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761  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 25, 2013, 02:46:30 PM
[Are you so smart that you are mentally retarded Cheesy
"LONG CON"  Mensa boy .....
So it gets through your UBER brainpower.....This means "NOT" taking the money and running !!!
To reference something simple so you understand MADOFF kept it going for 20+ years
~15%+ delivery and having millions of dollars held hostage ...and wait UPGRADE now for more $$  (and a with a fee) and you can join the new queue of more rich's !!!
Oh wait sorry you missed the express NEW queue but have ended in just the new queue (Plus 2 more months on delivery)
This also has shades of a 419 Nigerian money scam....
Happy REALLY Huh
1) telling all HOW SMART you are
2) Defending the indefensible
3) Basically picking an argument with a large majority of the community who all now think you are a total dick
4) Keep adding all of this extra information about your life as If we are your friends or give a fuck
You sound Sooooo happy !!!
Has retirement left you with no meaning or definition for your life....??
Go play golf I have heard that others find solace in finding some form of mild sporting activity to help fill the void !   Cool
That's the thing, you can only CLAIM long con.  You have no proof.  You can point and point and point, but those are all suppositions and not proof.  The FPGA was supposed to be a long con but then they shipped them all.  Then the Gen 1 was a long con, but they are now shipping.  Now the monarch is a long con... it's a never ending cycle that you have no real shread of proof on.  I could use your exact same analogy and apply it to other businesses out there today... yet they are still running.

Yes, I am happy, I did my research and I made a decision.  It's not my fault you did not do the same.  You can call me names all you like, but since I don't know you, I don't care.  I am happy, healthy, and secure in my life.  I'm sorry if that strikes a nerve with you.  

You say I picked an argument with the majority, I say I pointed out the other side of the coin.  In order to come to any rational conclusion, you MUST look at things from both sides.  Your refusal to consider other things indicates your mind is made up... so why do you feel the need to call me names and try(yet fail) to insult me?  Are you afraid that giving people MORE information is a bad thing?  

<shrug> have a nice day
762  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 25, 2013, 02:35:01 PM
If your intention was to troll then I suppose you were pretty successful, nice job I guess.

With your high ASVAB I assumed they'd have likely assigned you to higher clearance aircraft, there was a guy in basic that was going to do mechanical work on one of the stealth planes and he had a high ASVAB score though maybe there is no correlation.  While some 1N2s do fly with the aircraft most copy mission on the ground far away.
I did know by putting it out there that people would jump all over it, so, yea, kinda to troll.

[off-topic]When I first went to the recruiter, he handed me a test to take and I did.  When he reveiwed my answers, he pulled out a second test and asked me to take it.  Then he gave me a third test.  Then he starting telling me about the Navy's nuclear technician jobs and how they had a $20k signing bonus and all the usual pap they spread.  It sounded challenging so I agreed and he started the paperwork.  After taking the ASVAB and another test, I was taken to see a commander who told me I had done quite well, but, there was a problem.  I had listed having 3 speeding tickets within the last 2 years on my paperwork and I was considered a secruity risk and unable to go into the program.  I then chose to be an Aviation Anti-Submarine Warfare Technician as they had the fewest number of people in thier field.  Since the P-3 is(well was) an ASW platform, that is where I ended up.  When they combined the ratings I became a simple Aviation Electronics technician.[/offtopic]
763  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL MiniRig Line:Concerned on: August 25, 2013, 02:18:31 PM
This is where you and I disagree.  A pre-order is an order placed for an item which has not yet been released.  When BFL changed their pricing in April, that is when pre-orders ended.  At that point in time they knew how much each unit would cost and began taking orders.  Those can be considered back-orders since they do not have enough on hand to ship them.

I know this is going to start a new Flame war over BFL, but the truth that no one understands is that when Josh said all pre-orders(sic) would ship by September, he was looking at my definition.  Just like everyone does not understand lifetime warranty.  Just because *you* think it means *your* lifetime, 99% of the time it means the lifetime of the product in the market.

So, will BFL have shipped all pre-orders by Jan 1?  Yup.  Will they have shipped ALL orders?  Doubtful.

You should really re-word your bet, I could bet against you and take you to court and win the way it is worded now.
764  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: What'll happen to ASICs when they're no longer profitable to run? on: August 25, 2013, 02:07:36 PM
Oh my, the things people come up with...

They will end up in dumps like old computer hardware today, what did ya think?
I can definitely see them tossed if they no longer work, I can even see some tossed if it's too expensive to run them.  ASIC's are not like the old 8088 computers that take 10 days to do what my system can do in 10 minutes.  Unless someone cracks quantum computing, I see a minority being trashed.

Quote
Quote
The PS4 is coming out soon, yet I still have a PS2 and a PS3.  Even though I plan on purchasing one, I plan on keeping them, others may or may not agree. 

ASIC are a pro tool and not some home entertainment center.
I dunno, I'm entertained everytime I get a message in the corner of my screen that I got sent BTC from my pool.  While it doesn't not happen as often as it used to, it does still happen.

765  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL announces 28nm 600GH/S blade for $4680 on: August 25, 2013, 01:56:35 PM
It's safe to assume if you placed a pre-order now for BFL's 600GH/s unit, you can expect to receive it sometime during 2016.  Rest assure this is in NO WAY a troll post either.  Given BFL's track record and performance.. it's the likely and realistic prediction.
The problem with your prediction is it ignores the causes of their past delays, eg having to last minute re-design the entire product line due to missed power targets, and assumes they haven't learnt from that. You might be right to some extent, but they don't have a track record of missing targets by 2 years yet. I certainly wouldn't fork out $4,680 without seeing a working prototype, same goes for KNCminer, Hashfast etc.
Well said.  I can well agree that BFL has a poor track record.  But I disagree that almost 2 and a half years will go by for the Monarch to ship.  Avalon is starting to slide from respected producer to can't supply on time.  ASICMiner... well, he started out benevolent with his shares and dividends, but then he turned around an took advantage of the whole ASIC shortage to line his pockets with the greed of fools.  Not to mention how his business practices smack of insider trading.  NO other company out there sold to their stockholders at what was admitted a price no sane person would pay(says something about people today), but those stockholders then turned around and doubled those prices!

I hear BitFury is shipping, everyone else(not already mentioned) seems to still be in the promises and pre-order phase though.
766  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL Honoring Pay Dates? on: August 25, 2013, 01:43:51 PM
How are they doing with Honoring the Pay Dates now?

I think everyone knows how it's going. If you ordered the wrong product line you can kiss your money good bye. Looks like there still not shipping the Singles with power supplies either.
you never got your single?
767  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Butterfly Labs New 600GH "Mining Card" - RED FLAGS?!?! on: August 25, 2013, 01:38:36 PM
Most people are likely just so pissed over 'potential lost profits' that they just want to lash out.

I get the feeling that you have lost so much money in so many scams that you think it is just par for the course. Getting ripped off and lied to may be your lot in life, but it doesn't have to be that way for other people.  You should take up sports gambling so you stop feeding the scammers.
In truth, no, I have never been ripped off in any large scale.  I may have loaned someone $20 and never got it back, but I really don't think that qualifies as a scam.  Now, I have been lied to, you cannot avoid that unless you live in a bubble and never talk to another soul.  In my opinion, I think you are looking at it backwards.  It's the people that HAVE been ripped off at some point in the past who are so upset about this.  Burn me once shame on you, burn me twice, shame on me.  I'm sure I have received my fair share of "I have seached and found you as a relative of XXX and YYY who passed away and left $21,000,000 in the bank.  Please reply with the following information to claim your inheritance".  That sure looks too good to be true... pass. 

Who knows, maybe I *am* the fool for passing on hundreds of million os dollars monthly.
768  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: What'll happen to ASICs when they're no longer profitable to run? on: August 25, 2013, 01:22:03 PM
I've been wondering this for a while.... Tens of millions of dollars in equipment will lose money if run in roughly a year (assuming price doesn't skyrocket).

So what happens with it? Will organizations, perhaps the Bitcoin Foundation, buy these units and keep the hashpower on the network for added security, running them at a slight loss, perhaps? Will they be repurposed somehow? Will they simply be thrown away? Will the current owners just keep mining?

While on the topic -- is running obsolete equipment a disservice (long-term) to Bitcoin by making newer, more effective ASICs less attractive? People talk about running their GPUs, FPGAs, and ASICs (in the future) for the sake of the network, but isn't that actually just making it less likely for people to buy or design/develop/manufacture new ASICs since the profit projection would be lower?
You have different goups of people out there.  Some will sell their equipment, some will discard it, some may try an alt coin (doubtful), the rest will keep mining.  Since the ASIC is built for only 1 purpose, I really cannot see them being repurposed.  I cannot see turning a Formula 1 car into a family sedan.

I do not see how running any type of equipment could be a disservice.  I saw someone post that where they worked they had a server farm built and tested, but the customer would not be 'occupying' it for another month or so, and he decided to point them all at Primcoin to do some earning instead of sitting idle.  The only downside of obsolete equipment as you call it is that you are spending more than you are earning.  At that point it pretty much becomes a hobby.

If the manufacturers actually CAN make something that is better, I am sure they will.  The question will become whether their ability to improve upon what they have now will be profitable when sold to the customer *and* if the customer thinks it is worth buying.  The PS4 is coming out soon, yet I still have a PS2 and a PS3.  Even though I plan on purchasing one, I plan on keeping them, others may or may not agree.  
769  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 25, 2013, 02:51:23 AM

 it appears you cannot see

 I'm sorry if you cannot wrap your head around it

 Your refusal to see that doesn't change it.
sounding more like josh post by post

Agreed ...I really dont understand why the supposed "SMART" pple are the ones defending this long con

bcp Explain to me like I am a 5 yr old why BFL is "GOOD" & not "BAD"
The 'long con' terminology is one that can be used over and over and over again without a shred of  proof.
Everyone back during FPGA said the same thing, they are a scam, it's a long con, they're going to take the money and run... Didn't happen.
Again, the same thing is being said.  'what about FPGA?' "all part of the long con".
"A?" Long con.  "B?" Long con.  "C." Long con.  Nothing is good enough, it's all part of the long con.

Can you prove it is a con?  Show me proof?  Show me proof, here, today that they have taken the money and run?

Well? Is BFL shipping or have then taken the money and run?

P.S. Yes, yipyipyipyipyip, I am happy Smiley

plain and simple, (though not for k9).
770  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Butterfly Labs New 600GH "Mining Card" - RED FLAGS?!?! on: August 25, 2013, 01:53:04 AM
Lookeee here, Viceroy missed one!


And a Public Service Announcement!
If you have ordered from BFL and have not yet received your product, you are entitled to a refund whenever you request one (per FTC rules).
First ask Butterfly Labs for one, they will probably say no but you might get lucky.
If you ordered via PayPal you can file a complaint with them even if you are outside the 45 day window. One customer has already gotten a refund from PayPal that was outside the 45 days.
If you ordered via BTC or Bank wire, you can fill out a complaint with the FTC and they will advocate for you with BFL to get your refund. You can also contact the office of the Kansas Attorney General and inform them that you have had your money taken with no product delivered for months, just more promises.

There are also several threads on how to get a refund from BFL, here are two:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=266945.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=272585.0
 



I get the feeling 99% of the complainers don't want a refund cause they could get one pretty easily, especially if they paid with PayPal.

That said, I can't blame the guys waiting for a year now for complaining, albeit, complaining won't get you anywhere and excess complaining will only slow down the progress at BFL.  One should think twice before blasting at management unless you've got nothing on the line and you just wanna vent.  We still have freedom of speech for a while longer.

I agree.  Most people are likely just so pissed over 'potential lost profits' that they just want to lash out.  As a child once posted on this forum:
There are 3 thing you don't mess with
1) A man's woman
2) A man's ego
3) A man's money.
771  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Butterfly Labs New 600GH "Mining Card" - RED FLAGS?!?! on: August 25, 2013, 01:41:08 AM
Lookeee here, Viceroy missed one!


And a Public Service Announcement!
If you have ordered from BFL and have not yet received your product, you are entitled to a refund whenever you request one (per FTC rules).
First ask Butterfly Labs for one, they will probably say no but you might get lucky.
If you ordered via PayPal you can file a complaint with them even if you are outside the 45 day window. One customer has already gotten a refund from PayPal that was outside the 45 days.
If you ordered via BTC or Bank wire, you can fill out a complaint with the FTC and they will advocate for you with BFL to get your refund. You can also contact the office of the Kansas Attorney General and inform them that you have had your money taken with no product delivered for months, just more promises.

There are also several threads on how to get a refund from BFL, here are two:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=266945.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=272585.0
 













772  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: YES, you can get a REFUND from BFL on: August 25, 2013, 01:39:46 AM
bump
You really need more training...


And a Public Service Announcement!
If you have ordered from BFL and have not yet received your product, you are entitled to a refund whenever you request one (per FTC rules).
First ask Butterfly Labs for one, they will probably say no but you might get lucky.
If you ordered via PayPal you can file a complaint with them even if you are outside the 45 day window. One customer has already gotten a refund from PayPal that was outside the 45 days.
If you ordered via BTC or Bank wire, you can fill out a complaint with the FTC and they will advocate for you with BFL to get your refund. You can also contact the office of the Kansas Attorney General and inform them that you have had your money taken with no product delivered for months, just more promises.

There are also several threads on how to get a refund from BFL, here are two:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=266945.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=272585.0
 













773  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL MiniRig Line:Concerned on: August 25, 2013, 01:38:14 AM
bump
If you're going to do this... DO IT RIGHT!!!



And a Public Service Announcement!
If you have ordered from BFL and have not yet received your product, you are entitled to a refund whenever you request one (per FTC rules).
First ask Butterfly Labs for one, they will probably say no but you might get lucky.
If you ordered via PayPal you can file a complaint with them even if you are outside the 45 day window. One customer has already gotten a refund from PayPal that was outside the 45 days.
If you ordered via BTC or Bank wire, you can fill out a complaint with the FTC and they will advocate for you with BFL to get your refund. You can also contact the office of the Kansas Attorney General and inform them that you have had your money taken with no product delivered for months, just more promises.

There are also several threads on how to get a refund from BFL, here are two:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=266945.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=272585.0
 













774  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 25, 2013, 01:36:23 AM
100 million orders is way out of the ballpark. There are only like 50,000 entities that mine bitcoin. That would be about 2000 orders per mining entity. They just changed their order number scheme part way though. If you look at the reported order list you can see where it changed. Looks like there is overlap on either side of the date too... so they did a bad job of the cut over. Maybe multiple systems handling orders and they got updated at different times.
Please don't say that!  K9 says that can't possibly be true!!! You really don't want him against you!
775  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 25, 2013, 01:29:58 AM
The main reason we think you are Josh is that you obviously both suffer from the same condition.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Narcissism


You have gall to start your CV with a statement about what you think your IQ might be based on your recollection of something that happened, presumably, 20+ years ago.  I don't even think public schools are capable of determining IQ's over about 130 with any degree of accuracy.  I won't press the mommy issues you described earlier in this thread though it would not surprise me if careful analysis of Josh's posts revealed the same.  You act like a child, just like Josh.

If it walks like a duck and talks like a duck it is probably a narcissistic douche-bag named Josh.
Let me see... Narcissism... in love with his own image reflected in a pool of water.
Um, no, I'd rather stare at pretty women, thanks.  You must have me mistaken with k9.

While I did have my IQ tested when I was in like 7th or 8th grade, that wasn't what I was going by.  I was part of an evaluation done while I was in the Navy.  I'm pretty sure I can remember something that happened when I was 35 quite well.  And even if I didn't, I have a copy of the report in my service record.  I do have to admit though that I love how everyone thinks they are some sort of arm-chair Psychiatrist.  I am very secure in my life, I have no 'mommy' issues.  Your are starting to sound like k9 to me, are you sure you aren't his sock-puppet?  He too likes to take infintesimal little things out of context and blow them up to horrendous proportions.  Of course, maybe you are a sock-puppet of DrJoe as he loves to say people act like children.  You're not hyped up enough to be a sock-puppet of PG... or did you take a valium?  PG old friend... Is that you?
776  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 25, 2013, 01:01:36 AM
This guy is just some teenager trying to win a free unit from Joshua. His arguments are flawed and logic is definitely not MIT material, more like highschool. If you have to post your fictitious credentials to attempt to validate your argument, your argument is pretty week to begin with.

And a Public Service Announcement!
If you have ordered from BFL and have not yet received your product, you are entitled to a refund whenever you request one (per FTC rules).
First ask Butterfly Labs for one, they will probably say no but you might get lucky.
If you ordered via PayPal you can file a complaint with them even if you are outside the 45 day window. One customer has already gotten a refund from PayPal that was outside the 45 days.
If you ordered via BTC or Bank wire, you can fill out a complaint with the FTC and they will advocate for you with BFL to get your refund. You can also contact the office of the Kansas Attorney General and inform them that you have had your money taken with no product delivered for months, just more promises.

There are also several threads on how to get a refund from BFL, here are two:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=266945.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=272585.0

My credentials had nothing to do with any argument, I was called a sock-puppet of Josh.  I don't think Josh is retired Navy, he looks awfully young.  Besides, in troll value, I earned at least +50 off that post Cheesy

You really need to teach your monkey how to cut and paste your PSA for you.  After all it's only in the thread about 70 times already, god forbid someone missed it.

You may want to check out these threads as well:  They've gotten no PSA love lately
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=266945.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=280092.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=150803.0
777  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 25, 2013, 12:55:41 AM
Holy crap. BCP19 is the latest BFL sock. Everyone hail to the king of socks!
A sock? Hmm.
IQ: 148
Attended M.I.T. for 4 terms (could not afford to graduate)
worked odd jobs for 2 years
Joined the military.  Scored in the 98th percentile on the ASVAB.
Trained as an Aviation Electronics Technician
Worked and flew on the P-3C, in excess of 3,500 hours of flight time.
Retired after 20 years.

I sure don't see sock puppet in there anywhere, sorry.
Sorry but any time you bullet point your life achievements to strangers on an internet forums in order to give yourself some kind of credibility you've already lost.

The reasons not to do this are 2-fold:
1. Anyone can claim anything
2. Internet strangers don't care

Let your arguments stand on their own merit.  Either you've lied about your background to bolster your credibility (very sad) or you were completely accurate in which case nobody gives a fuck and you look dumb trying to impress people with something not related to the discussion at all.  What does your IQ or military experience have to do with a BFL lawsuit?

A high IQ doesn't do anything to make your ideas or positions appear any less like a sock puppet (not that I think you are one).

Fun Fact: I was a 1N2 in the military and sat the same racks copying the http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hainan_Island_incident intelligence failure a couple years before me.  I suppose it's even possible I copied mission on some of your flights.
1. Maybe the purpose behind the bullets was to troll people into commenting?  After all, I am a shill, a fanboi, a sock-puppet and a troll according to these posters.

2. See #1.

3. Ok, so nobody gives a fuck, see #1.  They have nothing to do with a lawsuit, they were claiming I am Josh posting under a psuedonym.

4. True.  But talking about it makes me refer to #1.

Those are EP-3's and I flew on regular P-3C's.  Big difference between them.  I had to sign an NDA the first time I had to work on an EP-3.  All I can say is WOW!
While I was deployed to Japan and Deigo Garcia many times, we never had IN's on our flights.

778  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 25, 2013, 12:26:18 AM
Yet again, you refuse to read and simply act the king of trolls and nitpick things you do not understand to death.
I call it basic math, you call it nitpicking. Sorry, 2+2 != 5 is not nitpicking, even though you were just off by one.  Cheesy

While there are some bad data points in the matrix, the overall premise still holds true.  You seem to expect me to go through and vet 4951 entries to determine if every single one of the is correct?  Impossible.  I'd have to have BFL's order book in hand to do such a thing.  We are still talking about an ESTIMATE.  You are talking absolute accuracy.  The two do not mesh.
It is fairly simple to screen out duplicate order numbers and even more simple to sort them and screen out obviously false order numbers. Even these simple steps were not taken.

Your fallacious assertation that 100070471 is 100 million orders highlights your ignorance.  That is only order number 70471.  
No. It is order number 100070471. It might be the 70,471st order taken, but you have no evidence to support that claim.

While the lower numbered orders were ONLY the order number, somewhere around mid February it appears the 1000 prefix was added.  It really is too bad you cannot understand the simple logic behind that.  Some people seeing the lower numbers did not include the 1000 and others faithfully typed in the full order number.
Supposition on your part how people are representing their order numbers. Furthermore, there are roughly 150 orders in a row that have the 1000 prefix, but are below 100016000. There are 250 orders that do not have the prefix but do have orders above 16000. These are grouped by date and do not overlap. That seems to blow your guesswork out of the water. I think you must have read somewhere on the internet about this, instead of looking at the data for yourself.

Now, HOW you can say 2 out of 3 DEVICES ordered might be a Jalapeno, I really do not understand.  There are 7668 devices for 4951 orders!!!!
Those two statements have nothing to do with each other. You care about how many devices are Jalapenos, not how many orders have Jalapenos in them. After all, there could be 1 order for 3900 Jalapenos and the average might still hold.

 By using the average as I stated, that was using as given that each Jalapeno order was for 1 unit.  Who cares if 64 were ordered on 1 actual order?  if 2 out of every 3 orders contained a Jalapeno, the overall total would equal virtually the same thing!  WE ARE STILL ESTIMATING HERE!
Nope. Each Jalapeno order was NOT for just one unit. Quite the opposite actually. So you cannot extrapolate number of orders to number of Jalapenos because you do not understand the distribution of Jalapenos across orders. Worse, you then added a huge number of "dark mini-rig" orders to make your 7PH/s claim add up.

What does it matter that I am using 1 order = 1 unit if the overall figures total the same in the end?  Why is simplification of the process so bad a thing to do?  Your need to pick things apart blinds you to the whole picture being displayed.  Who cares if you can stand 1 inch from a computer generated picture and see black dots and red dots and yellow dots?  What matters is when you step back and take it in as a whole it becomes a picture.
You simplified with bad assumptions and came up with an obviously incorrect number. Worse, you have been trying to defend it here and only made yourself look worse. If you thought BFL was going to ship 7PH/s and had already shipped 500TH/s, that might explain your undying support of them. Perhaps you can serve as an example to people out there that if they fail at math, they are liable to get fleeced by BFL. I doubt you have the math skills to ever understand your mistake.


Hmm, it appears you cannot see the forest for the trees.  I'm sorry dude, the forest is RIGHT THERE.  I cannot help it if all you see is trees.

That's still a forest.  I'm sorry if you cannot wrap your head around it, your semantics do not change the fact that it is a forest.

Yet again, you see those trees? THAT is a forest!  Your refusal to see that doesn't change it.

Forest.  Forest. Forest. Forest. Forest. Forest. Forest.

Forest.  Many trees = forest.  Forest.  Forest.  Forest.

Still semantics and still a forest.
779  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 24, 2013, 11:53:56 PM
Will someone tell me what bcp19 exactly wants?
1) I believe (not a fact) that BFL has shipped more than people believe.
2) I dislike the trolls who used 2 data points out of 200 and try to make a valid arguement.
3) I kinda just dislike k9 in general, cause he seems to think BTC is a set currency and not a volatile commodity.
4) I really enjoy laughing at PG
5) I love a good debate

1) A Good debate does not allow name calling like being childish and calling someone a troll
2) Prove there are 200 data points or shut your face  - Good Debates use the data available
3) It does not matter how much BFL has shipped, it matters how fast. If Apple gets orders for 7 million Ipads and only delivers 800,000 in a year that matters, especially to the 6,200,000 that didn't get theirs.
4) You sir couldn't debate your way out of a wet paper bag. You lack contrary data, you like to call names, and act like a child.
5) We laugh at you, back under the bridge with you.
1) true.  having responded in kind after being called names was uncalled for.
2) I can point to 4,951 of them. http://bfl.ptz.ro/  While not COMPLETELY accurate, it's better than the stuff most people try to use.
3) Actually, how much does matter.  People are claiming less than 50TH when fairly accurate data points to closer to 165TH.  Defamation works in both directions.
4) You have come late to the party sir, wait until these same people have told you the same thing 20 times after being proved wrong cause they can't accept being wrong.
5) Really?  Name calling is childish and yet your IMPLYING I am a troll is not?  I challenge you to repent sir.
780  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Time to sue ButterflyLabs - Big Single-SC owner let's league for class action on: August 24, 2013, 11:43:47 PM
[You mean like this order number 234234?
4860   2013/07/10   234234   No   1   2   3   4      asdf
or this order?
1073   2012/11/23   100057492   No   2   0   0   15      Blacksheep
Name:   BlackSheep
Posts:   9
Activity:   9
Position:   Jr. Member
Date Registered:   April 06, 2013, 08:28:04 PM
Last Active:   May 14, 2013, 11:44:29 PM

2/3rds Jalapenos? 3575 Jalapenos ordered, 4951 orders total. That is 72.2% of orders have a Jalapeno if nobody ordered more than one.
Sadly, there are orders for 5,8,10,12,16,25,40,64, & dozens for 2 or 3. That blows your 2/3rds estimate out of the water.
You made the same mistake with your 5/9ths as Singles. More orders of singles were for multiple units than not. Far fewer than 1 in 27 orders had a mini-rig, and again many were for multiple units.

This is not the guesstimate of someone who attended MIT.

Have you never done anything with probability and statistics?  if you pulll X samples out of a batch of Y and use the information from them, you can garner a working data point to extrapolate what the total would hold.

We have 4951 orders and 3575 Jalapenos, yes.  As you point out, this is 72%, but using 2 of 3 is a lot easier than using 18 of 25 to the average person.  Now IF on AVERAGE 2 of every 3 orders is a Jalapeno, and you are 12,300 order numbers into the book, that means out of 12,300 that you should have ~8,200 Jalapenos.
Nope. 2 out of 3 devices ordered might be a Jalapeno. But 2 out of 3 orders do not consist of orders of Jalapenos. You are mixing devices in absolute numbers with orders of devices (which can consist of multiple devices in multiple families). Also, order number 12000 does not equate to 12,000 orders. If that were true, then it would mean because there is an order number 100070471 in that data set that there are 100,070,471 orders from BFL. I think we can safely rule that out.

 This is how statistics work.  On that day there had been ~6400 order numbers of LS.  1/4 of this is ~1600LS.  900 singles order numbers gives us 500 singles and 2100 mini order numbers gave us 77.7.  8,200*5 = 41TH.  6400*30 = 19.2 TH  500 * 60 = 30TH and 77* 500 = 38.5TH.  41+19.2+30+38.5 = 128.7.  Obviously I am misremembering where the numbers were on that day, as I had a total at 165TH.
Actually, that is not how statistics works. Before you use a data set you need to assess it's quality. Determine how many entries are duplicates like these:
4843   2013/07/04   100070420   No   0   1   0   0      Algorn
4844   2013/07/04   100070420   No   0   1   0   0      Algorn
4845   2013/07/04   100070420   No   0   1   0   0      Algorn
Determine how many are obviously false like this one:
4860   2013/07/10   234234   No   1   2   3   4      asdf

Worse, you have based your entire assessment on 1 order number = 1 order. A cursory examination of the data will reveal this to be totally false (as would an understanding of databases and online order systems).

Sneer all you want, I care not, just because you cannot understand, you belittle and demean.  Go pat yourself on the back and try not to hurt yourself.
It is true, I cannot understand how someone who claims to attended MIT have such a bad aptitude at math and statistics.
Yet again, you refuse to read and simply act the king of trolls and nitpick things you do not understand to death.

While there are some bad data points in the matrix, the overall premise still holds true.  You seem to expect me to go through and vet 4951 entries to determine if every single one of the is correct?  Impossible.  I'd have to have BFL's order book in hand to do such a thing.  We are still talking about an ESTIMATE.  You are talking absolute accuracy.  The two do not mesh.

Your fallacious assertation that 100070471 is 100 million orders highlights your ignorance.  That is only order number 70471.  While the lower numbered orders were ONLY the order number, somewhere around mid February it appears the 1000 prefix was added.  It really is too bad you cannot understand the simple logic behind that.  Some people seeing the lower numbers did not include the 1000 and others faithfully typed in the full order number.

Now, HOW you can say 2 out of 3 DEVICES ordered might be a Jalapeno, I really do not understand.  There are 7668 devices for 4951 orders!!!!  By using the average as I stated, that was using as given that each Jalapeno order was for 1 unit.  Who cares if 64 were ordered on 1 actual order?  if 2 out of every 3 orders contained a Jalapeno, the overall total would equal virtually the same thing!  WE ARE STILL ESTIMATING HERE!

What does it matter that I am using 1 order = 1 unit if the overall figures total the same in the end?  Why is simplification of the process so bad a thing to do?  Your need to pick things apart blinds you to the whole picture being displayed.  Who cares if you can stand 1 inch from a computer generated picture and see black dots and red dots and yellow dots?  What matters is when you step back and take it in as a whole it becomes a picture.

Go ahead, troll and nitpick some more. I know you will.
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