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1121  Economy / Speculation / Re: To all your TA experts out there... on: May 09, 2013, 10:49:53 PM
TA isn't good alone, you need to pay attention to fundamentals, which for BTC is the news as there are no other fundamentals to go by.

Smartest thing said here all week.
1122  Economy / Speculation / Re: To all your TA experts out there... on: May 09, 2013, 10:23:53 PM
No, I don't need a picture, if others do they can post one.

I just want to know if it is going up or not.

Taking financial advice from strangers on the internet is a sure way to go broke; do your own analysis and dont expect others to do the work for you.  If you must know other peoples opinions, read one or all of the many analysis threads on this subforum.

Funny, there is no shortage of people here willing to give advice.

I'm not buying or selling any bitcoins at all this week. I'm a buy and hold investor.

I think TA is BS actually, I just was asking to see what people would say. The market has been pretty boring this week.
1123  Economy / Speculation / Re: To all your TA experts out there... on: May 09, 2013, 09:17:57 PM
So you are wasting our time instead?

No, I don't need a picture, if others do they can post one.

I just want to know if it is going up or not.
1124  Economy / Speculation / To all your TA experts out there... on: May 09, 2013, 08:45:53 PM
Looks like a triangle/wedge thing with the price the past week, right?

Doesn't that mean the price is supposed to start soaring up soon?

I'm not going to waste my time editing a chart with MS Paint lines drawn over it. It's obvious to see.
1125  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Mining after 21 million (What will block fee's be worth??) on: May 09, 2013, 04:42:37 PM
That's well over a hundred years from now so it's impossible to say.

But, if bitcoin lasts another 100+ years it will be mean it actually has gone at least somewhat mainstream. That means there will be far more transactions than there are today and blocks are likely to be much more larger. Larger blocks mean more transaction fees.
1126  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: ASICMiner Shares A Good Buy? on: May 09, 2013, 04:09:37 AM
Wow, thanks Franktank.

I actually bought 25 shares yesterday and likely will buy more now.
1127  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: ASICMiner Shares A Good Buy? on: May 09, 2013, 04:08:28 AM
One thing I don't understand is that on bitfunder it says there are 400,000 shares total but roughly 19,000 shares issued.

Are the rest of the shares (not issued) held by the owners (or "real" shareholders, i.e. not passthrough shares)? Or do they not exist yet.

In other words, if more shares are issued won't that decrease the dividend per share?

What causes them to issue more shares? How do I know they won't simply issue more shares and sell them diluting the value of the shares I hold and causing the dividend to decrease.

I need to understand more about how bitfunder works, I guess, but I can't find this information anywhere.
1128  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: ASICMiner Shares A Good Buy? on: May 09, 2013, 03:57:49 AM
FYI: This week's dividends were 0.011085/share. It's going up from here. No one is going to tell you to buy ASICMiner shares but I will leave this here: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.msg1767379#msg1767379

Where did you find out about this weeks dividend already?

1129  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: KNCMINER - 6GH/s FPGA and 250GH/s ASIC on: May 08, 2013, 09:18:51 PM
Well assuming the Difficulty is at 20m by time the deliever the large Jupiter, at is still making about ~$950 a day. At 30m, it drops to ~$650 a day. Still not too bad for a $7k investment.


Not 20 million, try 200 million or more.

1130  Other / CPU/GPU Bitcoin mining hardware / Re: BTC accepted for Solar + Mining? on: May 08, 2013, 08:37:12 PM
$30k for a system that will save you $1500 per year (at current electric prices in New York).

I don't see how that makes sense at all.

Will the system even last the 20 years it will take to pay itself off?
1131  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Denominating a 'BitCent' as a 'Gavin' ? on: May 08, 2013, 07:38:05 PM
This a bad idea.

Naming bitcoin units is as stupid as the Weather Channel naming winter storms and just about as consistent and enforceable.

We don't need anything to detract from the fact it is bitcoin and not some other currency (either virtual or not).

There is nothing wrong with centiBTC, millBTC, etc. Even Americans can understand that as we know what centimeters are and what milliliters are.
1132  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Denominating a 'BitCent' as a 'Gavin' ? on: May 08, 2013, 07:11:40 PM
who is Gavin??

What does the number 5340 have to do with it?
1133  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: ASIC Avalon Batch #3 - Payoff Speculation on: May 08, 2013, 06:06:07 AM
As you can imagine, I'm having a hard time valuing it. I'm thinking 75BTC, possibly more...


75BTC is a very good deal. I'd be interested.
1134  Other / Off-topic / Re: scary dream on: May 08, 2013, 06:02:39 AM
Don't you have a yubikey?
1135  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / ASICMiner Shares A Good Buy? on: May 08, 2013, 04:40:47 AM
Right now ASICMiner shares are at about 1.30 bitcoins per share on bitfunder.

Here are the pros and cons as I see it.

Pros:

Last week they returned a 0.0073 bitcoin per share dividend.

On an annual basis that is a 29.1% return.

This is 10 times better than most blue chip stocks that return dividends:

IBM returns ~2% per share, Costco returns about 3%. Pepsico pays 2.7%.

Assuming everything stays the same, you'll make back your investment in about 3 1/2 years from dividends alone.

ASICMiner claims to be adding (or adding up to?) 50 terahashes/sec in the coming month(s). They've already shown they have working ASIC miners as they are currently mining at about 8-10 thashes/sec (not sure of this number).

They've also been show to be trustworthy and claim to reinvest 50% of their profits in more mining hardware.

Given that Avalon and BFL have both been experiencing delays and neither has given any word as to when they'll actually ship (it could be weeks, months... who knows?) ASICMiner shares  seem to be a good hedge on these other companies falling through. Dividends should definitely be increasing in the coming weeks or even months.

Finally, for many of us who are invested in bitcoin to buy and hold, it is a good way to have your bitcoins make money for you without actually spending them.

Cons:

It can't last forever.

Eventually Avalon will ship and it is most likely BFL will ship too. When BFL ships their 60,00 plus orders and Avalon their 500,000 (?) chips, difficulty will go through the roof, into the hundreds of millions, likely approaching a billion. ASICMiner's percentage share will drop as likely will their dividend even as they continue to put more money into mining hardware. As this happens, the price of their shares will drop too, likely below what they are now, especially if more ASIC mining companies decide to get in on the game.

The big question is when will this happen, and can ASICMiner keep enough of a market share to justify their share price. If they can keep even a small fraction of the dividen they have going now, I would say yes. Even a 10% dividend return would be great. But if the market gets flooded with ASICs and miners are back to making just above their electricity costs, I'd say it's not a good risk.


What do other people out there think?
1136  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: [Group Buy#2] Avalon ASICs CHIPS! 1 chip = .078BTC = 282Mhash! on: May 07, 2013, 11:06:45 PM
I was just about to put in an order for 128 chips too Sad.

Those of you in the US who are still planning on buying, what other options are you looking at?
1137  Economy / Speculation / Re: China : The next price bump on: May 07, 2013, 07:02:37 PM
Whens the chinese money gonna get here?

price has been stable all day :-/
1138  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL 6 May 2013 ASIC Update on: May 07, 2013, 05:45:02 PM
There are NO chips more ...

i dont know where the 5000 Chips are gone but BFL doesnt have any more ...

35 Jalapenos (2 chips each) out of 5000 chips = 1.4% wafer yield. I guess their 100% wafer yield estimate was off just a little.

Maybe someone spilled Mountain Dew on the rest of the wafer?
1139  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL 6 May 2013 ASIC Update on: May 07, 2013, 05:40:33 PM
"The current board will support the hashrates ordered for Little Single and Single in one box, so single units will be shipped out for both the Little Single and the Single."

Forgive me if this has been mentioned before, but does this confirm that the 30GH/s single will be housed in a double wide case instead of the Jalapeno sized case?



Yes.
1140  Economy / Speculation / Re: CFTC Regulating Bitcoin, Totally sell on this news guys. on: May 07, 2013, 03:57:55 PM
don't people recognize satire when they see it anymore?

in the 50's before govt regulation, satire was everywhere.
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