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821  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 29, 2021, 12:56:10 PM
we are around the time of the weekend dumps. Looks like we're priming for one.
822  Economy / Speculation / Re: How high u rekon it'll go if Elon tweets right now that Tesla is accepting btc? on: May 29, 2021, 11:49:06 AM
He probably won't be able to move the price now, the boy who cried wolf and all that. Elon is a dirtbag, I don't want him being able to move the price at all anyway.

He was also only a bit of the FUD thrown at us, the market definitely didn't drop so much just because of him.
823  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 29, 2021, 12:50:53 AM
Fucking hell all this negativity flying around must be the time to start buying again

I will activate the mindrust missed it bot

I'm seeing a lot more negativity then positivity thats for sure, including me. What's more we have some pretty bullish fiscal and monetary goings on for Bitcoin (all assets really).

No doubt a very good time to buy.

287% increase in the last 12 months

That's 287% increase in the last 12 months

Bitcoin is solid long-term. End of story.
824  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 28, 2021, 11:45:39 PM
Fucking hell all this negativity flying around must be the time to start buying again

I will activate the mindrust missed it bot

I'm seeing a lot more negativity then positivity thats for sure, including me. What's more we have some pretty bullish fiscal and monetary goings on for Bitcoin (all assets really).

No doubt a very good time to buy.
825  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 28, 2021, 10:49:51 PM
BTC looks still very weak unfortunately... 50% drop from 60 to 30K vertically. Still no (real) rebound and staying in the 35K range.. Hmm I don't want to see this but it's smell not good if BTC are not able to bounce and stay over 42K+ soon. Otherwise more dip (below 30K) is really on the table unfortunately...

Good week end for everyone  Wink

This is the best scenario for a parabolic Bitcoin price at the end of the year. If we recover now, there would not be enough ammo to break 60k once again. People have to forget about Bitcoin and crypto over the summer so the hype train can restart around September/October and find its final peak in November/December. I think below 30k is still absolutely fine. As always, patience is key.

I didn't say we need to recover now at 60K+ / new ATH. But at least a bounce and a consolidation bit higher (42-45k$ insted of 30-35k$, IMO) after a very fast 50% drop vertically.

A bit bigger bounce would feel healthy as well imo, could live with the 42-45 range... for a while ...
42-45 would probably lead to people being bullish and it not settling, if it DOES settle the 35 range or even low 30s seems possible.

I unfortunately think we're just going to keep going down for now. Maybe a settle in the high 20s something like 28,000.

Yep  I can easily see us going into the 20s as there is very little buying pressure at the moment. However, I think the thing that will get us there is FUD, without that we will probably drift higher. This recovery has been surppresed by FUD so far, we saw more today. It seems like everytime we might be recovering we get a little more FUD. It's stupid how people keep reacting to it.
826  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 28, 2021, 08:02:08 AM

EDIT2: I'm not sure if the effect on weekends is a dip or a pump. the cause is that the traditional banking world does not process FIAT money inflow and outflow to the crypto exchanges and therefore the circuit is broken on weekends.

Definitely a dip. Probably for the reason you mention. Since the peak in price I think every weekend has been a dip, though it does usually bounce back towards the end of the Sunday.

My theory is that during a bull market weekends pump, while during a bear market they dump. I have no data or bothered even checking to see if that is true so take it with a grain of salt.

thanks somac. and this weekend we have a long weekend in the U.S. (Sa, So, Mo). maybe some more dipping?  Roll Eyes

Good chance I think, of course this pattern will change eventually, hopefully this weekend.

I am also seeing a lot of this type of chart around lately

https://twitter.com/WClementeIII/status/1397571523561598980

Apparently this Wyckoff distribution or whatever it is matched the peak. If it matches the the bottom too I expect we'll be back down to 30k at the least, though this chart says 26k, not impossible I guess.


827  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 28, 2021, 07:53:34 AM

EDIT2: I'm not sure if the effect on weekends is a dip or a pump. the cause is that the traditional banking world does not process FIAT money inflow and outflow to the crypto exchanges and therefore the circuit is broken on weekends.

Definitely a dip. Probably for the reason you mention. Since the peak in price I think every weekend has been a dip, though it does usually bounce back towards the end of the Sunday.

My theory is that during a bull market weekends pump, while during a bear market they dump. I have no data or bothered even checking to see if that is true so take it with a grain of salt.
828  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 28, 2021, 07:49:48 AM
...and down she goes (again)...

Another BTFD opportunity.

My cousin's $6k is split into two orders: $3k @ $34,100 and another $3k @ $30,500, waiting to be filled.

I was a bit reluctant about these orders, I suggested for him to buy at market price and be done with it, but it looks like he may get lucky.

Or not.

We'll know soon enough.

I would rather him to be unlucky myself, but if it bouces back strongly to 60k afterwards I guess that will do too.
829  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 27, 2021, 12:59:35 PM
Still not 100% following you, but this dip was certainly nothing like the 2017.

it's almost a rule that in a bullish phase the lows of bubbles are not lower than the former highs of the pre bubble. there are very few exceptions if you scan the chart.

in a bullish phase the price will never fall under the former ATH. exception was in January 2015 but the fundamental was the break-in into Bitstamp (the second important marketplace after Mt.Gox which bankrupted in early 2014).

it's very clear for me that this is not the end. why you guys have so much s**t in your panties?  Shocked
So what your saying is the bullish phase is over (for a little at least) and by "not the end" you mean it's not the end of the correction?

Sorry, for some reason I'm just not understanding what you were getting at. It's your wording that is confusing me.

IMO though we have witnessed another March last year type of an event, brought on by mass FUD attack, completely overblown by the noobs, and therefore any technical analysis based off it is completely inaccurate.

Including the low being lower then the previous high.
830  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 27, 2021, 12:41:15 PM
conclusion: this time it is different. you cannot compare the bull run of 2017 one-to-one with the situation today.

reason: if you look into the chart of the pre 2017 ATH you will recognize that after the burst of a mini bubble the low after was never lower than the high of the former mini bubble. but this time the low is lower than the pre high. that leads to pure panic in the market. you can called it manipulation of the market.


Either it is manipulation OR it is that it has been much easier to speculate into shitcoins this time. People do not have to go via BTC this time to buy their favorite dog-moon coin. This also means comparisons between BTC 2017 and 2021 charts are not very meaningful. Comparing how the mcap of the entire crypto market behaved makes much more sense (unfortunately). If you look at total market cap you will see an extreme parabolic rise and consecutive higher highs with a clear blow off top (that many are arguing is missing in this bull run).

In other words, the lower lows and rather slow decline could be caused by craze just shifting to other sites, i.e. shitcoins.

Not something I personally like to see, but certainly something to consider.

An interesting possibilty for sure. The sheep are stupid compared to the early adopters. Being that they are so stupid they don't understand the difference between bitcoin and shitcoins, but, they do listen to their followed twitter shill that simply says this xyz shitcoin is going to take over bitcoin, because reasons. No further analysis by sheep needed, just shut up and take my money..

831  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 27, 2021, 12:25:27 PM
conclusion: this time it is different. you cannot compare the bull run of 2017 one-to-one with the situation today.

reason: if you look into the chart of the pre 2017 ATH you will recognize that after the burst of a mini bubble the low after was never lower than the high of the former mini bubble. but this time the low is lower than the pre high. that leads to pure panic in the market. you can called it manipulation of the market.

Which mini bubble are you referring too? And what's your opinion on direction of market from here?

that's my opinion.



save your wealth.

Still not 100% following you, but this dip was certainly nothing like the 2017.

To me the only similar fall is March of last year, there was of course a lot of fear in the market back then too.
832  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 27, 2021, 11:42:42 AM
conclusion: this time it is different. you cannot compare the bull run of 2017 one-to-one with the situation today.

reason: if you look into the chart of the pre 2017 ATH you will recognize that after the burst of a mini bubble the low after was never lower than the high of the former mini bubble. but this time the low is lower than the pre high. that leads to pure panic in the market. you can called it manipulation of the market.

Which mini bubble are you referring too? And what's your opinion on direction of market from here?
833  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 26, 2021, 11:36:55 AM
Also, an article by one of the Coinmetrics guys regarding the miners in China. A good read for those interested.

https://medium.com/coinmetrics/bitcoin-miners-are-escaping-china-d3937e8f018c

Quote
Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin markets have had to deal with a swarm of bad news coming out of China.

It started with rumors that miners in Sichuan had gone offline after the province limited energy-intensive industrial activities, such as Bitcoin mining.

Then came a joint statement by three of China’s top financial self-regulatory organizations reminding the public of the country’s 2017 ban on cryptoassets.

Then it was reported that, for the first time, the Chinese State Council, headed by President Xi Jinping’s top economic advisor, was cracking down on mining.

And to top things off, last Sunday the Chinese state-run news agency Xinhua published a negative article on cryptoassets, denouncing their risks relative to “traditional investment tools”.

While there have been multiple factors contributing to this sell-off, one thing is undeniable: there is something brewing in China......
834  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 26, 2021, 11:31:44 AM
I know Raoul Pal isn't always the most liked around here but he is spot on here. Open the link for all of his comments.

https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI/status/1397172575810228225

835  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 25, 2021, 11:23:45 AM
after shower I got aware that one of my testicle hangs lower than the other one. ~

any help from you genius folks?
My 9gag knowledge: that's so they don't hit each other. It's a feature, not a bug!
source

it looks more like this.  Undecided



EDIT: with this low BTC prices I really thinking about to sell both.  Cool

Sell both, in 4 years time those 2 BTC will buy 20 balls. You could easily get 2 back and even afford to pay the donar a premium.
836  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 24, 2021, 12:42:09 PM
This is good. Very good.

Seems like this move will have some legs too.

I'm sure all those sellers were Chinese leveraged (and non leveraged) traders, Chinese miners, and general weak hands. They've buggered off now, the Chinese ones for good maybe, so we should be going back up.
837  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 24, 2021, 11:40:49 AM

838  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 24, 2021, 11:37:41 AM
This is interesting.

So there has been some news regarding the "China bans Bitcoin" that has been doing the rounds and that contributed to the recent dumpfest.

Apparently, the CCP is actually serious this time so the Chinese based miners have all shat their pants and were major sellers during the dump. Not only that they are also now either aggressively moving their operations or selling their mining equipment on mass, at firesale prices as well. We are seeing another significant drop in hash rate right now so it might actually be true, next difficulty adjustment (29th May) is set to be about a 15% decline.

Hm. So this finally flushed the miners and all those "hoarded coins" being used to pump and dump the market? Good.

Apparently so, Nic Carter seems to be pretty sure on this one, we’ll find out for sure ourselves over the coming weeks I guess.

So what happened in May? Weak hands sold ~1M BTC in May at $30k-35k .. which they bought in April at $55k-60k: a staggering ~$20B loss. The good news: these 1M #bitcoin are in strong hands now.
So it's just another shake-out to convince people to sell their Bitcoin cheap, before the bull run continues. Makes sense Smiley

I'll have to wait for the weekly glassnode report, but it seems to me that neither miners, nor LT hodlers were involved in the last week's crash.


Nic Carter disputes this with data from one of the on-chain mobs. Apparently the miners (Chinese miners) really sold out, see his recent video for the rundown it’s only 20 min and well worth it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C5CRAprJcXk&t=1s
839  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: As a Chinese, talk about my views on the new policy on: May 24, 2021, 09:56:56 AM

I fail too see correlation between knowing Satoshi Nakamoto and risk of invesing on Bitcoin. Besides, other investment also have similar risks with cryptocurrency investment.


I think what he means is that Chinese investors (or rather gamblers) are as dumb as dogshit and know nothing about what Bitcoin actually is, nor how it works. They are just a bunch of followers, who pour money into bubble after bubble until they have completely destroyed their financial positions that they can't do it anymore. After Bitcoin and stupid crap like doge they will just go into the next get rich quick scheme.

Screw them, Bitcoin does not need their type, nor is it beneficial to have them involved.
840  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 24, 2021, 09:24:45 AM
Elon is new to this but I don't understand how people can still react to that China FUD, that makes absolutely no sense.

According to the links I posted earlier this wasn't people acting to the China FUD, this was the Chinese miners acting to the China FUD and this reacting cleared out all the leveraged longs with it. It seems everyone else was actually buying this dip.

Apparently, the Chinese based miners are very scared about this ban and fear a crackdown at their expense. So FUD it may be but the miners are supposedly thinking it's serious. I'm hoping this is all true, so they can all piss off from China and other countries get the benefit.
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