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621  Economy / Economics / Re: Sanctions at work:Russia posts its second highest deficit in the post-Soviet era on: June 11, 2023, 03:49:19 AM
https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/russian-economy-ministry-improves-2023-gdp-growth-forecast-2023-04-14/

Russian ministry of economy revised the estimate for 2023 GDP growth. Now they claim that GDP will grow by +1.2%, compared to an earlier prediction of -0.8%. There is an announcement from the International Monetary Fund as well. They raised their estimate for Russian GDP growth to +0.7% from a previous estimate of +0.3%. The estimate for 2024 is +1.3%. However as per the IMF, labour shortages and exit of western companies will harm the Russian economy in the long term. World Bank meanwhile has stated that Russian GDP will contract by 0.2% in 2023.

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-may-see-wider-2023-budget-deficit-lower-growth-years-come-imf-2023-04-11/
I talked about this a few weeks ago in this same thread. This is natural and quite expected for anyone who understands the economy at least a little deeper than at the philistine level - the current budget deficit in Russia is extremely favorable for the subsequent growth of nominal GDP. It's just how the method of calculating nominal GDP is arranged.
622  Local / Разное / Re: Boеннo-пoлитичecкий кoнфликт мeждy PФ и Укрaинoй on: June 11, 2023, 03:30:38 AM
You are clearly unfair to Putin's strategic genius. There are numerous problems in implementing a special military operation in Ukraine, but the initial flexibility of this excellent strategy forgives them all! The current position of Russia looks extremely advantageous, although of course it could be much better. You can always do something better in an imperfect real world.
Вы посмотрите какая скудная речь у биопена в англолокали. Одну воду льет. Какие-то пространные речи.

О какой гибкой стратегии обсерации ты там втираешь? Там провал за провалом. Но у вас ватников "все типа идет по плану". И Белгород и Шебякино. Твоя гибкая стратегия - не что иное как отмазка и отсутсвие четкой идеи за что идете воевать

In terms of GDP percentage, NATO has a significant advantage over Russia, but fortunately this is not a competition in terms of the percentage of GDP.
Вот видишь. А ты нам тут про нефть затираешь. Сам же пропизделся что по ВВП НАТО уделывает рашку

Himars are beautiful, I think this is a very good volley fire system, one of the best in the world, maybe the best.
А тут ты пропизделся тоже. Оказывается хаймарсы - прекрасны. Что ж так и есть

NATO instructors at European training grounds can prepare another million Ukrainians for the Offensive Guards Two (if they find so many willing ones) and they will all be defeated.
По крайней мере инструкторы НАТО обучают ЗСУ профессионально. А путинских орков тупо ловят и без обучения кидают в пекло. Кто проиграет - естественно орки
Поздравляю, ты выиграл главный приз в конкурсе поклонников моего эпистолярного таланта - виртуальный флакончик жидкости для охлаждения ануса. Продолжай бегать за мной по всему форуму и станешь главным претендентом на вакансию моего личного биографа, сразу как только она освободится. Grin

ps Инструкторы НАТО обучают профессионально и качественно, просто немного не томУ. Ну нету у действующих инструкторов НАТО реального баивого опыта противодействия регулярной армии, что неудивительно после 20-ти лет интенсивной борьбы со всякими террористами тире ослоёбами.
623  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 11, 2023, 03:05:39 AM
which were confirmed by the action in the form of shelling. Lol. Grin

Shelling with what? Confirmed by what sources? Russian?
AFAIK there are even reports from seismic watchers in Norway that there was an explosion at the dam, not shelling. US satellites confirmed the information with infrared sensors that detected a single explosion.
Also, according to reports from Ukraine the dam was rigged with explosives some time ago, long before the counteroffensive. This is consistent with the way Russians operate. They did the same in Zaporizhzhia power plant and almost blew it up when one of their mines exploded unintentionally near one of the buildings.

Washington Post ok?

I'd expect something better than an article from 2022.
I guess they're now equipping himars launchers with delayed fuse that explodes 6 months later. This reads like a story straight from kp.ru

Quote
Glad you're having fun. If Russia is fighting so badly, where is Ukraine's successful counteroffensive? Grin

It must be going well for the Ukrainians if Russians are blowing up dams and drowning their own soldiers in the process, trying to stop it.
This is direct evidence against Ukraine. Maybe you, in contrast, have direct evidence against Russia, in addition to unfounded accusations? No, you don't have them, and no one has them, otherwise they would have been circulated by all Western media. There is no evidence that Russia did it and there is no motive for Russia to do it. The best argument against Russia is that if there had been no invasion at all, then the dam would have been intact. This is a ridiculous argument.

I think that the RF blew the dam, but I see that Ukraine may benefit from it in military terms at least in the short term. If you are defending, the river is an asset, the wider and deeper the better. When you are attacking, it is an obstacle. My guess is that once the main flood starts withdrawing, you will get a narrower river, easier to cross. Since Ukraine is in the offensive... that sound like advantageous.
I also think that the destruction of the dam was artificially provoked as part of a secret operation of Russian intelligence in order to prevent the Ukrainian secret operation to seize the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant by underwater swimmers and attack Energodar on boats through the Kakhovka reservoir. But it worked quite cleanly and we most likely will never know the truth.
624  Local / Разное / Re: Boеннo-пoлитичecкий кoнфликт мeждy PФ и Укрaинoй on: June 10, 2023, 03:41:55 PM
Давай я тебе объясню положение вещей, Китай удачно сменял бронеавтомобили на например озеро Байкал и на этих машинах тебя же и отправят против F-16 хардкорно умирать за то что ты объяснить не можешь  Cheesy

Внимание вопрос! Кто ты? Wink
Чё там, Леопарды не оправдали надежд на переходящий вымпел "лучшая вундервафля", и уже начался авансовый дроч на F16? Дурачок ты, Украина клянчит F16 чтобы использовать их как мобильное ПВО, потому что Россия закошмарила весь передок своими бесконечными старыми ФАБами с модулями УМПК, а попытки подтянуть комплексы ПВО поближе к фронту привели сначала к эпичному разъёбу Ланцетами дивизиона С-300, а недавно также въебали радар от IRIS-T. Ну и Аллигатор давеча красиво отстрелялся ПТУРами по колонне бронетехники как в тире, без всякого противодействия со стороны Украины. Вот для этого по легенде и нужны F16, чтоб такой хуйни типа не было.

Сравнивать танк с самолётом не корректно и ты не понимаешь что такое профессионально воевать. Вы показушники которые способны на геноцид мирных и тик токи про ланцеты, а против вас профессионалы которые имеют лучшую в мире разведку и точные дальнобойные системы. Вам могут просто отключить ПО и всё у вас встанет и  поскачешь на лошади, приказ от хуйла на фронт идти на Берлин будешь доставлять  Cheesy
F16 многоцелевой, возможно и как ПВО, хотя просто накроют средства доставки и склады бк, ну я так думаю. Крупные нпз уже беспилотники долбят и у вас тупо не будет солярки и бензина а без логистики ваша армия быстро превращается в сборище вооруженных бомжей в поисках пропитания. И ради чего?  Cheesy
В нефтедобывающей России скоро закончится солярка и бензин, ясно. Ты сам то читаешь что ты пишешь? Галоперидол опять забыл принять утром? Уже кажется даже ссыкунишка-перебежчик Эксимер в ахуе от тупости новообретённых укро-соратников, по вам блять всем дурдом плачет.
625  Local / Разное / Re: Boеннo-пoлитичecкий кoнфликт мeждy PФ и Укрaинoй on: June 10, 2023, 02:12:10 PM
Давай я тебе объясню положение вещей, Китай удачно сменял бронеавтомобили на например озеро Байкал и на этих машинах тебя же и отправят против F-16 хардкорно умирать за то что ты объяснить не можешь  Cheesy

Внимание вопрос! Кто ты? Wink
Чё там, Леопарды не оправдали надежд на переходящий вымпел "лучшая вундервафля", и уже начался авансовый дроч на F16? Дурачок ты, Украина клянчит F16 чтобы использовать их как мобильное ПВО, потому что Россия закошмарила весь передок своими бесконечными старыми ФАБами с модулями УМПК, а попытки подтянуть комплексы ПВО поближе к фронту привели сначала к эпичному разъёбу Ланцетами дивизиона С-300, а недавно также въебали радар от IRIS-T. Ну и Аллигатор давеча красиво отстрелялся ПТУРами по колонне бронетехники как в тире, без всякого противодействия со стороны Украины. Вот для этого по легенде и нужны F16, чтоб такой хуйни типа не было.
626  Local / Разное / Re: Boеннo-пoлитичecкий кoнфликт мeждy PФ и Укрaинoй on: June 10, 2023, 09:46:21 AM
Это земля не русская, а украинская и с войной пришли вы, поэтому вечеринка 🥳 будет в Москве  Wink
Не переживай, и в Москве вечеринка тоже крутая будет, и даже в Киеве. Но в Киеве возможно не на всех улицах. Банковский кризис бгг. Grin

Представляется сельская аквадискотека где под газманова танцует пьяная толпа из инвалидов без ног и рук и ёбнутых садистов, а как тебе видеться ваш триумф?  Cheesy

Ответь на вопрос серьёзно, почему на фото где горит армата очень много высженой земли, а на скриншоте из танчиков ни одного такого места нет?  Wink
Не понял где горит армата, чёт тебя перепутало с утра. Я не знаю как серьёзно ответить, если у тебя сбился фокус на разглядывание травы. Ты лучше подумай как быстро Россия сможет отбуксировать один из подбитых Леопардов с передка в тыл, и какие шансы что после этого Украине с Запада хоть что-нибудь свежее перепадёт кроме хлама и утильсырья.

Тем временем, Кадыров хвастается китайскими бронемашинами от компании Shaanxi Baoji Special Vehicles Manufacturing. Это первая зафиксированная поставка военной техники из Китая в Россию. Кажется раньше Китай говорил, что будет помогать только в случае атак на "материковую" Россию. Чё довыёбывались хохлы с "русскими партизанами" и обстрелами Щебекино? Grin
627  Local / Разное / Re: Boеннo-пoлитичecкий кoнфликт мeждy PФ и Укрaинoй on: June 10, 2023, 04:46:46 AM
Это земля не русская, а украинская и с войной пришли вы, поэтому вечеринка 🥳 будет в Москве  Wink
Не переживай, и в Москве вечеринка тоже крутая будет, и даже в Киеве. Но в Киеве возможно не на всех улицах. Банковский кризис бгг. Grin
628  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 10, 2023, 04:04:32 AM
When the Leopards and Offensive Guards are over, there will be an opportunity for Russia to demonstrate its strike potential.

The time for Putin to show his "strike potential" was before Ukraine got Leopards and Patriots and Himarses and all that other stuff. And he failed miserably.
You are clearly unfair to Putin's strategic genius. There are numerous problems in implementing a special military operation in Ukraine, but the initial flexibility of this excellent strategy forgives them all! The current position of Russia looks extremely advantageous, although of course it could be much better. You can always do something better in an imperfect real world.

Best he can hope for now is some sort of stalemate but having only ~10% worth of NATO GDP he will eventually lose even if he somehow manages to ramp up production of 1970s soviet military equipment.
In terms of GDP percentage, NATO has a significant advantage over Russia, but fortunately this is not a competition in terms of the percentage of GDP. Himars are beautiful, I think this is a very good volley fire system, one of the best in the world, maybe the best. And what are these Himars doing now, why, for example, are they not massively shelling Russian positions in the Orekhovo or Lobkovo region, taking advantage of the firing range? Where are the systems for remote demining, why do armored columns of Ukraine move along the roads during the day, where they can be easily detected and covered with artillery or shot with ATGMs from front-line aviation? Why are there no anti-mine trawls on Leopards? The Armed Forces of Ukraine disappoint me with the mediocrity of their counteroffensive, falling into a mediocre frontal onslaught. Perhaps Zaluzhny was really seriously shell-shocked in May and he was removed from control, but I don’t see the handwriting of a talented general in the actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. And NATO is not in a position to help Ukraine here, because NATO generals themselves do not have experience in conducting large-scale military operations, they studied from textbooks for local anti-terrorist operations. NATO instructors at European training grounds can prepare another million Ukrainians for the Offensive Guards Two (if they find so many willing ones) and they will all be defeated. And all the Leopards and Bradleys will also burn in the endless steppes of Ukraine. But let's see how events develop, I think Ukraine has now activated about a third of its strategic offensive reserve, a critical situation will arise when less than half of the reserves remain. If Ukraine does not break through the front line within a week, the situation may unfold for it in the most unfavorable dramatic way. It seems Zelensky is already very nervous.
629  Local / Разное / Re: Boеннo-пoлитичecкий кoнфликт мeждy PФ и Укрaинoй on: June 09, 2023, 08:17:37 PM
Первая фотография видимо скриншот из танчиков, так как земля не может так выглядеть, после того как на ней горели танки  
Ну допустим потерю в Запорожье минимум одного Леопарда 2А6 даже весьма лояльный к Украине Oryx признаёт. Фотка скриншот из видео объективного контроля, вот ещё более поздний ролик - там до кучи в толпу подтянулись ещё четыре Бредли и их тоже всех немножко расхуярило.

В прошлый раз, когда немецкие танки горели на русской земле, это закончилось большой праздничной вечеринкой в Берлине. Только бы дожить до светлых дней!  Grin
630  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 09, 2023, 06:49:06 PM
which were confirmed by the action in the form of shelling. Lol. Grin

Shelling with what? Confirmed by what sources? Russian?
AFAIK there are even reports from seismic watchers in Norway that there was an explosion at the dam, not shelling. US satellites confirmed the information with infrared sensors that detected a single explosion.
Also, according to reports from Ukraine the dam was rigged with explosives some time ago, long before the counteroffensive. This is consistent with the way Russians operate. They did the same in Zaporizhzhia power plant and almost blew it up when one of their mines exploded unintentionally near one of the buildings.

Washington Post ok?

Quote
Kovalchuk considered flooding the river. The Ukrainians, he said, even conducted a test strike with a HIMARS launcher on one of the floodgates at the Nova Kakhovka dam, making three holes in the metal to see if the Dnieper’s water could be raised enough to stymie Russian crossings but not flood nearby villages.

The test was a success, Kovalchuk said, but the step remained a last resort. He held off.
Since last summer, Ukraine has fired more than 500 shots at the dam of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station. There is also public evidence that Ukraine considered the plan to flood the valley downriver as one of the measures to influence Russia. Ukraine wanted to do it, Ukraine tried to do it many times, Ukraine did it. What's wrong?


It's actually funny when you think of how Russians are bad at warfare. Digging trenches in irradiated soil of the Red Forest is probably their best achievement to date, but there were others.

One Russian soldier has reportedly been killed and another left injured after they were tricked into running into a house containing their own army's landmines by a Ukrainian prank call
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/russian-soldiers-blown-up-mine-27872198

According to some reports, a landing craft of the Black Sea Fleet D-106 is reported to have exploded when it hit one of the Russian navy’s own mines near Mariupol, the southern Ukrainian port city that Russia’s troops destroyed and now occupy.
https://defence-blog.com/russian-landing-craft-sinks-after-hitting-sea-mine/

In a video posted on Prigozhin’s social media channels, Lt Col Roman Venevitin, the commander of Russia’s 72nd Brigade, tells an interrogator that, while drunk, he had ordered his troops to fire on a Wagner convoy.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/05/wagner-group-release-video-of-captured-russian-commander

Glad you're having fun. If Russia is fighting so badly, where is Ukraine's successful counteroffensive? Grin
631  Local / Политика / Re: Началось on: June 09, 2023, 06:18:52 PM
Невозможно же в глаза ебаться настолько сильно, чтобы не понимать, что путенская армия ведет войну, захватническую.
даже запутенцы понимают ситуацию лучше тебя.
А если ты слеп и умственно отстал, то никому уже не интересен, верну тебя в игнор.
Чувак, хуле ты ноешь? Ну ведёт захватническую войну, и чё? Как-то полегчало тебе от этого? Я не понимаю в чём прикол этой навязчивой фиксации в коленно-локтевой позе, дескать "памагите, убивают-насилуют!!11". Если Украина реально хочет победить Россию, что само по себе конечно звучит весьма забавно, надо как-то постараться избавиться от этого статуса жертвы и виктимной модели поведения в целом. В чём вообще понт сначала дружно прыгать под кричалки "москалей на ножи", а потом всем жаловаться, что огребаешь пиздюлей по-полной?
москаль это не москвич, не автомобиль и не житель москвы или подмосковья, это не любой россиянин, тем более уже не любой русский и не русский вообще как таковой (ощущение что ты вообще не в рф живешь лиц вокруг не видишь, этнических русских тут не так уж много),
этот термин (москаль) обозначает рос империалистов, продвигающих ксенофобную и захватническую идеологию столицы (москвы).

и ты осознаешь разницу между "кричать кричалки на улице" и "прийти реально убивать людей" ?
наверно нет.

и я не жалуюсь, я в полном абсолютном ахуе что моя страна напала на другую страну по совершенно надуманным причинам.
Эмпатия, ознакомься с понятием хотя бы технически, раз уж оно тебе не доступно.

биопен дожился до того, что ему очевидные вещи объясняют, стал скучен и плоск, куда катится локал, пожалуй тебя тоже в игнор верну, толковых мыслей от тебя нет, даже на майнингклабе с детишками тебе особо нечего сказать, даже там на твой шитшиллинг не ведутся
Фигасе ты слоупок. Уже почти полтора года идёт СВО, а ты до сих пор живёшь в отрицалове, не можешь принять объективную реальность. Где вообще твоя либералистическая евротолерантность? Вселенная и то вон непрерывно расширяется после теории большого взрыва, а ты почему то против имперских амбиций своих соотечественников. Терпимей надо быть, экспансия во всех направлениях это адекватный нормальный модус вивенди, если ты не движешься вперёд и цепляешься за статус кво - значит ты деградируешь, такова селяви. Поэтому Крым наш, Донбас тоже наш, ещё кое-чего по мелочи. Обычное дело, хуле ты паришься? Нехуй было выёбываться, с сильным соседом надо уметь дружить. А хочешь враждовать - будешь получать пизды, чё непонятного? Всегда так было и всегда так будет, усвой и закрепи.
632  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 09, 2023, 01:24:52 PM
Meanwhile, the Ukrainian counter-offensive that has not yet begun seems to be going badly.

So when is the Russian victory parade happening in Kyiv? Why no parade in Bakhmut, such a great victory, no?
Reality often makes its own adjustments to human plans, this is normal. I think now Russia is taking a wait-and-see attitude, giving Ukraine the opportunity to realize its offensive potential and spend the accumulated reserves in manpower and military equipment. When the Leopards and Offensive Guards are over, there will be an opportunity for Russia to demonstrate its strike potential. Yesterday, Mark Milley acknowledged that now there are at least three superpowers in the world (USA, Russia and China) and the modern world has essentially become multipolar, the era of US sole domination is over. Actually, this is what we are now fighting in Ukraine to declare a new world order and a new balance of power. And it seems there are some successes, although it is too early to sum up.

Wow man to believe Russia is a super power and that is not winning anything in Ukraine takes a lot of courage and I congratulate you on that,you got courage to say nonsense and bullshit  Grin.So what damage has Russia exactly caused to the US in specific that they should be proud of?Absolutely nothing and this will continue to be like that,I don't see any success in normal gauge of how a success is measured but if losing a lot of manpower,military equipment,losing more borders to NATO is a success of some sort then I am dumb  Grin.

China on the other hand is reluctant and hesitant to show their no limit friendship with Russia,they are not giving a helping hand and as such Russia is just an isolated country who is seeking new friendships in Africa and Middle East now,no one in Europe gives the slightest sh*t about Russia anymore.
You are not interesting to me as an interlocutor, because you have nothing in your head except propaganda shit, slogans and chants. You do not even experience cognitive dissonance, accusing Russia in one paragraph of blowing up the dam at the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station and at the same time arguing that this is unprofitable for Russia. Everything is fine in your schizophrenia, except for repeated statements by Ukraine at the end of last year about the intention to blow up this dam, which were confirmed by the action in the form of shelling. Lol. Grin
633  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 09, 2023, 12:44:14 PM
Meanwhile, the Ukrainian counter-offensive that has not yet begun seems to be going badly.

So when is the Russian victory parade happening in Kyiv? Why no parade in Bakhmut, such a great victory, no?
Reality often makes its own adjustments to human plans, this is normal. I think now Russia is taking a wait-and-see attitude, giving Ukraine the opportunity to realize its offensive potential and spend the accumulated reserves in manpower and military equipment. When the Leopards and Offensive Guards are over, there will be an opportunity for Russia to demonstrate its strike potential. Yesterday, Mark Milley acknowledged that now there are at least three superpowers in the world (USA, Russia and China) and the modern world has essentially become multipolar, the era of US sole domination is over. Actually, this is what we are now fighting in Ukraine to declare a new world order and a new balance of power. And it seems there are some successes, although it is too early to sum up.
634  Local / Политика / Re: Началось on: June 09, 2023, 09:07:53 AM
Невозможно же в глаза ебаться настолько сильно, чтобы не понимать, что путенская армия ведет войну, захватническую.
даже запутенцы понимают ситуацию лучше тебя.
А если ты слеп и умственно отстал, то никому уже не интересен, верну тебя в игнор.
Чувак, хуле ты ноешь? Ну ведёт захватническую войну, и чё? Как-то полегчало тебе от этого? Я не понимаю в чём прикол этой навязчивой фиксации в коленно-локтевой позе, дескать "памагите, убивают-насилуют!!11". Если Украина реально хочет победить Россию, что само по себе конечно звучит весьма забавно, надо как-то постараться избавиться от этого статуса жертвы и виктимной модели поведения в целом. В чём вообще понт сначала дружно прыгать под кричалки "москалей на ножи", а потом всем жаловаться, что огребаешь пиздюлей по-полной?
635  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 09, 2023, 08:49:44 AM
Meanwhile, the Ukrainian counter-offensive that has not yet begun seems to be going badly. Lots of casualties in manpower and armor (including a few Leopards) and little progress in moving forward. There is no air support and there are very few drones in the skies above the front line (Russian electronic warfare probably works well). There is no stampede, and attack helicopters shoot columns of armored vehicles like in a shooting range. Crimea cannot be won back in this way, Ukraine needs to try harder.

And here's how the protection is going. Russians will come to liberate you with tanks, rape your women, kill your dogs, murder men in cold blood, steal your cars and washing machines, drink all your alcohol and then blow up a dam or a nuclear power plant and destroy what's left. If I were to find myself under the protection of RF, I'd pack my bags and run West.
You forgot about trophy toilets and asphalt, without them the picture would be incomplete.

Who said Ukraine counteroffensive is in Crimea mate.Don't you read the news,it is elsewhere but as president Zelensky says,no details will be provided except that they are seeing good results from heavy fighting in Donetsk and somewhere else.I am giving you a hint anyway so you can pass it on to the Russian commanders if they don't read this forum  Grin and that is that Crimea will be the last territory to be restored to Ukraine after heavy fighting.They also have intercepted a call that clearly shows that Russia had blown the dam at Nova Khakova,unthinkable terror move but that is what Russia is nowadays.
Mykhailo Podolyak said that on May 28 he would go to Yalta and tell everyone about the future of Crimea. Somehow it didn't work out. Well, I'm not the only one who sometimes makes mistakes in forecasts. Grin

It seems that the strength of the resistance of the Russian troops and the level of losses among their own came as a surprise to the Ukrainian command. As a result of the battles of the last few days, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have clearly not been able to achieve anything resembling a strategic success. The main task - to break through the first line of defense, create a bridgehead and develop an offensive - has not been completed. Officials do not know how to comment on what is happening. In the front-line cities they write about a large number of wounded, call for blood donation.

About Zaluchny. What the Russian rocket failed to do seems to have been successfully done by Zelensky (apparently fearing the growth of Zaluzhny's popularity) - Zaluzhny is now in the role of a wedding general and essentially does not command the General Staff, key decisions are made at the Headquarters, where there are more officials than professional military men. I think there are so many frankly stupid and failed decisions from here.

636  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 08, 2023, 07:44:10 PM
Meanwhile, the Ukrainian counter-offensive that has not yet begun seems to be going badly. Lots of casualties in manpower and armor (including a few Leopards) and little progress in moving forward. There is no air support and there are very few drones in the skies above the front line (Russian electronic warfare probably works well). There is no stampede, and attack helicopters shoot columns of armored vehicles like in a shooting range. Crimea cannot be won back in this way, Ukraine needs to try harder.

And here's how the protection is going. Russians will come to liberate you with tanks, rape your women, kill your dogs, murder men in cold blood, steal your cars and washing machines, drink all your alcohol and then blow up a dam or a nuclear power plant and destroy what's left. If I were to find myself under the protection of RF, I'd pack my bags and run West.
You forgot about trophy toilets and asphalt, without them the picture would be incomplete.
637  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 03, 2023, 04:41:42 PM
Ukraine has not crossed the border with the RF, just as the RF never sent troops to the Donbas before the war. Just like the pro-Putin "Little Green Men", they bought their supplies in the shops.

Quote
Initially, President of Russia Vladimir Putin stated that the men in green were not part of the Russian Armed Forces, but groups of local militia who had seized their weapons from the Ukrainian Army.[18

Civilians have been evacuated, or they should have been, but I am sure that the Russians in the Russian liberation forces will target official buildings or military targets and not kill their fellow Russian brothers, just like the RF army does not want to kill civilians when sending missiles to Kyiv, right?

Anyway, you do not see it at all do you? The offensive has started just under your nose, preparation stage.  Putin has two options: Send troops to Belgorod and other cities or not sending troops.

If he sends the troops, the front is stretched by several hundred miles and the RF needs to move around Ukraine, long path, bad railways and roads, lots of fuel waste. Those troops will not be available stopping attacks elsewhere and will be very very far from the south.

If he decides not to send troops, then, oh well, seems like the Russian liberation groups could capture villages and cities at will, in which case Putin and the Army will be seen as unable to secure their own borders. What you are looking at is war 101 but I understand it may be too much for you, so breaking it down:

- Extend the front
- Create chaos behind the lines
- Degrade the enemies' logistics
- Create political dissent
- Gather intelligence, test defences, test your weapons.

... all by the playbook, but for now, very cleverly executed if you ask me. On top of it, Ukraine has managed to train the "fists" without loosing anything strategic, again, very basic stuff, but very well executed. Including blasting Berdiyans'k supply lines, fuel depots, refineries,... It seems like the US has been having some "Brainstorming" and run a few "planning workshops" with the Ukrainian army, uh?

Now, Ukrainians are rotating troops, it is likely that the more battle able troops will get some relief, while a couple of artillery brigades have been deployed north of Bakhmut, just in case the RF tries something funny. The recently formed armoured and assault brigades are not there in the south for a parade.

Now, ask yourself: The Kerch bridge is still open, but it is hanging by a string. That is a critical supply route, but also the only route to retreat if things go really bad in Crimea. Why? Do you think that Ukraine cannot blast it to a good end?

I have never said I am Ukrainian and I have never denied that I am Ukrainian, but good try.
In general, Ukraine spent the end of spring very poorly. The loss of Bakhmut was not compensated by anything, the counteroffensive on the flanks bogged down and completely lost its meaning. Attempts by cavalry raids into the Belgorod region under a false flag also did not have much success. Daily arrivals in Kyiv show the weakness of Ukrainian air defense, which cannot reliably protect even the capital. I think Russia's actions near Kupyansk, Avdeevka and Marinka are more like an offensive than what Ukraine is doing now.
638  Economy / Economics / Re: Is the US default a reality? on: June 01, 2023, 12:51:17 PM
Meanwhile, China's Top Rating Firm Downgrades US in Echo of Global Rivalry

What does this chinese nigga allow himself? Grin

I also love this kind of subtle humor Smiley
I especially enjoy reading North Korean news, ratings and forecasts!
Before watching or reading, I strongly recommend that you definitely take cold water and sedatives with you - it’s almost impossible to stop and stop laughing! Smiley Of course, China is far from them, but some are trying ...

By the way, I highly recommend, after such assessments, to find the previous forecasts of these companies. The funny thing is, I used to think too - it’s unlikely that they will write about dummies in the news, but no, in the context of the articles they indicate, and it seems that these are some really significant companies. And if you look at their history, then they didn’t have and won’t have steeper forecasts than “the water is mostly wet” ...
Moreover, one must take into account the current position, where China has decided to put itself in the place of the second poles of the world, and here any means are good to support itself ...

PS Now I'll go on the fence and publish a rating from the world famous, anti-lich, market company: Gold Brilliance Super Luxury International Economics Morgan Rodschild Murdoch analytical galactic company! In terms of the real value of information, it will be commensurate with China Chengxin International Credit Rating Co Smiley


UPD There will be no default, we disperse, dedollarization is over!  Grin


You should not think that the US default story is over, it is just beginning. China is the largest holder of US debt after Japan and is gradually reducing its share. The Middle East is also systematically reducing investment in US debt, and increasing investment in US debt, mainly the countries of the Big Seven, which themselves are in debt as if in silks. The exit of Chinese, Arab and Russian money from the US debt will spur inflation in the dollar zone, so the key rate is already high and will remain high, the next four trillion the US government will have to borrow at a high percentage of junk corporate bonds. And the first trillion should be borrowed urgently right now.
639  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: June 01, 2023, 12:02:47 PM
The preparations - which consist of blasting depots and command centres in Crimea - is ongoing. The RF is corresponding with equivalent missile strikes, although the effect is somehow limited from both sides. I believe Ukraine is being marginally more effective, because the setup in Crimea was based on Ukraine not having medium range cruise missiles, which they now do, so it is not as prepared as it should have for this. One exception, it seems that the RF managed to damage 4 planes in an attack, which are important to keep sending Stormshadows their way.

All signs seem to point to an Ukrainian offensive in the south direction, but I would not hurry it as they will not get 5 chances to do this. Zelensky said "it has been decided", which does not offer much information on dates - as it should not for obvious reasons.
I think both sides are exchanging harassing blows to force each other into active offensive action. The situation is similar to a chess zugzwang, when any move significantly worsens the situation, but it seems that the pressure of external circumstances on Zelensky is stronger than on Putin. He promised to take the Crimea in May, but instead, daily strikes on Kyiv and every night an air raid. Let's see who has stronger nerves. Grin

Nah, RF is using all it's got in the frontline and getting 50 meters a day more, 200 soldiers less a day less. BTW it seems that Putin cannot keep the mosquitos out  of home? Seriously, this is they guy that will "protect the Russians" (from what I am not sure).

Regarding nerves... well, It think that you think this is about nerves. I think it is more about using mechanised brigades to break the frontlines. Matters little if you shoot missiles to nowhere in particular with zero strategic value and think that somehow this is going to win you the war.

BTW, according to your leader, that is just an "operation" if it happens in Kyiv, but is "terrorism" if it happens in Moscow. This guy should really make up his mind: either is all right to drone the capital of the opponent or is not.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xvWRiaXe78M

I will avoid the smiley, this is not funny.
It seems that much more rockets and drones arrive in Kyiv than in Moscow, satellite images and photos of eyewitnesses show traces of arrivals at the headquarters of the Main Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine. And where is the Patriot, who should protect Kyiv? Shares of Raytheon Technologies Corporation fell 12% in a month. Grin
640  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 30, 2023, 05:35:56 AM
The preparations - which consist of blasting depots and command centres in Crimea - is ongoing. The RF is corresponding with equivalent missile strikes, although the effect is somehow limited from both sides. I believe Ukraine is being marginally more effective, because the setup in Crimea was based on Ukraine not having medium range cruise missiles, which they now do, so it is not as prepared as it should have for this. One exception, it seems that the RF managed to damage 4 planes in an attack, which are important to keep sending Stormshadows their way.

All signs seem to point to an Ukrainian offensive in the south direction, but I would not hurry it as they will not get 5 chances to do this. Zelensky said "it has been decided", which does not offer much information on dates - as it should not for obvious reasons.
I think both sides are exchanging harassing blows to force each other into active offensive action. The situation is similar to a chess zugzwang, when any move significantly worsens the situation, but it seems that the pressure of external circumstances on Zelensky is stronger than on Putin. He promised to take the Crimea in May, but instead, daily strikes on Kyiv and every night an air raid. Let's see who has stronger nerves. Grin
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