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Author Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)  (Read 1024499 times)
Velvet78
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September 13, 2024, 05:21:52 PM
 #80241

clear clear
I am convinced that these games cannot all be won
when you play games like this obviously all it takes is a draw and obviously everything goes terribly

you have to try in any case and I bet very little, for me it's a pastime
I often get it right Smiley

It is a bold try and you already say you are doing it just for fun with a small amount. Then just go for it, good luck!  Smiley  I have always wondered how often all the favourites won on a game week at the same time in history. But I was too lazy not to do a research about it.  Tongue

I'm really uncomfortable with placing a bet on Milan to win from now on. I was the opposite before but there wasn't this version of Milan those times. Now there is a one that can't still win a single game after three weeks passed...

Roma are also not much different with 0 wins. What happened to these teams? They don't even have weak squads which might have been a reason otherwise.
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September 13, 2024, 05:28:21 PM
 #80242

On paper Empoli is not better than Juventus, in fact they have quite significant differences in my opinion, but that does not mean Juventus can underestimate Empoli, they must remain vigilant against their opponents this week. Empoli is unbeaten in the first 3 matches, although they only managed to win 1 match. Likewise with Juventus, they won 2 times and drew 1 time in the first 3 matches.

It's exactly on paper that Empoli is better than Juventus, because in your own words, they beat Roma away while Juventus didn't manage to score a goal against Roma at home, so exactly on paper Empoli would be better, more when you look that Juventus has a really a bad stats for away games, one out of nine, so based on that no way Juventus would be a 1.72 favorite away..
But that's exactly only on paper!

Not worth the direct bet, if you're confident in Juventus you can take -1 at 3.2, more value for the risks.




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September 13, 2024, 05:30:44 PM
 #80243

If we look at the stability and depth of the squad, Juventus will still be the favorite. It's just that I want to be more careful before making a choice. Because Empoli was able to hold Bologna to a draw and beat Roma, I don't think it can be underestimated at all. But I also believe Juventus will not lose. It's just that the only choice now is whether Juventus will win or will only get a draw. I still have doubts. But I hope Thiago Motta doesn't let us down if we ultimately choose to bet on Juventus winning.
I think I also understand your concerns in making choices for this match. Because we have to admit that at the start of the season we don't know which teams will continue their good performance and which won't. Empoli last season they were quite bad. but we can see that last season they were able to hold Juventus to a draw in the second meeting. So they really cannot be underestimated at all. But last season Juventus was just as bad, although not as bad as Empoli. Last season Juventus was inconsistent and always had difficulty scoring goals. But I think this season Juventus is a little different. they can play more freely and are always able to create lots of opportunities up front. I think Thiago Motta as the new coach there has made this team different this season. And even though I'm not 100% sure, I will still favor Juventus for this match. At least I'm sure Juventus will win even if it's only by a narrow score.
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September 13, 2024, 05:33:32 PM
 #80244

Betting on every match in any league is very risky, even sometimes a favorite team that is very strong in appearance can sometimes experience a draw when we bet on their victory. But from that surprise we have many options to bet on BTTS or bet on the number of scores. Regarding the choice of betting on Juventus and Inter, it is the most convincing choice at this time and for other matches we may need to see the line up first. If we can see the formation and line-up of players, we can consider where we will bet. But personally I will only choose Inter, Juventus, and Torino. And other matches I may consider later.

I also decide to place bets after seeing the starting XI of the teams. However, betting on the starting XI in Juventus matches is also risky. Juventus played at their home in the last match and their squad was also strong. Even then, Juventus can't play well. It's not important for me that Juventus can get 3 points, but overall performance of Juventus was poor. And this is why I am wary of betting on Juventus' upcoming matches.

However, along with Inter Milan and Juventus, the Torino team is also performing well this season. In the first two matches, we saw Torino perform well. The team shared the points against AC Milan and won against Atalanta. It is expected that Torino will win against Lecce in the next match.

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September 13, 2024, 05:38:08 PM
 #80245

In the next match against Empoli at the Stadio Castellani, of course this is not easy because both teams are still unbeaten in the last three matches. Empoli has started the season well so far, they have won one of three matches. However, even so, I see Juventus having a great chance of winning because they come with more impressive capital with the record that until now Juventus has not conceded a single goal and they have also started well in their last three matches by scoring six goals without conceding.
Empoli is not a difficult opponent for Juventus if I look at the quality of the players that Juventus has this season and the match could be a good opportunity for Juventus to get full points even though Empoli will also put up quite a fierce fight in order not to lose to the Juventus team. Because from the results of Empoli's meetings with Juventus in matches that have occurred before this season, Empoli has lost very often and Juventus has won very often so Juventus has a much better chance in the next match if they are able to play well enough at Empoli's home ground.
Juventus is a big and strong team and they started the in a good form which makes me feel that they have the upper hand of winning Empoli. Empoli is a team that will not easily accept defeat but at the end Juventus will always prove their quality and get all three points from the match.

Empoli on the other band might become a pain on the ass for Juventus which means that they might not allow Juventus to go with all three points and will struggle to draw the match.

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September 13, 2024, 05:42:20 PM
 #80246


Betting on every match in any league is very risky, even sometimes a favorite team that is very strong in appearance can sometimes experience a draw when we bet on their victory. But from that surprise we have many options to bet on BTTS or bet on the number of scores. Regarding the choice of betting on Juventus and Inter, it is the most convincing choice at this time and for other matches we may need to see the line up first. If we can see the formation and line-up of players, we can consider where we will bet. But personally I will only choose Inter, Juventus, and Torino. And other matches I may consider later.
The risk is definitely very present because after all, with the current conditions where those who have just returned after international matches with their country, it is clear that this has a considerable risk of fatigue so that the risk of matches out of control and predictions is clearly a problem that is difficult to solve.

But in this case of course we are aware that in the end things like this will not really change any perspective especially when looking at the opponents who will Juventus and Inter themselves actually they are still below the level of them so surely Juventus and Inter are still the favourites in the match later.

I think by looking at this there is nothing wrong if in the end we still include this match as match material even though looking at the actual odds it is quite small but this is worth making a multibet.

 
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September 13, 2024, 05:45:04 PM
 #80247

~~~
I've seen so many gamblers complain of how they've lost so much money gambling on Italian Serie A games this season but to me, I didn't experience much disappointments from my predictions and bets on Italian games. The only two Italian clubs that I've been adding to my staking slips are Inter Milan and Juventus and in as much as they've made me lose a few stakes, they've also helped me win many stakes with their results. I've looked at the fixtures if Inter Milan and Juventus this weekend in the league and I can confidently say that I've already concluded on what to stake on the games.
When you only bet on favorite teams such as Juventus and Inter, of course your chances of winning the bet are higher than betting on other non-favorite teams. I don't deny your gambling approach, but this approach is not always profitable because the odds you have are not as high as those of other teams. You will make a profit of $10 at odds of 1.10 by betting $100 on the favorite team, but next time you will lose $100 and wipe out all your profits in 10 wins.

I don't think this kind of approach will always be profitable, especially since the favorite team can also lose some games. If the odds on the favorite team are more than 1.50, I think it is a good time to bet on them instead of 1.01, 1.10 to 1.40 .

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September 13, 2024, 05:45:57 PM
 #80248

Juventus is a big and strong team and they started the in a good form which makes me feel that they have the upper hand of winning Empoli. Empoli is a team that will not easily accept defeat but at the end Juventus will always prove their quality and get all three points from the match.

Empoli on the other band might become a pain on the ass for Juventus which means that they might not allow Juventus to go with all three points and will struggle to draw the match.
But if Juventus in this match cannot beat Empoli then I think that shows that Juventus is not even ready to compete for the title this season. Because their competitor is Inter Milan, they always win, whether at home or away. So if Juventus is careless and gets a draw again in week 4, it will be the same as giving Inter Milan the opportunity to regain the lead this season and will start to leave Juventus with an increasingly widening point difference.

However, Juventus cannot afford to lose this match and lose points or just share points. Because they still have to ensure that there is no widening of the points gap between them and other teams who currently have the same number of points as Juventus.
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September 13, 2024, 05:51:09 PM
 #80249

In the next match against Empoli at the Stadio Castellani, of course this is not easy because both teams are still unbeaten in the last three matches. Empoli has started the season well so far, they have won one of three matches. However, even so, I see Juventus having a great chance of winning because they come with more impressive capital with the record that until now Juventus has not conceded a single goal and they have also started well in their last three matches by scoring six goals without conceding.
Empoli is not a difficult opponent for Juventus if I look at the quality of the players that Juventus has this season and the match could be a good opportunity for Juventus to get full points even though Empoli will also put up quite a fierce fight in order not to lose to the Juventus team. Because from the results of Empoli's meetings with Juventus in matches that have occurred before this season, Empoli has lost very often and Juventus has won very often so Juventus has a much better chance in the next match if they are able to play well enough at Empoli's home ground.
Juventus is a big and strong team and they started the in a good form which makes me feel that they have the upper hand of winning Empoli. Empoli is a team that will not easily accept defeat but at the end Juventus will always prove their quality and get all three points from the match.

Empoli on the other band might become a pain on the ass for Juventus which means that they might not allow Juventus to go with all three points and will struggle to draw the match.

We were very happy with the performance of Juventus Juventus in the first two matches. But we don't see a better performance from Juventus against Roma. In particular I would say the performance of Juventus' attacking players was poor. Juventus players did not attack much in this match, and were not able to score a single goal.

Juventus might win against Empoli even with such a performance. Because the Empoli team is not strong. However, if such a performance, Juventus will not be able to continue the winning streak. Juventus must try to strengthen their attack line. If they are interested in winning the title.

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September 13, 2024, 06:07:33 PM
 #80250

Betting on every match in any league is very risky, even sometimes a favorite team that is very strong in appearance can sometimes experience a draw when we bet on their victory. But from that surprise we have many options to bet on BTTS or bet on the number of scores. Regarding the choice of betting on Juventus and Inter, it is the most convincing choice at this time and for other matches we may need to see the line up first. If we can see the formation and line-up of players, we can consider where we will bet. But personally I will only choose Inter, Juventus, and Torino. And other matches I may consider later.

I also decide to place bets after seeing the starting XI of the teams. However, betting on the starting XI in Juventus matches is also risky. Juventus played at their home in the last match and their squad was also strong. Even then, Juventus can't play well. It's not important for me that Juventus can get 3 points, but overall performance of Juventus was poor. And this is why I am wary of betting on Juventus' upcoming matches.

However, along with Inter Milan and Juventus, the Torino team is also performing well this season. In the first two matches, we saw Torino perform well. The team shared the points against AC Milan and won against Atalanta. It is expected that Torino will win against Lecce in the next match.
All types of bets are risky. you have to accept this risk to bet.  Juventus is a very good team but sometimes they perform very badly not only with them but also with many good teams. So if you want to place a bet, you must gamble with this responsibility. Juventus, Inter, AC Milan are the 3 teams I consider to be the strongest in the Italian league and I sometimes bet on them because they are the most potential teams in the Italian league then others teams.

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September 13, 2024, 06:40:53 PM
 #80251

If I myself only include a few matches in parlay bets such as Juventus, AC Milan and Inter Milan matches, to be honest I am a little doubtful about AC Milan because this club has not yet performed optimally, but because it is playing at home, it should be able to maximize it to win and won full points so far Milan has not won full points in its last 3 matches.
And indeed like that, from all the matches that are played, it will definitely make us doubt one of the matches that are playing, it is a natural thing to predict many matches at once.

I am quite sure that AC Milan can beat Venezia, even though their performance is very bad but if they face a team like Venezia Fonseca still has the face to beat them, if they can't beat them it will destroy his reputation as AC Milan coach.
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September 13, 2024, 06:55:10 PM
 #80252

If I myself only include a few matches in parlay bets such as Juventus, AC Milan and Inter Milan matches, to be honest I am a little doubtful about AC Milan because this club has not yet performed optimally, but because it is playing at home, it should be able to maximize it to win and won full points so far Milan has not won full points in its last 3 matches.
And indeed like that, from all the matches that are played, it will definitely make us doubt one of the matches that are playing, it is a natural thing to predict many matches at once.

I am quite sure that AC Milan can beat Venezia, even though their performance is very bad but if they face a team like Venezia Fonseca still has the face to beat them, if they can't beat them it will destroy his reputation as AC Milan coach.

About Milan vs Venezia basically both teams have not won so far in Serie A, although basically Milan is a top Serie A team but for some reason at this moment I feel doubtful about Milan. But even so, on the other hand I also remain confident that Milan will maximize this home match to get its first three points this season, because their opponent is also Venezia which of course is basically not a difficult opponent regardless of underestimating or not.

However, if Milan fails to win in this home match against Venezia then maybe that is a big sign for Milan to look for another manager. Because after all, based on the rumors circulating that Paulo Fonseca is also threatened with being fired if he is unable to make a good and fast recovery at Milan this season. For that reason, it has become a mandatory win for Milan against Venezia tomorrow.
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September 13, 2024, 07:17:32 PM
 #80253

If I myself only include a few matches in parlay bets such as Juventus, AC Milan and Inter Milan matches, to be honest I am a little doubtful about AC Milan because this club has not yet performed optimally, but because it is playing at home, it should be able to maximize it to win and won full points so far Milan has not won full points in its last 3 matches.
And indeed like that, from all the matches that are played, it will definitely make us doubt one of the matches that are playing, it is a natural thing to predict many matches at once.

I am quite sure that AC Milan can beat Venezia, even though their performance is very bad but if they face a team like Venezia Fonseca still has the face to beat them, if they can't beat them it will destroy his reputation as AC Milan coach.

Yeah AC Milan should be able to get the first 3 points in this match when playing at home and against a weak team but another fact of Serie A is that there are always surprises in some matches for example, AC Milan who are the favorites against a weak team, could only draw. Another surprising thing is that in other matches almost all the home teams won or conversely the away team won well, things like this make me ignore the matches in Serie A more often especially on 1x2 bets.

Tomorrow Serie A has 2 interesting matches AC Milan vs Venezia and Empoli vs Juventus well as usual I will place a bet on both teams to score with total odds 4.1 I know this is a bit risky but somehow I'm quite confident, it doesn't matter if I lose because I only place small bets, you are not interested in this bet? For single bet I choose total corners in Empoli vs Juventus match over 9.5 because Empoli will try hard as the home team and Juventus also did the same thing to catch up with Inter Milan.

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September 13, 2024, 08:09:21 PM
 #80254

When a player you never heard of before, ends up being chased by teams for 10+ million euro, you feel you are getting old. Who the hell is zalewski, and not like I do not watch any roma games neither, I do watch them sometimes, not specifically their games, but when they have important games in Europe or facing a big club in Serie A, I watch them and as far as I know, angelino is their left back, not zalewksi, and I see that this dude, who doesn't even play that much, ends up being worth 10+ million somehow?

The inflation rates did impact football world a lot too, normally we do not see these players worth this much, but nowadays almost everyone worths at least ten million, normally just five years ago, this dude would be just a few million at best.
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September 13, 2024, 08:15:48 PM
 #80255

If I myself only include a few matches in parlay bets such as Juventus, AC Milan and Inter Milan matches, to be honest I am a little doubtful about AC Milan because this club has not yet performed optimally, but because it is playing at home, it should be able to maximize it to win and won full points so far Milan has not won full points in its last 3 matches.
And indeed like that, from all the matches that are played, it will definitely make us doubt one of the matches that are playing, it is a natural thing to predict many matches at once.

I am quite sure that AC Milan can beat Venezia, even though their performance is very bad but if they face a team like Venezia Fonseca still has the face to beat them, if they can't beat them it will destroy his reputation as AC Milan coach.
Fonseca should try his best and make sure that Milan wins Venezia because they are weak opponents and that should be an easy match for Milan to gain three points from for the fisrt time thos season.

I don't know the pattern that Fonseca is using that is not favoring the team game style but he needs to improve the team so that Milan can start winning matches again just like they use to do in other seasons. I will watch the match to see what will be the outcome of the game.

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September 13, 2024, 08:19:07 PM
 #80256

Dušan Vlahović is still 24 years old and since his arrival at Juventus, this player has continued to show good progress and it is indeed fitting for Juventus management to extend his contract.
I highlight Juventus' performance not only on individual players and indeed under Motta's coaching, the Juventus team has changed for the better even though at the beginning of this season we have not been able to measure the true strength of the team but there is progress being made by Motta to be able to make Juventus much better this season and I am quite optimistic about that and do not even rule out the possibility that Juventus can compete fiercely in the fight for the Serie A title this season.
He did a lot but he could did a lot more.
This year is the final test with a new coach.
If he keeps the same result it will be not such a good deal the renewal.

They paid him 80 mil, he should score nearly 30goal per year at that price and especially at that salary.

I remember when he came in, people had a lot of expectations from him. But I think it is fair to say that he did not deliver as expected from him. In the last season, Vlahović has scored 16 goals from 33 matches and he scored 10 goals from 27 matches the season before that. Those numbers definitely do not justify the price. Vlahović definitely should do better. But I will say on his favor that he has been able to score 2 goals from the first three matches this season. this is a good sign. I hope he will be able to continue well and consistently. Because that is very essential for the success of Juventus in this season.
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September 13, 2024, 08:28:42 PM
 #80257

~snip
But if Juventus in this match cannot beat Empoli then I think that shows that Juventus is not even ready to compete for the title this season. Because their competitor is Inter Milan, they always win, whether at home or away. So if Juventus is careless and gets a draw again in week 4, it will be the same as giving Inter Milan the opportunity to regain the lead this season and will start to leave Juventus with an increasingly widening point difference.

However, Juventus cannot afford to lose this match and lose points or just share points. Because they still have to ensure that there is no widening of the points gap between them and other teams who currently have the same number of points as Juventus.
So losing to Empoli means Juventus is not ready as a whole? This is the 4th match so there are still many possibilities that can happen, every team will definitely experience ups and downs in each match sometimes winning, sometimes losing and sometimes drawing as long as the trophy fight is still wide open means Juventus still has the same chance.
Today 3 point victory is very important to occupy the first position temporarily. Because Inter schedule will visit Monza headquarters two days after the Juventus match.
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September 13, 2024, 08:29:29 PM
 #80258

I remember when he came in, people had a lot of expectations from him. But I think it is fair to say that he did not deliver as expected from him. In the last season, Vlahović has scored 16 goals from 33 matches and he scored 10 goals from 27 matches the season before that. Those numbers definitely do not justify the price. Vlahović definitely should do better. But I will say on his favor that he has been able to score 2 goals from the first three matches this season. this is a good sign. I hope he will be able to continue well and consistently. Because that is very essential for the success of Juventus in this season.

Yeah he scored 2, missed 2 easy goals and got some goals disallowed.
This year coud be easly his year, since they built the team around him, for him for letting him score a lot of goals.

He is also the only 1 real striker the team have, Motta is weird for strikers and he has not suck big demand for them.
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September 13, 2024, 08:51:52 PM
 #80259

Lukaku can adapt. He might not be the fastest guy on the pitch anymore, but he's got the smarts, the positioning, the finishing touch. He is indeed aging. Yet, that also makes him wiser and more cool under pressure. When the game hangs on, you want a player like that on your squad. Never undervalue the authority of experience. Lukaku has still more to contribute


What a belly (just joking, no sarcasm)  Roll Eyes


I think even with these weaknesses a good coach with the best strategy that suits Lukaku’s playing style will help him excel at any club. Lukaku has worked with many coaches and made good records under them. Lukaku did not fail entirely in the premier because he was a beast for Everton back in the years which I remember so well. Antonio Conte should be very familiar with Lukaku’s playing style and abilities. I am sure their partnership would yield good results.
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September 13, 2024, 08:53:16 PM
 #80260

Juventus is a big and strong team and they started the in a good form which makes me feel that they have the upper hand of winning Empoli. Empoli is a team that will not easily accept defeat but at the end Juventus will always prove their quality and get all three points from the match.
match.
This season has been a great season for the juventus, because it has be a surprise for me with the way they started this with good performances, so in my own opinion, in their coming match against Empoli, I don’t think they wface any challenges against them, because according to how people speak about them, they are not a strong team, and I can also see that right from the table, Empoli are going to receive a lot of pressure from the match.
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Empoli on the other band might become a pain on the ass for Juventus which means that they might not allow Juventus to go with all three points and will struggle to draw the match.
This their up coming match may be tough and it might not tough, because Empoli is not that strong that I will say that thus can able to struggle to share a points with juventus talkles of fights a draw with them, I know that they can only try their possible best to also perform well; but lest count out that they will struggle to draw them or share a points.

R


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