dont download. possible virus
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other war of words are bitcoins own invented words.
wallet.. does it mean the client or just the keybackup file wallet.. but its not a leather thing in your pocket that holds bank notes bitcoin.. does it mean the node network, the protocol code rules or the currency unit bitcoin.. but its not a coin. its a unit of measure, infact its a ledger entry of value.
i think things need to change. EG measure the currency in satoshi's and bits(100sat) that way the currency vs protocol are distinguishable. its inevitable we will at some point be measuring value in bits and sats so maybe time to get used to it now to help avoid confusing the currency with the technology
a wallet storing the private keys. should we rename it as a keyring (a thing you store your keys on)
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paypal have however got something happening (beta testing) using their braintree subsidiary.. imagine it like paypal-bitpay hybrid where paypal customers can buy things from your ebay site by being diverted to braintree to take the payment in bitcoin https://www.braintreepayments.com/payment-methods/accept-bitcoinbut as i said. its in beta test and not directly available as a built in paypal/ebay feature
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now for those that just want a number.. to the OP's question population= 7bill tx per month=42(based on real fiat use stats per month as a bases for comparison)
7bill x 42tx=294000000000tx a month 294000000000tx/28/24/6= 72916666.66666667tx/block(10min) = 121,528tx/s (14,468tx/s based on average bitcoin use stats)
now lets clarify
we are not going to have bitcoin as a one world currency - so no doomsday speaches please. bitcoin being a one world currency is worse than 200 fiats combined.
we are not going to have 7billion permenent users tomorrow - so no doomsday speaches please. bitcoin will gain more users but it wont be 7billion tomorrow. bitcoin can grow naturally at a pace that can cope and it certainly wont be 7billion in the next couple decades.
please chillout and refrain from doomsday speaches of short term exaggerations
now that is said. real world stats show the average fiat citizen uses fiat 42 times a month. at the moment bitcoin users only use bitcoin 5 times a month. which while looking at the amount of merchants accepting bitcoin (300k) is small and manageable.
anyone shouting that we need to lock peoples funds into LN hubs requiring hub managers to sign off on transactions out of fear of 7billion people piling into bitcoin.. seriously needs to wake up. we dont need to turn bitcoin into bank2.0 via LN.. we do however need to realise that now that core have deemed 4mb 'safe' we should get core to sort out dynamic blocks to allow for real growth of the expected 7tx/s to 28tx/s which will still be under cores recent backtrack(4mb good) in the form of 4mb base or in the form of 2mb base 4mb weight. (14tx/s) thus they also get their segwit feature they love so much.
as for that 28tx/s this would allow the current 2mill userbase to do 20tx a month instead of 5tx or the current 2mill userbase to grow to 8mill userbase, still doing 5tx a month.
then in a few years(before 2020) look at the 'state of the network' to use consensus to grow the block buffer sizes again to allow more potential growth. and slowly and naturally grow at a pace that can cope.
oh and if you are going to shout doomsdays of datacentres and excess costs.. please refrain from spewing out those delusions. bitcoin can happy run on a raspberry pi with a data store the size of a fingernail. technology of normal cheap desktop computers is superier to that so not an issue. even telecommunication companies 5 year plan has shown to not be an issue for rational onchain growth.
now then.. there are 4032 bitcoin blocks a month. average tx=400byte 294000000000tx = 117600000000000bytes a month 117600000000000byte/4032 blocks= 29,166,666,667bytes = 29,166mb blocks = 29.166gb blocks(3.5gb blocks based on average bitcoin use stats)
most will think 29gb(3.5gb) blocks is crazy. but be realistic. no one in reality will see 7billion people jump into bitcoin tomorrow. but here is the thing...
only 20 years ago if you told people that were on dialup when a song(3mb) took 10 minutes to download, that in a game running in HD while livestreaming it to twitch would require 1megabyte a second.. they would shout dont bother making the game online. it would fail.
if you told people that had a max hard drive of 4gb that a game would require 80gb, they would shout dont bother making the game. it will fail.
yep thats right 20 years ago 4gb hard drives were the max available at consumer level.. thats currently 1000x less than todays consumer level yep thats right 20 years ago 56k internet was the max available at consumer level.. thats 100x less than todays consumer level
so imagine it like this.. 29gb(3.5gb) in 20 years will have the same 'feel' as what we envision as 29mb(3.5mb) today. we will think its childsplay and not an issue.
but as i said even in 20 years we wont have 7billion bitcoiners. and those that are using bitcoin wont be using it 42x a month like they do with fiat. so that 29gb(3.5gb) block is just a doomsday number of worsecase scenario but has no place in reality and should not be part of any debate today or anytime soon.
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Let's not kid ourselves, currently bitcoin IS centralized. And that because it's proof of work algorithm favorises centralisation, because of the asics. They build them, use them, and sell them for ridiculous prices, and if you buy them and after one year you get your money back, from that point on the asic won't be profitable anymore, getting oudated and you won't make any more profit. If something bad happens in china and for any reason the plug get's pulled, bitcoin is killed. Problem is, it can't be forked because the oligarchy that control it's hashrate won't agree to it, they'd kill it along with their mining profit if somehow bitcoin went POS, best algorithm out there.
the bit in red is wrong. firstly the pools most are racist about have already mitigated the risk of being "pulled". they operate multiple stratums in other countries. the asic farms are not all in china. the managers of the pools are not in china. yes they may speak chinese. but dont let that fool you PoS is not the best algo out there.. its simply the fantasy of holders getting paid for doing no work.. but the reality that only the rich will get richer. plus PoS is not as secure as PoW
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I didn't suggest not paying taxes on bitcoin transactions, and I didn't say that a revolution would be a happy event. You event admitted yourself - as many people do - that our government can't possibly adopt bitcoin because they cannot control it. Well what happens if america starts using bitcoin? It means fiat crashes. When I say "use bitcoin" I don't mean use bitcoin as we do today. I mean mass adoption. Something that could one day happen. So in that world where there is mass adoption and people simply don't see the need for fiat, what will happen? The government can't adopt bitcoin, so they fight it. This is when said financial revolution comes into play. Of course it's 100% speculation, but that doesn't mean we can't talk about it.
what i think would be more beneficial for bitcoin.. and helpful to the world economy. stop measuring bitcoin in dollars. imagine bitcoin being measured in the 'cost of living index' thus making the bitcoin<->goods/services more direct where fiat becomes the side issue sat in the corner where people think of it as an afterthought just to calculate taxes once a year
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I'm sure that if 99% of america - or even a far smaller number than that - used bitcoin, there would be no fiat as we know it today to convert to. I guess the only question is what do you mean by "use"? If people start acknowledging bitcoin and adopting it (people, retailers, grocery stores, corporations, etc) and start realizing that there is no need for fiat, the government has to try to kill it. People would finally realize that they are the ones with all of the power, and not the government. The government gets its power to govern from the people that it governs. If people start waking up to this idea, it could cause a revolution. That's how I see it at least.
if you think the revolution will be a happy event. you are fooled. firstly the IRS will request your income amount. even if you list that you only have assets(bitcoin) they will still ask for FIAT payment of tax on those assets. if you do not comply by suggesting you dont want to touch fiat. then expect a court order with excessive penalties added on. if you still dont comply expect a knock at the door from the local sherriffs office to sieze goods and arrest you for tax fraud and unpaid fines. end result is people end up paying tax or using the governments hyper ledger to avoid all that hassle. but ofcourse they wont know its hyperledger, they will just see it as normal bank/government money that is taxed and inflated.
but here is something really interesting.(a scenario) you know the xx trillion dollar national debt. most of those finance agreements are contracted to repay in dollars. so when a government moves over to its 100% controlled hyperledger.. the old dollar can happily be hyper inflated to such a point that 10 trillion dollars only amounts to a slice of bread. thus literally wiping the slate clean. citizens wont care about the dollar hyper inflation as their funds would be measured in hyperledger coin value not dollars. but the citizens own credit agreements /mortgages will have the terms re-wrote before that happens so dont expect citizens to gain from a switch. and dont expect government to turn to bitcoin.. as i said they cannot control bitcoin so the future will be minimum wage laws, income tax, fines which will be payable in hyperledger coin. requiring converting bitcoin to hyperledger and most citizens ending up still required to pay hyperledger coin(fiat2.0) to stay within the law.
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Bitcoin will not be used, because patient records are confidential. They said that they would be developing a blockchain-based technology for this, so you would probably see another private blockchain-based technology. Bitcoin will be great for information that can be shared in public. Agreed, this is not Bitcoin, but it shows what Blockchain technology enabled. i think this forum needs a subcategory next to altcoins where the category is named hyperledger. so we can throw all these topics about government/banker blockchain stuff in there.. as its all to do with hyperledger
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governments have laws inplace. 1. income tax 2. minimum wage 3. fines
even if 99% of america used another currency (whether it be bitcoin, euro, pound, hyperledger) the people will still need to convert to fiat to remain within the law. to pay taxes, fines etc.
at the moment although bitcoin is being thrown around as the saviour of human rights and the next best thing since sliced bread. america will stick to having laws to protect THEIR 'PRODUCT'. AKA dollar.
they wont introduce bitcoin into being legal tender. they wont introduce the euro, brics or other national currency into being legal tender.
because they cannot 100% control it. however you will see the government join the IMF to have something america can control. which will be a sidechain of hyperledger. though average citizens wont notice the difference when using payment methods as the hyperledger sidechain will be hidden in the background.
forget trying to convince governments to accept bitcoin. bitcoin should remain free from government control. otherwise it becomes commercialised and simply another fiat currency the banks can boom and bust..
leave bitcoin as the free and open choice for people that want an alternative to fiat.
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I just asked Paypal, do they have any plans for cryptocurrencies and they said, What do you think, What are your suggestions to help them in adapting cryptocurrency? Best Dudeperfect 'passing the message on' is always their polite footnote message to end the conversation. its not something special or a hint that they are seeking advice.. its just standard customer service rep stuff to say to most conversations about any matter paypal have actually already looked deep into bitcoin a couple years ago. the issues they came up against: 1. blockchain taint / risk of AML did not fit their regulatory policy they had to adhere to when dealing with customers/regulators 2. the purchasing/sell of bitcoin in and out of fiat is still a questionable area. exchanges are not fully regulated and dont have enough liquidity to match paypals needs 3. customer demand is less than 1% wanting/needing bitcoin so its not a top priority for them. a couple years back people propositioned the community to spam paypal with emails requesting them to accept it. although doing so would raise the third point. it still wont solve the first and second point. at this moment coinbase have negotiated with paypal to allow coinbase to withdraw fiat into customers paypal account https://blog.coinbase.com/coinbase-adds-support-for-paypal-and-credit-cards-21968661d508#.du9u3thlrbut not the other way round due to the 'chargeback' scammer risk but as for paypay offering bitcoin on paypals site or paypal selling bitcoin or paypal guaranteeing no chargeback risk on deposits into exchanges.. i dont see that happening anytime soon.. paypal has too much red tape strangling it paypal have however got something happening (beta testing) using their braintree subsidiary.. imagine it like paypal-bitpay hybrid where paypal customers can buy things from your ebay site by being diverted to braintree to take the payment in bitcoin https://www.braintreepayments.com/payment-methods/accept-bitcoinbut as i said. its in beta test and not directly available as a built in paypal/ebay feature
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current rigs (s9 13t/hash) works out as $450 at america's 10cent/kwatt for 6 months.. so your 12cent/kw would cost you $540 for 6 months.
however this is not the problem with miners today. the ASIC cost is. at todays $2100 pricetag plus $120 for a PSU that is going to be the major lump you have to recoup.
so knowing its going to be an initial outlay of $2760,
also current maths of todays estimated mining income and considering the fortnightly drop income due to difficulty adjustments. you will expect to get ~1.2btc after 6 months.
no one would in their right mind pay $2760 for 1.2btc.. you would be far better off just buying 2.5btc now and hoarding it.
the reason that people do mine is because they get the rigs 'at cost' (estimated at under $400) mostly though its the asic manufacturers that are the ones in profit to sustain mining.
this is simply because for every rig they sell at retail($2100) they can make upto 5 rigs. what they (if smart) would do is make 3 rigs. give 1 rig to the customer. put 2 rigs online and have $600 spare to go towards paying the electric, meaning thanks to their customers, asic manufacturers get 2 rigs for free and cash to cover electric for free. thus any bitcoin they get, is 100% profit
unless you can get a rig dirty cheap, at lets say a quarter of the retail price forget it. but thats my evaluation based on bitcoin mining
others will suggest altcoin mining.. but thats hit and miss based on timing of mining the right coin at the right time and selling it at the right time of the pump.. before you hit the dump
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lol more fake rhetoric trying to point fingers at the chinese.. all to make sure people are not looking in the direction of the devs. come on. stop the racist rhetoric of grouping people together simply because of skin colour.
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How do you even know satoshi was only one person? as far as I can remember, satoshi used to, and tor's ips are shared with the rest of the users and constantly change, and just on this forum alone a ton of people use tor, so it's impossible to prove that satoshi was only person. Even if he was the only person posting, he may have had other people working for him too.
But ultimately we can't prove nothing, it may have been a single genius too. It's cooler to think not gonna lie.
analysts have looked at his posts and language use, checked the times he posts. those that interacted with satoshi on cypherpunks, sourceforge this forum and emails have all pointed to one person and not a group. though bitcoin is a patchwork of many idea's of many people and many devs worked on it. the entity behind the pseudonym satoshi is just one person
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thwarted ? let me guess the drugs you sniff regularly, which originate from the soldiers in the middle east's war, grabbing all of them poppy(opium plant) farms, didnt kill you via an overdose. so you, while hallucinating think that makes it is a victory against the governments that are the real supplier of drugs..
ok its time you went to rehab
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It is then when we are going to need a decentralized Bitcoin (that is, a blocksize small enough to keep the nodes decentralized so governments don't easily intercept datacenters hosting the nodes and kill it by pulling the switches). Of course, you'll have franky1 here posting all day how raising the blocksize is a good idea (and it is, but ALWAYS it must be a rather conservative increase, otherwise it's worse than relying on a secondary layer, and relying on a secondary layer is the best thing we got yet).
funny thing is that ive always said 2mb is fine.. the community said its fine its the core fanboys that dream up doomsdays of 80gb tomorrow.. those wanting onchain scaling have LAST YEAR compromised to 2mb knowing that 8mb is safe, but 2mb is super safe to shut up the core doomsdayers.. yet all year core fanboys have been talking about hundreds of megabyte blocks and terrabytes of yearly growth... yet that has never been part of any bip or viable option for any real growth.. so wake up and stop following the old script. and learn what real onchain growth proposals have actually always been. and stop crying the doomsday scripts of yesteryear the real funny part is how the core fanboys are throwing around the "conservative" buzzword. you guys have no clue of the meaning of the word, and the over use of the word by the same group has become very apparent and recognised sounds like a script when all of a sudden out of nowhere every core fanboy tries to slide in the word "conservative". its like one of them sales games, you get commission for mentioning a buzzword in a sales pitch.. but it starts to become obvious by the over use of the word where in context, core are spouting out the opposite of natural safe growth you do realise that pruned nodes, no witness nodes and LN nodes are going to kill off/dilute down the full node countbecause it wont increase the node count, it will tempt those who are full nodes to downsize.. far faster than natural onchain growth would
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I will go out myself from this economy because you could never have the chance to argue, express your personal opinion or talk about anything with your friends in the danger to have a consequence. I will simply change my job to become a farmer and grow my own food and exchange my service with a community with the same mindset.
yep, we are already seeing some governments proposing to allow the tax office to access peoples bank accounts and just take what the tax office thinks people owe without question. the UK for instance is implementing "Direct Recovery of Debts (DRD)" where HMRC literally takes the money from your account. i feel this will be expanded where this will happen for many things like: parking tickets, court orders, local service charges, etc. where rather than having bailiffs/debt collectors knocking at your door to request you pay up (costing government money in wages) they will just press a button and take the funds from your account.
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You seem to be in India and you are upset with the cash being withdrawn and I won't say you are wrong to be worried about cashless risks, there is a major risk, cause they are not secured, while Bitcoin is decentralised and secured, it can't be controlled by any one or manipulated by any one. It's the best bet buy it and live a happy go life
bitcoin ONCHAIN transactions are as you say.but what if i told you the devs want to push people into multisigs requiring a hub manager to 'authorise' your purchase by signing off on your transactions..... where your funds are locked in a 50/50 control address where you are penalised for wanting to get out early or not agreeing to a variable fee by devs pushing for offchain LN as the ultimate solution rather than natural onchain progressive scaling (dont rebuttle with sudden large jumps in small timeframe doomsday, as thats already been proven wrong) we are seeing bitcoin become less permissionless and less uncontrolled
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The technology is not only pushing us towards being cashless but also towards device less and I would further quote couple of technologies which are going to change the way of our payment system. 1) First one is Amazon Go,New kind of store featuring the world’s most advanced shopping technology. 2) Aadhar Enabled Payment SystemAadhar Enabled PaymentThis will boost this technology even in rural area and since cash crisis, more and more people are preferring digital payments. though i like the idea of amazon go downsides. 1. amazon go.. someone steals your phone=shopping spree, champagne and caviar, mmm 2. Aadhar EPS.. if your a manual worker where your fingers get chapped(dry brittle skin) or a papercut, you starve point 1 also applies to hardware wallets and wristbands. so although easier to use as a wristband/smartwatch rather than a phone or debit card. i feel its only a 'training' device that UK barclays/disney have started doing and eventually they will probably suggest implants as an even more convenient method that you will never lose same goes for point 2. an implant wont get affected by manual labour or papercuts scrubbing away the top layer of skin to distort fingerprint scanners. sidenote. amazon go's concept is not new. and i prefer this IBM advert from 10 years ago to amazon go's advert today. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GclCUPr2CV8
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be warned my maths is not an expectation or prediction so do your own calculations and work out how much loss per difficulty jump you expect and form your own numbersbased on lets say antpools 500petahash getting 70 blocks in the last 48 hours(875btc) which is estimated at 6125btc a fortnight for 500peta you can then break down that to work out how the maths for a fortnight for just 13thash would result fortnight income divide 500peta down to 1thash then multiply by 13 thash (6120/500000) *13 =0.15925 so for the first fortnight, for 13thash would be 0.15925 then expect approximately ~9% LOSS every fortnight due to difficulty jumps and competitor hashpower increases toothe 9% i used is just an example(7%diff chang 2% hashrate change). you should look at the history of difficulty change amounts and then also factor in hashrate increase amounts to get your own fortnightly loss number 0.15925000 0.14491750 0.13187493 0.12000618 0.10920563 0.09937712 0.09043318 0.08229419 0.07488772 0.06814782 0.06201452 0.05643321 0.05135422 this is a estimate of each fortnightly income for 6months which totals: 1.25019621 do not go by some of the crappy online income calculators, which predict value now and simply multiply it by X weeks. ensure you account for difficulty changes and competitor hashpower. EG if a calculator says you will get say 0.01 a day and then says you will get 3.65 a year. then it is wrong because all it has done was calculate a day then multiplied by 365 be warned my maths is not an expectation or prediction so do your own calculations and work out how much loss per difficulty jump you expect and form your own numbers
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too far fetched.
the thing is the cypherpunks have been trying to solve the double spend issue for decades.
blockchain was not new to 2008-2009 or satoshi. proof of work was not new to 2008-2009 or satoshi ecdsa keypairs was not new to 2008-2009 or satoshi.
all together there are atleast 10 things that make bitcoin what it is.. all of them are not new to 2008-2009 or satoshi
what satoshi done, was be the person who was the genius that patchworked all the things together in a way that works beautifully.
and no before you try, although adamback 'invented' proof of work in 1997.. does not make adamback satoshi either
satoshi did work with others and bounce idea's off other people. satoshi did also take other peoples idea's this is no secret.
but satoshi was only one person. only one person used his pseudonym
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