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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (0.8%)
7/28 - 11 (9.1%)
8/4 - 16 (13.2%)
8/11 - 7 (5.8%)
8/18 - 6 (5%)
8/25 - 8 (6.6%)
After August - 72 (59.5%)
Total Voters: 121

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26484698 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
BlindMayorBitcorn
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January 06, 2015, 12:32:44 AM

Maybe they are trying to accumulate replacement coins cheap at other exchanges?
celebreze32
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January 06, 2015, 12:35:36 AM

Maybe they are trying to accumulate replacement coins cheap at other exchanges?

Over 6k changed hands on Bitfinex in the space of an hour tonight. It might have been speculators or maybe Bitstamp's started accumulating.
idecable
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January 06, 2015, 12:38:31 AM

Looks like an opportunity to buy.

*makes popcorn*.

Sit tight, enjoy the ride.

(And happy new year, bitcointalk)
luckygenough56
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January 06, 2015, 12:41:33 AM

Sell 19K to bitstamp u whales and save bitcorn
BlindMayorBitcorn
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January 06, 2015, 12:44:16 AM

Hey guys, bitstamp got haxxed, did you hear?!?!   Smiley

Are you sure it wasnt a Goxx-ed, i.e. inside job ... the ceo and his cto buddy probably just smoking it all off as we speak on booze and pot and babes...

Wasn't the current head of Bitstamp until recently working for the SEC? If this happened at BTC-e I would be worried
pjviitas
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January 06, 2015, 12:44:29 AM

If this happened in the real world it would be serious but its a Bitcoin Exchange so everyone just sits tight like its normal.
relm9
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January 06, 2015, 12:46:49 AM

I really doubt Stamp has to resort to market buys to get that BTC. They probably can buy it in bulk from one of their partners. 19K is a lot, but not a crazy amount either.
findftp
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January 06, 2015, 12:49:38 AM

I really doubt Stamp has to resort to market buys to get that BTC. They probably can buy it in bulk from one of their partners. 19K is a lot, but not a crazy amount either.

I really wonder why you would put 19k in a hot wallet. Even when you have to transfer them to clients.
19k live ammo is a bit high.


I would have kept much better safety with those coins.
Fatman3001
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January 06, 2015, 12:57:03 AM

If this happened in the real world it would be serious but its a Bitcoin Exchange so everyone just sits tight like its normal.

It is normal. Heck! It's a bloody tradition by now.
ChartBuddy
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January 06, 2015, 12:59:58 AM


Explanation
celebreze32
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January 06, 2015, 01:02:56 AM

Hey guys, bitstamp got haxxed, did you hear?!?!   Smiley

Are you sure it wasnt a Goxx-ed, i.e. inside job ... the ceo and his cto buddy probably just smoking it all off as we speak on booze and pot and babes...

Wasn't the current head of Bitstamp until recently working for the SEC? If this happened at BTC-e I would be worried

Probably.

PayPal chief compliance officer (CCO) Jean-Baptiste Graftieaux left his job there to join Bitstamp.

http://www.coindesk.com/paypal-bitstamp-chief-compliance-officer/

That article also says Bitstamp got $10m investment from Pantera Capital in 2013. That alone's enough to cover a $5m loss.
diabLEEca
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January 06, 2015, 01:11:21 AM

theres not even 18k bitcoins on the markets to buy, bitstram will fall same like gox
Lol you idiot, you can't even translate a cheap pun from Polish to English. I assume you originally meant bitsramp which in Polish bears a strong connotation with the physical action of "shitting". I dare say even a five-year-old would figure out it would be easiest to translate it as "shitstamp" which would have the same effect on the target language reader.
Could someone please ban this miserable troll? Ignore is not enough for his kind (and I haven't even ignored Lambchop or ponzi - could you please, please make him go?).
relm9
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January 06, 2015, 01:13:01 AM

I really doubt Stamp has to resort to market buys to get that BTC. They probably can buy it in bulk from one of their partners. 19K is a lot, but not a crazy amount either.

I really wonder why you would put 19k in a hot wallet. Even when you have to transfer them to clients.
19k live ammo is a bit high.


I would have kept much better safety with those coins.

Yeah, agreed - no idea why they kept 19K in a hot wallet.
BlindMayorBitcorn
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January 06, 2015, 01:14:18 AM

I really doubt Stamp has to resort to market buys to get that BTC. They probably can buy it in bulk from one of their partners. 19K is a lot, but not a crazy amount either.

True. I thought about this after I said it. They could probably just buy from a mine or a private seller
tarmi
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January 06, 2015, 01:15:27 AM

they dont need to buy anything, they got more than enough in cold storage to honour all missing coins.

Stevenirving
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January 06, 2015, 01:19:34 AM

I really doubt Stamp has to resort to market buys to get that BTC. They probably can buy it in bulk from one of their partners. 19K is a lot, but not a crazy amount either.
I really wonder why you would put 19k in a hot wallet. Even when you have to transfer them to clients.
19k live ammo is a bit high.
I would have kept much better safety with those coins.
Yeah, agreed - no idea why they kept 19K in a hot wallet.
This is good stuff:
What follows is a Bitstamp Hot Wallet from taint analysis

This is guesstimated, from blockchain analysis only, so take it with a shovel of salt and a critical eye.
It's at best an under-estimation, as the taint will naturally not affect all change addresses and other things, though from experience on altcoins, it's not usually complete bollocks either Wink

Hot Wallet guesstimated Balance
day                  received         spent         balance
01/01/2015      1,657.5         934.9         1,842.3
02/01/2015      2,778.2        2,553.8       2,066.7
03/01/2015      9,592.7        9,033.8       2,625.7
04/01/2015     18,614.2     21,122.9        117.1
05/01/2015      1,223.1     1,338.7         1.5



So apparently something happened on the 4th, either big external deposit(s) followed by larger withdrawal(s), or something that triggered a refill from a cold storage.

The hot wallet was then promptly cleared, with the high fee transactions that have been reported, though it's anyone's guess at this point if it was Bitstamp clearing it in panic mode, or a thief.

And below is recent guesstimated hot wallet history, the big bumps are (AFAICT) deposits from the large cold storage they created during their audit, so they're very likely artifacts more than real deposits. Those deposits were eventually compensated by withdrawals to likely cold storage addresses.

It shows Bitstamp aimed to keep between 500 and 2000 BTC in their hot wallet, so the hack occurring just after or during a "bump" to 20k BTC is suspicious.


aminorex
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January 06, 2015, 01:26:38 AM

You would have a hard time buying 19k btc from a contract supplier at these prices.  Contracts were all negotiated at higher prices originally.  Why would they sell to you anyhow, knowing as they do that the price must go up? Probably they end up buying back the coins at least 10% higher than the price the thief got for them.  I think a lot of supply is going to get pulled from the market now.
celebreze32
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January 06, 2015, 01:27:17 AM

I really doubt Stamp has to resort to market buys to get that BTC. They probably can buy it in bulk from one of their partners. 19K is a lot, but not a crazy amount either.

True. I thought about this after I said it. They could probably just buy from a mine or a private seller

Bitstamp used to do business directly with Bitfinex.

This article says Bitfinex used to include the Bitstamp order book in their own order book for liquidity purposes. In other words, they were arbitraging between themselves and Bitstamp.

http://bitcoinvista.com/2014/06/12/the-bitcoin-trading-platform-bitfinex-is-distancing-themselves-from-bitstamp/

Thinking about it Bitstamp could probably do a deal directly with Bitfinex or other companies they have connections to.
BlindMayorBitcorn
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January 06, 2015, 01:32:22 AM

I really doubt Stamp has to resort to market buys to get that BTC. They probably can buy it in bulk from one of their partners. 19K is a lot, but not a crazy amount either.

True. I thought about this after I said it. They could probably just buy from a mine or a private seller

Bitstamp used to do business directly with Bitfinex.

This article says Bitfinex used to include the Bitstamp order book in their own order book for liquidity purposes. In other words, they were arbitraging between themselves and Bitstamp.

http://bitcoinvista.com/2014/06/12/the-bitcoin-trading-platform-bitfinex-is-distancing-themselves-from-bitstamp/

Thinking about it Bitstamp could probably do a deal directly with Bitfinex or other companies they have connections to.

They could just call this guy:

pjviitas
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January 06, 2015, 01:35:33 AM

As every hour ticks by more and more bad shit seems to be creeping into this story.

Question is...what's the collateral damage going to look like?
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