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1121  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BlackRock: “The optimal BTC allocation is a large 84.9%” on: July 26, 2023, 03:20:34 AM
I seriously doubt BlackRock would adopt this analysis and view. This may be something that can easily be adopted by much smaller individual or retail investors like me. But to an institution that is worth billions and is managing trillions, I don't think this is worth the risk. Whatever happened to diversification?

This is so different from the views of other respected figures in the world of finance. The same paper cited Thomas Peterffy's 2%-3% and Ray Dalio's 1%-2%.

Anyway, the subject is misleading. You should correct it lest it be misunderstood as a mega-bullish stand of BlackRock. This actually isn't BlackRock's opinion or view. This is simply the personal view of the three authors who happened to be working with BlackRock. But this study is not in any way sanctioned by BlackRock itself.
1122  Economy / Economics / Re: The gloomy light called subsidy. on: July 26, 2023, 02:17:19 AM
In general, I'm not a huge fan of subsidies. Subsidies might be necessary in some instances, but I think it should be considered as the last resort. To a certain extent, a government that has limited resources but is all too willing to provide subsidies left and right is an incompetent and lazy government. It's a government that's not creative or innovative enough, a government that doesn't study, analyze, and look for other ways and means to improve certain conditions. Subsidies are dole-outs. They're a band-aid solution. They're not sustainable. Money put into subsidy is most often money that is wasted.

In my country, subsidy is quickly considered as a response more often than it should be. A rising price of rice, subsidy. A rising fuel price, subsidy. A rising transportation cost, subsidy. Onion price rising, subsidy. Poor families, subsidy. Retirement benefits and pension, subsidy. It's subsidy everywhere. It's not even counting the huge tax subsidies that it also provides to companies and businesses. Almost all departments in the governments are now providing subsidies. For goodness' sake, can we not explore other options?
1123  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Payment processor hacked, more than $23M in crypto stolen on: July 26, 2023, 01:51:04 AM
Can you list gambling sites that use them?
I've heard names like HypeDrop, Ignition and Bovada being mentioned in articles but I can't say I heard about any of those before.

I guess I've stumbled upon Bovada a number of times in the past. I'm not a user, though. It's not even available here in my area. I took a quick search of it and while it hasn't been promoted here, it seems it has been operating for quite a while already, since 2011.

Anyway, the stolen funds is actually much higher now. The update says the total stolen is already $60 million.[1] Users of the above-mentioned platforms should brace for some suspensions. If they still can, they should quickly cancel their bets and withdraw all funds.


[1] https://twitter.com/zachxbt/status/1683747073227624448

When you don't know who's to blame, blame Lazarus and North Korea Roll Eyes It turns out that a country where less than 99% of people have access to the internet has the best hackers in the world - and what would happen if the internet was a common thing there? The whole world would probably be hacked Shocked
It probably helps if the national government protects hackers, instead of arresting them.

Not just protect but even sponsor them, sent them to reliable universities in China to hone their skills. They're not just protected and state-sponsored; they're state-employed. They don't belong to the 99%, apparently because they're part of a special circle, a very productive one.
1124  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Bundle exchange announces their cease of operation on: July 26, 2023, 01:08:20 AM
It seems this isn't entirely bad news, especially for their users. The email doesn't say that Bundle is closing down for good. It's not bidding good bye. Rather, it only specifically informs them that the platform will cease operating because they will "restructure the business." So, this is temporary. I think this is simply a process of upgrading their infrastructure to integrate certain developments like the growing adoption of the Web3 ecosystem, for example. They will probably come out a much improved platform sooner or later.
1125  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What if salaries were paid in BTC on: July 26, 2023, 12:46:01 AM
To the Bitcoin ecosystem, it might be a positive move because it means adoption. It might also push the price up because companies would then accumulate Bitcoin to be able to pay their workers. However, on the part of the workers, it's going to be a double-edged sword. Especially if you are a worker who is fully dependent on your salary, there's no way you can make the most of Bitcoin's volatility all the time. There will surely be times when you will be forced to convert your coins at a much lower fiat value. We need to remember that the world out there is not using the Bitcoin standard.
1126  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Other Things You Can Bet on Aside Sports and Casino Games on: July 26, 2023, 12:09:40 AM
I'm echoing Jawhead999. Futuur immediately comes to mind. I guess the platform offers the broadest possible options on what you can bet on. You can bet on almost everything. Odds on politics and entertainment may be few but they're still offered by certain platforms. But betting on whether robot guide dogs will be cheaper than organic guide dogs, for example, or whether the Brazilian dengue fever vaccine will be approved by the end of 2024 is something you can probably do only on Futuur.

I'm not in any way affiliated with the platform.
1127  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Don't Rush Whenever Posting: Cross Check and Edit before Hitting the post Button on: July 24, 2023, 02:21:04 PM
Ideally, of course, it's best if your post is perfect in both form and substance. But if you can't have the two, then I guess the latter is much more important than the former. It's probably enough that the point is made and understood. Certain aspects like grammar are secondary. As a non-native speaker of the English language myself, I can't help but commit grammatical, punctuation, and other errors every now and then.

But we should all be striving to be better posters nonetheless, both in form and in substance.
1128  Economy / Economics / Re: The whales stirred. What should we expect? on: July 24, 2023, 01:04:47 PM
Speaking of this, just mere hours ago I've read that more than a thousand coins have awakened after 11 years of hibernation. It is worth $31 million. But I don't think the reason for this is any of the enumerated possibilities in the OP. It seems all the possible reasons cited in the OP are negative. The movement is possibly just a mere transfer to a SegWit address of a new wallet.

Just a month ago, there was also a movement of 1,400BTC, worth around $36 million, after a decade of dormancy. It seems the reason is also none of the ones mentioned in the OP as it seems it is primarily for the sake of privacy because it was moved to a P2TR address.

I don't think we are approaching the end of crypto or Bitcoin era and old whales are moving to fiat. Adoption is fast growing. Demand is rising. Supply on exchanges is draining. The future of Bitcoin is bright.
1129  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Deposit limits on: July 24, 2023, 12:22:14 PM
Gambling sites will have to protect both their patrons and their business interest. So they probably wouldn't introduce a feature that would somehow affect their revenue to a significant extent or discourage gamblers from using their platform.

This feature in particular won't probably save a gambler from addiction, especially if the gambler is already beginning to show signs that he/she is not anymore in full control of his/her urge.

Nothing defeats self-discipline.
1130  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is Michael Saylor a modern apostle like Peter and Paul? on: July 24, 2023, 04:14:25 AM
Well, yeah, you can somehow compare Saylor with those sacred personalities, although I personally don't like the idea of such comparison. It might send a wrong message. There is already an existing tendency of some Bitcoin supporters to somehow treat Bitcoin as some sort of a religion or cult. Some avid advocates appear very close-minded because of it.

Also, adoption of Bitcoin as a peer-to-peer electronic currency should come first or should have more weight than its adoption as a new class of asset or a new hedge against inflation or whatever.
1131  Economy / Economics / Re: Russian ruble is scam on: July 23, 2023, 04:31:57 AM
Well, there must be certain viewpoints which consider the Russian ruble as a big scam. But if we are to consider the reasons, we might end up generalizing that all fiat currencies are also scams. They may differ in degrees, but since they are all operating under this questionable fiat monetary system, then they are all fraud in one way or another.

First and foremost, these fiat currencies are not backed by any commodity. They are of no intrinsic value. In the absence of any enforcement coming from a powerful entity, these currencies have actually no use value.
1132  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Coinbase vs SEC on: July 23, 2023, 03:56:44 AM
@Darker45. I am not saying that you are specifically tricked by the news. I am only implying that most of the time, all of us are influenced by what we read from mainstream news media. They will use different statements that might make the truth appear more abstract and make it appear that something else was being said.

On the ruling, as the judge declared, XRP as a digital token is not in and of itself a contract, a transaction or a scheme that embodies the howey test requirements of an investment contract. This is a very important statement the sets the precedent that many of the other crypto projects' tokens are not illegal securities. If the SEC wants to argue differently then they should appeal the ruling. We should not be tricked that sometimes it is a security, sometimes not. The ruling clearly declares that it is not.

I'm now wondering whether you have actually read or understood the entire decision. It's not wrong to paraphrase the decision if only to make it brief and direct to the point, therefore, easier to digest, for as long as the point is there. Not saying everything verbatim is not equivalent to "mak[ing] it appear that something else was being said." We're not being tricked here. We're simply repeating what is there in the decision itself. But let me just bring you to the actual text of Judge Torres:

"For the reasons stated below, the SEC’s motion is GRANTED in part and DENIED in part, and Defendants’ motion is GRANTED in part and DENIED in part."

"For the foregoing reasons, the SEC’s motion for summary judgment is GRANTED as to the Institutional Sales, and otherwise DENIED. Defendants’ motion for summary judgment is GRANTED as to the Programmatic Sales, the Other Distributions, and Larsen’s and Garlinghouse’s sales, and DENIED as to the Institutional Sales."

The decision does not declare that XRP is "sometimes it is a security, sometimes not". Those are your own words, your personal interpretation. And those are the wrong words and interpretation.

The decision is actually founded upon the fact that "the SEC alleges that Ripple engaged in three categories of unregistered XRP offers and sales:

(1) Institutional Sales under written contracts for which it received $728 million;
(2) Programmatic Sales on digital asset exchanges for which it received $757 million; and
(3) Other Distributions under written contracts for which it recorded $609 million in “consideration other than cash.”"

The court's decision is based on these three different categories, and they ruled as follows:

  • On Institutional Sales: "the Court concludes that Ripple’s Institutional Sales of XRP constituted the unregistered offer and sale of investment contracts in violation of Section 5 of the Securities Act."
  • On Programmatic Sales: "the Court concludes that Ripple’s Programmatic Sales of XRP did not constitute the offer and sale of investment contracts.
  • On Other Distributions: "the Court concludes that Ripple’s Other Distributions did not constitute the offer and sale of investment contracts."

These different decisions are the reason why there is not only one winner in the case. Clearly, the court favored the SEC in one category and opposed as to the other categories. In the same manner that it also granted Ripple's motions in some categories and denied in the other one.

And I repeat that Judge's Torres decision is not based on the XRP token alone but upon consideration of "the economic reality and totality of circumstances."
1133  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Days you need to work your ass at minimum wage for a BTC, by country on: July 23, 2023, 02:41:58 AM
~snip~

This is the reason on why majority of our countrymen flee to other countries in order to look for a bigger opportunity.

Imagine, in our current minimum wage, there is just not enough to both feed our families and save for other things as well. The minimum wage is so low to the point that it is more than difficult to imagine living and saving at the same time. Unfortunately, the standard MW is considered "high" for our standards given that majority of our people are still being paid below the MW.

I just really hope that our economy at least improves in the next couple of years. With the government being so corrupt, no wonder that our country has gone from bad to worse in just a few years.

I read through the responses and while our minimum wage is indeed low, there are other countries that have much lower. Pakistan, for example, has only $5 a day. Nigeria has $1.28 a day. Indonesia probably is only slightly higher than us.

I think one of the big problems here is that while we have a low minimum wage, we actually have relatively expensive goods and services. The cost of living in some urban cities here is so high you can't survive with a minimum salary. As a matter of fact, one of our cities is in the top 20 most expensive cities in the whole of Asia, higher than Macao or Xiamen, for example.[1] Another city is more expensive than more developed ones like Jakarta, for example, or Kuala Lumpur.[2]

However, lest it be misunderstood, in reality minimum wage doesn't actually determine how long will you be able to accumulate 1BTC.


[1] https://www.google.com/search?q=most+expensive+cities+in+asia
[2] https://www.windowseat.ph/expensive-cities-in-southeast-asia/
1134  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Coinbase vs SEC on: July 23, 2023, 01:54:14 AM
@Darker45. Do not be tricked by mainstream news media and these experts that the judge of the ruling did not say that the tokens are not by themselves a contract, transaction that embodies the howey requirements.

The ruling is very clear. Read in page 15.

https://www.dropbox.com/e/scl/fi/bk1n1qn1tgscrcrrfldr8/SEC-v.-Ripple-Ruling-on-Motions-for-Summary-Judgment.pdf?dl=0&rlkey=cjyfdw5rl58diqxyi3qfgix7s

What makes you think that I'm tricked by mainstream news media and some so-called experts?

How do you understand your quoted line, by the way?

It doesn't say that XRP is not a security. Neither does it say otherwise. The judge says that the decision is not to be based on those tokens themselves but on the "totality of circumstances" surrounding the offer, sales, and distribution of those tokens. The court decision even emphasized that "even if XRP exhibits certain characteristics of a commodity or a currency, it may nonetheless be offered or sold as an investment contract."

As a result, and I repeat, both Ripple and SEC are winners and losers at the same time as both their motions are partly granted and partly denied. 
1135  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gamblers Belief on: July 23, 2023, 01:20:54 AM
There's somebody I know who gamble but seems to be pessimistic. Most gamblers would reprimand you if you place a bet and think that you will lose. They would say you shouldn't have bet at all if you think you will lose. So, yeah, I agree that most gamblers are optimistic, at least those who are thinking of winning or looking forward to the prize before they even place a bet.

But I don't think that this is a positive attitude. I've heard how a lot of people believe that one day they will hit the lottery and all their problems will be solved. I'm 100% certain that most of them will die without winning. Being optimistic without being realistic would make you blind.
1136  Economy / Economics / Re: Why is it easier for an E-hailing company to move into food delivery? on: July 21, 2023, 04:18:23 AM
Because of their all-in-one app. Uber provides convenience. That's basically what they offer.

Many years ago, we had a phone number for each of the major taxi company. If one doesn't answer or doesn't have an available unit near where you want to be picked up, you'd call another taxi company. This inconvenience is addressed with the kind of solution Uber provides. The same goes to hotels and resorts and other accommodations. There are now Uber-like apps for them, too. And now this kind of solution is also made available in the food services.

Uber is also running out of cash. Well actually, they burn billions of dollars and have never ever had a profitable quarter, but they are owned by Saudia Arabia Public Investment Fund who have infinite money so that doesn't seem to bother them much.

These companies depend on drivers to deliver stuff for them on very cheap wages, so you'd think that all this stuff should be sustainable in the long term, it's actually not because the drivers can all strike like the Hollywood writers and actors, and screw Uber like that.

When Uber came out into the market, it had so much hype and potential. Uber also became popular here in my country. Shortly afterward, however, direct competitors came to the fore and took so much away from Uber. It eventually stopped operating in the country, although there were also legal issues involved.

If it's only about wages, it can easily be addressed, but if it's a lot more than that, then they could easily be defeated by competitors. Grab, for example, came out with better offers both for users and employees alike. And they successfully brought Uber to their knees, at least in certain parts of the world.

Anyway, I don't think Uber is owned by Saudi. It's a US company. Bin Salman may have invested in it, but he doesn't own it. He's not even the largest shareholder.
1137  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Every Bitcoin holder Should Take a Cybersecurity course on: July 21, 2023, 03:19:19 AM
It would be best for anybody in this digital age to undergo some sort of a cybersecurity course, but I don't think that's a prerequisite. One can possibly have the basic knowledge without enrolling in a course. Research, consultation with those who know, and other ways of gaining knowledge might be enough for a hodler. I don't even think you need to know the sophisticated ways of keeping your non-custodial wallets safe. There must be simple yet equally effective ways to protect your money.

OP, have you already finished your cybersecurity course, by any chance?
1138  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Coinbase vs SEC on: July 21, 2023, 02:42:58 AM
Coinbase decided to ignore the SEC warning and continue offering staking services to US customers stating that "staking is handled by decentralized protocols".
No one has actually commented strongly on this statement. Is SEC actually correct or is Coinbase correct. Or are both correct in their jurisdiction. To be more clear, who knows how Binance operates in US? Does SEC monitor or regulates the activities of binance in US? Activities such as;
Listing process;
Staking activities;?

After Ripple won their case against the SEC, it appears there are presently some new questions on how can uncle Gary go after Coinbase and declare it as an illegal secutities exchange when the SEC approved the exchange to have an IPO in the Nasdaq. If it was approved to become a public company offering shares in a traditional exchange, then it should imply that the SEC considers it a legal business.

The SEC might lose another case hehehehe.

The decision as regards the SEC vs. Ripple wasn't black and white that you can declare Ripple as the winner. Both SEC and Ripple were winners and losers in the decision. Ripple's token was declared both a security and not. A security when directly sold to institutional investors and not when publicly sold on exchanges.

Coinbase's involvement in staking is a different case, although not entirely. If the case of Ripple can be any basis, then I guess coins purchased from exchanges, earned through mining, and any other way except being purchased from ICO, and then staked at Coinbase are probably not securities.

I cannot find Gensler's comments on the approval of Coinbase to be publicly listed at the same time suing it for being a broker of unregistered securities, but he's already commented on it. Coinbase is indeed a legal business and it was given a green light to go public, but these don't prejudice SEC's allegations of unregistered securities being sold on the platform.
1139  Economy / Economics / Re: Population: Economic strength or weakness on: July 21, 2023, 01:49:59 AM
I think it's not really population per se that's the real problem. Those huge economies that lack manpower could import them. Those poor countries with so much labor surplus could export them.

To those who have a small labor force, they could provide incentives to families so that they'll be encouraged to produce offspring. In this way, they will grow less and less dependent on imported labor.

To those who have an oversupply of labor, they could promote policies and programs to attract investors to make potential workers productive. At the same time, they could also prepare them properly so that they have higher value as exports.
1140  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How to value bitcoin bitmap ordinals and what do you think about them? on: July 21, 2023, 01:17:34 AM
My hunch is that Ordinals will share the same fate with other NFT projects. They will slowly die. The values assigned to these Ordinals are arbitrary. They don't have any basis at all except the subjective assessment and appraisal of the creator or the seller. Lucky for them if there is somebody else who is as eccentric as them and who is willing to spend a considerable amount for them. But if the buying is for the sake of speculation, disappointment will certainly be waiting for them in the end.
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