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1521  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Reasons why the 95% of future traders lose all of their money on: November 17, 2022, 03:42:06 PM
You should start with normal traders who trade spot only. Most of them lose their capital too and I read some articles that it should be 80% or higher.

Before mentioning about risk of future trading, you should continue with Margin or Leverage trading that is risky. With Leverage trading, more than 90% of traders lose their capital and worse than Spot trading, they more easily lose 90% or all of their capital.

Future trading is more risky than Leverage trading and trading fees for Future trading is more expensive than Leverage trading.
1522  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 17, 2022, 03:38:48 PM
The level at which Bayern Munich have performed this season tells it can be possible for them to still win the Bundesliga league.
They have only 4 points more than Freiburg and 6 points more than Leipzig but their attacking is very strong with 49 goals scored so far.

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Early in the season Bayern  Munich was having challenge in their performance,  which was an opportunity for other teams to lead the top position.  After Bayern Munich returned back to a better form, it was still possible for them to top the league back again. Bayern Munich is also doing well in the Champions League, they definitely win a trophy.
Some changes in their club especially changes in formation to adapt to a departure of Lewandowski are one of reasons. Sadio Mane lost his good performance after having some first impressive matches. Later, Bayern Munich suddenly got a very good contribution from Choupo Moting. I believed that they did not expect too much from Choupo Moting at season beginning.

With small differences with other clubs and uncertainty because of World Cup, Bayern might have problems with their players when they return from World Cup. It can be good chance for both Freiburg and Leipzig to catch Bayern.
1523  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: November 16, 2022, 01:56:57 PM
The possibility of Barcelona finishing first and winning the Laliga lies in their own hands since the team is on top of the league before the world cup break and they are showing good performance since losing against their biggest rival in the league Real Madrid and failing to  qualify to the next round in the Champions League.
Barcelona did not play well enough in Champions League and they must accept that after World Cup, they will continue playing in Europe but in Europa League, not Champions League.

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Looking at the current state of things in the Barcelona and Madrid team and the quality of players they got I think the Barcelona team need more players to add to the squad if they need the trophy because the Madrid team may be underperforming now but they have a complete them and they can play with out  their key man Benzema and still get good results
Real Madrid has a good system that operates well without Benzema. They already prepared for retirement of Benzema a few seasons ago by buying Rodrygo and Vinicius. Fortunately for them, both Brazilian players have been grown up very well in the last three seasons. They both were called for Brazil in World Cup tournament. Benzema is still important for Real Madrid but they can win without him.

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Barcelona finds it difficult to score goals and win matches without the presence of Lewandoski and with Pique out of the club and Barcelona still having financial crisis I think winning the league will be a bit difficult unless they sign new players during the transfer window.
Barcelona did not have too good system and their young players need more time. Their young midfielders are good enough but strikers are not. Ansu Fati is not good enough for that position and he is too vulnerable with injury.

Xavi and Barcelona saw this issue and they take a great opportunity to convince Lewandowski to join their club. Substitutions for Lewandowski like Fati and Depay are not ready to carry that position. Memphis Depay lost good performance since the past season already.
1524  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Australian crypto exchange suspends withdrawal on: November 16, 2022, 01:40:34 PM
It's a bad news but unavoidable domino effect from FTX collapse.

If you don't trade daily and only hold your crypto, it is no reason to keep your crypto on any exchange even it is Binance during the chaotic time.

If you are trading daily, you should choose big ones like Binance (if you trust them). But skip trading for a few weeks, few months don't make you die and it is not harmful if you skip trading to withdraw your cryptocurrency out of exchanges at this moment.

Before this storm goes away, it is a safest choice.
1525  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: November 16, 2022, 01:31:55 PM
This season, Messi has performed well compared to Ronaldo. he has always been a determining factor in SPG's victory, even though he didn't always score. his contribution as a playmaker has made SPG too strong for their opponents in Ligue 1. he is a smart player, even though he is no longer young. however, the talent he had did not disappear. currently all leagues have stopped due to the world cup break, and I hope Messi will give his best game with Argentina in the world cup championship later.
Compare to himself first, he actually has better performance than what he did in the past season. Compares to Ronaldo, Messi have better appearances and better performance than Ronaldo. It lasts from clubs to national teams for two players. This season is totally disappointed for Ronaldo but he still has World Cup to fight.

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after the world cup was over, the last 16 of the champions league started again. and PSG will meet equally strong opponents, it will not be easy for PSG to overthrow Bayern Munich even though PSG has the advantage of playing as the home team in the first leg. IMO, the round of 16 will be the real test for PSG against Bayern Munich later.
PSG is strong but is Bayern Munich - their opponent - weak or weaker than PSG?

Bayern is weaker than a few seasons ago when they won Champions League but they are at same level of PSG. I can not pick what team will win after two matches. Maybe I don't make any prediction here, just wait for their matches and enjoy.

PSG will have to see how Messi comes back after World Cup as they need his best. This season, Messi becomes more important for PSG as we saw that in matches without Messi, PSG attacking system is very boring and has less powerful attack.
1526  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Make sure that you read the new Important Announcements topic by theymos on: November 16, 2022, 07:24:03 AM
Anyone in cryptocurrency, from newbies to plebs should know

- Not your keys, not your coins.
- Exchanges are very scammy.

The important reminder from theymos is another repeat of above reminders and I hope that it won't vanish in the air a few days after people read it. I believe the majoriry will still store their cryptocurrency at exchanges and skip all these reminders.
1527  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: November 16, 2022, 07:08:34 AM
Im not sure barcelona can also do better in the europa league. The performance from barcelona in the la liga has been making me feel satisfied with its result but it's very disappointed to see barcelona fail again in the europa league for the second times. that will prove if the squad of blaugrana worthy only to compete in the domestic league and it's not in the level of a competition that higher than the domestic league. There are so many strong team in the champion league. that proves barcelona have not yet reached that level even with lewandoski plays for barcelona.
They are good enough to win Europa League but it is still a serious fighting for them. They are not like a champion in Champions League but play in Europa League. In fact, they are not good enough to be qualified in Champions League and consequently have to play in Europa League play-off.

In La Liga, they have good result so far and they can continue it for a trophy fighting. With not too strong club like Barcelona in this season, it is more realistic for them to fight in a long season like La Liga than in a tournament-formatted one like Europa League.

Very important for Xavi and Barcelona, they must assign their resources carefully to avoid exhaustion in players and maybe unnecessary injuries. I support them to focus fighting in their domestic league than Europa League.
1528  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA 2022 world cup on: November 15, 2022, 01:31:16 PM
I don't agree that stars in the Belgium team are too old. De Bruyne is 31, Curtois is 30, Lukaku 29... All of them are around 30 years of age and that is the time when a football player should still play at their best. Especially for the star players like the ones I mentioned. OK, Mertens is a bit old with 35 but he is one of rare players that old in the team.
Belgium has a golden generation but they did not achieve anything from them. This World Cup and Euro 2024 might be last big tournaments for this golden generation. If Belgium can not win this World Cup or the next Euro, they will likely see the end of this generation without any big title.

It is a bit odd to see a very terrible performance of Hazard after his transfer from Chelsea to Real Madrid. He is about 20% of this best in Chelsea a few years ago. Belgium now is more relying on De Bruyne but Hazard is no longer important for them.

Belgium have a good team that were capable of winning an international trophy for the country, i feel if they were to win something it would have happened either in the 2014 or 2018 world cup, or the Euro tournaments that have been played between that time, because that was when their star players were at their best, since they didn't win it then, they can't win it now
They are like England in the past with Gerrad, Lampard, Joe Cole, Rooney, Owen, Beckham, Ferdinand, Campell. Those players did not bring England to any title and they usually ended big tournaments very soon.

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most of their best players are not as good as they were around 8 years ago, like Hazard for example, kevin de bruyne is still a great player, but i think he was better around 4 years ago. Belgium still have a good team, but i feel they are incapable of winning the 2022 world cup.
De Bruyne now is very dangerous with finishing, not only with his key passes and free kicks. His upgrade in the past season when he was motivated to shot more, shows that he can take advantage of open space and opportunity to shot and get goals.
1529  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: CZ proposes an Industry recovery fund. on: November 15, 2022, 01:15:25 PM
Several incidents in the current crypto world honestly make me always doubt when new steps are made whose purpose is to prevent anything bad from happening again in the future, the developers, exchange owners seem to understand how to profit in any way and what to do.
To avoid loses from collapse of platforms, the most important practice for people is using non custodial wallet. Having self-custody is very important for crypto enthusiasts and people should look at Terra, FTX collapses to more seriously use non custodial wallets.

It's their key, it's their coins.

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Introduced by CZ in my opinion will also fail to protect crypto investors, and this is why crypto investors should realize how risky the crypto world is and don't believe anything as a good thing because when the time comes it will harm many parties.
CZ and Binance want to rebuild the crypto ecosystem and increase their reputation. For crypto investors, what was lost is lost forever but they can learn from their own loses and be smarter, be more carefully in future. CZ and Binance can not cover their loses by anyway.
1530  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Binance is spamming mempool on: November 15, 2022, 12:43:43 PM
The massive waiting transactions in mempool only occured in less than 24 hours ago. Because yesterday, mempool is very clear and we can move bitcoin with 3 satoshis to 5 satoshis

https://jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/#BTC%20(default%20mempool),24h,weight

Binance (if it is real) did choose a good time to create panic on newbies. They will feel more panic when their transactions need too long time to get a first confirmation. Taking this congestion, I remind people to use an opt-in Replace-by-Fee (RBF) for their transaction. So if their transactions stucked, they can bump the fee.

It's either prevention for mass withdrawals, or the community became more paranoid after the second biggest exchange has scammed the community. For me, it's probably just coincidence. But if it's as a prevention for another exchange "bank run", then I believe the result would be a positive, not only for the exchanges, but for the community as well, no? We don't want another crash.
It is not to prevent mass withdrawals. Exchanges already charge very expensive withdrawal fee on users. Their fees are fixed and expensive because they over charge users.

Binance did not reduce or increase their withdrawal fee on Bitcoin. https://www.binance.com/en/fee/cryptoFee
1531  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: November 15, 2022, 12:27:21 PM
There are still many matches that Barcelona must face, the difference of 2 points from Real Madrid does not show that Barcelona is safe at the top of the La Liga standings. I don't think this is enough to show whether Xavi will still be promoted as a coach, and we need to see until the end of the season whether he can win the La Liga trophy.

However, of the total matches remaining in La Liga, Barcelona only has 1 match left to face Real Madrid and the rest can indeed be put to good use to continue leading the top of the standings. Will it be as easy as expected? certainly not
They both have many matches to play in La Liga and in Champions League as well as Europa League. If we compare Champions League and Europa League, it seems Real Madrid will have more challenge than Barcelona and Los Blancos will have to spend more resources for Champions League. That will drain out their strength and stability in La Liga and it is a good chance for Barcelona.

However Barcelona must do their jobs well in La Liga and to have it, they must self identify clearly what is their main target in this season, La Liga or Europa League.

Barcelona still needs time to maximize its players. Xavi's strategy still has many weaknesses, the bonding between players has not looked solid, especially against more established teams such as Bayern Munich and Real Madrid. although they have quite an impressive record in La Liga, but if we refer to the Champions League and El Classico matches.Barcelona often finds it difficult to keep up with the style of their opponent's play.
We can not find a perfect coach without weakness in their strategy which is also depended on quality of players too.

Xavi is a young coach and need time to maximize himself. Barcelona players are young and need time to grow and develop their skills too. Meanwhile, they should have a stability in a coach position and playing formations. So Xavi should be given more time and his position should be secured by Barcelona. They must look further and have a longer plan than this season.
1532  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: November 14, 2022, 07:34:05 AM
It's expected of them, after all Auxerre are 17th placed, there is nothing they could do even tho they had a total of nine attempts at goal.
Don't use the low ranking of Auxere to undervalue the winning for PSG. They won easily because they are too strong and we should admit it.

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I doubt tho that Lens or Rennes would be able to overtake PSG at the top seeing as they have remained unbeaten and won't want to lose form now. Instead I expect to see more of them when they get back from the world cup tournament.
Not only in this season but also in other seasons. Additionally, not only Lens or Rennes but other clubs in other seasons are very difficult to beat PSG in a single match and in a whole season. PSG have too many star players and their quality is super higher than other clubs in Ligue 1.

PSG lost titles only if they over focus on Champions League but did not manage to play well enough in Ligue 1. In most of seasons, in the last decade, they managed to win Ligue 1 even still spent a lot of focus on Champions League.

Damn it, One minute after I typed my post Marseille's second goal happened and I'm not happy about it. 90 + 8 is something that is hard to forget for Monaco because apart from 3 points they lost 10 minutes before the end of time and hoping that there is 1 point in the last minute of extra time they also have to be willing to concede the ball again which makes them have no points in this match.
Marseille's initiation was great when they lost and I admit that even though in this case I have to lose my bet.
It is a very bad match for Monaco. They let Marseille scored first but managed to equalize and find a second goal that gives them hope to earn three points.

Unfortunately they let Marseille to equalize when the match only have 7 minutes left. More terrible, they lost 1 point at the end by a very late goal from Marseille. Changing from three points to zero point is terrible and it all happened within a few minutes. Three points from this match help Marseille jumped to the fourth position in Ligue 1 and they only have 1 point less than Rennes.
1533  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: November 14, 2022, 07:19:17 AM
I don't think it was just luck because Ten Hag dared to make the decision to play Garnacho in place of Martial. The match did look like it would end in a draw but the hard work done by Man United gave a sweet result. The decisive goal scored by Garnacho looks quite stunning (at that moment Garnacho seemed to have a fast pace and a nice finishing touch).
Martial and Rashford are very bad to convert opportunities to goals. The match with Fullham proves this fact again. Rashford try to be very team-mateship and I don't say it is bad but it somewhat shows that Rashford is not confident with himself too. Both players have several good opportunities but failed to find a second goal for Manchester United. Later Fullham equalized and even created some pressure on United.

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Meanwhile, Fulham also has a performance that is not inferior to Man United and they also had some good chances that could have been goals, but De Gea played quite impressively, even though he failed to keep a clean sheet, he was seen several times making brilliant saves.
Again David De Gea saved Manchester United and helped them to have three points. Without De Gea, they would have even faced with a loss before the late goal from Garnacho. Just not too long ago, the goalkeeper faced with a risk to be sold  Angry

The match almost ended in a draw. Garnacho's goal saved United from defeat.
He saved United from a draw but De Gea save them from a defeat.

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statistically, we can see both teams are pretty even in their defense and attack. It's no exaggeration if United in this match again gets lucky. let's hope United ends the game before the break with a good result.
The match is balancing for both clubs but United have De Gea who saved them after the equalizing goal from Fullham. Later Garnacho with a good try, scored a winning goal for them in extra time of the second half.
1534  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Not your key not your coins is real, not just quoted. (FTX Issue) on: November 14, 2022, 02:54:03 AM
Actually, it is nearly impossible.  They declared bankruptcy meaning the exchange hasn't had enough funds already.  Then they announced a hacking incident that stole a huge amount of money.   So from the situation, I do not think that FTX has enough funds to reimburse their clients.
If they have had enough funds to reimburse their clients, they would have not submitted for bankruptcy Chapter 11.

Sam Bankman-Fried did not see a light at ending of tunnel. He got no help from either Changpeng Zao and Justin Sun or other cryptocurrency billionaires. He had to exit and filing for bankruptcy is his last choice.

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Let alone the exchange is already suspected of misappropriation of funds.
I believe FTX exchange is not an only exchange which handles customer capital inappropriately and unsafely. In the past two years, we have been witnessing many attractive programs from exchanges: staking with high Annual Percent Yields, staking with stable coins. Moreover, abundant stable coins were created in the last bull run.

In previous years, there were very limited stable coins but in 2020 bull run, I even can not remember how many stable coins were launched and even did not know all of new stable coins.
1535  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: What are alternative no kyc exchanges since FTX is gone... on: November 14, 2022, 02:47:08 AM
I'm using OKX and Mexc (since on the rise) and so far with no issues. Not an FTX user here, so can't say it's alternatives and don't know a standout comparison of them.
MEXC is a Tier-2 exchange but it is a good one to buy hidden gems in bull market. In bull market, not in bear market. In bear market, you will more likely to buy falling knives, not hidden gems.

Around ending of a bear market, after altcoins lose 90% or more from their all time highs or previous highest price in a bull market, you can filter altcoins and find gems to buy. It is not a time to do this because bear market is happening and massacre is happening.

Is FTX an ending of this bear market or is it only a start of something worse?
1536  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: November 14, 2022, 02:44:02 AM
I did some research on the internet and found that Arteta outperformed Arsen Wenger, based on a calculation over the first 150 matches. Of course, I wish him to be Arsenal manager for many years like Arsene Wenger, but today such an understanding is no longer in football clubs. I hope that a legendary team of football players close to the equivalence of Henry, Bergkamp, Vieira, Sol Campbell, Kolo Toure and Pires will be formed again and we will watch them with great pleasure.

Arteta made another big achievement for his personal record and it is a big one for such a very young coach. I believe he won't satisfy with it because it is important but not enough. Just like ending a season at a runner-up (second) position means nothing. If a club, a coach want to be recorded by history, they should win a league and become a champions.

Arteta and Arsenal have been playing very well in the season and with a lose of Manchester City this week, Arsenal have a bigger gap on the table. It is time for them to carefully plan for Premier League return after World Cup and also Europa League. If I am Arteta, I would like to focus all resources for Premier League, not the Europa League. Arsenal will probably get nothing at season ending if they aim at both Premier League and Europa League. They must make a choice as soon as possible.
1537  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: November 13, 2022, 03:15:52 AM
We don't know how stable is the Nunez perfomance, few matches before he easily got provoked and can't play well. He need to learn to control his emotion and try to become better player.
Not all players can have stable performance in a single season or longer. Messi, Ronaldo, Salah have good and bad performance time within a season and Nunez is not different.

I see positive about his improvement, from bad, very bad performance which caused disappointment in their coach, team mates, fans to recent weeks when he brought happiness to them. It is a very big improvement and I appreciate his effort and strong mentality to deal with all pressure on him.

After the World Cup, we will have other matches to assess the performance of Nunez, whether it is good and stable.
1538  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: What are alternative no kyc exchanges since FTX is gone... on: November 13, 2022, 02:21:49 AM
Some exchanges don't require KYC are in https://kycnot.me/

I don't choose non-KYC exchanges and store my cryptocurrency there because KYC or not KYC, it does not decide that exchange is good temporarily or safe in long time.

If a top exchange, Tier 1 like FTX can collapse in less than a week, how do I trust Tier 2 or lower Tier exchanges? I might use them for very small capital of mine, for big capital I will choose Binance. If I don't trade, I store my crypto in my own wallets.
1539  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: November 13, 2022, 01:57:31 AM
A bad ending before the international break for City, they lost 1-2 vs Brentford, even without counting the last moment goal, 1 point won't look good to catch up Arsenal..
Gunners increased the points gap to 5 which isn't big but reassuring for a game or two. Newcastle is making an impressive effort, they are third now, they beat up Chelsea to get to this level.
That is not good to even get one point from the match for Manchester City but a defeat and 0 point is worse. Arsenal did a great job in this week and have an increasing gap against Manchester City. These results will help Arsenal and Arteta have a little bit less pressure after the World Cup and Premier League return. They will have to use the break time by World Cup to make plans for January transfer and rest part of a season.

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Otherwise, Liverpool is recovering at the same time when Chelsea is getting deeper in troubles Undecided
Liverpool are recoving and Darwin Nunez slowly improves his performance in the club. It is a good preparation of Nunez for World Cup too. He will be a very big hope of Uruguay in the tournament as both Luiz Suarez and Edison Cavani are already very old.
1540  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2022/23 | Group Stage on: October 27, 2022, 01:14:12 PM
I'd like to appreciate Porto's incredible effort in the Champions League on the recent weeks.

Because they started the group stage with two losses and even the one against Club Brugge was horrible. But it was such a dedication of them that they won three matches in a row recently and even secured the remaining last 16 ticket in the group. I agree that it was a great answer by them to Club Brugge by defeating them by the same score they lost to them.
They improved their performance after two loses and also received opportunities from Atletico Madrid too. Anyway, they did great efforts first before luck comes to them. Brugge is not a big club in Europe and they are not comparable to Porto.

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Atletico Madrid could have still maintained their claim for next round but they couldn't score that penalty. That was the end of their hopes unfortunately. They are even under the danger of not qualifying for the Europa League now.
Atletico Madrid only can blame on themselves for this ending. About quality, they have very good players and their club are very experienced in Champions League. With so many star and experienced players, they should get a first position in this group. Simeone likely gets good support from Atletico Madrid boss but he will have to improve a lot of things in rest of season.

In football, nowadays, there is no life-time job for any coach. Clubs can sack their coaches anytime if results simply are too bad. They mostly don't care about past achievement of their coaches.
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