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781  Other / Off-topic / Re: WTHAI?: Win 10 BTC on: December 25, 2011, 02:16:08 AM
It is a small town in north UK, but I don't want to do a log grep search. So others can use it as a hint.

Are you telling me that the location could be found via a log grep search, even though it's a cropped screenshot, put into another file, renamed, all prior to posting it on Flickr?

I can see how that could be used to find the color of RandyFolds underwear, but not this image. Prove me wrong!



No, I am telling you I have a somewhat eidetic memory and recall this coming up on one of the channels, I believe -otc or #bitcoin proper .  I obviously don't have a perfect eidetic memory tho...

Although, I seem to recall the name of the town starting with a "C". I am also telling you that I don't want 10 btc bad enough to go find out. So I'll just throw it out there for others to find. Smiley


Oh, OR, I could be completely wrong... Like I said, it was a guess. I usually guess pretty good tho...

BTW: Do you sell the wallets? It's kind of cool.


And yea, what's up with that avatar Sad  Randy's I mean.
782  Economy / Speculation / Re: Major correction to rally coming... on: December 25, 2011, 01:52:55 AM
What scares me the most, and I must discount until a certain price point, is the amount of unused BTC. The price is getting set by a relatively small amount of transactions based on the total BTC of 7.48 Million. I would try to apply the increase in volume activity with an increase in Ask volume to try and decide at what price points do people start to sell to claim profits.

The reason I discount the unused BTC, is if it wasn't heavily sold at $30, it probably will not be sold at anything <$30.

Although, I do wonder why? it wasn't sold at $30 in greater volume. Of course we had the 'crash', which I would have thought should have happened naturally rather than by a 'hack'.

The application of supply and demand of the miners, for me somewhat plays a role, since they removed the ability to mine from the GUI client. If they put that back in, then the supply and demand price means little since if miners can't afford to mine, the difficulty goes down possibly to a point of CPU client mining. Technically one could meet their own demand in a sense or at least with relatively a small amount of miners.

BTW, I didn't expect you to give away your analysis for anyones benefit, but just explain a little. Obviously if you find a correlation that works for you, you wouldn't tell a soul. Smiley

I know some discount TA as a joke in this market, but I do believe that when certain things occur others must happen. I.E. If it is 0º (F) the water will be frozen whether the temperature is going up or down and when it reaches a certain point it will melt.

It is the dam Timing, that screws with everything Smiley

Anyways, thanks for your views.
783  Economy / Speculation / Re: Major correction to rally coming... on: December 25, 2011, 01:27:07 AM
Thank You,

That is speculation, much appreciated.

Do you put more weight on RSI or StochRSI as being a better indicator?
784  Other / Off-topic / Re: WTHAI?: Win 10 BTC on: December 25, 2011, 01:22:18 AM
It is a small town in north UK, but I don't want to do a log grep search. So others can use it as a hint.
785  Economy / Speculation / Re: Major correction to rally coming... on: December 25, 2011, 01:07:06 AM
I would think that you should take the volume and depth at those prices.

Is volume going up or down? If volume is going down and price going down, what does this imply. (and permutations of the two)

What percentage of BTC are being used to purchase durable goods, etc... rather than just transactional.

Is their a 'hydrological cycle', ie Miners pay for their equipment and power bills in BTC and then the suppliers of said services use BTC to purchase their resources, etc... ?

Or is it just a means of moving money from and to one currency and country to another ?  If a combination of both, at what percentages?

Is the market 'Cornered' ?  How do you work within a 'cornered' market?

Can this data: http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/mtgox.com  be put to any use?  Although there are some more detailed stats for Paid Stats.

Or

http://www.google.com/trends?q=mtgox&ctab=0&geo=all&date=all

http://www.google.com/trends?q=bitcoincharts%2Cmtgox%2Cclarkmoody%2Cmtgoxlive&ctab=0&geo=all&date=all&sort=0


Personally,

 I 'feel' a good TA would entail a causation for events. Or at least trying to find the causation for events. Predicting behavior is like a meteorologist predicting weather. He only gets it right more than 50% of the time to win.
786  Economy / Speculation / Re: Major correction to rally coming... on: December 25, 2011, 12:41:03 AM
I like all the 'feelings' and I'm 'thinking' going on. Keep up the good work.  Grin

Personally, I am relying on my weegie board. It says after playing 'Chicago' backwards the price will fall to $3.85  Grin  JK

But seriously,

 Could people state the reasons for said feelings and thinking. I.E. Site statistics are declining, Christmas is coming and people will be converting to cash (although that didn't happen), the RSI is showing overbought and after backtesting (LOL) there should be a 20% correction downwards, etc..., etc...

I like to see these views and opinions other than feelings...

And if you by chance do find a correlation post it immediately so we can make it disappear.  Grin

787  Economy / Marketplace / Re: Victim of pishing in MtGox on: December 24, 2011, 09:46:20 PM
You clicked the link...  Undecided

The site is was not very accurate, was missing the CA...,

You can, I guess, fill out a ticket and see... but I doubt it.

Use the real site http://support.mtgox.com  this time.

Sorry to here it.
788  Economy / Speculation / Re: Major correction to rally coming... on: December 24, 2011, 09:12:51 PM
I had a quip but it turned into a slope Smiley
789  Other / Off-topic / Re: mizerydearia's obnoxious health escapade on: December 24, 2011, 07:59:34 PM
If one seeks answers from a Psychologist/ Psychiatrist, they tend to find psychiatric problems. If from dermatologist, they tend to find a derma-logical disorder and so on.

It would seem that you need  Dr. Gregory House (fictional) but his real life equivalent.

I also despise, greed, not to a point that it should not exist but to keep it in a relative perspective to the basic needs of people. I do not dislike profit but insane profit.

With the rational being covered.

There are wolves in the world. There are conspiracies (although conspirators are the first to denounce them) that go on for a multitude of reasons. Some to discredit ones ability to cause harm to an organization. (Thinking of the Medal of Honor winner being called 'crazy' by his company because of one email and a protest against selling arms.) Their are many others also, public and private.

Sometimes, threats, can be indirect but must be taken seriously because the people making said threats have power. It is best to let those go, time is the remedy for the powerful. They tend to eat each other up.

 (Have you pissed off any powerful people or organizations?) You must lay out all the evidence before you decide and apply Occam's Razor. Which by the way, I always found funny. Because if people were to conspire, they would apply this principle and choose a method that would get discarded.

Perfect Paranoia is perfect awareness but at a cost.  I have found a solution is to take comfort in people you can trust (I mean really Trust) and just continue cause sometimes it is better to just let it go. Nature is the the best cure for the evil.

Arrogance is the downfall for powerful people and organizations. They will assume they are untouchable and bam the Roman Empire no longer exists. The intelligence of a person isn't measured with paper, it is measured with thought.

I deluded this post a little and I am sorry to do so. I would think your first step is to see your 'Dr. House' and work from there.

790  Economy / Lending / Re: Looking for loan, $500 to $3000 or more per individual, 1.25% for 3 months on: December 24, 2011, 06:31:07 AM
I understand your attempt here in acquiring funds.

Basically you want a loan from the 'BitCoin Bank.' You are offering collateral and detailed information for said loan. Perhaps if you provide a detailed business plan on the use of the money, there 'might' be some interest. Look at it from another perspective. You want $1000 for 3 months and for said risk; all the investor gets is $12.50?

You have to let your investors know you aren't going to double down at the Casino.

If your plan makes sense and since you are willing to forgo anonymity, you might get a taker. Probably from someone very local to you, just in case.

However, if you are just investing in another's fund here, they might just go and put their money with him instead and get a little more interest.  Grin

I like the effort, BTC Loans will eventually have to come into play as options have.

791  Economy / Speculation / Re: Prediction contest: when will bitcoin break $4? or will it never break $4? on: December 21, 2011, 02:38:56 AM
Thanks Goat.


792  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: MtGox Troubles on: December 20, 2011, 10:12:09 PM
I understand and it seems to make sense...

However, sometimes even your Bank will require additional information prior to withdrawals... CC companies, when a fraud alert is triggered, will  also require further information.
793  Economy / Speculation / Re: Prediction contest: when will bitcoin break $4? or will it never break $4? on: December 20, 2011, 06:58:58 PM
Ok, old engineer,


  All I want to know is if you paid someone based on how 'you' interpreted the rules...

And would that person, post a confirmation to the receipt of said BTC.  Grin

794  Economy / Speculation / Re: Prediction contest: when will bitcoin break $4? or will it never break $4? on: December 20, 2011, 07:25:06 AM
I do believe I chose a Monday.... If not Mistaken... Nope... I'm not.


                  1tabCzGVPEK6kCJpQhFKwpXcsdnhTXyY4


Thanks for the contest  Grin

795  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Early Warning: Member "astana" on: December 19, 2011, 05:28:17 PM
My only thought.....


Why did you chat so long... ?

Put your time to better use man  Grin
796  Other / CPU/GPU Bitcoin mining hardware / Is / Has anyone been mining with Tesla ? on: December 17, 2011, 01:35:00 AM
Just curious...
797  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Need larger testers "4GHash/S" plus for a new PPS system. Pay 110% "Project #2" on: December 16, 2011, 10:40:54 PM
I have up to 32 GH/s I could point your way if you convince me.

Tesla?
798  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Only significant property owners should be allowed to vote. on: December 16, 2011, 10:00:44 PM
If you are a citizen you get a vote.

Here's what your vote gets you, if we fail to distinguish between right and wrong:




The US has the Bill of Rights.


You forgot to put an AR in Bob's hand, the issue would have been 'tabled.'
799  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Mt Gox Soon . . . on: December 16, 2011, 07:41:52 PM
MtGox it's sweedish for : making under the table deals to sell user information

I would think MT would be able to think a few steps ahead in the chess game to not do this....

I wouldn't be surprised if someone (government) has an identity that only exists on MtGox and waits to see it in the wild....

They would use that information to shut down MtGox...  I am sure MT knows this...

The excuse of a security breach only works so many times... before a pattern emerges__


So, it would be highly doubtful that what you suggest is going on.
800  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Only significant property owners should be allowed to vote. on: December 16, 2011, 07:33:14 PM
I have a better idea.

Let's have IQ tests, then only let people with IQ better than 120 vote.

Why should all the stupid people dominate politics and government?

After all intelligence among humans follows a gaussian distribution, why let the dummies vote and control the flow of society?

Wouldn't society be better run by the smart, not the wealthy?

"In the Country of test takers, the test maker is King" -H. G. Wells

Nice quote...

In order to vote, you must prove P=NP... I have the answer.. to verify your eligibility.. btw: I get to vote too... Smiley
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