it is not about the ledger itself being public, it is instead about what is being written in the ledger and what cryptography algorithms are being used in constructing it. in bitcoin, what you said is true but in a privacy oriented cryptocurrency like monero for example that also has a "public ledger" it is less true.

if one side is $8k then the other side of the possibilities is $11k not $10k. we are seeing fluctuations between $9k and $10k already so it anything were about to change that can go both ways not just one. also a couple of days ago when the trend was up nobody was speaking of $11k which is funny because it was exactly the trend we are seeing today but in the opposite direction and here we are talking about $8k...

we can not make that conclusion because we don't have enough evidence to support that.

the only thing that has happened over the past 11 years is that this year after all this time we had a very gigantic drop in stock market and a lot of other markets then bitcoin dropped too.

looking at today's price i don't see any different trend than the past 2 months starting from April. there is ups and downs with an overall rise and right now we are stuck in this price level. we had the rise for the first 10 days of June where price reached $9999 till June 10-11 and then it reversed down and price reached $9000 today. then it will reverse back up and reach $9999 again .... this will go on until a breakout happens and we reach $12k.

now if another market coincidentally dropped while bitcoin was doing its own thing you can't call that "bitcoin following that market"!

nah, 144 bits is still too huge to write any kind of brute force for it. even if it is reduced to a small size with your fifth hint or some other "clever" moves like having multiple points side by side for different parts of the "face".

i don't see anything changing here! not to mention that we are already using "digital" currencies. in our day to day purchases we barely ever use physical cash anymore. it is all a "digital currency" created and controlled by "banks". changing the current digital form from one centralized database version to another centralized database (blockchain) will NOT change a damn thing. and it still is going to be another form of a bank account.

once again bitcoin price is not making any move outside of a fixed range (between $9k and $10k) and low quality websites like the one that OP owns are running out of "news" to write about so they have to make stuff up or quote random idiots on the internet who make guesses about bitcoin price.
not a single one of them have any vavlue nor are predictions.

how did you download these files? i've tried a couple of times using my cloud downloader but each time it failed near the end. i suspected the file might have been removed or changed since it took nearly a day to download.

for some reason blockchair.com assigns these weird format addresses to any outscript that they see. this includes OP_RETURN outputs too which can be found in almost all of the coinbase transactions.
the last one in your list for example is a simple P2PKH script that starts with a garbage being pushed to the stack followed by an OP_DROP which makes the pushto virtually not-exist.
https://blockchair.com/bitcoin/transaction/48e7694b3de213e2ab36cfcfaaa3013a22e1a5dc28168772cb01be99f91a12fa

actually bitcoin price can be considered stable these days and a stable bitcoin has always meant shitcoin pumping in the past. and if we take a look at the altcoin market we can clearly see that they are getting pumped and dumped.

that is because you are looking at the top 10 shitcoins instead of looking at all of them. in altcoin market there is no different between a coin that is at the top of the list in coinmarketcap or at the bottom of it in the eyes of an altcoin pumper. they pump all and 90% of the time they are focusing on smaller coins that are in low tier groups because they can generate a lot more profit than the top 10 shitcoins.

first of all only someone who is not right in the head would send millions of dollars worth of bitcoin to an exchange in one transaction! that is just ultra stupid specially when the exchange is a shitty one that has gotten hacked recently.
secondly i have never seen any exchange that directly moves the coins you deposit to their cold storage. they always mix the coins with a ton of other inputs and make payments from them and that is to the point where it becomes impossible to even track which coins went where...

there has never been any reliable way of knowing whether it is being sent to an exchange or not to an exchange. and this has not changed. unless the owner(s) of those coins or the destination(s) come out and publicly tells us what they did we will never know.

and these very large coin movements are moderately common in bitcoin. specially when fees go down because big businesses consolidate a lot of their coins and move funds between wallets, make big payments,... during these times.

the only difference between ICO and IEO is that they change the middle letter from C to E and then instead of paying the bounty hunters on bitcointalk to advertise their scam they are paying a big exchange a lot more money to advertise their scam. in the end they are both the same exact thing, a completely useless token that is used to raise funds for someone (the creator) to become rich in a blinking of an eye and the rest of the gamblers investors to lose their money.

i don't think definition of investopedia which is for stocks work in altcoin market. the altcoins pump and dumps don't need recommendation or even hyping people up to buy the shitcoin, although that is sometimes the strategy they use.
instead it works based on the small size of the altcoin market. as a matter of fact if you check the market you can see the smaller the shitcoin the easier it is to pump it and those pumps are always the biggest and fastest.
all the pumper has to do is to start buying that shitcoin with a little bit of money and do some other stuff (like placing buy walls, ... that i don't want to get into here) to encourage other day traders to come join that pump. and since many are looking for these pumps on a daily basis to make profit, they do join and the pump keeps snowballing until the dump starts.

it surprises me that people are still using these services ... happily!
it is not like SegWit were introduced a couple of weeks ago. no it has been 3 years already. that is a LONG time and at this point any service that still hasn't implemented SegWit is intentionally not doing it and it is our duty to find out WHY and stop using such services.

i agree but i am afraid that it may not be enough. in fact if LN gets popular we may even end up seeing a bigger number of on-chain transaction.

that would be the death of bitcoin in my opinion, because that is direct and complete centralization.

i don't think LN is going to be ready for the upcoming bull run because that is already starting while LN is far from being ready. maybe near the end by the time we are seeing the next bubble, we can see LN ready too.

he is not entirely wrong. i'd argue that points 1 and 4/5 are correct.
i personally wouldn't pay a satoshi for something that can be made easily on my own, which is a cold storage. but i still recommend hardware wallet for regular users who don't want to spend time learning how to reach security.

as for security of hardware wallets, they too can be hacked. there are exploits that are found in these tools every now and then that can lead to losses one way or another. recently another critical but was found in all of them. so they do need to be updated regularly and the user must always keep an ear to the ground to find out about these bugs.

it is naive thinking that hardware wallets are 100% secure and immune to all kinds of attacks.

ps. that still doesn't justify using a mobile wallet instead of a hardware wallet or a cold storage though.

there is absolutely no reason to do something like that in real world. you will never find any design that needs the same set of private keys in 2 exact places at the same time.
the real world applications are either private keys (which is the seed) in one place, usually offline; and the public keys (the extended pubkey) in another place as a watch only wallet.
or in some complicated scenarios like a company with different layers, an exchange,... you may see extended "child" private keys but no the master key itself. and even the children are still in one place not multiple.

that is an odd thing to say. i hope you know that all those who are selling a wallet file are trying to scam others, without exception.

why don't you download any wallet and run it for the first time so that it creates a wallet file for you?

well you have been screaming $3.1k price for a long time now and each time price only keeps going up. at this point it is starting to look like you have got a fetish for that arbitrary number because none of the things you have said so far in your numerous topics made any sense.
your view of the market, the whales and manipulation are extremely exaggerated at best.

right now the market is in the hands of day traders and price will neither move up nor down. any whale that goes against this sideways action will only lose money just like many who have already lost their money expecting weird things out of the price.

how would that even work?!

even if Coinbase sells user activity to a big evil bank, that imaginary evil still has the "history" not the future and you can't trade against the history. not to mention that the "history" is already publicly available through charts and the trade history the exchange reveals.

additionally bitcoin market may be small but it is not that small so that one "big customer" becomes that important to follow...
to make it even worse, Coinbase doesn't share that much of the total market volume (i think it is about 6% of total volume) to be effective.

when you send some amount of a cryptocurrency to an exchange it is on-chain until it reaches the exchange and that is the part that takes a lot of time specially for altcoins since all exchanges are worried about double spend attempts since it has happened in the past many times with many altcoins. so they have to require a large number of confirmation. for example i remember a couple of years ago the altcoin exchanges were asking for 500,000 confirmation on some altcoins which could take a couple of days before they credited their accounts.
that is the only way OP's post makes any sense. keep in mind that some traders don't keep their coins on exchanges so when there is an altcoin dump for instance they have to first deposit, wait for confirmation then dump.

even in day one nobody would have created the private key on your behalf and then send you the address in an email! you should have made the key yourself and received the payment there.
from what you say about the hard disk and the money you paid for the recovery and the disk it sounds to me that you might have actually been scammed into buying a fake wallet or disk thinking there is bitcoin on it!