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1321  Other / Off-topic / Re: Mistakes Successful People Never Make Twice on: January 02, 2023, 08:29:51 AM
Success is not judged by how much wealth has been collected, but success has no limits and can still be achieved in any way.
To identify a success there are several benchmarks that need to be considered, these qualifications usually have several dimensions that have different meanings, for me success is broad and not only limited to the ability to wealth. There are at least three qualifications that are often cited for success?

1. Success in career
2. Success of assets (material & financial)
3. Other successes that are social, cultural and others.

It is this dimension that is often revolved and debated by many people, so that there is no standard standard that needs to be set regarding success, different people have different levels of success achieved and this problem is never the same as the laws of mathematics which have the same results in determining results.

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Helping others is an inner success that is difficult to describe, when your life is useful for others and the people around you live it is a success that cannot be achieved by everyone. It's about awareness, we can't live alone without the help of others. The cycle of human life cannot be separated from needing each other.
This success is included in the category of social values, concern for others is a far greater sensitivity than financial success, successful and wealthy people do not necessarily have social values that are implemented towards the social function of living in harmony and culture.
1322  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Today is the story of my investment in Bitcoin on: January 02, 2023, 07:54:24 AM
You have beautifully drawn a fine line between investment and gambling which is generally difficult to distinguish and people often confuse gambling with investment. The main difference is the risk involved. Investment is done with long term goals like we buy Bitcoin and continue accumulating it during the bear run and this kind of investment is less risky because it is consensus among all analysts, & history has vindicated it again and again, that it always pays off huge rewards to those who believe in its potential to outsmart all other class of assets.
What distinguishes gambling from investing is the people themselves, investing takes a long time to get involved and a strategy is needed in choosing the assets we want to invest. Whereas gambling has a slightly shorter time frame, it generally involves betting fate and having no pattern to follow.

The outline between gambling and investment is different, but in some dimensions they may have similarities in speculation, this closeness makes it difficult for people to distinguish, even though the two are clearly different in practice.

I don't think that banks are offering outdated methods for loans, but they might be offering loan terms that are NOT attractive.. so you have to decide if you believe that it is to your advantage to enter into such loan or not.   If the terms of the loans are fixed, then that is much easier to figure out rather than some real estate loans that are offered these days in which the rate is adjustable.  Personally, I would NOT enter into any loan that is adjustable.
Slight difference in terms of language, but the point is that banks still offer terms that are so out of date or let's say they are no longer as attractive as you say, speaking of advantages I think are relative, they will not have the same function between each other.

For example, entrepreneurs take loans from banks, meaning they need capital to develop the companies they run and they have reserve capital in case something unexpected happens. Meanwhile, for ordinary people who do not have a spare cost before taking a loan at a bank, it will actually make life difficult when forced to take a loan. Even though in the strategy you want to do, the money will be used for investment.

I choose not to accept any loans, In this case we have the same perception.!!!!
1323  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: January 01, 2023, 11:36:10 AM
They are not too bad goalkeepers but are not at highest level. In Champions League, defense is important because if you can not protect your goal and get conceded goals from strong opponents, you will likely not be able to beat them. Goalkeepers are important too and people say they are about 50% of a club strength. It can be an exaggeration but it says about a truth of goalkeeper importance.
For me the strength of the team is collectively more influential, nobody stands out not even the goalkeeper, imagine if they have Manuel Neuer but their defense is weak then the end result won't be any worse than using an inexperienced keeper. It's true that the Champions League needs players of the highest quality and experience, but Sven Ulreich and Johannes Schenk also need to be given a chance.

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PSG on paper are considered as a stronger team but again we should check at past seasons. PSG failed in many seasons in many pairs when they were considered as a stronger team.

With best of Neymar, Mbappe and Messi, PSG are dangerous in attacking but in World Cup 2022 and lately in Ligue 1, we saw that Marquinhos can be a weakness of PSG defense. It might be their dead point in matches with Bayern.
All preparations have been made, the match between PSG and Bayern Munich is indeed the most crucial match and is awaited by many people, PSG has a trio of attackers who are in their best condition at the moment, while Bayern Munich also has reliable strikers who can collaborate to make it difficult for PSG's defense .

Bayern Munich's biggest weakness at the moment is not being strengthened by the main goalkeeper. For me this doesn't really play a big role, because the backup keeper they have also has quality, although not the same as Manuel Neuer.

Bayern are at a disadvantage without Neuer. He's not only a good keeper but he's also a leader. With him at the back of the Bayern defenders they have confidence. No disrespect to the back up goal keepers but for Bayern to win they really need to step. Neuer is the kind of keeper that can decide games for you. And the trio of Neymer, Mbappe and Messi are all in a very good form. I think PSG will win Bayern and qualify cause not only do they have the better attack (on paper) but they also have a very good midfield now. The addition of Fabian Ruiz to the PSG midfield makes them a very good team together with Verratti.
On paper, PSG are favored because they are playing at home, while PSG's attacking trio are also in their best condition. This is the moment they are trying to take advantage of, because talking about the strength of the team this season with the previous season also has the same players. That means there are not many changes they have in facing Bayern Munich in the knockout stages later.

Manuel Neuer is a general on the pitch as well as a leader who can make an impact on his team but if reserve goalkeepers are never given the chance you will never know how good they are on the pitch and in important games. I think one of the back-up keepers will give a positive result and they will get the best chance of the game.
1324  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Doge can it go 1$ on: January 01, 2023, 10:26:06 AM
But Doge isn't LUNA mate , Luna's crashing has nothing to do with Dogecoin though the asking price is too high for now to achieve ,  while we are waiting for ELON MUSK's  pumping then better not to expect this high for now.
The highest price of dogecoin has ever been in the $0.73 range. But until now it has never reached $ 1 in its journey, the domino effect resulting from Elon Musk's purchase of Twitter has made Dogecoi's condition increase again, although it has not yet touched the highs it was at that time. It is this relationship that has led people to believe every tweet of Elon Musk will make Dogecoin go up and he has played a key role in Dogecoin's journey.

Although there are still many people who feel that Dogecoin was not completely influenced by Elon Musk in his journey. However, if we look at the relationship more closely, every time Elon Musk tweets Dogecoin, there must be a pumping of its price.

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Doge is stable in its price now and I am confident tha tin years to come it may take that high.
Dogecoin is still quite stable on the market since experiencing such a large increase in price at that time, even Dogecoin's condition is relatively stable and does not really affect the ongoing correction. But hoping for such a high price, I think it's still quite difficult for Dogecoin.
1325  Economy / Speculation / Re: Twitter Poll: Where will Bitcoin end the year? VOTE HERE! on: January 01, 2023, 09:24:28 AM
Today is the day and I'm seeing bitcoin still do sideaway at 16.5-16.8K level I do believe not trade at the final days like this, some of might withdraw their money to enjoy christmast and new year. and pretty much other instrument too like forex and commodities or stock.
It's better to hold on and not try to get out of the market for now, because today has changed 2022-2023, meaning this is the initial stage for bitcoin to be more stable, I personally am still trying to wait for market conditions in March or April, because the market will be more clear whether it will experience a sideaway or will experience a more stable increase and not move at the same price.

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Maybe we can see the price jump start on January
Estimating January, February and March is the first step for the next phase, where bitcoin will experience a gradual recovery resistance point and hope that this year the market conditions will be more dominant green. The four-year cycle relationship seems to be getting closer and hopefully this year is the first step towards achieving that.
1326  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Today is the story of my investment in Bitcoin on: January 01, 2023, 07:43:03 AM
I think that the area in which OP went wrong was that it appears that he was calculating that the BTC price will go up during the next two years, and he seems to calculate that into his plan as if it were guaranteed, and even if the odds might be greater than 50% that the BTC price will go up in the next two years, that seems to be allowing for too many loose ends in regards to how to play a 8% to 10% per year interest rate that guarantees a certain level that he has to cover in the loan just to pay the servicing of it and how much the loan is costing him.
Predictions like this are normal things to happen in my opinion, because the OP could have tried to calculate bitcoin's journey when it reached the previous ATH, so that in the next two years bitcoin can provide a large return on the investment it makes.
Yes.  I said that it was a problem for OP to be expecting 2x to 5x returns in 2 years even though other people make the same mistake. And, yes it might happen, but it is a problem to assign too high of a probability to such expectations, as OP seemed to have had been doing.  Just because a lot of people do it does not mean that there should not be some kind of an attempt to clarify the matter, which was what I was doing.
If the investment he made goes according to the target set, it will look good and will provide a solution to the loan he is doing, then what if bitcoin in the next two years is still in its current state. Let's say this is the worst assumption that we are trying to predict, even though the next two years may not be the case. I mean there are preventive actions that can be taken, if at any time the target set does not go according to the expected scenario.

I am not sure if I understand or even agree with what you are proposing in respect to "preventative measures" since it is quite true that at the time that any of us goes into a loan, we should be able to create our plans in accordance with all of the information that we know at the time of entering into the loan.  

There are quite a few things that are in our control, including what kinds of assets and cashflow that we already have and our abilities to consider the possible ups and downs of our own other assets and cashflow.

We also know the exact terms of the loan what is the percentage that is paid in interest/fees, what is the period of payment and the payment amounts.  

As far as the BTC price, there seem to be ONLY three possibilities, which is that the BTC price goes UP, DOWN or sideways.  We should be able to plan for those three possibilities, and sure we might have some changes in the other factors that we had considered to have had been fixed, but our plan for the period of the loan should not really be changing very much, so in that sense, there should not be any "preventative measures" that need to be taken, unless there was already a plan to employ such "preventative measures" if certain circumstances pass.
Everyone does not have to understand and agree with some of the assumptions that people want to convey, but the fact is that borrowing money at a bank is an outdated method and there are no greater benefits. If after borrowing you cannot calculate the principal amount of the loan, the monthly fee and the overall impact of the loan.

There is a side of complexity that is understood by many people in the money lending system at the bank, can this case be said to be true?
I mean the bank system applies several principles after providing loans to customers, starting from the sanctions and risks that must be accepted when the agreement has been implemented. This principle includes several risks that will occur, if the customer cannot pay off the monthly fee, the bank will take certain actions.

Three possible journeys of bitcoin, up, down and sideways.

Down: OP invested quite rightly by taking the price method when entering the market, I think this point is quite right.

Up: OP can wait for the bitcoin recovery process going forward, so that the investment made actually reaches the target he expects.

Sideways : I don't really understand the meaning of sideways, but I'm trying to assume that sideways is a condition where bitcoin is in the stage of a severe correction as it is today. This is where the OP went wrong in combining investments with loans in the bank, so the target set for two years is the portion of gambling he's trying to put as an investment, plus no reserve funds to max out for monthly contributions.

And in the end the OP has to be really good at conditioning his time, so that the investment journey that begins with borrowing money from the bank doesn't ruin his investment pattern, because the money he gets is used very properly for investing. If in the current month he has capital reserves to cover the bank's monthly fees, then all problems and worries will be answered by themselves. Because what I know, investing in bitcoin is a step to maintain the value of the currency and is the best asset in the long term.



He also seems to NOT have other funding sources, such as a cashflow and/or other monies to assure that he does not have to sell his bitcoin..
The biggest problem arose here, there was no other source of reserve funds as he started to run out of money to cover the bank's monthly fees, so when faced with difficult conditions he would decide to sell bitcoins. Thus the investment he made did not get any profit and you could say he failed miserably in implementing this investment pattern.
Well, OP seems to be gambling that he is not going to lose.  Yeah, so far his the BTC price seems to be going the wrong way, but it is still possible that he could end up profiting from the loan if the BTC price goes up in such a way that covers both his principle and the fees that he is supposed to pay.
This is an important point from the discussion that has been going on, gambling is the same as investment even though the pattern of work is different, because gambling is also part of prediction and investment is not much different from that pattern. If gambling expects a win, then investment expects a profit.

I would frame the differences between gambling and investment differently than you.  

From my point of view, some folks seem to convolute their definitions of gambling and/or investing in such a way that it becomes difficult to understand how they are differentiating the concepts, so in that sense sometimes it can be difficult to figure out what they mean when the are describing how gambling and investing differ from one another.

So in some sense it could reasonably be argued that gambling and investing are on a kind of spectrum in which if we go far on one end of the spectrum we are in the territory of gambling and if we go in the other direction then we are in the territory of investing, but there are some shared traits in the middle in which the definition could go either way.

So, for me, investing tends to involve having a longer timeline and also tends to involve the engaging in behaviors in which the amount of guessing is reduced.  So for example, if I say that I am going to invest $10 per week in bitcoin no matter what for the next 5 years - which is $2,600 ($10 * 52 weeks * 5 years), then I would call that investing rather than gambling, even though at this time, I do not know how much the price of bitcoin is going to be in 5 years (and/or what other places I might have held/invested that value and whether I might have received a better return by investing that value somewhere else), but I am trying to lessen the number of guesses that I am making.  That would be following a kind of dollar cost averaging approach. DCA.

Now, if I take some variation of the same facts, and I tell myself that I have a $2,600 budget, and for the next 5 years I am going to buy bitcoin when it is low (or any other asset that is trade-able with relatively low fees) and to sell bitcoin when it is high in order to attempt to increase my $2,600 in a way that is better than the DCA approach over that same period of time, I might consider those practices to lean more towards a kind of gambling.  It is not a very good example, but my point is the more variables that are left to chance including trying to predict the ups and downs of price, then the more I would consider the practices to fall into a gambling camp rather than into an investing camp.

Another possibility would be that if I were not to have an ability to provide myself with a front-loaded $2,600 budget, so in this scenario, I can only add $10 per week to my "investing budget" over the next 5 years, so each week I add an additional $10 to my "investing budget," and I try to identify assets that are low in price and to sell them when they are higher in price within a reasonable period of time, and I would like to both have more than $2,600 at the end of 5 years of "investing" in this kind of a way (whether held in BTC or in other assets but I am frequently trying to time the market in order to increase the amount of money in my investment portfolio, but I would also like to beat the $10 per week DCA approach and to have had accumulated more BTC at the end of the 5 year period than I would have accumulated if I had merely engaged into a DCA practice.  

My point is that the more variables that I do not know and the more times that I am taking chances on unknown variables, then the more that the practice is likely to be classified by me as gambling rather than investing.

In the difference in time it may be true that investing is more likely to take a long time, whereas gambling does not take the whole journey. In terms of this definition, there is indeed a difference between gambling and investment methods, but I mean that the closeness of the two is almost the same in the practice of speculation.

I have no skill in math, I mean when people try to narrate investing is very close to gambling only in certain areas. Investment allocates funds to get certain assets that are trying to buy like our discussion concerns bitcoin, while gambling risks assets and depends entirely on uncertain possibilities, in this area it is certain that investment and gambling have different sides.

Within this scope I can understand and definitely agree that gambling is different from investment, and in the end it is we who can clarify the direction of investment or get closer to gambling, in accordance with the understanding and function that we already know.
1327  Economy / Economics / Re: People have learned about money printing on: January 01, 2023, 06:05:47 AM
I have seen the above quotation used to define negative trends of inflation in economics.

Decreased exposure to dangers present with inflation and other negative economic trends, reduce the human self defense mechanisms necessary to address said trends. The regression can extend so far as to result in degeneration of organisms in nature. The same precedent might also apply to people. We lose many of our social and cultural adaptations when decreased exposure to dangers, causes us to believe them no longer necessary. Its an interesting point to consider.
And it seems we have to go back to an era where food and light must live naturally, I am a person who has always been against organic fertilizers and I am an environmental activist who loves growth in anything that exists on earth, now we are in an era of adaptation that is less sensitive towards social and cultural values, so that the degradation of life is no longer taking care of and helping each other.

The fact is that the source of food is produced from fertile nature, then where is the land used now?

Technology seems to destroy everything, but in function it doesn't?

Culture and social values continue to diminish, because people no longer have sensibilities?

If people are able to maintain food sources, it is certain that inflation can be suppressed, because the one that has the most impact on the recession is only the fulfillment of food, because this sector is a vital tool for the country's travel and also part of its stability, how many countries are short of food and in the end they were attacked by recession and deflation in succession, thus making the economy unstable and on the verge of bankruptcy. I don't want to go into other areas, but for me the source of food is a vital tool that must be maintained.
1328  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: December 31, 2022, 11:20:51 AM
Munich is not a weak team. despite the absence of their main goalkeeper. they have Sven Ulreich. didn't play much before. but the quality cannot be underestimated.
although PSG is very strong up front. but if Munich manages to control the midfield strongly. I guess they just need a little effort to win.
Bayern Munich had to lose Manuel Neuer in the match against PSG, but that doesn't mean their strength will weaken, because they still have the option of using Sven Ulreich and Johannes Schenk. Even though these two goalkeepers don't have the same qualities as Manuel Neuer, in my opinion they can be used as backup options, because they are also worthy of replacing the role of Manuel Neuer who is predicted to be out for a long time due to injury.

PSG benefited because in the first leg they played at home, so if this opportunity can be used, it is likely that Bayern Munich will find it difficult to play aggressively at the Parc des Princes stadium. Moreover, PSG has three attackers who are in their best performance, this is an opportunity that PSG should really take advantage of, because when they travel to Bayern Munich, the match will look different and more open.
1329  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Bitcoin My Best Chrismas Gift on: December 31, 2022, 09:58:43 AM
So I decided to put some smiles on my face this season by buying Bitcoin as a Christmas gift for myself.
yesterday I and my friend/colleagues went to a shopping market for some Christmas shopping we were 6 in number and we all went to the market after receiving our Christmas bonuses from work.
A gift that is quite appropriate even though you have to buy yourself OP, it means you understand the long term gift you have, because not everyone is able and willing to do that, my question is do you buy bitcoin in the market you visit, this part is just a joke to say new year to you, so don't take it too seriously.

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My colleagues bought some fine shoes and other expensive items/ wears for themselves and every one of them was expecting me to do some picking myself because we all agreed to go on group shopping but on our way to the market I already have a rethink and a change of mind.
Some people prefer to buy things that aren't specifically a necessity, meaning they just want to be seen using fancy, expensive products, because I know they've had those things before and it's not an urgent need to buy anytime soon.

Therein lies your intelligence in choosing to buy bitcoin as an asset in the future, while they are trying to buy some goods that in a certain year you can buy much more from them, when the value of the investment you have in bitcoin will reach the maximum return stage, personally i appreciate what you did OP.

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I decided to spend my money buying myself some Christmas gifts which is Bitcoin instead of buying some expensive clothes or shoes I decide to carry the digital BTC  in my wallet, instead of wearing shit that will soon get worn out.
And I'm sure you know bitcoins are much more specific than your friends, because bitcoins will be very useful for long term storage, while some things your friends buy will expire and won't work once they are obsolete. Meanwhile, in the long term, the placement of money that you make will increase from the initial capital that you are trying to invest.

Placement of money that we have is much more useful, when we can see the potential needs in the future, because owning bitcoin is a choice in maintaining the value of the currency that we have.
1330  Economy / Economics / Re: Investing against 2024 on: December 31, 2022, 08:55:25 AM
2024 is still a long time away which is why it's obviously tough to speculate the price of BTC and other cryptocurrencies so far ahead into the future. There are so many variables involved.
Bitcoin price speculation is indeed quite difficult to identify clearly, because this asset is speculative in its journey, but as far as variables are concerned, 2023 is the beginning of bitcoin's recovery, if following some of the four-year method that people often associate and I'm pretty sure in the next year bitcoin is going to be a little greener in the market.

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Am only expecting the next halving event to trigger a significant rise in the price of BTC which could lead to a prolonged bull market for most cryptocurrencies early in 2024.
That is, 2023 should be the start of a recovery taking place in the market, so that the next halving will trigger an increase in the growth of the bitcoin price, just like the process of achieving the previous ATH and that means that there is a possibility for a gradual recovery in 2023, if this scenario really goes cyclically.

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The global economy will most probably recover completely until then after the COVID debacle.
Some countries are already at the stage of economic recovery due to Covid-19, but there are still many countries that are likely to experience a recession in 2023. So far there has been no clear reference to the course of the world economy in 2023, but it seems that a recession will begin for some country in the next year.
1331  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Today is the story of my investment in Bitcoin on: December 31, 2022, 08:14:50 AM
I personally don't have any problem with a loan and to take chances that front-loading the investment might pay off better than buying incrementally.  Each of us is free to exercise those kinds of potentially reasonable gambles - even with long term investment money.
Everyone has no problem with borrowing, it's free to do for certain interests, especially the use of the money taken is placed in investing in bitcoin.
Yes.. some people do have a problem with the idea of borrowing money in order to invest in bitcoin.  That's why I responded to you in that post in the way that I did - and as an attempt to clarify how loans could be used in such a way that is not as big of a "problem" as some folks, including you MarjorieZimmermanGinger, were generally describing the practice of borrowing to buy bitcoin.
The problem is when someone does not have a spare cost in the process of financing trips every month for the bank, and for me to avoid problems it is better not to lend money at the bank to make investments. There are many simple ways to participate in investing in bitcoin, one of which is to make purchases in stages according to your needs and not burden the capital we have.

I think that the area in which OP went wrong was that it appears that he was calculating that the BTC price will go up during the next two years, and he seems to calculate that into his plan as if it were guaranteed, and even if the odds might be greater than 50% that the BTC price will go up in the next two years, that seems to be allowing for too many loose ends in regards to how to play a 8% to 10% per year interest rate that guarantees a certain level that he has to cover in the loan just to pay the servicing of it and how much the loan is costing him.
Predictions like this are normal things to happen in my opinion, because the OP could have tried to calculate bitcoin's journey when it reached the previous ATH, so that in the next two years bitcoin can provide a large return on the investment it makes.
Yes.  I said that it was a problem for OP to be expecting 2x to 5x returns in 2 years even though other people make the same mistake. And, yes it might happen, but it is a problem to assign too high of a probability to such expectations, as OP seemed to have had been doing.  Just because a lot of people do it does not mean that there should not be some kind of an attempt to clarify the matter, which was what I was doing.
If the investment he made goes according to the target set, it will look good and will provide a solution to the loan he is doing, then what if bitcoin in the next two years is still in its current state. Let's say this is the worst assumption that we are trying to predict, even though the next two years may not be the case. I mean there are preventive actions that can be taken, if at any time the target set does not go according to the expected scenario.

The time accumulation the OP was trying to calculate seemed to follow a four year cycle, so he decided to invest and take the risk of borrowing money from a bank.
So what?  The reason that he is doing it is a so fucking what?  Do you think that a lot of us are not already familiar with the various theories why the BTC price might go up?  And, yes it might go up, but it might not.  That is part of the clarification that I was attempting to describe, so I am not sure why you are going back to the idea that the BTC price might go up.  That's already known that it might go up, and it is already known that there are cycle theories and all kinds of BTC prediction frameworks, but just because there is a prediction framework, that does NOT guarantee that the BTC price is going to follow such BTC price prediction framework.
This relates to bitcoin being considered a speculative asset by most people, whatever the notion of linking the four year cycle with the many theories that try to be narrated, there can never be an accurate prediction of bitcoin's journey in the market. There are several patterns that cannot be separated from the journey of bitcoin, for example in the value of supply and demand, although other influences cannot be ignored either.

The most appropriate idea why bitcoin will rise again at a high price, because the price is speculative and the long journey that has been passed has given confidence to many people as the best investment and is an asset capable of maintaining value in the future.

Honestly, I would like to know how much the monthly fee must be paid to the bank by the OP?
Well, that's a fair statement/question.  I had made a post on estimating the best case scenario if OP only has to pay interest, and then pay the principle at the end, but there could be other ways that the pay back terms are outlined by the bank.  So far OP has not described that, as far as I can recall not seeing any such description of how the loan is meant to be paid back.  Maybe OP can clarify the terms upon which he is suppose to pay back his loan?
I didn't get any clarification from the OP regarding this question, but with you I was involved in several discussions and subconsciously I also started to study some of the posts you made, thus clarifying some meanings that I still don't understand, and that's why I'm happy discuss with you freely, without worrying if my understanding is wrong in assuming.

He also seems to NOT have other funding sources, such as a cashflow and/or other monies to assure that he does not have to sell his bitcoin..
The biggest problem arose here, there was no other source of reserve funds as he started to run out of money to cover the bank's monthly fees, so when faced with difficult conditions he would decide to sell bitcoins. Thus the investment he made did not get any profit and you could say he failed miserably in implementing this investment pattern.
Well, OP seems to be gambling that he is not going to lose.  Yeah, so far his the BTC price seems to be going the wrong way, but it is still possible that he could end up profiting from the loan if the BTC price goes up in such a way that covers both his principle and the fees that he is supposed to pay.
This is an important point from the discussion that has been going on, gambling is the same as investment even though the pattern of work is different, because gambling is also part of prediction and investment is not much different from that pattern. If gambling expects a win, then investment expects a profit.

I agree that bitcoin will again show resistance to recovery and bitcoin will slowly recover in the future, and the OP will most likely benefit from the investment he is running, as long as he can stay calm and not panic while waiting for a sustained recovery in the market.
1332  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin December price on: December 31, 2022, 06:09:44 AM
Yes, there's no guarantee that our speculations will come true down the road but what is important is that we are holding hopes that bitcoin will somehow recover somewhere next year. The earlier, the better but again, let's just hope for the better and ride the current while taking any advantage that we can have while it's still selling at a much cheaper price.
I understand that you're expecting the market to recover and will rise above $30k. But I reckon that it's still too much to ask for that, let's wait it to achieve the $20k mark first.
The turn of the year is only one day away and the current bitcoin price is around $16K, which means that the price movement may not recover faster in the near future, the current period is the right step to enter the market and make purchases according to the capital we have. Given that many analysts say a four-year cycle will start in 2023, this will allow bitcoin to slowly recover towards the green line in the market.

And my assumption is that in the middle of 2023 bitcoin will reach a price of $ 50K and above, the recovery will take place gradually and will bring several points of resistance towards the next price milestone, the nearest support is a crucial price as I assumed and according to some four-year cycle analysis.
1333  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will Bitcoin Die or Pump Up in 2023? on: December 28, 2022, 06:43:20 PM
Maybe best for you guys to stop following those people who have track records trying to manipulate the minds of people for their own gains so that you will not get wrong information which can possibly make you become a bag holder on what they are currently promoting.  Best always to follow your own instinct so better be more knowledgeable than waiting for other people to give a news about what you are trying to gain.
The relationship between supply and demand is inseparable, although some things are also influenced by other conditions, the influence of one person like Elon Musk will not give you much reference and true clarity to investment, deep analysis is needed and we remain confident that the bitcoin cycle will return after the correction phase finds a gradual recovery in the market, although we never know exactly when that will happen.

However, if it is related to this cycle, it seems that in the middle of next year bitcoin will experience a gradual recovery before reaching the halving again. This is when we enter the market and buy some bitcoins to invest.
1334  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Why are you here? on: December 28, 2022, 05:40:17 PM
So for the newbies like me, why did you join bitcointalk.org?
This forum is designed so uniquely, the 2017 journey is the beginning of the introduction of the forum for me, a lot of information, education and even knowledge sources that I have got here, this forum is designed not only to earn money with cryptocurrency, but more than that so that makes this forum so special to me and everyone who is here. There are many reasons that drive people to be on this forum, the answers also still seem to vary and it is in this forum that you will find opportunities not to be deceived by the simple tricks of people and projects that keep popping up to this day

Bitcoin is just a big part of what drives some people to be in this forum and the only way to avoid losing money. Taking part in a bitcoin investment, will put money on the right track, because bitcoin can maintain the value of the investment that we make, although the risks cannot be ignored along the way.
1335  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Do you know on: December 28, 2022, 05:18:05 PM
Do you know that some crypto projects are so amazing that you will want to give up your money just to allocate some portion of the max supply but the tokenomics ruined it all?
That's why investing money in successful projects is much safer, although there is no certainty of return in the long term, crypto is still in the general picture to recognize, its nature is still too voluminous and requires in-depth research, so there is a lot of speculation to be generated.

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Some projects have good utilities but their tokenomics is very bad, if you don't know this do try learning the difference between good utility and good tokenomics because it is very important and this will help you on your future crypto investments.
Tokenomics in nature recognizes the characteristics of understanding the supply and demand sides, there are special calculations to determine the required recognition standards, for example for supply and demand issues for a project that is being developed, so that the tendency to choose has been based on research on these two things.

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No matter how tempted you are to invest in a project always learn its tokenomics first.
This should be the most important side to review first, because that's where we will make choices about the investment that we will run in a new project.
1336  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic future for world specially for the rich kids read this on: December 28, 2022, 03:25:41 PM
The state is unable to guarantee that anyone will become richer?
Education is also unable to make people richer and more sensitive to social and cultural values.

But in living a life, humans need education, work, economic guarantees, political rights and social values, these are basic needs in living the life of a nation. Responsibility for the future of children cannot be separated from the role of parents in educating, preparing, providing guarantees for education and health as a basis. If all problems must always be seen as the government's mistakes in managing the country, then where is the function as parents?

Working as the fulfillment of rights and responsibilities, is a job that cannot be separated from every individual who is of sufficient age, because outwardly they themselves have the most role in doing the job.
1337  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin December price on: December 28, 2022, 02:24:13 PM
We still have nothing to say that we have reached the final bottom of this bear season, so a recovery in 2023 is uncertain. With only 3 days left of the year, we can be sure that bitcoin will end the year with a red candle and we will have 4 consecutive red quarters, but there is no sign of bitcoin going up yet in 2023. Looking at the macroeconomic situation, I still predict 2023 is still a bearish year, and we will bottom in 2023. Although the halving will be a time to expect a bull run, depending on the economic situation, the war, and inflation is still there, so it is difficult to expect the bulls to come at the right time.
All possibilities can still occur according to the market reaction to economic growth, inflation and recession. However, when viewed from the previous correction phase, bitcoin is likely to get a sustained recovery in 2023, even though during this recovery bitcoin will also experience a correction. I believe bitcoin will rise above $30K to $60K over the next year as the market reacts to its recovery.

These predictions can be wrong or right and even shift to higher prices, because there is no level of accuracy for speculators or exact predictions, but the cyclical connection can form the basis of the predictions we reveal today. Hopefully in the next year we will see progress towards recovering the price of bitcoin, so that potential investments provide even more maximum returns.
1338  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Should your wife or husband know your seed phrase? on: December 28, 2022, 12:46:10 PM
Well I think it's all depends on how much you share with your spouse and how far you have come together, because some marriages happen without knowing the other person genuinely which compromises the trust aspect of the marriage but some happen after knowing the other person for several years and that connection is real and not fake and in this case sharing stuff wouldn't be a problem.
The problem is not when the two of them still live in one house, but the problem is when cases of death and divorce occur, I mean if one of these people dies, the security key (FRASA) is not known and the amount of ASSET is not confirmed with the person we trust, then literally literally these ASSETS will be lost and cannot be retrieved, therefore for me it is necessary to convey important data to people we trust, one of which is my wife or husband.

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But rule 101,if someone is always spending money without that edge to save then don't share information of seed phrases and other bank accounts you hold because they will spend it all... though if this came to light trust between the two of you will be shaken.
We are the ones who manage financial resources with the family, meaning that our job is to take care of the needs of all sectors and everyone must have a reserve account for saving, not used routinely for daily needs, because for monthly needs we have prepared a short-term pattern that is managed/managed by wife.
1339  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Why are some Post deleted on: December 27, 2022, 05:30:14 PM
I posted something today but it was deleted and I just don't know what I did wrong. Please can someone help me with the reason for this and also the rules and regulations of this forum I just want to avoid any complications next time am starting a topic
I found many cases regarding the deletion of posts, to be honest there are many reasons why many posts were deleted and I think these reasons have been explained by many other users. If I may say try to avoid writing that is not clear, plagiarism and practical politics, even if you attach a lot of sources, because this forum was not designed for that, there are many rules that you must learn so that in the future no more posts will be deleted.

Don't worry, most people have experienced this in the past including myself, continue to learn to improve the quality of posts, for something that is useful that is easily understood by many people and more make constructive posts. Master what you want to write, but don't force what you don't understand.
1340  Economy / Economics / Re: The poor people with their reasoning on: December 27, 2022, 01:08:09 PM
The worst people to serve are the Poor people. Give them free, they think it's a trap. Tell them it's a small investment, they'll say can't earn much. Tell them to come in big, they'll say no money. Tell them try new things, they'll say no experience. Tell them it's traditional business, they'll say hard to do. Tell them it's a new business model, they'll say it's MLM. Tell them to run a shop, they'll say no freedom. Tell them run new business, they'll say no expertise.
It seems that associating investing with the poor is too tendentious, people who do not accept bitcoins as part of an investment are different from poor people who do not have enough cash flow to invest. Most people who criticize and keep asking about the management of investment funds during the economic crisis do not represent the poor. They never understand the nature and concept of bitcoin investment, because what they think is a way to meet their daily needs and they will never want to know what investment is.

Precisely what I see people who always criticize and disagree with bitcoin are those who absolutely do not want fiat currency to disappear and I think everyone knows who they are.

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How can we persuade the poor that without making investments and taking risks, they would not succeed in life? If they are looking for a financial breakthrough, they need become involved with anything because good things in life don't just fall into their laps. Life is about taking chances and seizing any opportunity that presents itself.
There is no formula that can convince them, because all they think about is the necessities of life which are far more difficult than having to think about investing. Logically, where do they get money to invest if their daily needs are difficult. Do we have to suggest that they take out a loan to make an investment, because what I know is that this is even more risky.

Is there another way that makes more sense to you???
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