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4001  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Rx580 8gb @400$ on: April 12, 2021, 07:03:46 PM
$400 is a great price considering these were $250 brand new back in 2016. About a year ago they went for maybe $140 or so. However due to the covid19 chip shortage and the ETH mining profits they went up in price like crazy.

If you want to get out of mining then sell for $400. I highly doubt you will get any more for it. I don't think these will ever go for close to $1000 such as some other GPUs. Right now is a great time to sell. If the chip shortage is behind us and ETH is no longer profitable these will be worth around ~$150 or so. Gamers would much rather go for Nvidia than AMD gpus.
4002  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Forget about ETH Era, We are on BINANCE Era right now!!! Long Live BSC!!! on: April 12, 2021, 04:17:39 AM
Binance Chain is great however the major issue is that its centralized. I think if there was a way to make it decentralized that many people would start using it. I am not surprised that the network activity increased on BSC because the fees for ETH were just pure crazy. Its nuts paying $10 for an ETH transaction or $25 for an ERC20 transaction or almost $100 for a DeFI transaction, hence why BSC started to gain network usage.

However I think most people don't want to make the switch because they are worried about its centrazliation issue. Which is very important to many people. Hence one of the reasons why alot of people don't like XRP since the owners have too much control. However people are making crazy money with all these projects that they don't really care at the moment.
4003  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Ethereum Difficulty on: April 12, 2021, 04:12:18 AM
Most likely given this huge hashrate, there is some mega efficient and fast ETH ASIC out there that is being put into production. This is similar to what happened back in 2018 when the hashrate went up so fast that they weren't producing GPUs fast enough to account for the increase. Then 3 months later we learn't of Bitmains ETH ASIC.

Given how there is a chip shortage and given how most GPUs on the planet are mining ETH there is no other explanation for this huge increase in hashrate. Another explanation can be that maybe there is some exploit similar to ASICboost for BTC. Maybe some farm found a way to get more hashrate out of their current GPUs so instead of mining at 30MH/s they maybe mine at 40MH/s with some GPUBoost for ETH. This is purely speculation however there is definately some farm out there which is at a huge advantage because this hashrate increase is unbelievable.
4004  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Good plan or bad plan on: April 12, 2021, 04:07:42 AM

They are profitable to buy and can be quickly sold on the secondary market.


I had a bunch of the Rx 470 4GB gpus from 2016. And sometime at the end of 2018, i started to sell them because it wasn't profitable anymore. And let me tell you they are very difficult to sell. They can't be sold quickly on the second hand market.

I remember I would make a local ad on Craiglist and it took maybe 2 months to sell a single GPU. Most of the responds were people who were lowballing you. I got alot of messages like "I know you mined with this GPU, I will give you $30 CASH, pickup today!".

A few months back everything changed. You could make a craiglist ad and it would sell in 1 hour. However after the pandemic ends and the chips are back in production, nobody is going to be buying these RX GPUs. For some reason gamers only prefer Nvidia.
4005  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Number 9! Ninth altcoin thread. Back to the moon Baby! on: April 12, 2021, 04:02:23 AM
Yes now is a good time to sell your gear for top dollar. However be aware and know the risks of selling on eBay. Ebay can bring you the most money and its convinient because you don't need to meet strangers. Just pack it up and drop it off at the courier. However...

They have a transaction policy that is easily sided with the buyer. Basically what happened in the past with crypto bubbles was that people bought GPUs or ASICs and overpaid for them. These people were newbies and didn't know how mining works. They assumed that if they buy a $500 GPU which earns $5/day/GPU that they will make $5/day forever. And what usually happens they make less and less money. From $5/day to $4/day to $3/day .... and eventually they send you a message on eBay asking for a refund "Saying GPU isn't as described". Then all of a sudden you get a message from Paypal saying there is a dispute open.

You can do your best to describe your side of the story to Paypal but they won't care. You will need to accept the return, sometimes losing money on shipping both ways and are stuck with bad feedback.

This generally almost never happens during bear markets or sideways markets. Very rarely can you get taken for a ride then. But during a bull market its very common. So becareful.
4006  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: pcie splitter meltdowns on: April 12, 2021, 12:02:27 AM
The quality of that cable sucks 👎, I'm guessing it's one of those china cables, you can tell the difference simply by holding it and another in your hand, go online and other quality cables they are few dollars more costly than this crap

It’s almost never the quality of the cable it’s always the connection. I’ve seen many PSU with thin gauge wires and there was never any issues. The issue always lies with the connection male and female pins.

This is the same reason why there are so many people who got melted modular PSU pins. Basically they disconnect and connect the pins a few times and each time the female end gets looser and looser and eventually pulling too much current and it starts to melt.

Even gamers faced this issue many times. Hence why I always disliked modular PSU for anything mining related.
4007  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: If BNB will reach $500, what's next? on: April 11, 2021, 05:50:25 AM
I think BNB will keep pumping along with FTT token until the COIN listing next week. And depending on how Coinbase trades during its IPO week, we will see something similar for BNB/FTT. So bear in mind that if the COIN launch ends up being a huge dump, then most likely the same with happen for BNB. Regardless of what price BNB is at the time or what BTC is doing.

These exchange tokens are very speculative and volatile right now and they are highly risky to trade with leverage. So make sure you just buy on spot. Because when the markets open and it goes live with the COIN stock listing then things can get pretty crazy.

Predicting what will happen? Who knows. Maybe it will be a blow off top, maybe it will keep climbing steady. We will see.
4008  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: ETH/BTC Price Analysis - A Major Breakout is Coming? on: April 11, 2021, 05:46:27 AM
2500 in April sounds like a very reasonable target for me. That is just less than 20% above current prices and about 15% from current ATH, sounds very doable,,, I wonder if BTC will see the same 20% gain in April to go to around 71 or 72000? If so, then ETH/BTC will more or less be the same;)
It is because of this I am not so sure it is going to happen, the Berlin upgrade is just a few days away from happening and this should be bullish for ethereum so if the price is going to indeed go up then I expect a higher growth than that, now I do not think this kind of growth could be sustained long term but hype should take place in ethereum during this month and maybe even reach 3000 as I see the bitcoin dominance still going down as people prefer to concentrate in altcoins at the moment.

The ETH forks and upgrades never really had any effect on price really. If anything its going to be buy the rumor and sell the news. The only way it might get an effect on the price is maybe if its delayed which happened many times in the past.

Right now most altcoins are pumping like crazy and BTC is lagging which is not a good indicator. Its not good seeing LTC and XRP pumping this hard. It might lead to a market top for BTC and other cryptos. However we will see what happens next week. But if XRP keeps going all the way to $10 and LTC goes to like $1000 then I am pretty confident that $61K was the top and we will enter a bear market soon.
4009  Economy / Speculation / Re: Futures open interest might hint at market top... on: April 11, 2021, 05:41:55 AM
Providing an update. Basically the OI is hitting record highs again and the December futures for BTC has a 25% premium. Can you belive that? Basically by doing the cash and carry trade you can make 25% risk free by just waiting 8 months.

Author Hayes has published a great article about all this "cash and carry" going on with the premiums. If you got 28 minutes you can read his article at,
https://cryptohayes.medium.com/all-aboard-4d50435190d6

He also provides examples and some risks on what you can encounter.

I think most of the short futures and short perps these days are people who are doing these cash and carry trades.
4010  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bloomberg predicting BTC reaching $400K in 2021 on: April 11, 2021, 05:37:14 AM
"According to Bloomberg, Bitcoin is replacing gold “more abruptly” than anticipated. Quotes a price potential of $400,000 in 2021."

Forget about the numbers...

This demonstrates how public opinion is generally improving.

Only in December did Bloomberg declare bitcoin to be in a huge bubble.

Bloomberg, welcome to the bubble.

Can we trust Bloomberg with his prediction? obviously, while they are saying back then that Bitcoin is a bubble, they are storing Bitcoin of their own, now that they have stored enough they are making hype on the price, $400k in just a short period of time just doesn't make sense, the more realistic price is $100k and many experts have predicted this level if we are going to based in the current adoption movement

Can you trust any of these analysis predictions? We got Mad Money, we got stock predictions from major banks and hedge funds, we got Motley fool and how many millionaires did they create with their "free" advice, probably none.

Thats why there is always some disclaimer saying that "this is for information only... trading is risky". Because they are making these articles to get headlines and that's about it. If I had to guess they probably just looked at 2017 how it broke $1K and went to $20K, so they just took $20K and multipled it by 20x and got $400K. And that is their analysis pretty much.

I find any of these predictions all useless whether for stocks or crypto. You are better off flipping a coin in my opinion or doing your own due dilegence.
4011  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Good plan or bad plan on: April 11, 2021, 05:33:41 AM
Does it make any sense to wait for bear market to start building mining rigs instead? I know profits will be very very low but I'm running on free electricity which is green energy so I don't pay for electricity bill and another advantage that I think I would get here is getting the cards for cheap price
Try to build a farm with inexpensive components. If you have free electricity, then you can purchase AMD R390, which consume a lot of electricity, but give a result of 28-30 megahesh.
Or look for other inexpensive graphics cards that you can quickly sell on the secondary market if prices drop.
For example RX470 4 GB pays off in 5 months on free electricity.

Those GPUs are still overpriced, at least in my area. Even the RX 470 4GB are overpriced right now. I sold a bunch of these throughout the years at $80-100USD and now they are $150-$200 USD. The R9 390 is a rare GPU and commands a pretty high premium, gamers seem to love them.

The 4GB only mines at a fast speed if you keep it in the x16 slot in the motherboard. So you are limited to 1 GPU per motherboard. Doesn't make sense to have too many of those. Hence not worth buying them at $200.

There really aren't any decent deals out there. Even the R9 280X is getting pricy and those are like 8 year old GPUs.
4012  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Using SATA cable to power mounted fans? on: April 11, 2021, 05:30:03 AM
Hi Bitcointalk community,

I would like to know if my thought processes is correct.
For my 6 GPUs mining rig I have the following PSU: EVGA 1000 GQ PSU and I have 5 DC 12V mounted fans (with molex cables).

I have used the 3 EVGA molex cables to plug 3 fans. The problem I have is that I have 2 more fans to plug on the PSU. Is it correct and safe to use the EVGA SATA cable with a female Molex to Male SATA Adapter to plug the 2 other fans ?

Thank you
You don't have to use adapters. Cut off the adapters on the fans. On the sata - molex adapter, cut off the molex plugs and wires other than yellow and black.
Clean the terminals, connect accordingly, solder the connections and insulate them.
Your 5 fans will be connected to one wire (35 watts), this method will save your mining farm from unnecessary wires and adapters


The issue with the melting won't be on the molex side of the adapter but usually the SATA side. When you say cut the adapter on the fans you mean connect it directly to the SATA cable correct? Then he has to plug that into the PSU and the issue is usually that cheap SATA connector melts.

Molex usually has more surface area and can handle all this current. I think in the past I ran maybe 2 risers off a series of MOLEX connectors and didn't have any issues, the connectors never got hot.

With SATA the issues lies in the quality of the SATA adapter to molex, and usually even with little current, that area near the +12V pin, will always be warm or hot. Reason why is the poor connection. The pins inside the adapter need more grip or tension because they are too lose and cause the wire to get hot and melt.
4013  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: pcie splitter meltdowns on: April 11, 2021, 05:24:10 AM
I was going to say that most likely your splitter was badly built. Generally the OEM power supply connectors are good quality and shouldn't give you issues unless you run too much current thru them. Another thing to note is when you say 120 Watts? Is this accurate? How did you measure it? Because with some GPUs it can say 120 Watts in the software but in reality it can pull something like 150 Watts.

I did something similar as you. Just bought a crimp tool and the pins and made many custom cables such as your. Never had any issues either because I bought gold plated pins and they were all perfect snug fit and never got hot or melted.
4014  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis of Bitcoin and other Altcoins on: April 11, 2021, 05:15:39 AM
Generally before bitcoin hits a top, the dominance usually goes down. The way it works is as follows. Money goes into BTC, then flows into altcoins and then flows back in fiat or tether.

Its concerning to see legacy altcoins like XRP and LTC pumping. When these coins pump it usually indicates a top already occured for bitcoin and we might enter a bear market. Look what happened in 2017 with XRP and LTC. They pumped like crazy and we topped out shortly after. I think if LTC goes to like $1000 and XRP to like $5-10. Then $61K most definately was the top and it might be time to start taking profits.
4015  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bloomberg predicting BTC reaching $400K in 2021 on: April 10, 2021, 04:38:08 AM
I think the reason they make these predictions is so the people who bought BTC at like $20K don't sell it until it reaches $400K. Then most of wall street takes profit at around $399K and the retail trader doesn't get a chance to sell. Another reason is to get people to buy today at $60K and if it reaches $400K, its a 6x gain. So much better than most of wall street stocks. However people don't realise that a $400K a coin the market cap will be crazy high and unsustainable.

So in my opinion I think if we see $100K it will be remarkable however even that will be a tough way to keep priced suppresed. Especially since many will take profit at $100K who bought at $20K. Keep in mind it will be over $2T pretty much and $400K is what $7T. It will be very difficult for it to keep a price so high for a long time. I don't think its possible.
4016  Economy / Speculation / Re: How low could the next bear market move bitcoin? on: April 10, 2021, 04:22:24 AM
I really highly doubt that we're going to see 4 digit BTC again.

People now fully appreciate that BTC indeed operate in 4 year cycles - whereby the peaks at halvings almost always outdoes the last halving, and there is a period of relative calm in between the bull markets.

With the market a lot more mature and institutional bagholders rolling in, I wouldn't be surprised if this "bear market" turns out to be just extremely small blip in the bigger long term picture. Keep DCA'ing now, don't try to wait for the bearish sentiment as it may never come.
I think in a way similar to this, even if what we were seeing now was just a repetition of the 2017 bull market that we saw back then even a price below 10k will be basically impossible, but this time around things are completely different, institutional investors have changed the way we think of this market forever, they are not going to let go of their bitcoin as easily as the weak hands that had those bitcoins before and when we take into account the low price they entered the market they are very likely to remain in profits even if the market crashed 50% or less so they will not have too much of a reason to sell in the future.

Anything is possible. Back in 2017 there was institutional investors also. Especially with the launch of the BTC futures. People were thinking an BTC ETF was going to appear shortly after and look what happened.

I don't think we will see 4 digit BTC either, however anything can happen. Right now everybody is greedy. However imagine Tesla sells, Saylor sells and MtGox coins are unlocked and we can see panic very fast and who knows, maybe 4 digit BTC.

Just like what happened back in Nov 2018, everybody was assuming $6K was the bottom and look what happened.
4017  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: EIP-1559 Scheduled for July on: April 10, 2021, 04:19:01 AM
All these people moving their rigs to Ethermine has lowered my payouts on Ethermine. Thinking of switching to another pool. I have 1.4 Gh/s and the payout is very low right now. Thanks to all these miners increasing the hash rate on Ethermine.

Unfortunately the reason is not this, changing pools will not solve anything because what is causing the decrease in the rewards is the increase in the hashrate and a momentary reduction in the value of the fees.
Yes you are probably right. Did you notice the same reduction on your side? Which pool are you using?
Mining rewards on all available ETH pools are down right now, I guess we are in one of those days where ETH mining isn't that profitable, well tomorrow is another day

The fees are still pretty high in my opinion. Even though the mining rewards are a little lower the fees are high because the price is almost $2200. Basically even with 100 Gwei which seems to be the min fee these days to send a regular transaction ETH costs $4 and for ERC20 is over $12. This is still expensive.

I think the lowest i've seen the fees is 80 Gwei. So due to all these smart contracts the network will keep being conjested and we will have an average fee of 100 Gwei for the next few months. At least until the DeFI and NFT starts to calm down.
4018  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Distance between gpu on: April 10, 2021, 04:14:27 AM
Basically I keep them as far away as possible from one another but the limiting factor here is the length of the USB riser cable. If the cables were longer I would space them further apart. Its easy making a longer mining frame however the issue is with the cables. If you got 4 GPUs its easy to space them apart for better cooling however when you got 6 its when it becomes a problem and you need to keep them together.

I tried to use longer USB cables however the longer the cable the more errors ive gotten. I think there is a limitation how long the cable can be before the signal becomes bad and causes error and freezing. Hence I kept my GPUs maybe 3-4 cm gap between them. SInce they are lower power didn't have any issues.
4019  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Using SATA cable to power mounted fans? on: April 10, 2021, 04:09:27 AM
Yes it should be safe however the only issue might be in the quality of that Molex to SATA adapter you are using. The SATA plug on the PSU is good quality however many of the Molex to SATA adapters are very badly built.

Many of the burnt SATA connections were due to the cheap and bad Molex to SATA adapter plug, usually thats where it started to melt. So plug them in however I would inspect from time to time. Maybe touch it after running it for a few hours make sure its not hot, if its hot it means its a bad connection and something will melt.
4020  Economy / Speculation / Re: Altcoins pumping like crazy - is the BTC Bullcycle ending? on: April 08, 2021, 02:09:45 PM
Altcoins pumped many times in the past and the bull cycle didn't end. However my prediction is that when LTCBTC pumps like crazy, then it means that whatever the top for BTCUSD was, was most likely the local top.

Right now LTCBTC is like 0.004BTC, if it goes to some crazy number like 0.02BTCLTC it would make LTCUSD valued at something >$1000. That would mean its probably due for a correction. Same way how last time it went from like $50 to like almost $500 right before the bear market started.

This is something we all should look for. And it can happen at anytime. LTCBTC started to pump a few days ago.
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