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Question: How much of your corn do you plan on cashing out in the next massive bull run?
None - 26 (20.2%)
1-10% - 16 (12.4%)
11-20% - 15 (11.6%)
21-30% - 18 (14%)
31-40% - 7 (5.4%)
41-50% - 14 (10.9%)
51-60% - 9 (7%)
61-70% - 5 (3.9%)
71-80% - 4 (3.1%)
81-90% - 2 (1.6%)
91-99% - 3 (2.3%)
100% - 10 (7.8%)
Total Voters: 129

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21789273 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (148 posts by 37 users deleted.)
JayJuanGee
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How much alt coin diversification is needed? 0%?


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June 03, 2019, 08:25:15 AM

I've registered in 02/Dec/2013

If I had put $100 on BTC weekly since that day, I would have had $382,017.68 in my BTC account now. (44btc) Feelssadman.
https://calculator.for-bitcoin.com/?amount=100.00&freq=week&month=December&day=02&year=2013

DCA really works.

That's about when I started buying into bitcoin, too.  I believe that my first BTC purchase was in the final days of November 2013, so my hypothetical numbers based on such a similar timeline come out about the same.

$5 per day does pretty good too... gets you to about $134k in value based on about a $10k investment.

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realr0ach
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June 03, 2019, 08:28:12 AM

If I am buying coffee, I don't give a shit if its on a centralised solution.

You don't seem to comprehend that the pathway for Bitcoin is currently set to where ALL of your transactions would be done on Lightning Network, and as I've said for years, and as that post inadvertently shows you, all of your transactions will ALWAYS be routed through a permissioned ledger bank.  Not that it would ever gain any traction with the general public since it's the equivalent of operating a Rubix cube, so you don't have to worry about ever using Lightning Network anyway.

Still, what the fuck is the purpose of Bitcoin if all your transactions have to go through a permissioned ledger bank???  And don't give me any idiotic bullshit about "HURRR I'll just use on-chain".  No, you're not going to be paying $1000 transaction fees or whatever on-chain even if you were buying a car.  It makes 0 economic sense.
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June 03, 2019, 08:31:20 AM

Hah I sent a 20 sat transaction today and it easily cleared in the first block.

To go from there to a $1k fee would take adoption a thousand times more than it currently is.  If you want to believe that is the level of adoption we will achieve, before we have the chance to implement other scaling solutions, so be it. 
JayJuanGee
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June 03, 2019, 08:33:28 AM

JayJuanGee, stop trying to downplay the fact that all or the majority of BTC's eggs have been placed in this basket called LN and as I just showed you, it's complete garbage.

What the fuck you talking about?

Yeah there has been a lot of hype around lightning network in the past year and a half, but the main bitcoin network has continued to work, too.

I have not used lightning, and in the last year and a half I have sent more than 100 onchain bitcoin transaction - and 90% of the time, I have sent them with a fee that is less than a dollar (even the priority transactions) - and the transaction amounts were usually not less than $400 - but if they were less than $400 then I would frequently use a smaller fee.

The about 10 % that included higher fees were still tending to be relatively low, and perhaps only a couple of occasions did I pay more than a couple of dollars for fees when someone wanted a transaction to be sent priority during a period that fees were higher.

Also transaction times have tended to be decently fast, too.

So, you are pie in the sky theoretical, roach, when you don't even use the thing (bitcoin) that you are constantly  complaining about.. as if your PMs  provided some superior use cases... ..


NOT.
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June 03, 2019, 08:35:51 AM

Afaik transaction malleability breaks LN.  So Segwit is necessary for LN as it fixes transaction malleability.  Also BIP 114 for MAST requires Segwit.

I think that the malleability bug is separate from the segwit. I think segwit required the fix in order to work. So segwit in on itself is not required for LN.



One advantage of segwit are reduced orphaned blocks, as the small header is sent separately and prior to the transaction data to other miners. The quicker transmission time reduces the chances two blocks are mined at the same time.
Another is simply a more efficient use of space. More tx's per Kb.

That's what I understand, anyway.

My understanding is that tx malleability shifts the tx id, which means the locked coins cannot be validly spent. So segwit is a dependency for LN.  

Edit:  this post explains it better than I could:  http://cowpig.github.io/bitcoin/cryptocurrency/2017/06/24/Segwit-and-Lightning-Network/

Ah, ok. So Segwit IS the bugfix. thought they were separate.

Why would people want to used these shitcoin forks with bugs in them?
Crazy.
JayJuanGee
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June 03, 2019, 08:36:37 AM

JayJuanGee, stop trying to downplay the fact that all or the majority of BTC's eggs have been placed in this basket called LN and as I just showed you, it's complete garbage.

as the entire BS 'feature' realm has ... but nobody cares and does due dilligence - but PoSM only

Surely, you have been doing your research, right HV_? 

I have seen a lot of intelligent and accurate posts from you, HV_, so surely I would trust your diagnoses of bitcoin's ailments.    Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes




NOT!
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June 03, 2019, 08:37:37 AM

Hah I sent a 20 sat transaction today and it easily cleared in the first block.

To go from there to a $1k fee would take adoption a thousand times more than it currently is.  If you want to believe that is the level of adoption we will achieve, before we have the chance to implement other scaling solutions, so be it.  

Nobody actually uses Bitcoin for anything right now except sending to and from places like Coinbase to gamble, so of course it's semi-functional when nobody uses it.  Stop pretending what Hal Finney said isn't true, that Bitcoin is completely useless except as an intra-bank SDR on-chain scaling-wise.
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June 03, 2019, 08:38:20 AM
Last edit: June 03, 2019, 08:58:20 AM by HairyMaclairy

Maybe you wouldn't bitch about transaction fees if you started using segwit


I use Bitcoin to buy VPN for fairly obvious reasons.  I am not about to use my credit card for that, and Liberty Dollars seems to have shut down. 
El duderino_
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June 03, 2019, 08:39:46 AM

So in a bearmarket every day r0ach comes with the same crap.... always the same centralised BS and always same LN BS or segwit BS talks..... etc....

When we go up he’s DFT Goes to WFT  (daily FUD talk, weekly FUD talk)

We are almost on that moment r0ach’s DFT and WFT wil go to MFT follow by Total absence —> Then NEW account with NEW name and entering the thread as BTC-newbie asking, Sir Micg how should I handle my BTC-buying and strategie, asked on a very polite manner that I probably merit at that time....

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June 03, 2019, 08:41:42 AM

Afaik transaction malleability breaks LN.  So Segwit is necessary for LN as it fixes transaction malleability.  Also BIP 114 for MAST requires Segwit.

I think that the malleability bug is separate from the segwit. I think segwit required the fix in order to work. So segwit in on itself is not required for LN.



One advantage of segwit are reduced orphaned blocks, as the small header is sent separately and prior to the transaction data to other miners. The quicker transmission time reduces the chances two blocks are mined at the same time.
Another is simply a more efficient use of space. More tx's per Kb.

That's what I understand, anyway.

My understanding is that tx malleability shifts the tx id, which means the locked coins cannot be validly spent. So segwit is a dependency for LN.  

Edit:  this post explains it better than I could:  http://cowpig.github.io/bitcoin/cryptocurrency/2017/06/24/Segwit-and-Lightning-Network/

Ah, ok. So Segwit IS the bugfix. thought they were separate.

Why would people want to used these shitcoin forks with bugs in them?
Crazy.

Yeah dont worry about those guys.  They are still trying to convince people that 0 conf transactions are safe.
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June 03, 2019, 09:02:20 AM

And what is the practical use of LN?
Cheap small transactions and fast confirmations! I've recently installed a LN-wallet, and I already made more transactions on LN than I made on Bitcoin in at least a year.
It makes small payments possible again, such as sending 0.0001 BTC with 0.0000000202 BTC fee.

I'm okay with paying a high fee for a big transaction, but I'd love to be able to use Bitcoin for small transactions too. LN allows much more users to actually use it, as 7 transactions per second can't scale up.
Okay first of all, it does not "make small transactions possible", again or otherwise, that was always possible. That kind of inserted misdirection does not make it look better.

So small fees. To one specific target. Cost of opening/closing such a channel?
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June 03, 2019, 09:05:12 AM

What are your preferences for the 100K party, r0ach?

We can have the $0k party in my basement.


Get the fuck out of here roach.

Grandma is not dead yet, so it's grandma's basement, not "my" basement.     Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes  And, you really think grandma is going to handmedown her basement, especially with your bad financial judgement that leaves you largely in negative equity hoarding those worthless pms and screwing away the family's wealth with your ongoing bad investment choices?

Last I heard she was leaning towards leaving it all to the cat

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June 03, 2019, 09:10:20 AM

Afaik transaction malleability breaks LN.  So Segwit is necessary for LN as it fixes transaction malleability.  Also BIP 114 for MAST requires Segwit.

I think that the malleability bug is separate from the segwit. I think segwit required the fix in order to work. So segwit in on itself is not required for LN.
This is an important difference if true. Can anyone confirm/deny?

One advantage of segwit are reduced orphaned blocks, as the small header is sent separately and prior to the transaction data to other miners. The quicker transmission time reduces the chances two blocks are mined at the same time.
Another is simply a more efficient use of space. More tx's per Kb.

That's what I understand, anyway.
I don't see why orphaned blocks are even a concern. The confirmation times will always be the same on average no matter how many orphans we get, and the amount of resources needed for a 51% attack remains unchanged.

Fair enough on the more efficient use of space, however this is a technical benefit, not necessarily a practical one. Unless it, for example, reduces the degree of mining centralization (which it might, someone will need to run some simulations), then it's just fluff.
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June 03, 2019, 09:11:09 AM

And what is the practical use of LN?
Cheap small transactions and fast confirmations! I've recently installed a LN-wallet, and I already made more transactions on LN than I made on Bitcoin in at least a year.
It makes small payments possible again, such as sending 0.0001 BTC with 0.0000000202 BTC fee.

I'm okay with paying a high fee for a big transaction, but I'd love to be able to use Bitcoin for small transactions too. LN allows much more users to actually use it, as 7 transactions per second can't scale up.
Okay first of all, it does not "make small transactions possible", again or otherwise, that was always possible. That kind of inserted misdirection does not make it look better.

So small fees. To one specific target. Cost of opening/closing such a channel?

Well today, 20 sats.  But if that's too expensive for you, zero cost if you use someone else's channel.  And MAST will probably introduce further tricky mass batching methods.        
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June 03, 2019, 09:13:40 AM

Hiring an appropriately sized venue entirely (hotel / country house... fuck it - a castle, even) might make security a little less of an issue

Unfortunately, Risto's place burned down.

Of course, he turned a little cray-cray before said event, so there's that...

Still crazy. Refers to himself as the dragon, and speaks in the third person.

https://www.facebook.com/people/Risto-Pietil%C3%A4/100017679760266

Oh he's alive. Flaunting the wealth he robbed from everybody.

He is the fallen, once he could lead people with good advice, now if he came he would be shouted down.

Maybe a bit like I expect even if Craig is proved satoshi. Yeah ok you were great making that, but since then you have fully discredit and no one is going to follow shit.
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June 03, 2019, 09:18:14 AM
Last edit: June 03, 2019, 09:37:19 AM by Ibian
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you don't want those coffee purchases clogging up the main chain.
Yes I do. I specifically want coffee purchases clogging up the main chain, in fact. And anything else people care to use it on.

That is the entire point of bitcoin. Anyone can send any amount to anywhere at any time without needing the permission of middlemen such as yourself.

As for MAST - Bitcoin already uses merkle trees.  A block is just a collection of transactions in a merkle tree format.  MAST is a twist on the idea:  Merklized Abstract Syntax Trees.  Basically MAST allows for complex scripts to be appended to the Bitcoin blockchain with just a tiny proof recorded on the blockchain, so the vast majority of the script sits offchain, creating the ability to create Bitcoin smart contracts which are largely offchain.  And because they are off-chain, they are private.      
Not sure bitcoin should be used for something like this. Better to have it focus on one thing, that it does well, than introduce a hundred other use cases. More complexity means more things can go wrong, in an exponential number of ways.
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June 03, 2019, 09:21:16 AM

Well, that's your opinion and you are entitled to it.

But that's not the current direction of development. 
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June 03, 2019, 09:28:36 AM
Merited by MirkoIta (1)

Wait, so Bitcoin has 'developers' that can play God and alter my digital shitcoins in ways that I don't want?  What happens when the developer does this to my physical metals??? Oh wait....they can't!  Which is one reason metals are money and Bitcoin isn't.
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June 03, 2019, 09:28:42 AM

Now you are starting to make sense $10k/head is definitely doable and mic did the math pretty perfectly $300-400k can buy pretty much anything you'd ask in a party. (not beyonce sorry)

*I am still OK with the second option, drinking Beer Grin. Don't like to get dressed for parties.

Those 10k tickets are only $845 if you buy it today and leave it in escrow   Wink



All fine, but still if you buy and just keep it asside and manage yourself? Until the time is there? Smiley
Whatever I have the same thought to who wants to participate just buy now a .1 btc or something so later on there Will be NO problems most likely it even Will be cheaper as 10K a person......

0.08x   Smiley
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June 03, 2019, 09:34:30 AM

Afaik transaction malleability breaks LN.  So Segwit is necessary for LN as it fixes transaction malleability.  Also BIP 114 for MAST requires Segwit.

I think that the malleability bug is separate from the segwit. I think segwit required the fix in order to work. So segwit in on itself is not required for LN.



One advantage of segwit are reduced orphaned blocks, as the small header is sent separately and prior to the transaction data to other miners. The quicker transmission time reduces the chances two blocks are mined at the same time.
Another is simply a more efficient use of space. More tx's per Kb.

That's what I understand, anyway.

My understanding is that tx malleability shifts the tx id, which means the locked coins cannot be validly spent. So segwit is a dependency for LN.  

Edit:  this post explains it better than I could:  http://cowpig.github.io/bitcoin/cryptocurrency/2017/06/24/Segwit-and-Lightning-Network/

Ah, ok. So Segwit IS the bugfix. thought they were separate.

Why would people want to used these shitcoin forks with bugs in them?
Crazy.

Yeah dont worry about those guys.  They are still trying to convince people that 0 conf transactions are safe.
They are. I routinely use them when dealing with people in-person. Never had a problem.
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