and yet you insist on making a "prediction"!

by your definition everything else in the world that mankind has ever invested in is a ponzi scheme.

discussing the rate of exchange that bitcoin has against fiat is not always obsession with price and it is not a bad thing.

newsflash: there are always some idiots who are trying to make money from anything that can make them money. that includes idiots on youtube and all those who created those websites. all of it is irrelevant to bitcoin and your title so far.

and yet i never saw why you made this topic and why you think price may never reach its ATH! it seems like you are the one who is obsessed with price specially when looking at your post history.

funny but no. there are people who are definitely buying small amounts of bitcoin on short intervals but those people usually do it through a service like Coinbase and use it also as a place to store their coins so there is no on-chain transactions from them until the day they accumulate enough and also realize how bad it is to store your bitcoin with a custodial wallet and withdraw it one time to their safer desktop or similar wallets where they control the keys.

the rise in number of transactions (which is a small one by the way) as others mentioned is due to the small price rise.

but do we really need to be aware of all changes and keep track of them?
most regular users won't even know about most changes ever. for example they may not even know they are using PSBT, the wallet does that all for them.
as a developer it may be needed but keeping track of changes isn't that hard specially if it is a popular project and has many contributors.

possibly because handling 100 private keys securely is 10000 times harder than handling 1 key securely. and from the looks of it the address seems to be using multiple keys (multi-sig) if i am not mistaken so in a way it may look like one address but it is not really one key.

bitcoin offers privacy and that means you don't have to sign up with anyone or anywhere or give up your identity or fill out KYC to use it. it is free of all that.
now if you choose to go to some centralized place and they ask you for your KYC to use their services you can't blame that on bitcoin!

and you seem to be here to talk about monero despite what your title says. well since you mention it you also give KYC while you sign up on exchanges to trade monero

it is just adoption that has been growing over the years. bitcoin is still very new and majority of the world don't know about it and only about one or two percentage of the world population own bitcoin. that adoption with the fact that bitcoin supply is capped means the price grows each time we see a surge in adoption.

well i said there is no point because it has been discussed a million times under different disguises such as collision, creating the same wallet as someone else, finding the same private key twice,... otherwise if you like we can repeat it all over again!

there is a big difference between "guessing" the private key and "hacking" the wallet of some centralized service. the later is happening too often and even though it affects the price but in the end nobody cares about it. there has been lots of cases and many of them huge.

the former on the other hand is simply impossible and it is worth nothing discussing about it. if that happened it would be the end of bitcoin, it won't matter what the price was before or how much balance that address had! but the difference is that long before "guessing" becomes a possibility we will have had switched algorithms.

actually it was a little different. the announcement about the rapid spread came a little before the drops and in fact things got bad when the cases started piling up in US and they couldn't hide it anymore. then the global markets started dumping and then bitcoin dropped.

the recovery that bitcoin had was not slow either. after reaching $3800 the recovery started and in less than a week we were back in $7000+ (84% rise) and in 16 days price reached $9k+ which it still remains.
in fact this is why i consider the situation with bitcoin to be pure manipulation rather than a drop because of COVID-19.

this part sounds very interesting to me but also the OS part makes it hard to verify it and i think such project is going to be a huge one. it would also be outside of the range of my knowledge.

i have found that only certain types of projects attract bitcoiners, for good or bad. for example anything that remotely relates to trading and making profit will get a lot of attention.
security related stuff don't seem to get that many contributions though. specially the new ones.

you are basically asking the same question as "what will happen when the block reward reaches 0 satoshis" since the nature of it is the same. as long as there is reward to be gained from mining, the miners will continue mining bitcoin. that reward is the block subsidy for now and it will be mostly fees in a century from now! and when there are miners mining, they can "share the work" by joining a pool.

actually 2016 was mostly different and a lot more complicated than you said.
the rise started 2 months before halving on May 25 and continued rising from $450 to $770 for about a little more than a month. then we saw a big drop on June 18 and by July 7 that halving occurred price had already come down and stabilized at ~650.

if we didn't have the Covid drop then the price movement would have been the same thing and price would have been $15k.

true but i seriously doubt they got that much money out of the scam. i said this in the other topic too, the amount placed in those addresses is like the beggars who put the first dollar in their bowl to make people feel safe giving up their money...

i honestly don't see how this could even remotely relate to bitcoin price. scams like this happen all the time (maybe on a smaller scale but still) and they have always only affected newbies, the newbies who don't even have that much bitcoin to begin with. and price is not determined on twitter!

that balance doesn't prove anything.
it is like the beggars or the street performers who put in the first dollar to get the ball rolling and make it look like they are being paid so others also feel safe paying them.

it is always interesting to read this type of analysis of the future of bitcoin price but i still don't think we have any way of accurately predicting what the price is going to be.

take 2016 for example which is very similar to today. by that time nobody could predict $20k to be the ATH even though many throw around numbers and possibly some by pure chance guessed it but nobody predicted it with any solid reasons.

things change, speeds rise and drop. we may see a much bigger adoption as the rise begins and we could see a much bigger rise compared to 2017 which could at least take the price to $250k.

inflation due to money printing doesn't have to show itself right away.

there is no addresses defined for P2PK scripts. and as for their security it is pretty much the same as everything else and if ECDSA were to be broken one day, nothing would be safe anymore.

the size is too small to be considered an advantage for sender (2 bytes).
and receiver ends up paying higher fee because there is an additional push of the redeem script which takes up more space.

it is a big deal for them because they have no way of verifying the transactions so if anybody spends anybody else's SegWit transactions they will not be able to verify which one is correct.

there is a difference between being cautious and paranoid.
so far there has been millions of bitcoin keys created and trillions of dollars worth of bitcoin have been transferred around and to this day there has not been a single case of bad RNG coming from the good wallets like bitcoin core or electrum. the cases were from new, shady or weak codes or services such as blockchain.info, javascript base websites and wallets,...
that is why people aren't really looking for alternatives, specially when that alternative could take an hour of their time and still not be safe.

bitcoin.com is exactly a scam by all intents and purposes. for example if you go to an Apple store and pay for an iPhone but they give you a Chinese garbage, that is called being scammed.
when you go to bitcoin.com they tell you that you are buying "bitcoin" but they sell you a garbage called bcash. and that is similarly a scam.

as for redirecting to bitcoin.org that doesn't solve anything. what happens when bitcoin.org turns bad too? that is the problem with centralization that you can't fix it by more centralization.

the more people use mixing options to mix their bitcoins the harder it is going to get for these centralized services to block deposits and cause any trouble for their users because eventually a large portion of their users could have mixed coins and any limitation could cost them a lot of revenue.
right now they can put up the restrictions because of low number of users and the stronger government pressure.

why?!
bitcoin is not some centralized coin or a centralized company to have an owner (aka Satoshi) who is responsible for buying up domain names and protecting them.

in fact i say it is a good thing that bitcoin.com is run by a scammer and is scamming people. newcomes learn that in this decentralized world there are always scammers lurking around wanting to empty their pockets while putting on sheeps clothing.