Bitcoin Forum
April 28, 2024, 08:01:40 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Poll
Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 62

Pages: « 1 ... 12264 12265 12266 12267 12268 12269 12270 12271 12272 12273 12274 12275 12276 12277 12278 12279 12280 12281 12282 12283 12284 12285 12286 12287 12288 12289 12290 12291 12292 12293 12294 12295 12296 12297 12298 12299 12300 12301 12302 12303 12304 12305 12306 12307 12308 12309 12310 12311 12312 12313 [12314] 12315 12316 12317 12318 12319 12320 12321 12322 12323 12324 12325 12326 12327 12328 12329 12330 12331 12332 12333 12334 12335 12336 12337 12338 12339 12340 12341 12342 12343 12344 12345 12346 12347 12348 12349 12350 12351 12352 12353 12354 12355 12356 12357 12358 12359 12360 12361 12362 12363 12364 ... 33305 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26368788 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
minerpumpkin
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 686
Merit: 500


A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night


View Profile
May 07, 2015, 12:41:43 AM

These kinds of incidents and errors look just like things programs written for Computer Science 101 classes would produce. This isn't some minor rounding error anymore - if true, someone has messed this up big time!

Have you seen the BitGo integer overflow error? (BitGo gave to a lucky user a javascript tool to recover BTC from an old-format wallet.  The tool had an integer overflow bug that would send at most 232 - 1 satoshi (~40 BTC) to the destination output, leaving everything else as transaction fee.  Fortunately the miner was nice and returned the ~80 BTC fee to the user.)

Yeah, heard about that one. Overflow bugs are always very weird things to watch. It totally makes sense for such a bug to be undiscovered in a recovery tool or something like that, but it's not as if the trading engine of Finex has only been live for a day by now. Still, I'd be very interested in seeing what actually happened here (if anything happened, actually!)
1714291300
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714291300

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714291300
Reply with quote  #2

1714291300
Report to moderator
"Governments are good at cutting off the heads of a centrally controlled networks like Napster, but pure P2P networks like Gnutella and Tor seem to be holding their own." -- Satoshi
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction.
Chainsaw
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 625
Merit: 501


x


View Profile
May 07, 2015, 12:48:04 AM

How did GBTC react to the dump? Could they be added to chartbuddy? We need to know the REAL price for BTC. Why can´t i find their REAL price on any other exchange? Could somebody please explain again? I don´t understand!   Embarrassed

GBTC data from OTCQX page at end of each day:

Date             day's price range      day's volume
---------------+----------------------+-------------
2015-05-04        37.98 --   42.00               765
2015-05-05        55.00 --   94.86               435
2015-05-06         N/A  --    N/A                125


According to a post on the SecondMarket Observer thread, when OTCQX updates the GBTC quote page, it ignores any trades smaller than 100 shares (10 BTC).  That is why the daily price range for today is shown as "N/A--N/A" ("not available") even though 125 shares were traded today.  Also, OTCQX has the same working hours as NYSE.

I don't think one can get better data from other sources; they can only get it from OTCQX.  Paying clients of OTCQX apparently have access to the trade log; perhaps someone can find some such client who would leak some hints...

EDIT: by the way, OTCQX is not like an ordinary stock or bitcoin exchange.  They seem to be more like a central database that collects and merges information from registered brokers; it is the brokers who keep the client's shares and execute the trades.  Right?


The bloomberg feed seems to display the complete dataset. I don't have access to this, but saw a screenshot in this thread a few days back which showed the various, small Asks I had set which were not visible elsewhere.

I sold 60 shares today at $65. Depending on which view you look at, that is either displayed or not.

This will all be moot when <100-share orders become noise.
It is unfortunate that in the bootstrap phase, over-generalized outlier rules remove much-needed visibility into whatever market activity does exist.

The most notable two events, in my mind, for the day were the utter lack of volume (no new BIT sellers), and a significant increase in the volume of Bids at $65. The amount increased as the day went on.

That said, in 3 days we have _not_ exploded upwards. It would take a single 1000 share seller to put the 50000 share Maxim order at $35 to the top of the list.

I played it safe, took the 50% gain with most of my remaining stake, and called it a day.

Continuing to watch with interest.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1745


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
May 07, 2015, 12:57:55 AM

Coin
Explanation
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1745


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
May 07, 2015, 01:57:58 AM

Coin
Explanation
adamstgBit
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037


Trusted Bitcoiner


View Profile WWW
May 07, 2015, 02:01:39 AM
Last edit: May 07, 2015, 02:24:12 AM by adamstgBit

How did GBTC react to the dump? Could they be added to chartbuddy? We need to know the REAL price for BTC. Why can´t i find their REAL price on any other exchange? Could somebody please explain again? I don´t understand!   Embarrassed

GBTC data from OTCQX page at end of each day:

Date             day's price range      day's volume
---------------+----------------------+-------------
2015-05-04        37.98 --   42.00               765
2015-05-05        55.00 --   94.86               435
2015-05-06         N/A  --    N/A                125


According to a post on the SecondMarket Observer thread, when OTCQX updates the GBTC quote page, it ignores any trades smaller than 100 shares (10 BTC).  That is why the daily price range for today is shown as "N/A--N/A" ("not available") even though 125 shares were traded today.  Also, OTCQX has the same working hours as NYSE.

I don't think one can get better data from other sources; they can only get it from OTCQX.  Paying clients of OTCQX apparently have access to the trade log; perhaps someone can find some such client who would leak some hints...

EDIT: by the way, OTCQX is not like an ordinary stock or bitcoin exchange.  They seem to be more like a central database that collects and merges information from registered brokers; it is the brokers who keep the client's shares and execute the trades.  Right?


The bloomberg feed seems to display the complete dataset. I don't have access to this, but saw a screenshot in this thread a few days back which showed the various, small Asks I had set which were not visible elsewhere.

I sold 60 shares today at $65. Depending on which view you look at, that is either displayed or not.

This will all be moot when <100-share orders become noise.
It is unfortunate that in the bootstrap phase, over-generalized outlier rules remove much-needed visibility into whatever market activity does exist.

The most notable two events, in my mind, for the day were the utter lack of volume (no new BIT sellers), and a significant increase in the volume of Bids at $65. The amount increased as the day went on.

That said, in 3 days we have _not_ exploded upwards. It would take a single 1000 share seller to put the 50000 share Maxim order at $35 to the top of the list.

I played it safe, took the 50% gain with most of my remaining stake, and called it a day.

Continuing to watch with interest.
glad to see GBTC is now trading, but it make 0 sence to me that theres no one willing to get out of GBTC @ 650 and or placing sell orders above 650. Out of 1.4 millions shares 100 are up for sale, and at 4X stamps price, kinda ridiculous....

also what is this "MPID" thing? ( ManiPulator ID? )
can individuals go trade on this market? or do they have to go through an "MP"
what's the trading fees like?

also its really bizarre that coindesk did not report this news of GBTC trading.
and whats even more surprising is that BTC markets are down like 4%

I'm baffled.
bassclef
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 924
Merit: 1000



View Profile
May 07, 2015, 02:38:23 AM

I try to leave for a nice extended three martini lunch and the place goes to hell. Classic Bitcoin.

Well, we have a 6h candle with BTC40k volume and I can almost guarantee that the price didn't move as far as whoever did the dumping wanted it to. Lots of buying as evidenced by that long bottom wick. Compare it to April 13th's 6h candle of similar volume and see how far the price went (hint: much farther). Volume like that tends to be stopping volume, not starting volume. What does it mean? Well that's for us to deduce.
JorgeStolfi
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 910
Merit: 1003



View Profile
May 07, 2015, 02:41:34 AM

glad to see GBTC is now trading, but it make 0 sence to me that theres no one willing to get out of GBTC @ 650 and or placing sell orders above 650. Out of 1.4 millions shares 100 are up for sale, and at 4X stamps price, kinda ridiculous....

Most people who bought BIT shares are probably long-term investors who are not scared by the current price dip. (They were willing to be locked infor 6 or 12 months when they bougt.)

Also, after the BIT shares weer "transferred" to the shareholders, each shareholder still needed to do some paperwork before he could put his shares for sale.  Perhaps most holders did not succeded in doing it, of did not have the time to do it, or did not give it a high enough priority.

Also, the average investor paid ~50 $/share, and the lucky ones who paid less include the founders.  They may not want to sell for much less than that.

Quote
can individuals go trade on this market? or do they have to go through an "MP" ?

Anyone can buy, but they have to use a registered stock broker.  Brokers may use other brokers.  

Quote
also its really bizarre that coindesk did not report this news of GBTC trading.

CoinDesk must be waiting for Greyscale to tell them what to write.  And Greyscale probbly wants to wait until there are some good news to tell.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1745


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
May 07, 2015, 02:57:55 AM

Coin
Explanation
Mrpumperitis
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2716
Merit: 1075


View Profile
May 07, 2015, 03:00:40 AM

got my 400btc buy order on ;-) ,  be prepared for next bull run to $300  Cool
JorgeStolfi
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 910
Merit: 1003



View Profile
May 07, 2015, 03:10:11 AM

About the chances of COIN being approved:

Eric Balchunas, Bloomberg 2014-12-22
Bond Kings, Bitcoin and China: Exchange-Traded Funds to Watch For in 2015

Quote
One hundred ninety-nine new ETFs launched in 2014, a 30 percent jump over 2013. That expanded the total ETF universe to 1,666. And there are 1,111 new ETFs in registration, awaiting approval from the Securities and Exchange Commission. Among them are ETFs that would be the first ever to track activist investors, short-squeezed stocks and Saudi Arabia. [ ... ] The most famous ETF filing of them all is the Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust (ticker-to-be: COIN). Any time a word is changed in the filing, it gets national media attention. COIN would purchase and store bitcoins in the same way that the SPDR Gold Shares ( GLD ) purchases and stores gold. The only difference is that the vault would be virtual. There is still doubt, however, that the SEC will approve the first-ever virtual asset ETF. The longer it sits in registration, the less likely it is to launch.
Mrpumperitis
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2716
Merit: 1075


View Profile
May 07, 2015, 03:12:28 AM

About the chances of COIN being approved:

Eric Balchunas, Bloomberg 2014-12-22
Bond Kings, Bitcoin and China: Exchange-Traded Funds to Watch For in 2015

Quote
One hundred ninety-nine new ETFs launched in 2014, a 30 percent jump over 2013. That expanded the total ETF universe to 1,666. And there are 1,111 new ETFs in registration, awaiting approval from the Securities and Exchange Commission. Among them are ETFs that would be the first ever to track activist investors, short-squeezed stocks and Saudi Arabia. [ ... ] The most famous ETF filing of them all is the Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust (ticker-to-be: COIN). Any time a word is changed in the filing, it gets national media attention. COIN would purchase and store bitcoins in the same way that the SPDR Gold Shares ( GLD ) purchases and stores gold. The only difference is that the vault would be virtual. There is still doubt, however, that the SEC will approve the first-ever virtual asset ETF. The longer it sits in registration, the less likely it is to launch.

very interesting
Mrpumperitis
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2716
Merit: 1075


View Profile
May 07, 2015, 03:33:49 AM

guys any opinion on btc 20mb size in 2016 ?

http://siliconangle.com/blog/2015/05/06/bitcoin-weekly-2015-may-6-gavin-andresen-and-max-block-size-fincen-fines-ripple-labs-wozniak-joins-planet-capital-board/
lay785
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 266
Merit: 250


View Profile
May 07, 2015, 03:53:40 AM


Here ya go:

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/search?q=gavin&restrict_sr=on&t=week
Assad
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 135
Merit: 100


View Profile
May 07, 2015, 03:55:47 AM


barely holding 230:(

But bitcoin average still says 231+
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1745


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
May 07, 2015, 03:57:54 AM

Coin
Explanation
Mrpumperitis
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2716
Merit: 1075


View Profile
May 07, 2015, 04:02:22 AM


cheers m8  Smiley
JorgeStolfi
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 910
Merit: 1003



View Profile
May 07, 2015, 04:18:01 AM


This one is interesting:

Bitcoin devs do NOT have consensus on blocksize
Chef Ramsay
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1568
Merit: 1001



View Profile
May 07, 2015, 04:27:21 AM

400 k of new longs opened! Seems promising and bullish.  

I'm buying.

I'm watching you, Willis. It is bullish but this newb account better be on the up and up or it's curtains for ya. Too many newbs are sox drooling for btc's death at this point.
Mrpumperitis
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2716
Merit: 1075


View Profile
May 07, 2015, 04:28:30 AM


thats a gd read and some funny comments -- "I think its rather exciting honestly. In the end if we cannot come to a consensus, people will just use or create whatever alt-coin fits their needs. Or we can organize a brawl to the death at a bitcoin conference"  lol

i think its to difficult to agree with so many people involved in a fully decentralized currency.
Mrpumperitis
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2716
Merit: 1075


View Profile
May 07, 2015, 04:29:44 AM

400 k of new longs opened! Seems promising and bullish.  

I'm buying.

I'm watching you, Willis. It is bullish but this newb account better be on the up and up or it's curtains for ya. Too many newbs are sox drooling for btc's death at this point.

orite gordon,lol  didnt except to see any celebs here  Cheesy
Pages: « 1 ... 12264 12265 12266 12267 12268 12269 12270 12271 12272 12273 12274 12275 12276 12277 12278 12279 12280 12281 12282 12283 12284 12285 12286 12287 12288 12289 12290 12291 12292 12293 12294 12295 12296 12297 12298 12299 12300 12301 12302 12303 12304 12305 12306 12307 12308 12309 12310 12311 12312 12313 [12314] 12315 12316 12317 12318 12319 12320 12321 12322 12323 12324 12325 12326 12327 12328 12329 12330 12331 12332 12333 12334 12335 12336 12337 12338 12339 12340 12341 12342 12343 12344 12345 12346 12347 12348 12349 12350 12351 12352 12353 12354 12355 12356 12357 12358 12359 12360 12361 12362 12363 12364 ... 33305 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!