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August 15, 2020, 05:46:02 PM *
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Question: 8/16 Closing Price (yeah, it's a Sunday):
0 - 2 (3.9%)
<$10,500 - 3 (5.9%)
$10,500-$11,000 - 1 (2%)
$11,001-$11,500 - 5 (9.8%)
$11,501-$12,000 - 11 (21.6%)
$12,000-$12,500 - 17 (33.3%)
>$12,500 - 10 (19.6%)
>$20,000 - 2 (3.9%)
Total Voters: 51

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21822358 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (148 posts by 37 users deleted.)
Toxic2040
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June 01, 2019, 06:18:19 AM

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June 01, 2019, 06:38:49 AM

I remember 30 years ago...and I shall not forget.


#stronghands'19

When I was in the Shanghai airport for a layover, the first thing I did was try to do a Google search for "Tiananmen Square." But, I couldn't connect to Google, so...


Everything Google- and Facebook-related was blocked. Also no Wikipedia.

I could access tor though. Didn't screw around too deeply for fear of being arrested for thought crimes.



They are trying to erase it from memory. I dont think most people remember the Umbrella Movement let alone Tian'anmen Square.

True, the Chinese government tries hard in this matter, and they succeeded for a reasonable amount of time, they brainwashed the young mind in a very structural manner, some of my Chinese friends even rejected the fact that this event even took place in a high level in the first place. But now many reporters-students, who covered the "Tiananmen Square" protest keep coming with photo negatives + developed photos.

Louder than Bombs

Photos of the Tiananmen Square Protests Through the Lens of a Student Witness

  
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June 01, 2019, 06:51:20 AM

Ok its off topic, but we all love charts here and I saw a very interesting chart today.  Cheesy



I realize Shitvision Icon Calvin Ayre's chart would be 15-20 range, but Leo is with consenting adults so he gets my respect for this. I suspect many wealthy hodlers will have charts similar to this in the future after we overtake 100k.

Leo takes chicks in their prime years and then passes them off to guys like Tom Brady and Green Lantern when they are too old for him. The guy is in his own league.

I thought it was pretty clear Leo is gay and these hot supermodel beards make it even more obvious.  Cool
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June 01, 2019, 07:07:28 AM

Ok its off topic, but we all love charts here and I saw a very interesting chart today.  Cheesy



I realize Shitvision Icon Calvin Ayre's chart would be 15-20 range, but Leo is with consenting adults so he gets my respect for this. I suspect many wealthy hodlers will have charts similar to this in the future after we overtake 100k.

Leo takes chicks in their prime years and then passes them off to guys like Tom Brady and Green Lantern when they are too old for him. The guy is in his own league.

I thought it was pretty clear Leo is gay and these hot supermodel beards make it even more obvious.  Cool

It could be... After all, they all pretty much look like the same damn woman. Its like jeez Leo, mix it up a little bit. At least date a brunette or a fair skinned latina or something.

Edit: at least his most recent pick is a part-time brunette.
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June 01, 2019, 07:14:54 AM
Merited by mindrust (1)

So Leo is brand ambassador of pump and dump.
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June 01, 2019, 07:22:58 AM
Last edit: June 01, 2019, 07:40:04 AM by realr0ach

Maybe he discovered the shockingly obvious fact that female looks and their outrageously demanding and entitled attitude are inversely proportional to one another as they age.  ANY good looking woman in today's civilization is given a pass on whatever they do, so there's no negative reinforcement to any of their behavior as well.  As long as that maintains, society will churn out an ever increasing number of foul women.  

There's always been checks and balances on male behavior because another man will just punch you in the face, and nobody is going to worship you for the simple act of having a penis.  Since women are given a pass on everything simply for being women, being bi-polar and other mental insanities have become the norm for women everywhere polluting the gene pool because there's no selection process at all on their genes besides not being hideous.  Nothing is going to fix that until all the ugly guys (obviously not me) in this thread stop worshipping women as their god.
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June 01, 2019, 07:35:41 AM

Bitcoin SV is 44x less secure than bitcoin.
https://i.imgur.com/SzT3fV0.jpg

Yes, but currently over 5% more profitable to mine. Which would tend to narrow the gap.

Oh - and it is over 2500x more expensive to transact on BTC than on SV. But who cares about that, right?

(source: coin.dance)
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June 01, 2019, 07:37:07 AM


300 million buys ~100,000 s17 pros https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5138318.msg51287657#msg51287657 if you could get that many, with some discount
50 Th/s x 100,000 = 5 million T = 5 exahash


OK. But of course, Ayre runs SQR, which uses Samsung to fab their ASICs directly.
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June 01, 2019, 07:41:02 AM

I don't think I am strong enough to hodl till a million but thanks for the warning anyway.

I feel like my limit is somewhere at $100k Smiley can't even imagine btc going higher than $100k tbh. Maybe 5-10 years later but 10 years of lifetime isn't something i can ignore by hodling.

I'd rather cashout and enjoy my time.

Hodl til a million? Not all, mind you - but most? No prob.

My vision clouds after about $500,000. With some backtracing in old forum posts, you can discern why.

Already enjoying my time, TYVM.
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June 01, 2019, 07:42:41 AM

You should probably not be expecting a million when Jewish talk show host Max Keiser's *fantasy* Bitcoin price target is $100k.  His fantasy target, not legit one.  If his fantasy target is $100k, it means that's what he's hoping that you hope for while he hopes he can dump at half that price while leaving someone else holding the bag.
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June 01, 2019, 07:47:12 AM

I remember 30 years ago...and I shall not forget.


#stronghands'19

When I was in the Shanghai airport for a layover, the first thing I did was try to do a Google search for "Tiananmen Square." But, I couldn't connect to Google, so...


Everything Google- and Facebook-related was blocked. Also no Wikipedia.

I could access tor though. Didn't screw around too deeply for fear of being arrested for thought crimes.



They are trying to erase it from memory. I dont think most people remember the Umbrella Movement let alone Tian'anmen Square.

True, the Chinese government tries hard in this matter, and they succeeded for a reasonable amount of time, they brainwashed the young mind in a very structural manner, some of my Chinese friends even rejected the fact that this event even took place in a high level in the first place. But now many reporters-students, who covered the "Tiananmen Square" protest keep coming with photo negatives + developed photos.

Louder than Bombs

Photos of the Tiananmen Square Protests Through the Lens of a Student Witness

  

Thanks God this orange revolution in China funded and organized by the US neocons failed! The only goal of such pseudo revolutions is to ruin the economy of a geopolitical competitor. The CIA miserably failed in China. That is good, not bad!


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June 01, 2019, 07:49:18 AM

But... If Paul Le Roux ...

Le Roux isn’t Satoshi so interesting but ultimately not relevant.

I don't know nuttin 'bout birthin' no babies. Paul Les Rue?

Les Paul invented multitrack recording, and damn near invented the solidbody electric guitar. Maybe he staged his death a couple years early. Hmmm...
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June 01, 2019, 07:51:12 AM

This year looks way different from 2015, he could be right.

Pish posh

Let's face it, the market is way bigger and way smarter than in 2015. And we all know what the halving does to the price long term. Think about it.
Doesn't mean it won't continue going upwards after the halving, but $30-$40k next May makes sense to me.

ATH implies that it is the highest point followed by a crash.  A dip is expected (mandatory?) after the halvening spike but not a crash.

Well, the last (current) ATH was ... what ... $19666? So obviously, the next ATH will be $19667.

Jeesh.
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June 01, 2019, 07:55:46 AM

..then I keep thinking..what if it does this?  Goes up to say $20k-$25k this year...lets all those baghodlers exit...signals bearishness mid to end of 2020...OG's panic sell like little girls...and then does an about face in 2021 and rockets upwards towards $80k-$100k before the next cycle?

I think I found where you went astray.
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June 01, 2019, 07:58:03 AM
Last edit: June 01, 2019, 08:17:39 AM by jbreher

superexpoparabolic in late 2021.  

Supercallifragalisticparabolicoshish
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June 01, 2019, 08:13:42 AM

..then I keep thinking..what if it does this?  Goes up to say $20k-$25k this year...lets all those baghodlers exit...signals bearishness mid to end of 2020...OG's panic sell like little girls...and then does an about face in 2021 and rockets upwards towards $80k-$100k before the next cycle?

I think I found where you went astray.

SkepticalFrye.gif
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June 01, 2019, 08:29:26 AM

Since 2017, I've been following these famous filbfilb charts;
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BLX/W5wwj74c-Bitcoin-Long-Term-Trend-Analysis-A-near-term-clue-BLX-Update/
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BLX/LGfs4PUa-Bitcoin-A-Long-Tern-Market-Analysis/

I don't remember where I got that one from, but this might be the better version of filbfilb's TA:


https://www.tradingview.com/script/xdPkShYr-Bitcoin-non-linear-regression-curve-REAL/
This was NOT drawn by hand. This was calculated based on btc prices from 2010 to 2018. More than 60 different equations were tested and refined and ranked. This one is the best.
just got all the price historical price action, normalized, ran through a series of tests to find the best curve that fits. Then, got the formula and created the script using it in pine script

Looks like $40k might be the next ATH, $50k at best. Care to take a look and tell me what you think? Is he too conservative? Or realistic?



He is putting the next ATH around the next halvening.  Does he even TA bro?

He isn't putting an ATH, I did. If you put the red circle somewhere further for example in April/2021 it becomes $80k.

What you see here is different lines which decides a different minimum and maximum price range than what filbfilb created back in the day. The second filbfilb chart is the updated version of the first, and to me, this new chart looks like the updated version of filbfilb's 2nd chart.

Ofc, it is just fortune telling but here is why i see value in this chart:

He got the absolute bottom right when we were there. (the chart was created in 14/Feb/2019) The creator of the third chart didn't put those lines after 3-4k came and went, he did it when it was happening. That's value.

Note that: the 2nd chart of filbfilb also got the bottom, look at those yellow lines, we just followed them. What I am talking here is, the 3rd chart don't have that green line in the 2nd filbfilb chart. So the 3rd one is the one you should be following.

If you made your preparations according to the 2nd chart and waited for more lower lows (what if it touches the green line...) you lost some serious buying opportunities. (i did, i was seriously waiting for sub $3k at one point) That's why I am moving to this new TA.
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June 01, 2019, 08:52:47 AM


Advise = your doing good by buying BTC and hodl 2 years, you would do much better with buying now and buy each month a % of what you intend to save ad whatever price, just fix date NO MATTER WHAT Smiley and hodl longer as 2 years....

Send TY later in this thread.


This made me think,  wouldn't it be a great service to provide an automatic bitcoin savings plan?

I mean the person sets a direct debit, £50/pcm and each time it comes in the system does an automatic market buy for them (maybe less a fee).

The usual I suppose regulation would be hard on a money type business and with the badword as well in there (B)
 
The customer could hold their own wallet I guess to mitigate risk, though they may not want to I suppose. That would add security costs.
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June 01, 2019, 08:54:49 AM

I remember 30 years ago...and I shall not forget.


#stronghands'19

When I was in the Shanghai airport for a layover, the first thing I did was try to do a Google search for "Tiananmen Square." But, I couldn't connect to Google, so...


Everything Google- and Facebook-related was blocked. Also no Wikipedia.

I could access tor though. Didn't screw around too deeply for fear of being arrested for thought crimes.



They are trying to erase it from memory. I dont think most people remember the Umbrella Movement let alone Tian'anmen Square.

True, the Chinese government tries hard in this matter, and they succeeded for a reasonable amount of time, they brainwashed the young mind in a very structural manner, some of my Chinese friends even rejected the fact that this event even took place in a high level in the first place. But now many reporters-students, who covered the "Tiananmen Square" protest keep coming with photo negatives + developed photos.

Louder than Bombs

Photos of the Tiananmen Square Protests Through the Lens of a Student Witness

  

Thanks God this orange revolution in China funded and organized by the US neocons failed! The only goal of such pseudo revolutions is to ruin the economy of a geopolitical competitor. The CIA miserably failed in China. That is good, not bad!

I am not a fan of the USA's foreign policy in general. Pseudo revolutions or not it can be argued ( it depends on your ideological stand). And I am not a well-versed reader. But as far as I understand, during that time USA's main focus was Japan-economic competitor ( Read Toshiba's backlash). You are welcome to correct me here.

I Shared Toshiba's story in P&S yesterdayClick here
 
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June 01, 2019, 09:15:03 AM

Go Go go
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