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8021  Economy / Marketplace / Re: BTC NEAR ME on: May 03, 2011, 08:31:35 PM
I am happy to introduce BTC NEAR ME:

http://btcnearme.com/

It's a bit of a jalopy, but might be useful.

Enjoy!


BTC NEAR ME
Find Bitcoin traders near you... settle in cash.
Negotiate terms via email. Meet in public with wireless internet!


Nice, simple, useful.  Might be hard to get people to use Ubitex now.

Ubitex might surprise you on that.


Yeah but you bought shares in Ubitex so you're conflicted.

A disclaimer would have been appropriated.
8022  Economy / Marketplace / Re: BTC NEAR ME on: May 03, 2011, 09:47:59 AM
So this is like this one?

http://tradebitcoin.com/

anyone used tradebitcoin.com that can report back?
8023  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [~300 Gh/s Mining Pool] INSTANT PAYOUT,+1% with LP! +0.8% for no failed blocks! on: May 03, 2011, 05:22:07 AM
Is there script/software out there to let me know that my worker has stopped working from the API token?

yep.

http://btc.imnotacyb.org/dbm/
8024  Other / Obsolete (buying) / Re: Bitcoin "Gift Certificate" for sale on Ebay on: May 03, 2011, 01:13:04 AM

I think he means "shipping costs"  Wink

Awesome idea, electronic  "Gift Certificates", redeemable in BTC at your favourite supplier.

Could be electronic images, pdf documents of value, whatever ...

Actually there are no air quotes. I am literally going to ship a piece of paper, tracking number and all.

If I don't, I'm not eligible for seller protection in case of fraud.

Ah, okay. But sending a Gift Certificate outside US in an envelope costs aren't great or?

I just assumed it was because doing business like this across international borders would be fraught.

I like the idea though because you leverage Ebay's payment system (PayPal), seller rating (trust) and existing infrastructure
8025  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Anyone know what happened to knightmb and his 371,000 BTC? on: May 03, 2011, 01:08:18 AM
What's cool about having your savings account on a CD-R in a safety deposit box at the bank is that you can STILL send bitcoins to that wallet!

When you go to the bank and get your CD-R and set the wallet up again, all your bitcoins that you sent to that wallet will magically appear.

If I ever have lots of bitcoins, that's what I'll do Smiley

I wouldn't trust a CD-R, they are not designed to last that long.  I'd much more likely put it in some service that backs things up with tape every night or has huge redundancy.  Having it physically sit somewhere is silly.  If anything, put a note in a safe deposit box with your encryption key and the location where it's at.  Put it stored electronically with a few different companies.

The problem with creating many back-ups is that every back-up copy must be ultimately deletable, down to the bits deletable or wiped, or else you leave it open for reading by disc recovery means and it can get stolen.

Yes back-up but not too much and carefully or else there will be lots of copies of your wallet floating around all over the place waiting to be discovered by some disc recovery software.
8026  Other / Obsolete (buying) / Re: Bitcoin "Gift Certificate" for sale on Ebay on: May 03, 2011, 01:02:54 AM

I think he means "shipping costs"  Wink

Awesome idea, electronic  "Gift Certificates", redeemable in BTC at your favourite supplier.

Could be electronic images, pdf documents of value, whatever ...
8027  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Anyone know what happened to knightmb and his 371,000 BTC? on: May 03, 2011, 12:53:40 AM

I'm not sure that safe deposit at the bank is such a good idea given the rate of collapse of the banks these days. Sometimes Federal rules have been know to over-ride the custody agreements involved with safe-deposit boxes and customers lose everything inside them.

Might be better off in vault at a private security company or something. Or if you have the option, in a safe under your own control. Banks are too heavily regulated by the govt. to trust that anybody knows what will happen when they lock their doors, even the best lawyers in town couldn't tell you definitely where you stand.
8028  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Gavin will visit the CIA on: May 03, 2011, 12:47:37 AM

If it all goes pear-shaped I wonder if Gavin will be given a "burial at sea"?
8029  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: BitMarket.eu - should we accept USD? on: May 02, 2011, 10:23:30 PM
I'm thinking de-linking the USD part from the other makes sense in that if the USD part gets shutdown you'll still be operational with the Euro side of it. But fragmenting a business at such an early stage is not advisable.

If you can somehow keep them under the same umbrella from the customer point of view (single point of contact on web, same website, address, etc) but have them split legally so that a shutdown of one does not affect trading of the other is the ideal solution.
8030  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? on: May 02, 2011, 09:55:57 PM
I heard a rumour that the Satoshi was a dance ... here's the pseudo-code:

The instruction set goes as follows:

    * You put your left leg in
    * Your left leg out
    * In, out, in, out,
    * you shake it all about.
    * You do the Sa-Toshi and you turn around
    * That's what it's all about...

On 'you do the Sa-Toshi' each participant joins his/her hands at the fingertips to make a chevron and rocks them from side to side.

Each instruction set would be followed by a chorus, which is entirely different from other parts of the world:

    * Whoa, the Sa-Toshi!,
    * Whoa, the Sa-Toshi!,
    * Whoa, the Sa-Toshi!,
    * Knees bent, arms stretched, rah! rah! rah!

For this chorus all participants are stood in a circle and hold hands, on each "whoa" they all raise their joined hands in the air and run in toward the centre of the circle and on "the Sa-Toshi" they all run backwards out again. On the last line they bend knees then stretch arms, as indicated, and for "rah rah rah!" they either clap in time or raise arms above their heads and push upwards in time. Sometimes each subsequent verse and chorus is a little faster and louder, with the ultimate aim of making people chaotically run into each other in gleeful abandon. Invariably, somebody ends up on the floor.[citation needed]
8031  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Consequences of exponential price growth. on: May 02, 2011, 09:37:37 PM

Chodpaba:

How hard would it be to implement some kind of physical limit on growth factor into your model?

By my reckoning, the total number of GPUs on the planet that will ever be made available for mining is not infinite. The factories that make them can only bring them online at finite rate also. Exponential growth is monster that can hit physical limits quite quickly, without rapid innovation.

I suspect that the limiting factor for network growth will be the factories ability to supply GPU's in the near term if the exponential growth on price is sustained.

How would we go about determining the total number of GPU chips ever produced? (As a starting point for an upper bound on network strength calc.)
8032  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Rainbow tables and Bitcoin on: May 02, 2011, 12:23:59 PM
So all miners are technichlly hashing on the next agreement of allocated coins to be generated? Im starting to unserstand this minging thing, becuase if all nodes cant just agree on distributing the full 21 million becuase in the beginning you'd have to distribute it to the first node and that would defeat tge purpose.

The primary problem the hashing solves is preventing double-spending of the same coins. Once the hash for the block https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Block of transactions from the last ~10mins is found, it is very difficult to change. After 6 blocks are hashed, it is nigh on impossible to brute force change the transactions that deep in the block chain. Secondarily, in the growth phase of the network it allocates the new coins as an incentive to the miner(s) who are hashing faster and thus providing more security to the network by way of making transactions harder to change. The mature network will be allocating very few new coins but transaction fees maybe an incentive for miners to keep hashing then.
8033  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Should drugs be listed at bitcoin.it? on: May 02, 2011, 10:10:37 AM
By the authority of MagicalTux who owns the wiki. See the history of the page for yourself.

Okay, thanks, you seem quite emphatic so I'll take your word for it. He's entitled to do that, just wondered if you had any other info?

Edit: here's what the wiki says
"Products or services illegal in US or Japan are not fit to be listed here - such links will be removed immediately. Any attempt to get those links up again will result in the account being blocked. "

Makes one wonder what they'll do if bitcoin itself is made illegal, will they allow drug links again?
8034  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Should drugs be listed at bitcoin.it? on: May 02, 2011, 09:28:17 AM
The wiki has been updated to reflect the fact that drugs are not allowed. So this thread/poll can be closed.

By who's authority?

Any more info on how this dispute was resolved? Given the level of interest I think a little more explanation would be warranted. A bald one-line, corpro-speak, statement like that just serves to sow resentment.
8035  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Consequences of exponential price growth. on: May 02, 2011, 09:24:01 AM

Okay, I have a few questions;

1) your graph seems to suggest that by Jan 2013 (mining block reward halving date) BTC will be trading for $1500 to $2000 each, is that correct?

2) does the exponential growth rate in BTC/U$D have the same exponential power as the current rate of increase or something different?
8036  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Difficulty Forecast: Block 122976 on: May 02, 2011, 08:52:26 AM

Is this your model based on bitcoin price that has predicted the shown difficulty distribution plot?

I have since refined the model a bit, and it is very pretty. There is a strong correlation between the 12 week moving average and difficulty as shown by Pearson (.99!). Difficulty is arrived at as the product of the 12WMA and a factor that increases linearly with time. I only just discovered this linear increase.

The probability distribution is the variance of this mostly linear factor about a straight line median. It demonstrates to be a Gaussian distribution (pink markers). By matching the median and standard deviation for a normal random variant it is easy enough to run a Monte-Carlo simulation to reconstruct the probability distribution of the product of the projected factor and the 12WMA (1000 trials, blue markers). Then it is just a matter of calculating the quartiles.


This leads to some interesting conclusions presuming an exponentially increasing Bitcoin price. More to come...


Intriguing, that's sounds almost too predictable for such a seemingly chaotic system growth ... are you going to write it up and publish?

I'd be interested to read it at least.
8037  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: New, simple online wallet: www.instawallet.org - no signup required on: May 02, 2011, 08:42:42 AM
jav:

Quote
Every Bitcoin address you ever saw on your Instawallet page will always be yours and you can still receive payments there. asdf explained it right: You have one specific Instawallet URL, which is tied to an account in the Bitcoin wallet. The Bitcoin daemon automatically assigns a fresh Bitcoin address to an account once it receives or sends out a transaction. The old ones continue to be associated with that account though, so they will still work.

It's kind of an un-intended side effect of using the account feature right now. I can understand how it can be confusing that the addresses change from time to time and I will probably soon put code in that will just keep the address static. But for now: Don't worry about changing Bitcoin addresses, they are still all tied to your Instawallet URL.

Okay that makes sense. So even though I can no longer see that address it may still be receiving for my Instawallet. Maybe just list on the Instawallet page (on a pull-down button?) every bitcoin address that can receive to that Instawallet account?

Nice work btw.
8038  Economy / Economics / Re: Absolute corruption at Fed. res. revealed for all to see. on: May 02, 2011, 08:30:54 AM
Off topic.

Contribute or delte/move thread please.

You lost me there. How do you mean Contribute? I just put up a link to an exemplary article of why the Fed. Res. centralised model is finished.

The bitcoin decentralised p2p monetary system would doom this kind of societal raping and pillaging to history, imo.

Are you supporting the Fed. Res.?
8039  Economy / Economics / Absolute corruption at Fed. res. revealed for all to see. on: May 02, 2011, 07:57:20 AM
I know this maybe should have gone into Economics but if bitcoin does have only a small part to play in changing this criminal state of affairs, it has done some good. IMO it has a big part to play.

http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/the-real-housewives-of-wall-street-look-whos-cashing-in-on-the-bailout-20110411

Why Isn't Wall Street in Jail?

Most Americans know about that budget. What they don't know is that there is another budget of roughly equal heft, traditionally maintained in complete secrecy. After the financial crash of 2008, it grew to monstrous dimensions, as the government attempted to unfreeze the credit markets by handing out trillions to banks and hedge funds. And thanks to a whole galaxy of obscure, acronym-laden bailout programs, it eventually rivaled the "official" budget in size — a huge roaring river of cash flowing out of the Federal Reserve to destinations neither chosen by the president nor reviewed by Congress, but instead handed out by fiat by unelected Fed officials using a seemingly nonsensical and apparently unknowable methodology.

Now, following an act of Congress that has forced the Fed to open its books from the bailout era, this unofficial budget is for the first time becoming at least partially a matter of public record. Staffers in the Senate and the House, whose queries about Fed spending have been rebuffed for nearly a century, are now poring over 21,000 transactions and discovering a host of outrages and lunacies in the "other" budget. It is as though someone sat down and made a list of every individual on earth who actually did not need emergency financial assistance from the United States government, and then handed them the keys to the public treasure. The Fed sent billions in bailout aid to banks in places like Mexico, Bahrain and Bavaria, billions more to a spate of Japanese car companies, more than $2 trillion in loans each to Citigroup and Morgan Stanley, and billions more to a string of lesser millionaires and billionaires with Cayman Islands addresses. "Our jaws are literally dropping as we're reading this," says Warren Gunnels, an aide to Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont. "Every one of these transactions is outrageous."

Wall Street's Big Win

But if you want to get a true sense of what the "shadow budget" is all about, all you have to do is look closely at the taxpayer money handed over to a single company that goes by a seemingly innocuous name: Waterfall TALF Opportunity. At first glance, Waterfall's haul doesn't seem all that huge — just nine loans totaling some $220 million, made through a Fed bailout program. That doesn't seem like a whole lot, considering that Goldman Sachs alone received roughly $800 billion in loans from the Fed. But upon closer inspection, Waterfall TALF Opportunity boasts a couple of interesting names among its chief investors: Christy Mack and Susan Karches.

8040  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Ponzi scheme? on: May 02, 2011, 07:36:11 AM
Tell your dad that bitcoin is the way of the future!

Well, I would advice him to believe his dad instead of a bunch of lifeless anonymous spending their time on a forum. Seriously, it's very very hard to tell the difference between foolish people and visionary people. We take the risk because we are adult, we have the right to do what we want with our money that we earn. He can't. He's 16 and, statistically, have less experience in life which means he could be fooled easily.

(Some 16 people are obviously smarter than some 50 people but that's not the point here)

16 is old enough to go to war and die in most countries ... don't be so damn patronising to the guy.

If he misses this chance at bitcoin and spends the rest of his life scraping and scrimping to get by are you going to be sending him welfare checks ploum?

You'll be responsible for stifling ambition and vision, how sad is that? (What exempts you from the lifeless anonymous on internet label anyway?)

Listen to your heart kid, do lots of reading and damn the torpedos!

You got this far, figure out why mining is good or bad and go for it .... just between you and me, if your dad can not see the potential in bitcoin he is just about an idiot.
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