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4941  Other / Meta / Giving merit to people when you don't agree with them on: September 04, 2021, 04:29:59 AM
Do you find it hard to merit people when you don't agree with what they are saying? I'm not talking about a small disagreement here, rather about completely opposite points of view.

Since I've been on the forum I've made sure to give people merit even if I don't agree with what they say but I recognize that it's not as easy as when you do agree with them.

Moreover, I think that many times merits are given simply because people agree with what the other is saying and not so much because the post is specially worked.

I think another thing that is also hard is, if you have had a heated argument with someone (and at that time you have not given them merit because you understand that those posts do not deserve it), to give them merit in other posts that you find in the forum later on. Again, that's another thing I've made sure to do, to give someone merit regardless of previous arguments, but I think it goes against our instincts.

I try to be objective, except when discussions lead to insults. If someone insults me, I put him on ignore and I won't give him any more merits.

What are your views and experiences about it?
4942  Economy / Speculation / Re: Seriously. How much market cap can Bitcoin absorb from other assets? on: September 03, 2021, 11:56:37 AM
-snip

Look, I'm not going to discuss this any further with you because it's clear that we're not going to reach an agreement. I don't know if I didn't explain it well in the OP or you didn't understand it well, but when I talk about Bitcoin absorbing market cap of other assets I'm talking about a years long process.

In my view, as of today Bitcoin has already absorbed some market cap of gold. Most of the money that has been put into Bitcoin, if it had not been invented by Satoshi in 2008, would be in the market cap of gold today. And for that it hasn't taken people selling nearly $1T in gold to buy Bitcoin.

I never said "it is going to end up being a currency"! Bitcoin IS already a currency. In fact the only reason why it can also be considered a store of value, etc. is because it IS a currency which is its main utility that is giving bitcoin its value.

People have been using it for payments for a very long time. For example Bitpay used to report $1 billion worth of payments processed (>90% of it was bitcoin) annually last time they released the number which was before they stopped (right after they got their virtual currency license from the New York Department of Financial Services). And that's just BitPay which is not the best service to use, it is centralized among other issues. There are a bunch of payment processors and merchants can always accept bitcoin directly.

In other words bitcoin has been fulfilling the role of a currency in range of trillions of dollars every year.
The fact that there is a small rise in number of people who are making payments with shitcoins doesn't change the fact that the above number about bitcoin payments is growing tremendously.

You have made me think, because it is true that for example gold today is a store of value and practically not used as a currency (unlike in the past), while a lot of transactions are done in Bitcoin every day.
4943  Economy / Economics / Re: El Salvador retirees protest against Bitcoin as legal tender on: September 03, 2021, 11:44:15 AM
It doesn’t mean that if what the state/government is forcing you to use is Bitcoin, it’s an automatic “OK” decision. The point was no state should force Bitcoin on ANYONE, but let the people use it for its merits.

Yes but my point was that no state should force Fiat on anyone either, that's what they do and I don't see many people complaining about it. I don't see people using the Fiat for its "merits" either, apart from the fact that this is what is accepted as payment.

Did I say “massive” protests? I said it was growing. Pictures shown were from different parts of El Salvador.

No, you didn't.

Besides, it seems to me that protests will be closely linked to the price. If it goes up a lot, no one will protest, as soon as there is a drop, there will probably be protests again. It shouldn't be like that, and Bitcoin should be valued for its intrinsic properties but it seems to me that's what's going to happen.
4944  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 03, 2021, 11:38:20 AM
For a bit of a laugh, Shitcoin SV is now ranked 47 on CMC.

And Shitcoin Cash is ranked 15 but it has like 1-2% of Bitcoin market cap.
4945  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 03, 2021, 10:46:28 AM
so you mean we are getting bored?

man never thought having 100s of percent  profit year after year would ever be boring but i guess one does get used to it..

Yes, that's what I mean. We've just touched $50,400 btw, let's see if we break it today.
4946  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 03, 2021, 10:05:23 AM
stop teasing us and give us a new ath, that up and down around 50k is unbearable

That's because we are badly accustomed  to the profitability of Bitcoin. Before it existed, such high returns could only be obtained with very high risk assets, so the potential profitability was coupled with a very high potential risk of losing your money, if not outright scams. To despair when the price of Bitcoin has "only" gone up 500% in the last year is very funny.

And it's happened to me too, eh, but if you think about it, it's a good laugh.
4947  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Let's talk about Taliban on: September 03, 2021, 07:25:38 AM
Many news sources are biased to an extent, at least on certain topics or in certain geographical areas. With something like the Afghan crisis it can be difficult to obtain a truly impartial assessment of the situation and the history.

Actually, all news sources are biased to an extent. Information, knowledge, does not exist as detached from our preconceptions. Another thing is that there are outrageously biased sources of information.

The best thing you can do is to read histories from different sources.

I agree but in general, not just with the Afgan conflict.
4948  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Poker casino but need KYC, is this really necessary? on: September 03, 2021, 06:14:45 AM
I don't see mentioned that in poker, unlike other casino games, there is another reason to implement kyc, apart from the typical anti money laundering reason: to avoid collusion. If you don't identify individual players with a different identity each, you can have two or three players at a table who are playing together from the same place ( knowing what cards each one of them has.
4949  Economy / Gambling / Re: New Crypto Casino with a built in MIXER and token bridges!!! on: September 03, 2021, 06:03:57 AM
I'm just curious about the mixing part,

Me too, I have not seen him answer the previous question:

IIRC, All Casino has a mixer feature because they have Hot and Cold wallet for there balance. Meaning the players coin deposit is always diferrent to the coin they will withdraw because they have separate wallet & balance for deposit and withdrawal. I don't know now how casino process deposit and withdrawal but afaik, Casino usually put a wagering requirements in able to withdraw there deposit is to avoid the use of casino for mixing purposes as per AML regulation.

I want to know whats the difference of your mixing feature?

I myself have used casinos for the privacy of my coins. When you deposit you do it from one address to one address of the casino, but when you withdraw, the casino sends it to you from another address different from your address which is also usually another address, so you lose track of it. They usually have one or a few addresses with a large balance, and the addresses that contain small deposits they consolidate from time to time.

So if you deposit today in a casino and withdraw the money tomorrow, most likely the money you deposited is still in the address you deposited it and the casino pays you from another address that has a large balance with only one input.
4950  Economy / Economics / Re: El Salvador retirees protest against Bitcoin as legal tender on: September 03, 2021, 05:53:50 AM
The protests are growing in support.



That is a DEPRESSING picture. But OP, you’re wrong. They are NOT “protesting against Bitcoin”, they’re protesting against the laws that FORCE them to accept Bitcoin. I already said it in another thread that accepting Bitcoin legal tender is OK, but forcing the people to accept it without giving them the right to say “NO” will be a problem. El Salvador should let Bitcoin be used in its own merit.

I don't agree with that. In every country in the world they force us to accept Fiat, they force us to pay taxes with Fiat, so for a country to do the same with Bitcoin seems great to me.

And the photo you put is a laugh, it is not the first one I see of "massive" protests and there's hardly a soul.
4951  Economy / Economics / Re: New York Mayoral Candidates Turn to Crypto for Votes on: September 03, 2021, 05:48:51 AM
Andrew Yang was another candidate for New York mayor, he also supported crypto and was blown out of the water, and that was a democratic candidate with some name recognition. This guy is a republican and has precisely a zero chance of going anywhere. Voters don't understand nor care about crypto, they probably never will. Politics is a game of pandering.

Well, it is true that today the crypto issue does not move a mass of voters as other issues can do, but what I find interesting is the trend. It seems to me that we are going to see more and more politicians talking about measures favorable to cryptocurrencies in their election campaigns, and that is positive for the normalization and mass adoption of Bitcoin.
4952  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: How would you spend 10000 cad on cryptocurrency today? on: September 02, 2021, 09:47:10 AM
100% in Bitcoin. The other thing would be to play roulette. If you like the thrill of playing roulette, I would invest 90% Bitcoin and 10% shitcoins.

The other thing that would be nice to know is, are you going to invest for the long term? Or are you looking to invest now to sell in the future (trading)? I say this because if you go long maybe it is worth adding even if it is 100 cad a month.
4953  Economy / Economics / Re: Enjoy communism (II): Venezuela to cut 6 zeros from its currency on: September 02, 2021, 08:07:46 AM
Well, as I said before, and as I see the conversation is already drifting to Biden Kamala etc. I proceed to lock the thread. Thanks for your opinions.
4954  Economy / Speculation / Re: Seriously. How much market cap can Bitcoin absorb from other assets? on: September 02, 2021, 08:05:14 AM
For it to absorb market cap, there does not have to be a gold market crash. Simply that people stop buying gold as a safe haven and buy Bitcoin instead, simply if what has happened over the last 12 years continues to happen, the price of gold has risen little or not at all if we take into account inflation and the price and market cap of Bitcoin have risen by a huge amount, as I say, simply with that, the market cap of Bitcoin can reach 5.5 times that of gold. It is a progressive process by which a person who has a coin worth $100 does not have to sell it for $20.

Yes, it has to!

Quote
If we have Bitcoin with a market cap of about $1T and gold with a market cap of about $11T, we see it quite likely that Bitcoin in the not too distant future will have a $10T market cap and gold $2T.

Your own scenario says so, and unless people sell at 5.5 times less than the actual price there is no way how this could be achieved, not even mentioning that we have an average of 3000 tons of gold being mined each year which adds around 150 billion to the market cap every time. Just as the price of bitcoin will not go down if nobody sells the same will be with gold, and gold bugs are far more resilient than bitcoiners when it comes to holding.

No, not really. You didn't quote the last sentence, in which by the way I missed the "no" but I think it's clear from the context.

Quote
Note: I am not taking inflation into account here. If I talk about $5M it is with current prices, or the figure that will result in the future from multiplying that figure by inflation.

(I've added the "not" in bold)

So, if in the next 10 years what has happened in the last ten years happens, that gold rises just a little bit without counting inflation, but even loses if we count inflation, and bitcoin rises parabolically, it is more than feasible. You can find gold with $15T market cap and bitcoin with $85T maket cap perfectly well. The only thing is that the dollar will be worth much less in 10 years than it is now.

4955  Economy / Gambling / Re: ▄■▀■▄ 🌟BITVEST.io🌟 💰WIN BY 🔶PLAY 📈INVEST➡🔺🎲🎰🔲 | BET CONTEST ▄■▀■▄ on: September 02, 2021, 03:14:11 AM
I am very relieved to report that I have now received all pending withdrawals after 19days.

I'm glad you said that and thanks for stopping by the thread to say so. Sometimes in these threads people complain but then when they have the problem solved they don't come by to say so.

In any case, Lightlord should rethink how he handles payments:

As said, no mud-throwing around from me, but I can still safely answer that I'll never deposit to bitvest.io again.

Because in the end, it results in loss of customers/investors.
4956  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Spain bans betting adds - no celebrities, no sport sponsorship, no daytime adds on: September 02, 2021, 03:09:34 AM
In principle, I don't see it as bad, although as has been said, there will be places where advertising can be seen, such as on the Internet, but a reduction of massive advertising is not bad.

I am in favor of the gaming sector, but well regulated to avoid abuses. And I am against many regulations, but in that sector without regulations there would tend to be many abuses. Young people are now able to gamble impulsively from their mobile phones at any time, and on anything. That is more likely to lead to addictions than when the only way to bet on sports was to go to a place far from your home to play a pool.

This is similar to the ban on the use of credit cards that was discussed in another thread. It seems to me that in both cases the spirit, the intentions, are good, but I believe that the impact will be more limited than the regulators expect.
4957  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Do you gamble to make money or for FUN? on: September 01, 2021, 02:36:30 PM
Mainly to make money, although I wouldn't call it gamble.

I mainly play poker, and it gives me benefits. I have also sometimes played casino games, but since I understood the underlying mathematics I am thinking about the expected loss even if I win.

Let's say I play a casino game with -20% EV per roll. If I bet $10 and win, let's say $100, instead of rejoicing, what I think is that I'm $92 down on the expected value and that I'm going to pay for that in the future. Therefore, I don't play much.
4958  Economy / Speculation / Re: Seriously. How much market cap can Bitcoin absorb from other assets? on: September 01, 2021, 02:28:24 PM
Why do you think bitcoin is "absorbing" market cap from other assets?!!!
For example I myself never had any assets the first time I bought bitcoin and if I hadn't done that the money would have stayed in my bank account doing nothing. There are a lot of people who are cutting certain bad-expenses (eg. quit smoking) and putting that money into bitcoin because it is BITCOIN otherwise that money would have never made its way to any "asset".

Yes, but that is not the general rule. I for example used to invest in other things, and now only in Bitcoin. The bigwigs that are getting into Bitcoin are at least partially stopping investing in other assets and that is going into Bitcoin.

Additionally the places in the world where they treat bitcoin as a currency is increasing, specially among under-developed countries. As bitcoin adoption grows in these places and consequently the price rises they aren't absorbing the market cap from anywhere else.

Do you really believe that a quarter of all the wealth created in the world is going to be absorbed by Bitcoin?
That's the thing, you are thinking of bitcoin as an asset while it is actually a currency.
If there is indeed "around USD 420 trillion" in circulation then a unique global currency that works 24/7 so much faster and safer than all the 420 trillion combined should have a much higher value than the 420 trillion instead of only having 1/4 of it.

Yes, I have already realized that you are very clear that Bitcoin is going to end up being a currency. As of today it is not, and I am not so clear. By Greshan's law, as long as there are low value currencies, people will tend to keep the Bitcoin and spend fiat currencies or shitcoins. I discussed this once with mk4.

Then there is the theory that the Bitcoin will end up being everything, unit of account, store of value and currency, which I guess is your vision, but that is still to be seen.

Quote from: Poker Player link=topic=5357144.msg57810965#msg57810965
I think the vast majority of us on this forum would agree that Bitcoin is better than gold as a store of value and that it would make sense to absorb its market cap. If we have Bitcoin with a market cap of about $1T and gold with a market cap of about $11T, we see it quite likely that Bitcoin in the not too distant future will have a $10T market cap and gold $2T.

And why do you think the so-called gold market cap will crash 5 times?

First thing is that half of that so-called market cap is not in gold that stays in some vault in a bank and is in jewelry, are we going to seriously see a drop in demand for jewelry just because bitcoin is a better store of value? The cheapest engagement ring still is above 2 grams, multiply that by the population of the earth and you end up at least 3 times the gold reserves of the united states, even if we assume half of the world population is way too poor to afford one there are plenty who would compensate for an entire region of the city.

But leaving that aside, in order for gold to lose 5 times that value it would need people to massively sell it and this is just like bitcoin, if you have people who believe in the value of something it doesn't make sense for them to sell so cheaply and 5 times below the price they've bought in. And now the most important part, how are you going to convince ordinary people who don't care that much about technology that something they know has value, something they knew for a long time and something it's advertised all over the world as being of value that is less valuable than a bunch of numbers in an app? Not to mention that you can't have bitcoin plated rims, no matter how much you try.

For it to absorb market cap, there does not have to be a gold market crash. Simply that people stop buying gold as a safe haven and buy Bitcoin instead, simply if what has happened over the last 12 years continues to happen, the price of gold has risen little or not at all if we take into account inflation and the price and market cap of Bitcoin have risen by a huge amount, as I say, simply with that, the market cap of Bitcoin can reach 5.5 times that of gold. It is a progressive process by which a person who has a coin worth $100 does not have to sell it for $20.






4959  Economy / Economics / Re: Enjoy comunism (II): Venezuela to cut 6 zeros from its currency on: September 01, 2021, 02:04:42 PM
I live in India, and you can find youngsters supporting Communist party in every nook and corner. They can be recognized instantly. Will be high on weed most of the time and will be wearing red headbands and Che-Guevara t-shirts. They believe that it is cool to insult the army and shout anti-national slogans. Previously this disease was limited to some of the smaller states such as Kerala and West Bengal, but now it has spread to the larger states as well. And the funny thing is that India has never witnessed communist rule. The CPI never managed to get more than 5% of the total seats in parliament at any time after the independence.

Lol! It seems to me that the same thing is happening around the world.

hyperinflation is characteristic of communist countries
If you are trying to make a general point that hyperinflation occurs exclusively in communist states, and is an inevitability, then this statement is misleading and untrue.


Certainly, +1 on that. Again, not a defender of communism as a viable and likeable way of governing and tbh I do not think Venezuela is truly communist. But, beyond that, you will certainly admit that Erdogan is not a communist leader precisely, and you may see how the Turkish Lira is in hyperinflation. A few countries in Africa y, this is me guessing, Afghan currency are on the same path and none of these could be classed as communist regimes.

Inflation is a hidden tax from an irresponsible government to their citizens.

No, actually I didn't say it was only exclusive to communist countries, but if you look at where hyperinflation has occurred, it is not usually in countries that practice strict austerity in public spending and have a small state. On the contrary, they are states that spend and spend and spend. Italy would be an example. Before joining the euro, it also removed 0s, and it was not strictly communist but it had a state and a much larger state public expenditure than Germany, for example.

I'm going to leave the thread open a bit longer and I will lock it, because it is already drifting into discussion about communism in general. If someone wants to, they can open another one.


4960  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN] BestChange Signature Campaign | Sr Member+ on: September 01, 2021, 01:48:34 PM
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