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561  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 05:54:00 AM
Heard McDonald’s is paying well these days..

Good to know.
562  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 05:53:32 AM
563  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 05:52:17 AM
Anyone got some of those Macca's job application forms?
564  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 05:40:47 AM
Shit, wtf is happening?

Panic selling  Cool

Who would have thought it, who would have imagined it, price is finding buying pressure at support. OMG OMG OMG.



Lot of mindrusts out there. Apparently 1.8bln in longs liquidated. Guessing that is a big part of it.

Edit: LFC is not going to be happy.  Sad
565  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 05:29:07 AM
Shit, wtf is happening?
566  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 04:55:45 AM
splat, must be those leveaged longs getting cleared
567  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 04:05:58 AM
Not much to say apart from RIP perma-bulls. I salute you all engulfing hopium through a crack pipe of wild dreams and psychotic dreams, but welcome to the reality of price.
I am feeling sorry for perma-bulls right now though, times must be tough. Just remember that a long-term uptrend is based on the long-term, not the short-term.
Of course price bounces in bull markets, but it's not from short-term hopium, it's from long-term support. 20/21 Week MA incoming, don't forget your buy orders.
Closing in on long-term support now, the time for short-term bearish price movements will come to an end, have some faith in proability.
Don't be like Billy and don't pull a mindrust  Wink

I'm just hoping we don't see the 40s, the 40s suck.
568  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 01:20:25 AM
Here us something interesting, if true.
Apparently, SP500 is flat since 1997, if you calculate (normalize) against M2 money supply.

https://twitter.com/PrestonPysh/status/1466868260838821895/photo/1

That's not surprising as the stock market wouldn't be the only one to receive all of the inflows. Other things such as bonds, commodities, property, etc would of seen a good portion of it as well. I don't think the stock market is particularly overvalued though, as this M2 comparison alludes.
569  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 03, 2021, 10:29:32 PM
So what will this weekend bring us I wonder? hopefully a bounce because I'm getting tired of dip after dip. I see on-chain indicators are still going fairly well but not as good as a month ago.

What surprises me still is that the markets actually listen to the FED tough talk when they know its impossible to let things deflate as that will cause massive debt destruction (i.e money supply destruction) and the failure of society. It seems we have to go through these tempoary periods where we all pretend we are not in a ponzi before we realize that we are so the FED pumps again. Our monetary system can not survive deflation, therefore we must have inflation, the FED will let up if markets continue to sour.
570  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 01, 2021, 09:15:06 AM
Haven't looked at the dominance for a little while, was hoping for better.
571  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 30, 2021, 07:45:35 AM
hmm, price down. Check time. Asian session. All makes sense. US bids it up Asians sell it down. At what point will the US own the vast majority of the bitcoins as well as the hash power?
572  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 28, 2021, 01:15:50 PM
Something is up


Quote
https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimator


Latest Block:   711654  (12 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   47.4676%  (7 / 14.75 expected, 7.75 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   22674148233453.11                            
Current Difficulty:   22335659268936.39                            
Next Difficulty:   between 11303551648240 and 22185553733226

Next Difficulty Change:   between -49.3924% and -0.6720%

Previous Retarget:   Today at 5:20 AM  (-1.4928%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   December 12, 2021 at 7:55 AM  (in 14d 0h 7m 12s)
Next Retarget (latest):   December 27, 2021 at 5:12 PM  (in 29d 9h 23m 36s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 2h 34m 40s and 29d 11h 51m 4s




-50% is wild and if it continues it can be an indicator of a large price drop to come.

BTW this pattern does not match 2017-2018  so maybe things are different.

If it means we meander about in 2022  much like 2021 it works for me.

Of course we are just starting and it could be freak luck.

Blocks seem to be coming through perfectly fine. I'm guessing it's like that just because it is the start of the current epoch. mempool.space doesn't even put up an estimate for this early in the epoch, no doubt for this reason.
573  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 28, 2021, 09:50:20 AM
DXY heading south, still a little early to pronounce a conclusion but still optimistic that there are enough shorters on BTC about to get rekt.



I think you’re right. My guess is that people have worked out that this new variant scare has been overblown. No indication that it is particularly severe or that it evades vaccines more than the other variants (which seem to be very leaky anyway). Possibly not even that contagious. Either way the FUD we saw on Friday was definitely over the top.
574  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 27, 2021, 12:24:53 PM
Everything "non essential" forced to close at 5pm daily in The Netherlands from Sunday because of the extremely dangerous deadly mutating Coronavirus.

Interesting comment I just read:

"Then we will just reverse everything. Go to the pub from 12pm-5pm and THEN go to work."

 Grin

Stop lying and overexaggerate the situation. B.1.1.529 is not even active here, only 1 case in Belgium so far.

Hospitals are struggeling again with Delta patiens, doctors asked the goverment to take extra steps for some relief.



@BitcoinBunny the measures where not taken because of a new variant, but because infections are running rampant. I hear a lot of people around me who know people who are now infected, luckily all either young (kids) or vaccinated, so no one really ill (except for the nephew of a team member who died 2 weeks ago, but he had many prior medical issues). The hospitals are so overwhelmed now that all non-essential is halted and hospitals are preparing for the situation where even essential healthcare (e.i. care that has to be given immediately, or the patient will die) will have to be rationed. The husband of a friend of mine is a surgeon, he is now part of a commission that will have to make such life and death decisions.

All non essential care being halted is in itself bad enough. A friend of mine has cluster headaches (nicknamed suicide headaches) and he stopped receiving injections against that, he'll just have to deal with it. Just one little example.

Interesting thing in the NL is that we have been measuring the number of virus particles in the sewage water for quite a while now. It gives a nice objective view of how much Corona is going around and can be used to predict how many people will clog our health system two weeks later. See https://coronadashboard.rijksoverheid.nl/landelijk/rioolwater


Thing is with the hospitals, we've had covid around for almost 2 years now. If our hospitals are still having issues this is because governments have been underspending on the hospital system for years pre-covid and in the last 2 years done very little to change that. In the meantime how many trillions have been handed to the world elites. IMO Current covid responses are a failure of government planning.
575  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 27, 2021, 06:59:39 AM
I got this from hacker news:

Quote
Twitter thread from a vaccine developer https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1464222680731820043.html

A lot of speculation still, but it's not all bad so far.

Seems like a overreaction so far at least.
576  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 27, 2021, 05:32:14 AM
Is it just me, or the world seems to be in dark place, right now, psychologically?
The overall feeling of societal stagnation is in the air.
Maybe this is how people felt during the decline of Rome.
If we are in a similar historical point, the next few decades would not be pretty, I just hope that they would be mostly peaceful.

Strangely enough, I am very much discouraged, among other things, by the persistent silicon shortage (with regards to GPUs, mostly).
This was NOT supposed to happen in a true market economy, right?

Bitcoin is one of the true lights in the world now and, hopefully, it would survive and prosper during these tumultuous times.

I have been thinking the very same thing. Things feel so much different these days compared to even 10 years ago, I am not filled with hope that's for sure.
577  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2021, 11:58:17 PM
Potential vaccine-induced evolution.: "Vaccination increases the transmission advantage of an escape variant"

Biodom and Somac, can we get your opinion on this? Is dose sparing in SA breeding immune escape variants?

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41577-021-00544-9

Not my field so can't really comment.

But is this actually happening:

"South Africa has asked Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.N) and Pfizer (PFE.N) to delay delivery of COVID-19 vaccines because it now has too much stock, health ministry officials said, as vaccine hesitancy slows an inoculation campaign."

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/exclusive-south-africa-delays-covid-vaccine-deliveries-inoculations-slow-2021-11-24/

Personally, I'd prefer the correct dose and at the correct intervals. I think with new vaccines coming online such as Novavax any shortage concerns will be gone next year, so this kind of thing would not be required anyway.

Back on topic: I think 9 out of 10 times price either goes nowhere or down during the asian session. What is it with the Asian session that encourages selling?
578  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2021, 01:55:14 PM
How convenient for the Fed that a new covid variant "suddenly appears" right before the month they talked about tightening?  Roll Eyes

Money printer will never not go brrr. They just need an excuse for the public.

Yep, of the 100 variants over the last few months, they decided to use this one for their media attack dogs. They know they can't taper, infact, they know that they must keep increasing the brrrr. Just needed that excuse to save face.
579  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2021, 11:56:45 AM
Price currently at the 0.618 fib retracement level from Summer low to new ATH. Don't be surprised to see a "coincidental" bounce from here from "the middle of nowhere".



Currently not ruling out $50K-53K support being tested, nor the 200 Day MA around $46K, that also line up with the 50 Week MA support trend-line, but it's also not necessary.
For reference sake, the 0.618 retracement level is considered the "golden buy zone" based on expected retracement level (correction) from bullish rallies.
Naturally, closing a Daily candle below this level would likely confirm further downside towards stronger support, but the day is currently far from over...

This drop just seems silly to me. Market players should be seeing this for what it is either a big buy because printers are going to go brrr again, or this covid mutation is like the last 10,000 and is meaningless. My thoughts are that the upcoming US trading hours will see things this way. The technical picture you paint seems promising and the on-chain is still good (or was yesterday at least). Though according to link above that I posted there are now 4k coins that have shifted to the exchanges in the last 1 day.
580  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2021, 11:12:43 AM
Coins are being moved to the exchanges today. Still down a lot this week but, 12.5k.



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