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1421  Economy / Speculation / Re: Long-term market reversal? on: December 22, 2011, 04:50:04 PM
bitcoin prices below 3 $ would be rather bearish at this stage
1422  Economy / Speculation / Re: Long-term market reversal? on: December 20, 2011, 11:21:24 PM
It would be boring if all would agree with me  Wink

The market will decide who is right or wrong. In my p.o.v the market dynamics have changed a lot. The current rise is very healthy , supported by strong volume.
Sure it will not go up in a straight line. There will be corrections along the way, but I see likelihood of 60-65% that we will not see bitcoin prices below 2 $ in the next weeks and months any more. More details and alerts in the subscriber section.
1423  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis & other financial markets (bitcoinbullbear.com) on: December 19, 2011, 08:26:09 PM
All downward trendlines have been broken when we bounced off almost perfectly of the upward trendline. Prepare for more upside!

correct. As we expressed many times in the subscriber section, the reversal from the 2 $ is very strong and can lead to mid term upside to 13.5 $ (38.2% retrace), 17 $ (50% retrace) and 20.6 $ (61.8% retrace).

For the sake of Bitcoin, I just hope it will not happen. I would prefer steady, slow, continual rise, like 0.1% per day. What we really do not need is another fake bubble. We need time to build services and convince merchant to start using our PRECIOUS BITS.

So, please, do not hurry into rally!




As long as the market is the market, it will not listen to wishes of individuals. Markets are driven by psychology of market participants.
People also wish for slow, 5-10% appreciation of stocks every year for decades, but it does not happen very often. There are always mini bubbles, medium bubbles and big bubbles on the way.
1424  Economy / Speculation / Re: RALLY! on: December 19, 2011, 06:43:26 PM
Yes, and only 27,000btc to get to 5!  Cheesy

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1493.msg655006#msg655006
1425  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis & other financial markets (bitcoinbullbear.com) on: December 19, 2011, 06:41:04 PM
All downward trendlines have been broken when we bounced off almost perfectly of the upward trendline. Prepare for more upside!

correct. As we expressed many times in the subscriber section, the reversal from the 2 $ is very strong and can lead to mid term upside to 13.5 $ (38.2% retrace), 17 $ (50% retrace) and 20.6 $ (61.8% retrace).
1426  Economy / Economics / Re: physical silver market decoupling from SLV? on: December 18, 2011, 06:05:07 PM
I personally do not think anyone need to rush to buy Silver. I will pick them up when we have silver prices below 10 $.

You where correct on silver before (May this year?), if I recall correctly. However, past performance is not indicative.... Wink

Thanks for your appraisement.


It's true, I mentioned that Silver is going to top in May an followed up on http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com/stocks-metals-etc.html in August and September that it's going down even more.
1427  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis & other financial markets (bitcoinbullbear.com) on: December 18, 2011, 01:06:51 PM
New public bitcoin charts and bitcoin prices forecast: http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com/
1428  Economy / Economics / Re: The Bullion Report For Dec 14, 2011: Gold does have a Seasonal Claus(e) on: December 18, 2011, 12:47:56 PM
Yes, based on gold chart analysis, gold has just broken a major trendline and we will soon see declines to the low 1500 and then 1300
1429  Economy / Economics / Re: physical silver market decoupling from SLV? on: December 18, 2011, 12:46:59 PM
I personally do not think anyone need to rush to buy Silver. I will pick them up when we have silver prices below 10 $.
1430  Economy / Economics / Re: The Bullion Report For Dec 14, 2011: Gold does have a Seasonal Claus(e) on: December 17, 2011, 02:21:41 PM
correct, dollar notes are the place to be for me

and bitcoins

I'm very sorry about this but can you explain again why bitcoins will do well and gold will not? I can see people going to bitcoin as an alternative to a clearly failed fiat system but the same can be said for gold.

bitcoins and gold are not really linked strongly.

the reasons why I think bitcoins go up and gold down in the neat term are different:

Bitcoin is in a short and mid term uptrend, technically. And fundamentally, we see more real uses for bitcoin every day. A recent example is the launch of http://bitcoindeals.com/ with almost 400,000 products to shop online, similar to amazon.

Gold is in a strong downtrend and has more room to fall, at least to 1300, again, technical reasons.
Fundamentally, I am bullish gold, but it will take some time until it makes sense to buy again, perhaps in 6 -24 months, but not before
1431  Economy / Goods / Re: BitcoinCigarettes.com Factory sealed cigarettes at very low prices on: December 16, 2011, 07:19:55 PM
If you need a good Gucci or Lacoste perfume to neutralize your cigarette smoke, you can buy it for bitcoins at http://bitcoindeals.com
1432  Economy / Goods / Re: BitcoinDeals.com the breakthrough in real stuff to buy with bitcoins!? on: December 16, 2011, 07:18:48 PM
No invite needed any more. It is live:

http://bitcoindeals.com

Here is the tweet:

Shop from your phone and buy yourself a holiday gift with bitcoin. We're live with 375,000 products! http://bitcoindeals.com
1433  Economy / Speculation / Re: Mt GOX - Manipulator !!! VIDEO on: December 15, 2011, 10:35:55 PM
I can even assume that the S3052 and Mt Gox - is one person ... What thoughts?

I am flattered, but no: I do not even have the basic computer skills to do any bot thing.
1434  Economy / Economics / Re: The Bullion Report For Dec 14, 2011: Gold does have a Seasonal Claus(e) on: December 15, 2011, 09:56:39 PM
correct, dollar notes are the place to be for me

and bitcoins
1435  Economy / Economics / Re: The Bullion Report For Dec 14, 2011: Gold does have a Seasonal Claus(e) on: December 15, 2011, 11:03:06 AM
It is non sensible to recommend gold at this stage.
Seasonality comes and goes and changes very often.
Be careful about gold.
Very likely you can buy it much cheaper in the next months around 1300 , or even 1000 and below.
Oursell signal we gave on bitcoinbullbear.com is still active.
1436  Economy / Speculation / Re: New Contest on: December 12, 2011, 05:28:22 AM
1 BTC thrown in by me
1437  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis & other financial markets (bitcoinbullbear.com) on: December 11, 2011, 07:39:21 PM
I pledge another 1 BTC for the 100,000 viewer.

And if this can't be tracked in time, we will postpone to the 111,111 viewer or 150,000 ...


1438  Economy / Speculation / Re: 1 BTC Reward offered on: December 11, 2011, 06:49:17 PM
I thought I'd better put this up so everyone has a chance at the reward.

http://financialriskanalytics.weebly.com/daily-blog.html

edit: BTW, i need to know how to verify who owns the 100,000th view.  any ideas?

Cypher,

thanks a lot. much appreciated.

And by the way, your blog is great!

1439  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis & other financial markets (bitcoinbullbear.com) on: December 11, 2011, 06:35:56 PM
zby and others:

this is exactly the reason why I do not count the minor subwaves. the risk for error is too high.

I have focused more on the bigger picture which told me that the likelihood is very high that we will enter a major rally.

I think we are in the wave 3 up now which will be much stronger than wave 1 (and wave 1 was +56% !!!)

Some people may be surprised if BTCUSD slices through 4 $ like butter.


Do you mean three-digit prices in 2012?

If we are really in major wave 3 up, then 3 digits are entirely possible. but lets first see a rise above 4-5 $, then 10$, and retest 32 $. then we can talk higher targets
1440  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis & other financial markets (bitcoinbullbear.com) on: December 11, 2011, 04:47:48 PM
zby and others:

this is exactly the reason why I do not count the minor subwaves. the risk for error is too high.

I have focused more on the bigger picture which told me that the likelihood is very high that we will enter a major rally.

I think we are in the wave 3 up now which will be much stronger than wave 1 (and wave 1 was +56% !!!)

Some people may be surprised if BTCUSD slices through 4 $ like butter.
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