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1101  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: January 02, 2019, 09:34:24 AM
I guess in the last few days you made around 3.5K Euro profit (Once you successfully get this balance)? Very good performance I should say. I am also happy to see that you know when to quit. You had some long last few days and seems like it was well paid.

Thanks for the tips and sharing your experience.

BetInAsia told me yesterday they would process the withdrawal today, due to the holiday yesterday, they usually process withdrawals on weekends etc. but I understand 01-01-2019 is a tough date, all banks are closed etc.

I have to say this is very much addicting, I played a few more races, only picked ones with 100 or more to lay.... so instead of withdrawing €5,275 - I got to withdraw €5,472.85 (almost €200 more just from laying these underdogs), this time it's all final and confirmed:



Once I get it in Bitcoin I would let you how much exactly I received. (You need to include a 2% fee for withdrawing within 30 days more than once).
1102  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: January 02, 2019, 09:26:18 AM
Just to let you know today there was a 40-1 winner in a Greyhound race, I am yet to see a 100 winner in a large record that I've already checked, it seems that the odds in Greyhounds on underdogs (which are dogs lol) - they are much more accurate than I thought (not for betting on winners but for laying purposes):

1103  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: January 02, 2019, 09:19:39 AM
What I noticed was that the liquidity on Orbit is 60% higher than at Betfair (I am sure you noticed it too), therefore the guys behind Orbit probably bring their own liquidity, hence the agreement with Betfair to be able to offer such brokerage service. So in short, they probably don't like winners.

Can I ask how did you notice it? Where do you see these numbers exactly? Are you referring to the numbers showing in the "Matched" numbers for each event? This is all from BetFair, not from Orbit, and I doubt Orbit has more liquidity than BetFair which is super huge.

Can you please explain how do you assume all that?
1104  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: January 01, 2019, 08:59:19 AM
My account balance is now €5,275.

That's it, I've decided - no more bets please.

I've asked BetInAsia for a withdrawal and I will keep you updated once they process it.

1105  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: January 01, 2019, 08:04:27 AM
Bet #125:

1106  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: January 01, 2019, 07:52:49 AM
Bet #124:



I am limited with Orbit, have to place a €6 lay bet followed by a €6 lay bet, because of "high exposure", the error message says to contact the agent, which I believe it's very normal, and happened to many others, so I just have to wait for BetInAsia to fix this, they should open their office in about 10 minutes, they work 9am-9pm CET every day.
1107  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: January 01, 2019, 07:35:32 AM
Bet #123:

1108  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: January 01, 2019, 07:28:26 AM
Bet #122:

1109  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: January 01, 2019, 06:57:42 AM
Bet #121:

1110  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: January 01, 2019, 06:37:14 AM
Bet #120:

1111  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: January 01, 2019, 06:24:51 AM
Bet #119:

1112  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: January 01, 2019, 06:15:19 AM
Bet #117:



Bet #118:

1113  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The danger is the addiction, not the odds on: December 31, 2018, 03:04:37 PM
Gambling is very addictive and very dangerous because the addiction takes you away from other things in life.

This is not only a financial risk but also a personal risk, how many families got broken because of gambling? Countless ...

All in all a gambling is a losing proposition, if you truly wish to win - either bet on yourself (i.e. don't gamble), or become a "house" (although I'm personally against it), or use a strategy that gives you some edge which is time consuming but if you feel like you have to and it's your last resort - then by all means at least make an educated bet and not a random one.
1114  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: December 31, 2018, 02:41:33 PM

edit: right now I cannot seem to find the thread I was thinking about, but this is good read https://www.olbg.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=55973


I think I came across this thread previously, and thanks for sharing it - this guy is talking about laying 12-20 ... this is not worth it by all means whatsoever, unless if you pick them from races with 20 horses in them (which is quite rare) ... usually these odds come in a 7-8 horse race, this has no value in the long term because as I explained in my previous post - horses "in the middle" are usually the winners ... it's not a good strategy.

I still think Laying The Underdog is not a bad thing but it must be done carefully as well ... you would barely come across articles or forum threads about laying the underdog, trust me on this, I've researched the Internet and couldn't find many people talking about it.
1115  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: December 31, 2018, 02:35:07 PM
Bet #116:



I couldn't place €18 in one shot because of an error message of "High Exposure", I will wait for BetInAsia to sort this out as well as to hopefully process a withdrawal.

Not looking at any other races anymore for today and will be busy doing other things tonight.

Happy 2019 for everyone!
1116  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: December 31, 2018, 02:21:56 PM
I saw many bettors on other forums doing this and ending up bankrupt.

Any chance to list 2 or 3 threads of this kind please?
1117  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: December 31, 2018, 02:19:59 PM
Good to hear, for a moment I thought you were laying any random high odds Smiley if you distinguish between maiden races and other races, this is the start of a good strategy. I thought if was random because I saw many bettors on other forums doing this and ending up bankrupt. Last year the highest odds I have seen win in Australia was 200/1 on Betfair (some time in August) but of course I have not followed all races. Cannot remember if it was a maiden race to be honest.

There are no guarantees when it comes to gambling, that's why the house wins because the house knows that the only guaranteed outcome from randomness is to take a fee from it, any other option carries a risk with it.

Bookmakers do take risk when a horse or a dog with high odds wins the race, in the media you see they say "the bookmakers cheer" but in fact they only cheer when the low odds unpredictable horse/dog wins, which is why extreme bets (favorite or worst underdogs) are not the ones the bookies want to win, because then they would have to pay more (i.e. there would be more customers noticing the lowest and highest possible odds, the ones in the middle are usually the winners because most people don't bet on them - hence the term "Lay The Favorite" was created but not apply it to "Lay The Underdog" as well?)

There is a race in Cannington near Perth in 15 minutes or so - the underdog there looks like a good choice, but then you have to add the market movement and see how BetFair is reacting to it - with these tools it might be easier to make the "right" choice - but I am absolutely on a quitting mode now, BetInAsia told me they don't work until tomorrow, so I have to wait for tomorrow for them to process a withdrawal so long as nothing stupid is being done neither (!!), let's wait and see.
1118  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: December 31, 2018, 01:56:25 PM
Bet #115:

1119  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: December 31, 2018, 01:48:52 PM
Bet #114:



I've added a live bet against it in live, because he was the 1st horse to lead the race, I love to lay these longshot horses because I've seen this countless times in the UK where a 80-100 horse leads the race until 1000-1500 meters to go and then drifting all the way back ....

I got it for odds of 60 but unfortunately couldn't do the full balance - I got an error "You have reached your limit exposure", so would have to wait for BetInAsia to help with this, not that I'm bothered with this.
1120  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Documenting my Horse Racing Bets - Started: 26-DEC-2018 on: December 31, 2018, 01:40:29 PM

I generally never bet on dogs/horses because I just have no idea about how it works, but it is interesting how much money gets tossed around. Pretty mature decision for you to withdraw the lot, a lot of people don't know when to stop. Hope it ends well for you and congrats again on the profits Smiley

Thanks, I am waiting for the withdrawal to be processed so as long as it's not processed yet I can't count my chickens yet.
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