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1141  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 05, 2012, 03:25:43 AM
where the hell are the Bitcoin Bears?

going on summer hibernation :-)
1142  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [Payout Updates] Bitcoinica site is taken offline for security investigation on: June 04, 2012, 05:24:08 AM
03 June 2012 23:20: We're adding extra fields to the claims database (should be finished soon), we have received the funds from Tihan to make the initial payouts. Then once that's done, the first round of payments can be finished.

That's a bit confusing.  If all that was lost was 20% of Bitcoins on hand it should have been possible to pay everyone out 80% (the initial round of payouts) without receiving funds from Tihan - additional capital should only have been required to replace the lost Bitcoins.  You should have still been in possession of 100% of USD and 100% of Mt Gox deposits.  Or were you still waiting on capital to enable you to replace Bitcoins which were lost in the Linode intrusion as well as additional funds to cover the most recent loss?

We don't hold the funds.

03 June 2012 23:20: We're adding extra fields to the claims database (should be finished soon), we have received the funds from Tihan to make the initial payouts. Then once that's done, the first round of payments can be finished.

Do you mean there will be another claim form to fill out, or are you just speaking about finalizing the current one?

Finalising the current one for internal (staff) usage. We need to track the payments we make more accurately for book keeping.

sounds very good. thanks for the update
1143  Economy / Speculation / Re: are you all watching? on: June 03, 2012, 05:45:31 PM
if only.

i personally do not find it seductive to sell into 5.20 wall.
Will not support it either.

Yes looks like it's stuck at $5.20-5.27

Not going anywhere.  Might as well wait for the real price increase in December, since there is no reason for the price to really go up unless demand overtakes the daily inflation of bitcoin.

Forget about the effect of the December change from 50 BTC to 25 BTC as price predictor. This is already priced in as it is public knowledge.
1144  Economy / Speculation / Re: #1 most popular Bitcoin Price Forecasts (subscribe here: bitcoinbullbear.com) on: June 03, 2012, 04:57:56 PM
A short term update has just been issued to subscribers. Title: Riding the Elliott Waves
1145  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [Payout Updates] Bitcoinica site is taken offline for security investigation on: June 02, 2012, 08:51:45 PM
I almost forgot to mention, I know people who work at rackspace and I've talked to them.  Your logs & database being deleted is effectively a non-issue, it's a pain to recover but you can bet that they have the capability of recovering every last byte of missing information.  However to the best of my knowledge no one associated with this process has created or escalated the issue.  You can bet your last dollar that if the Feds become involved, not only would the records get completely recovered, they would become public information as evidence in a criminal case against you.  That would happen both as an entity and there is a good possibility of piercing the veil and making you severally (individually) liable.

Forget "legal wrangling" and other excuses, you've been caught in a lie, just refund the money now by sending it directly back to the originators, unwind your accounts and deal with the losses.  Your brand is becoming damaged by the minute.  If you really do have a silent investor as you claim, his/her investment is becoming worthless because your brand is being damaged by your actions.

I've now given all the warning I'm going to give.  My next post about this topic will either be thanking you for a refund, or explaining to the others where to go for a legal remedy.

I agree. I still believe that genjix is a good guy and wants to do this properly, but I am now at a point where I need to see results (= refunds starting). And if not, I will join the legal process as you mentioned above
1146  Economy / Speculation / Re: Who else is bored? on: June 01, 2012, 08:37:00 PM
it could happen again..
1147  Economy / Speculation / Re: Who else is bored? on: June 01, 2012, 07:41:16 PM
Not bored. Watching the slow rally Smiley

It always starts slow and then accelerates..
1148  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: NEW: German Privacy Foundation accepts Bitcoin donations on: June 01, 2012, 05:27:01 PM

Das war auf meinen Mist gewachsen und leider scheint sich's die privacyfoundation anders überlegt zu haben: keine bitcoin-adresse mehr an o.g. URL Sad

Habe mal, meinen damaligen email-verkehr referenzierend, nachgefragt... bin gespannt. Letztes mal war der Kontakt recht nett.


Danke fürs update.
Hoffentlich akzeptieren die bald wieder BTC
1149  Economy / Speculation / Re: #1 most popular Bitcoin Price Forecasts (subscribe here: bitcoinbullbear.com) on: May 31, 2012, 07:50:04 PM
As usual, last call for June 2012 subcriptions
1150  Economy / Speculation / Re: are you all watching? on: May 30, 2012, 02:29:23 PM
The key question is who dares to buy >12 k BTC and push the price above 5.2 $.
This could trigger a big rally , unless some dark one pushes the price down again, which is getting less and less likely as he is swimming against the stream.
1151  Economy / Speculation / Re: #1 most popular Bitcoin Price Forecasts (subscribe here: bitcoinbullbear.com) on: May 30, 2012, 02:25:33 PM
[color=][/color]
I could never invest in bitcoin trading with all this going on -- the infinitive speculation of situations would drive me mad, how do you keep your sanity after so many years, S3052?
that's a great question.
The answer is actually quite simple:

Focusing on technical analysis has guided me and I am tempted to say many dozens of subscribers very well through all "bitstorms".

Because the charts include all fundamental infos and wild speculations, hacks etc. at all times.
With that in mind, a bitcoin chart can be analysed in the same way as the Dow Jones , silver , gold, currencies, etc.
And all the principles and rules work in the same way.



some guy on youtube said something along these lines: "I like technical analysis because I don't have to be right. It allows me to ignore emotions and make decisions based on numbers."


+1
Couldn't have said it better.
1152  Economy / Speculation / Re: #1 most popular Bitcoin Price Forecasts (subscribe here: bitcoinbullbear.com) on: May 29, 2012, 03:10:23 PM
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I could never invest in bitcoin trading with all this going on -- the infinitive speculation of situations would drive me mad, how do you keep your sanity after so many years, S3052?
that's a great question.
The answer is actually quite simple:

Focusing on technical analysis has guided me and I am tempted to say many dozens of subscribers very well through all "bitstorms".

Because the charts include all fundamental infos and wild speculations, hacks etc. at all times.
With that in mind, a bitcoin chart can be analysed in the same way as the Dow Jones , silver , gold, currencies, etc.
And all the principles and rules work in the same way.

1153  Economy / Speculation / Re: #1 most popular Bitcoin Price Forecasts (subscribe here: bitcoinbullbear.com) on: May 29, 2012, 06:17:40 AM


The manipulator for sure wants to avoid losses in his total portfolio.

But that could mean accepting a small loss with the bid and ask walls and the occasional15k BTC  dumps and purchases - versus protecting his holdings somehwere else. Perhaps he is highly leveraged at bitcoinica...
1154  Economy / Speculation / Re: #1 most popular Bitcoin Price Forecasts (subscribe here: bitcoinbullbear.com) on: May 28, 2012, 08:19:16 PM
Intentional stabilization of the Bitcoin price requires people to buy Bitcoin for more than they would normally be required to pay, and/or sell Bitcoin for less than they would normally be able to get. So it's costing people a significant amount of their own money to do something altruistic. Because of this I think it's unlikely but not impossible. The strange stabilization of price lately does seem to point in that direction.

If you had, say, 100k BTC, it wouldn't be altruistic at all.  It would be prudent.

I don't really see it.  100k of price stability would cost you 100k.

What you want if you own 100k BTC is, in fact, not price stability, what you want is the maximum amount of depth or liquidity so that you can be sure your 100kBTC can be turned back into fiat as quickly as possible.  The best way to do that would be to drive prices up.  Unfortunately, if you have BTC you can only do your stabilising on the sell side.

As always: manipulation costs the manipulator as much as anyone.  I wonder if the sudden vanishing of walls around March was the manipulators realising just that fact -- they were losing money.


that is correct.
1155  Economy / Securities / Re: Shorting on GLBSE on: May 28, 2012, 06:37:04 PM
Because if the last news from BFL holds true, the  present mining contracts will be worth nothing in a few months.

What is the news from BFL?
1156  Economy / Speculation / Re: #1 most popular Bitcoin Price Forecasts (subscribe here: bitcoinbullbear.com) on: May 28, 2012, 11:08:41 AM
Yes, it is also correct that  those stabilization efforts have been going on already before the bitcoinica disaster.

Are you gathering this from chart analysis, or have you heard from people who say they are engaged in such stabilization practices?

From observing closely the order book.
1157  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] ABSORB - Emulating BTC/USD margin trading on: May 28, 2012, 11:07:06 AM
when will trading start?
1158  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [Payout Updates] Bitcoinica site is taken offline for security investigation on: May 28, 2012, 07:03:49 AM
And pay the big fishes with a lot of Bitcoins and Dollars first  Smiley (Iam not one of tham  Embarrassed  )

+1
1159  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: [Emergency ANN] Bitcoinica site is taken offline for security investigation on: May 27, 2012, 05:16:25 AM
the remaining funds excl. 18k btc should be there .
I guess its not a matter of IF but HOW they refund as without the database the process is tedious
1160  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 26, 2012, 03:05:05 PM
s a reason that most people lose money in the market; most people join a trend only after it has ended.

In the first wave of the Euro crash towards 1.18-1.19 and possibly towards parity, PM will dive with the Euro at least to PAPER Gold 1,300

I swear, I'm going to have to figure out a way to automatically precede every quoted utterance of 'gold' with 'paper' when 'physical' isn't specified.


There will in some point be a divergence between paper and physical gold, but initially both will fall, as people need to raise cash from gold bullion, coins, but especially jewellery, teeth gold, etc. just to survive.
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