to Ukraine, especially since Ukraine used cluster munitions quite actively before, for example, shelling Donetsk with petal mines or attacking Kramatorsk with Tochka-U missiles with a cluster warhead about a year ago (April 8, 2022 to be exact). You are right, Ukraine, Russia and the US have not ratified this convention. However, many NATO countries have ratified it, such as Great Britain, Germany, Spain, France, Italy, etc. - and from their point of view, this is a war crime. does not qualify at all as war crime. The use of cluster munitions in civil populated areas is, due to the extreme chance of collateral damage. Europe do not like them because they are basically a defective product that fails between 5 and 20% and then stay in there for very long. To give any credit to those claims of previous useI would need some sources as just saying so does not make it so. On the "desperation" interpretation... I think if they really worked as intended is perfect for clearing trenches, so it is just the right weapon for the taks. In general, this is a good sign for Russia and for the whole world. There are many signals that there are very active behind-the-scenes negotiations between various participants, one way or another involved in the conflict. I think that with a probability of about 80%, this topic will lose its relevance towards the end of this year in connection with a peaceful settlement between Russia and Ukraine. There is also about a 20% chance that there will be a new phase of escalation in the fall, most likely related to the desire of Poland and the Baltic States to also participate in military operations against Russia. For Russia, this is an acceptable option, it will probably end with new territorial acquisitions. I assess the risk of nuclear escalation with a full-fledged direct confrontation between Russia and NATO as minimal. I assess Ukraine's ability to reverse the unfavorable course of the conflict during the current counter-offensive as zero, I think this counter-offensive has almost completely fizzled out. And there will be no next chance for Ukraine. |
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It looks like a gesture of desperation from Biden against the backdrop of empty NATO arsenals. It won't fundamentally change anything on the battlefield, but it could split the ranks of NATO allies, many of whom have already denounced the move, and rob the US of "moral high ground" if it used to be. The use of cluster munitions can be qualified as a war crime.
So, you want to admit that Russia did war crimes by shelling Ukraine with cluster munitions? Or you trying to deny facts that Russia used it in this war or as you call ''special operation? But as I said, Ukraine didn't ratified convention against cluster munitions, same as USA. And Russia too. So, there is no point ot look for war crimes there. I want to say what I already said above. Personally, I don’t see a big problem in the supply of cluster munitions from the United States to Ukraine, especially since Ukraine used cluster munitions quite actively before, for example, shelling Donetsk with petal mines or attacking Kramatorsk with Tochka-U missiles with a cluster warhead about a year ago (April 8, 2022 to be exact). You are right, Ukraine, Russia and the US have not ratified this convention. However, many NATO countries have ratified it, such as Great Britain, Germany, Spain, France, Italy, etc. - and from their point of view, this is a war crime. |
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That's your statement not others. China never "rejected" US bonds, they dumped it because they wanted to reduce the amount of risk they were taking since US dollar started tanking (crash postponed by hugely increasing interest rates) and US-China are practically in an economic war. This is also not the only thing they did. They've been pulling out of each other's markets for the past couple of years. For example in the most recent news Apple revealed plans to pull a big part of its production out of China and move it to India.
There is a thing that I don't understand. Some years ago I remember Apple or Barak Obama stated that Apple couldn't move factories from China to other country because Chinese laborers were highly qualified, efficient and fast. So, I don't really understand, if America is so dependent on China, why does China heavily invests in U.S. Treasury bonds and makes its own currency weak to keep low export fees? It could profit more if the USA is really dependent on China. And there is another thing that I personally think is a huge bullshit. Why doesn't America produces goods in the USA? Labor is expensive? Then they shouldn't produce food, shouldn't provide postal service, shouldn't do tons of thing if we think that way. And labor isn't that cheap in China too. I think they are just exploiting their employees and they wont' be able to do the same in the USA. Or may be? Idk, I have heard that Amazon exploits its warehouse and delivery employees too. 1. China has an export-oriented economy, that is, China has a positive trade balance. In such conditions, it is beneficial for China to artificially maintain a low exchange rate of the yuan. 2. China is actually a monopolist in the production of a large number of rare earth metals, which are actively used in any high-tech products. This is a strong trump card of China and the answer to the question why it is difficult for any large company to transfer production from China to any other place. The reality is a little different. China is really the leading supplier of gallium and germanium today. This is a fact, I confirm. But I highlighted the word "SUPPLIER" for a reason. The fact is that these rare earths are also mined by other countries. The advantage of China, before the introduction of "licensing", was the extremely low price. But there are deposits of these metals in other countries, and in industrial quantities, with a slightly higher price. The countries with the largest deposits and commercial production of these metals: Gallium - Japan, South Korea, Ukraine Germanium - Canada, Belgium, USA Yes, they will create a temporary inconvenience, but it's like another "fighter against the world" with "turn off gas to Europe. Remember how it ended? There were "predictions from international analysts" blaring through all the outlets - "Europe will freeze, die out and crawl on its knees". In the end, the EU quietly switched to alternative and adequate suppliers of the "unique product", and ... in the end - the EU has no problems, Russia has lost this market forever. The same will happen with Galium and Germany - China will simply lose supply contracts, it will take some time to sign new contracts, build logistics schemes, after which China will be told "goodbye our stupid supplier China made a far-sighted bet on rare earths in the 1980s. Today, China is the world leader in the supply of 17 different rare earth metals with a market share of about 90%. To capture a significant share of this market requires huge investments and years, if not decades of directed efforts. The irony is that rare earth metals, which are actively used in high-tech goods, including for the green transition, are extremely unfriendly in their production, so replacing China on the world market is not only long and expensive, but also very dirty work. The production of rare earth metals is one of the reasons why in some parts of China it is possible to make bricks from the air, it is so dirty. Want to replace China? Good luck. |
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Meanwhile, USA recently confirmed that they will supply cluster munition to Ukraine. I just remind that Ukraine didn't ratified convention on ban of cluster munition, so, everything is ok there.
It looks like a gesture of desperation from Biden against the backdrop of empty NATO arsenals. It won't fundamentally change anything on the battlefield, but it could split the ranks of NATO allies, many of whom have already denounced the move, and rob the US of "moral high ground" if it used to be. The use of cluster munitions can be qualified as a war crime. |
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That's your statement not others. China never "rejected" US bonds, they dumped it because they wanted to reduce the amount of risk they were taking since US dollar started tanking (crash postponed by hugely increasing interest rates) and US-China are practically in an economic war. This is also not the only thing they did. They've been pulling out of each other's markets for the past couple of years. For example in the most recent news Apple revealed plans to pull a big part of its production out of China and move it to India.
There is a thing that I don't understand. Some years ago I remember Apple or Barak Obama stated that Apple couldn't move factories from China to other country because Chinese laborers were highly qualified, efficient and fast. So, I don't really understand, if America is so dependent on China, why does China heavily invests in U.S. Treasury bonds and makes its own currency weak to keep low export fees? It could profit more if the USA is really dependent on China. And there is another thing that I personally think is a huge bullshit. Why doesn't America produces goods in the USA? Labor is expensive? Then they shouldn't produce food, shouldn't provide postal service, shouldn't do tons of thing if we think that way. And labor isn't that cheap in China too. I think they are just exploiting their employees and they wont' be able to do the same in the USA. Or may be? Idk, I have heard that Amazon exploits its warehouse and delivery employees too. 1. China has an export-oriented economy, that is, China has a positive trade balance. In such conditions, it is beneficial for China to artificially maintain a low exchange rate of the yuan. 2. China is actually a monopolist in the production of a large number of rare earth metals, which are actively used in any high-tech products. This is a strong trump card of China and the answer to the question why it is difficult for any large company to transfer production from China to any other place. |
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World, we have a problem. It seems that Putin's regime is not willing to continue the grain & agricultural exports deal through Odessa. What does this mean for you:
- If you live in Africa, you are unlikely to be able to afford grains this year. Time for cat hunting.
- If you live in Poland, good news: you now hold the key for passage of 25% of the grain food in the world (or so).
- If you are Putin, you are likely to get some calls from your developing countries' "friends" all over the world begging you not to be an asshole.
Perhaps once you get into killing, it does not matter if you are killing beyond your means.
I think with a 95% chance the grain deal will not be renewed. There are several reasons for this, in fact, none of the conditions requested by Russia within the framework of this deal was fulfilled. Any deal assumes that all interested parties receive their part of the benefits from its implementation, in this case, the benefits of extending the grain deal for Russia are not obvious. |
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I think the move by China to try to limit the supply of gallium and germanium to the market, specifically to U.S. companies, is very stupid. Japan is already willing to supply the necessary quantities of gallium and Canada the necessary quantities of germanium.
The bottom line is:
- China has shown its stupidity.
- The U.S. has once again demonstrated that the West does not depend on China.
- The U.S. has an official reason to introduce new "counter-sanctions" against China, which will really bring real problems for China. Which will have an extremely negative impact on China's economy.
A light version of "shooting yourself in the foot".
Prooflink? To my knowledge, China controls about 80% of the gallium market. Japan and South Korea left the gallium supply market in 2016, Ukraine in 2019. In general, this is a very unstable and difficult market for a number of reasons, gallium is a by-product in the production of aluminum and it requires, first of all, a large amount of cheap energy for its production. |
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14.03.2023 Депутаты Госдумы РФ приняли в третьем чтении закон о наказание за дискредитацию участников СВО. До 15 лет тюрьмы или 5 миллионов рублей штрафа.
Ну приняли, и приняли. Каких законов еще только не принимали. Но! Если есть Закон, то надо бы как-то проследить за его исполнением, так? ОК, можно я прослежу?
Недавняя тема. Сначала у Пригожина обнаружили один автобус с 4 миллиардами рублей. Потом еще автобус с 6 миллиардами рублей. Потом произвели обыск в его доме, где обнаружили кувалду, золотые слитки, белый порошок и мундир с звездой Героя России (и не только). И оружие.
А вот ущерб от нескольких часов пребывания Пригожина в Ростове оценили в 90 миллионов рублей. А ущерб (якобы) от митинга Навального (несколько лет назад) – вытоптанная трава - оценили в 7 миллионов рублей. А что было потом? Правильно, на Навального подали в суд и потребовали возместить городу Москве 7 миллионов. А вот ущерб от танков Пригожина покроет бюджет города Ростова (из средств налогоплательщиков, разумеется).
Дальше – прикольнее. Все отобранные и конфискованные средства Пригожина (10 миллиардов, кувалда, порошок, оружие и слитки) были (якобы) ему возвращены. Но вопрос не в этом. А в том, ЗАЧЕМ это было сделано? Зачем власти сначала объявили о миллиардах налом, слитках и орденах Героя России, найденных при обыске (а вот обыск у героя России и СВО – это дискредитация или еще нет? А если нет, то почему?). А потом власти официально (их за язык никто не тянул) объявили об том, что все это (изъятое при обыске) возвращается обратно Пригожину. Как несправедливо изъятое.
В чем тут прикол? Ну изъяли, объявили. Это я еще как-то могу понять. Ну, вернули потом. По ранней договоренности (о которой никто ничего не знает). А зачем рассказывать ватникам про то, что миллиарды будут возвращены обратно Пригожину? В чем суть? В чем смысл? Я этот вопрос уже ни раз задавал тут недавно в инете… И пока не получил ни одного вразумительного ответа. Только ответы типа «путин дурак» или «ты сам дурак» и все такое прочее. В чем скрытый смысл этой акции? Кому она выгодна? Зачем?
Заранее благодарен за умные и обоснованные ответы. И пусть идут нах те, кто будет тут разводить тут троллинг. Спасибо за понимание!
ту
Ну чтож, кажется настало время охуительных историй. Пригожину вернули десять ярдов налом и всё изъятое при обыске в его резиденции, включая наградной глок с автографом Шойгу - ахаха это прекрасно. Весьма наглядный эпизод штатно сработавшего "золотого парашюта". При этом сам Пригожин в России, а наиболее боеспособное ядро Вагнера в 5-8 тысяч штыков под командованием опытного германофила Уткина в статусе беглых мятежников захостились где-то в лесах Беларуси, одновременно заставив напрячься Украину, Польшу, Прибалтику и вообще всю Европу, да и в США думаю от такого перфоманса очень качественно все охуели. Эти отморозки недавно взяли Ростов-на-Дону, а затем на серьёзных щах двинулись на Москву, вообще хуй знает чё у этих людей на уме, хуле бы им не сходить например на Берлин, на бронемашинах и танках погонять по автобанам? Они же в натуре ёбнутые и под неопределённым флагом, там если чё посерьёзней замес, чем в Париже будет. Вообще вся эта тема с мятежом весьма доставляет - толи это инсценировка на грани фарса ансамбля имени высокохудожественного стёба, толи всё серьёзно и вполне по чесноку. |
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Russia is absolutely not buying gold at the moment lol... the war has caused a budget deficit and Russia is using it's foreign currency reserves to cover it. Moreover, gold with rubles would have a negative effect on the rubles' price... something that russia is actively trying to avoid. Your analysis doesn't seem very sound I am afraid
You are wrong. Before expressing your opinion in a categorical manner, it is useful to check with some credible source of data so as not to look stupid. For example, according to the latest data from the World Gold Council, in May the Central Bank of Turkey became the largest seller of gold (minus 63 tons), and the Central Bank of Russia can also be found in the list of buyers (plus 3 tons). |
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Its only logical, because they're equally reliable
Great, I'm happy we can agree that Ukrainians are slowly pushing into the occupied territories. You two can, I disagree Ukraine is pushing into occupied territories and freeing parts of Belgorod but it is not happening slowly if you judge this with the same criteria used for the RF army to assess their lighting invasion of Bakhmut. On a more serious interpretation: we talk more often about what we can see and measure easily, thus we tend to look at the map and say: progress is 10 km2 today. But what we do not see is the grinding, the morale, the inability to maintain logistics... There is a lot more than it meets the eye in battlefront and a whole iceberg sitting underwater in terms of logistics, sabotage, lack of technological components, difficulties in levying more troops... As said, the front does not collapse... until it does. Don't compare Ukraine's counteroffensive with the Bakhmut Meat Grinder. Russia could afford to advance slowly, Ukraine cannot, because time is Russia's ally and Ukraine's enemy. Zelensky is now in an extremely unenviable position between a rock and a hard place - on the one hand, quick successes are needed for the NATO summit in Vilnius, which will begin in five days, and on the other hand, Ukraine cannot now make Russia very angry, because the extension of the grain deal, which expires July 18th. Difficult choice. I think Ukraine has finally said goodbye to dreams of cutting off the land corridor to the Crimea and reaching Melitopol. Now the most likely direction to achieve at least some success is to increase pressure in the vicinity of Bakhmut, this does not make sense from a military point of view, but the capture of Klescheevka can probably be sold to Western sponsors as a media victory. True, for this you will have to throw the most combat-ready part of the strategic reserves on the sacrificial altar, but who cares? Russia is definitely not going to attack in the Kremennaya area, everything suits it in the current configuration of the front line. |
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Fortunately, you can see the dynamics of China's investment in US Treasury bonds on the US Treasury website. I know this data, I expected to see it, and I confirm - it is true As is the truth that "China CLOSED all of its data on foreign exchange reserves. The data released to the public is sometimes very vague and cannot be used to get the full picture." You won't show data on China's foreign exchange reserves other than analysts' assumptions. Regarding the information you cite: Yes, i n 12 months, China has reduced (according to official U.S. data) about 16% of its investments in U.S. government bonds. If you do a simple operation, and compare with other countries, China is by no means the leader in terms of government bond dumping. That said, you can see that the countries are about 50/50 split between those who have reduced their holdings a bit and those who have increased them a bit. I understand if China left 50% for the year. And so - yes there is a slight change, but it can't be called "China has abandoned U.S. government obligations and withdrawn all funds from them. Oh, and most importantly You somehow selectively took the period, forgetting about the current date ? Coincidence? And here is the full spreadsheet with ALL the information on the current date https://ticdata.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/slt_table5.htmlTell me - what is the increase from 849.0 on 2023-02 to 868.9 on 2023-04 ? In 2 months - a 10% increase in investment ...Or is that not it, it's about another ?! Dude, lol. You have very serious problems with math, if you see a 10% increase here, try using the help of a calculator. If you look at the history of China's investment in US Treasury bonds over a longer time period, it turns out that China has been systematically reducing its investment in US government debt for about ten years, while increasing investment in gold. The maximum level of China's investments in US Treasury bonds exceeded 1.2 trillion dollars, that is, over ten years, China has reduced its investment in US government debt by about one and a half times. |
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^^^ You assume that China has a deep love affair with US Dollar. Then why they are offloading a part of their reserves in US treasury bonds? Why they have given their approval for the common BRICS currency, which as CNY having the highest weightage? China is trying to move away from USD and there is no confusion related to this. But they are intelligent enough to understand that doing so takes a lot of time and it can't be done in a fortnight. And also, even for trade using CNY/RUR, values are first calculated in USD and then converted to the other currency.
Here everything is very simple. 1. You can neither prove nor deny any information about China's foreign exchange reserves, including the amount of treasury bills. China has CLOSED and CLOSED this data. The data released to the public is sometimes very vague and cannot be used to get a complete picture.2. China sells most of its most demanded goods - ONLY FOR THE DOLLAR ! 3. China's economy, as much as you don't like it, is totally dependent on Western technology. No - China can produce its own consumer goods. But competitive goods with high added value. china cannot produce without western technology ! That's why, after the migration of Western technology from China has begun, China is hysterically looking for a way out, including through "pressure and agreement. This is what I mean: From August 1, 2023, gallium and germanium, as well as their chemical compounds, will be subject to export controls. According to the Chinese side, the measure is aimed at protecting national security. But at the same time China says - if you don't take technology out of China - we will lift these restrictions ! By the way China sells gallium and germanium ONLY for dollars 4. Regarding the fantasy about "NY/RUR values are first calculated in US dollars and then converted to another currency". On the one hand it seems to be true. But the nuances, which you always forget about for some reason On the example of oil bought by India for rupees. Urals, on the market for $50+. India gets a huge discount. The total dollar value of a barrel is approximately $35. Everything seems to be fine. But this is not how calculations are made Firstly, for inter-state settlements India uses a very specific cross-rate, which is calculated through the chain rupee-dollar-ruble, taking into account the risks of the ruble; as a result Russia loses another 3-5%. H u i fnal - part of the money is blocked in accounts in Indian banks, and the part that actually ends up in Russia - you can only buy "bananas" conditionally with them, and the question of exchanging rupees for dollars is not even considered. Do you think that China is stupider than India in "undressing" Russia? It's exactly the same picture there.... Fortunately, you can see the dynamics of China's investment in US Treasury bonds on the US Treasury website. |
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False, there are settlements captured in several sections of the front and a total of 40 km2 south and north of Bakhmut, 138 km2 south Velyka Novosilka and more than 100 km2 north of Robotyne. This is the equivalent of one year of RF fighting in a few weeks. If you measure progress with the same standards that you measure the old RF advances, Ukraine is going top speed. Peace negotiations with territorial gains for RF ... I do not see that happening under Biden. Nor probably under any US president that understands what happens next if the RF "looks victorious". Oh... glad to know that you consider the CIA as a trustworthy source... I hope your handlers do too but the article says... William Burns was told of Ukraine’s ambitious goal to retake territory and push Moscow into talks by the end of the year All the achievements of Ukraine in the framework of the current counter-offensive are forest plantations in the "gray" zone and several villages on the Vremievsky ledge without confident control. Maybe there are some achievements in the Antonovsky Bridge area, because you have repeatedly mentioned Ukraine's activity in this direction? No, there is also a fiasco. There is not a single occupied height in the Bakhmut area for a month. There are attempts to organize pressure along the entire front line, and nowhere is it successful. At the same time, Ukraine's tactics are very strange - a quick approach of assault infantry in armored vehicles to the line of contact and attempts to engage in close combat. Are you seriously? In almost a year and a half of the conflict, Ukraine has never achieved significant success in close combat against Russia. These are obviously failed attempts. If you prefer going for "there is no progress" to "the progress is not sufficient" to then "the progress is not tactically important" in three posts... well that speaks for itself. Ukraine is doing a very difficult thing: using combined weapons approach without the right combined weapons. They are in obvious need of better air detection, drone protections and certainly a squadron of f16 (Gripen does not seem to be coming). The strategy is nothing special... hit logistics at the back, create the widest front possible, push in several directions, look for the "easiest" way of advancing and keep the pressure so that the RF is not able to move troops freely from one front section to another. In my view, Ukraine would need better air capabilities, better drone defence and of these, it may get some jets and some enhanced strike capability if ATACAMS are supplied. Other than that, fronts do not collapse... until they do. This way of fighting resembles much more a Phalanx / Hoplites battle than anything else. Both sides have good defence and push each other... until one side leaves a hole or is attacked on the flanks, the line spreads and gets thinner... 20 minutes later you got 5000 guys running back to Moscow Thebes. Same old... spread the front, rotate, damage logistics and in one of the rounds it just may happen that you hit that undersupplied, demoralised and thinned brigade that decides that is not worth dying for Putin. Let's conduct a dialogue in a more substantive way, without slipping into propaganda slogans. Where exactly can one observe "sufficient advance" of Ukraine, in which particular sectors of the front? What scale do I need to look at the maps to notice the progress of Ukraine? I understand that you are more passionate about your crystal ball and wet fantasies in the style of "how everything will be fine when the West gives F16 and long-range missiles", but let's somehow get back closer to reality. |
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