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1461  Economy / Speculation / Re: Nagle's Favorite Chart on: November 30, 2011, 08:53:17 AM
Nagle just called me and said that it will be -1.5 $ tomorrow.
1462  Economy / Speculation / Re: NEWS! Bitcoin Technical Analysis on: November 30, 2011, 08:51:22 AM
What you expressed above happens very often, basically kicking out the weak hands and this leads to very strong and healthy moves.
False signals are very frequent in all financial markets, and the art is to differentiate between false and real signals.
1463  Economy / Speculation / Re: Rally!! on: November 29, 2011, 05:54:20 PM
what if you are wrong?

Even if bitcoins would continue the mid term downtrend, a small 38.2% fibonacchi retracement will lead to a minimum bounce target of 13$.

we will see bear ribs as barbecue
1464  Local / Deutsch (German) / Re: Bitcoin - Währung oder Ware? Eine rechtliche Einschätzung. on: November 29, 2011, 09:57:06 AM
bezüglich der euro einschaetzung stimm ich dir 100% zu.

ich habe das ganze zitat der vollständigkeit halber kopiert, nicht weil es meine meinung ist :-)
1465  Local / Deutsch (German) / Re: Bitcoin - Währung oder Ware? Eine rechtliche Einschätzung. on: November 29, 2011, 08:34:32 AM
interessante einschätzung:

Zitat:
"Habe gerade die Antwort auf meine Anfrage an einen bayrischen Rechtsanwalt bzgl Bitcoins als Handelswährung und  deren  allfälliger Versteuerung erhalten. Seine PRIVATE Meinung ohne genaueres Nachforschen über allfällige Feinheiten ist in etwa Folgendes:

In einem  Rechtsstaat ist prinzipiell alles erlaubt, das nicht ausdrücklich verboten ist bzw nicht gegen die allgemeinen Sitten und Gebräuche verstößt (ist das bayrisch?)

Da der bitcoin kein gesetzliche anerkanntes Zahlungsmittel ist, wären Geschäfte, die ausschließlich mit BTCs getätigt werden, seiner Ansicht nach auch nicht versteuerbar, da die Einnahme von BTCs in keiner staatlich anerkannten Währung erfolgen. Da der Euro auch durch nichts anderes mehr gedeckt ist als durch die staatliche Autorität, müßte diese staatliche Autorität auch den BTC als Währung anerkennen, um davon einen staatlichen Anteil, sprich Steuern, einfordern zu dürfen. Er meint, daß ein allfälliger Musterprozeß ein riesiger Spaß sein könnte ... (bayrischer Humor  :-))

Da der BTC genauso wie der Euro nicht staatlich, sondern privat generiert wird, spräche für eine Anerkennung  an sich nichts dagegen, es wäre allerdings diese Anerkennung wohl gleichzeitig der Todesstoß für den Euro -- herrlich (dies ist MEINE private Meinung dazu)

Der Staat - die Staaten - werden also gewaltig in die Zwickmühle kommen, wenn sie vor der Alternative stehen - anerkennen und den Euro killen oder nicht anerkennen und auf zunehmende Einnahmen verzichten und den Euro langsam killen ..

...obs stimmt, werden wir merken, wenn die Umsätze in BTCs zu wachsen beginnen - vor allem, da sie weder zentral gesteuert (und daher zentral unterbunden werden können) noch auf lokale Einsatzgebiete wie Komplementärwährungen beschränkt sind .. so oder so -- verbieten sie ihn oder lassen sie es laufen, ab einer bestimmten Menge (Spieletheorie, hier läge sie bei etwa 30-40% des Privatkonsums) killt er unser Schuldgeldsystem und die Herrschaft der privaten Zentralbanken!"

http://www.wahlfieber.at/de_du/forum/Bundestagswahl/5356/24/#posting24
1466  Economy / Speculation / Re: 70k bidwall at $2.65 on: November 29, 2011, 08:30:03 AM
How soon is soon?

probably in the next 1-3 weeks if the 2.4 - 2.6 $ zone holds
1467  Economy / Speculation / Re: 70k bidwall at $2.65 on: November 29, 2011, 07:25:53 AM
This has all the ingredients for a sustainable reversal. If this is the case, 4-5 $ will be reached soon.
1468  Economy / Speculation / Re: Omg its true, bitcoin is the future! on: November 28, 2011, 07:26:37 PM
Also Finally we will be accepting Credit Card payments to fund your Crypto X Change account, which will provide instant trading, this is due in December to be released, we will keep everyone posted on all of our deposit and withdrawal methods as they come online.

This would be huge!

Keep up your efforts!

WOW. Congrats from me as well if you manage to have credit card deposits. I can easily see bitcoin prices taking off big time behind this.
1469  Economy / Economics / Re: Elliott Wave Educational Video Series on: November 27, 2011, 10:08:06 PM
It seems your prediction might turn out to be true after all, there seems to be some pump going on @2.46.
Whoever is doing this is still jumpy but at least he is careful enough to be safe from the shorts.

Thanks for the warning if it really gets there Smiley

Elliot seems to have predictive power where other mechanisms fail to indicate a specific direction (I use Aroon, as discussed) which was inconclusive during this day. I wonder if this is just random chance or a self fulfilling prophecy though, since I still don't get why market movements should always follow the 3 up 2 down wave pattern. It seems kind of arbitrary to me.

I understand that there is a trend for repeating corrective series in any market, but why 5 waves?

Some years ago I was similarily surprised like you about the predictive power of Elliott Waves.

A great book that uncovered the fundamentals behind it is Elliott Wave Principle
Key to Market Behavior http://www.elliottwave.com/books/ewp/default.aspx?code=ecg

This will probably answer some of your questions (I have no affiliation with ElliottWave.com or Robert Prechter)
1470  Economy / Speculation / Re: If you were to start a position on bitcoinica RIGHT NOW... on: November 26, 2011, 10:29:26 AM
imho expecting bitcoinica to teach you how to trade is like expecting adidas to teach you how to play soccer.

 Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley Smiley
1471  Bitcoin / Meetups / Re: EUROPEAN BITCOIN CONFERENCE 2011, PRAGUE NOV 25-27 on: November 25, 2011, 09:26:33 PM
Some us were able to spend our Bitcoins on beer today at the Hard Rock Cafe in Prague.  The wi-fi sucked, but we still got through.   The price of a beer is 50 kroner, or 1.05 bitcoins!  I will take 2 more beers please!

cool. This fact alone is worth a short news article!
1472  Bitcoin / Meetups / Re: EUROPEAN BITCOIN CONFERENCE 2011, PRAGUE NOV 25-27 on: November 24, 2011, 08:45:54 PM
wonderful news, too bad I can't join you.

make sure you report back EVRYTHING :-)
1473  Economy / Speculation / Re: NEWS! Bitcoin Technical Analysis on: November 24, 2011, 08:37:33 PM
and the other hand, there are just 100 k$ needed to reach 3$, which would probably threaten even more short sellers
1474  Economy / Speculation / Re: NEWS! Bitcoin Technical Analysis on: November 24, 2011, 05:33:44 PM
nice breakout we are seeing..

could see more upside fast
1475  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Real Time Charting, Order Book, and Time & Sales on: November 22, 2011, 09:57:07 PM
Thanks
1476  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Real Time Charting, Order Book, and Time & Sales on: November 22, 2011, 09:21:29 PM
This is a wonderful service.

Just one question. It does not work today any more. Any idea what is wrong or if this issue is only happened at my computer?
1477  Economy / Speculation / Re: How fast will bitcoin recover? on: November 21, 2011, 09:50:17 PM
If we will enter the big third wave III since start of bitccoin trading, then the "recovery" will be VERY FAST and VERY SHARP
1478  Economy / Speculation / Re: "Aaaaaaand the waaaallllls... on: November 21, 2011, 07:07:02 PM
A smart way to outsmart him could be to place bids BELOW his Bidwalls, not above :-)
1479  Economy / Speculation / Re: I like the manipulator, I had him all wrong, he is robbing you fools on: November 21, 2011, 01:33:02 PM
unless the manipulator has unlimited funds, this issue will disappear naturally once more funds are added by more investors and traders.
The couple of hundredthousands he has in mtgox are still small overall in the financial world.
But you are right, there must be first some kind of trust of new investors... Or: one big investor just has the guts to make the manipulator look like a fool, with one big 500 k investment.
We know that this happens in the bitcoin economy. Back in Dec 10 - Apr 11 this is what actually happened.
1480  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I was interviewed about Bitcoin on more than 100 Radio stations! ~100K Listeners on: November 20, 2011, 07:15:17 PM
BRILLIANT INTERVIEW, Roger
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