Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[Richy_T]

Smallblockers don't seem to get it. The only way you can prove me wrong about Bitcoin is by making me rich. If the market goes down, it's because it rejects the smallblocker vision. Miners are more likely to take the big block fork. If it goes up, I can sell my coins at a nice profit so I can re-invest in a coin more true to what I believe Bitcoin is supposed to be.

so what's it going to be? Checkmate.

Who's with me?

I'll take three.

Ooh. I'm in luck. The currency converter says that should cost me $0.00

[ChartBuddy]

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Explanation

[orpington]

Solitude, where are you? We need some more cutting edge remarks such as :

It's the same faggots dribbling the same nonsense in this thread.

some Juan Juan faggot, some billyjean faggot, i can't even remember your stupid names.

I can't even be bothered ignoring you retards, I just scroll down past whatever you idiots say.

Why don't you faggots get a hobby or something, you're the kings of the special olympics, absolute fucking retards.

Sell your coins or don't i dont give a fuck, i'll be the one having the last laugh when Bitcoin goes through the roof.

[JayJuanGee]

Solitude, where are you? We need some more cutting edge remarks such as :

It's the same faggots dribbling the same nonsense in this thread.

some Juan Juan faggot, some billyjean faggot, i can't even remember your stupid names.

I can't even be bothered ignoring you retards, I just scroll down past whatever you idiots say.

Why don't you faggots get a hobby or something, you're the kings of the special olympics, absolute fucking retards.

Sell your coins or don't i dont give a fuck, i'll be the one having the last laugh when Bitcoin goes through the roof.

I've hardly even posted all day, today.... hehehehehehehe... assuming that part of that "creative" and "inspiring" post is referring to yours truly...  

[billyjoeallen]

If you're suggesting that the state claims that it rules with universal consent of *all* that it governs, you're simply mistaken.

I believe the State claims to rule with the overwhelming consent of most of the governed, and it does. According to them, if you vote and your candidate loses, you still consent to be governed by the winner because in voting you implicitly consent to the rules of the game. They also claim that if you don't vote, you implicitly consent to be ruled by whoever wins because you didn't voice your objection. It's a nice little trap.

And you're gullible enough to hold the current administration to the letter of some agitprop penned 2 & half centuries ago.

I do hold them to it because that's where they claim to get their legitimacy.  It's by their own stated standards that they lack that legitimacy.  It's why I feel no moral obligation to respect their rule. Having said that, I do not advocate breaking the law for the same reason I don't advocate trying to fight off an armed gang of attackers with a butter knife. It's not a moral issue. It's just a matter of pragmatism, but that doesn't mean I have to pretend it's right or stop looking for an opportunity to escape the situation or to find a way to fight back that has a reasonable probability of success.  

Anyway, the original point was that "anarchy" technically means "no rulers" not "no rules", but definitions are descriptive, not prescriptive, so what it technically means is useless in common speech, where it means "chaos". That's why I prefer to say I'm an advocate of distributed governance.  People still ask me what that means, but at least they start out knowing nothing about it rather than something that's wrong.

[JorgeStolfi]

"Socialism" is loosely defined as "social ownership and democratic control of the means of production."

That is more like the definition of "communism".  

To me, socialism is more general term that contrasts to "capitalism", in the sense of bein more society-oriented rather than individual-oriented.  Among other things:

(1) each individual should be rewarded by society in proportion to what he does for society, rather than by his possestions, descent, titles, intelligence, shrewdness, etc.;  

(2) property and economical rights of the individual are not absolute but are subordinate to the interests of society as a whole,

(3) the state is supposed to provide public services like health care, education, social security, transportation infrastructure, emergency and security services, etc.;

(4) the state should try to ensure equal opportunities to everybody and ensure that everybody has a decent minimal living conditions.

Socialism definitely does not imply state ownership of the means of production; but it implies state regulation, e.g. to force companies who provide vital services like water or electricity to charge reasonable prices, respect quality standards, provide basic service even to unprofitable areas, etc..  It admits, but does not require, that such services be provided directly by the state, by civil servants or through state-owned companies.

Socialism implies protection of consumer rights and mandatory product quality and safety standards; but is quite compatible with free market economy.  In fact, as part of protecting consumer rights, socialism implies state intervention when needed to keep markets free, by preventing the formation of monopolies and cartels.

[smooth]

"Socialism" is loosely defined as "social ownership and democratic control of the means of production."

That is more like the definition of "communism". 

It is the dictionary definition of socialism in English.

If you want a different meaning, use a different word, or qualify your usage.

Socialism definitely does not imply state ownership

The above quote states control, not necessarily ownership. "Control or regulation" would also be an okay definition, but this seems redundant to me.

[ChartBuddy]

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Explanation

[Adrian-x]

"Socialism" is loosely defined as "social ownership and democratic control of the means of production."

That is more like the definition of "communism".  

To me, socialism is more general term that contrasts to "capitalism", in the sense of bein more society-oriented rather than individual-oriented.  Among other things:

(1) each individual should be rewarded by society in proportion to what he does for society, rather than by his possestions, descent, titles, intelligence, shrewdness, etc.;  

(2) property and economical rights of the individual are not absolute but are subordinate to the interests of society as a whole,

(3) the state is supposed to provide public services like health care, education, social security, transportation infrastructure, emergency and security services, etc.;

(4) the state should try to ensure equal opportunities to everybody and ensure that everybody has a decent minimal living conditions.

Socialism definitely does not imply state ownership of the means of production; but it implies state regulation, e.g. to force companies who provide vital services like water or electricity to charge reasonable prices, respect quality standards, provide basic service even to unprofitable areas, etc..  It admits, but does not require, that such services be provided directly by the state, by civil servants or through state-owned companies.

Socialism implies protection of consumer rights and mandatory product quality and safety standards; but is quite compatible with free market economy.  In fact, as part of protecting consumer rights, socialism implies state intervention when needed to keep markets free, by preventing the formation of monopolies and cartels.

living in one of the more Socialist Countries, point 1 is a little backwards, (it works just like more capitalist countries, the more you can extract from sociality the less you need to contribute.)  

in theory it should be more like:

each individual should be rewarded by pay to society in proportion to what he does for society, rather than by his possessions, descent, titles, intelligence, shrewdness, etc.;

[billyjoeallen]

(1) each individual should be rewarded by society in proportion to what he does for society, rather than by his possestions, descent, titles, intelligence, shrewdness, etc.;  

That's what capitalism does. If you make a profit, it's because you utilized your capital in a way that society a.k.a. the market values.  You get market share by giving customers what they want. You make profits by doing so efficiently.

(2) property and economical rights of the individual are not absolute but are subordinate to the interests of society as a whole,

according to whom? Who gets to decide? Two wolves and a sheep voting on what's for dinner?

(3) the state is supposed to provide public services like health care, education, social security, transportation infrastructure, emergency and security services, etc.;

and the State gets the resources to do this how exactly? By running a bake sale? If a private organization takes things involuntarily, it's robbery. Just because the State calls it "taxation" doesn't mean it's any more moral. You can't delegate the the state the right to take things on your behalf if you don't have the individual right to do that in the first place.

(4) the state should try to ensure equal opportunities to everybody and ensure that everybody has a decent minimal living conditions.

http://www.tnellen.com/cybereng/harrison.html

part of protecting consumer rights, socialism implies state intervention when needed to keep markets free, by preventing the formation of monopolies and cartels.

Free markets by definition are free from State interference.  Monopolies are only possible with state help. Cartels don't work, witness OPEC. 

[CuntChocula]

"Socialism" is loosely defined as "social ownership and democratic control of the means of production."

That is more like the definition of "communism".  

To me, socialism is more general term that contrasts to "capitalism", in the sense of bein more society-oriented rather than individual-oriented.  Among other things:

(1) each individual should be rewarded by society in proportion to what he does for society, rather than by his possestions, descent, titles, intelligence, shrewdness, etc.;  

"In a higher phase of communist society, [...] after labor has become not only a means of life but life's prime want; [...] only then can the narrow horizon of bourgeois right be crossed in its entirety and society inscribe on its banners: From each according to his ability, to each according to his needs!" --Marx
Socialism was presented as a transitional phase, Communism the ideal/logical outcome. A fairly murky distinction, depends on context and who you ask: Soviet Union was technically Communist and Socialist, Communist Party but CCCP -> USSR -> Union of Soviet Socialist Republics

(2) property and economical rights of the individual are not absolute but are subordinate to the interests of society as a whole,

Identical in Communism and Socialism.

(3) the state is supposed to provide public services like health care, education, social security, transportation infrastructure, emergency and security services, etc.;

Ditto. Hard for not_state to provide those services when the state owns the means of production.

(4) the state should try to ensure equal opportunities to everybody and ensure that everybody has a decent minimal living conditions.

That's already happening in Communism. Remember, with no landlords, someone has to provide housing.

Socialism definitely does not imply state ownership of the means of production;

Not sure where you're getting that. Source?

but it implies state regulation, e.g. to force companies who provide vital services like water or electricity to charge reasonable prices, respect quality standards, provide basic service even to unprofitable areas, etc..  It admits, but does not require, that such services be provided directly by the state, by civil servants or through state-owned companies.

Socialism implies protection of consumer rights and mandatory product quality and safety standards; but is quite compatible with free market economy.  In fact, as part of protecting consumer rights, socialism implies state intervention when needed to keep markets free, by preventing the formation of monopolies and cartels.

What you're describing is contemporary Capitalism, not Socialism. Socialism, as a minimum, is intrinsically consistent. What you're describing (privite ownership of the means of production") is difficult to reconcile with the Socialist ideal ("from each according to his ability, to each according to his needs").

[JorgeStolfi]

Laws and contracts are useless if there is no third party with power to enforce them and settle disputes.

That's not entirely true.  Two parties may resolve a dispute themselves. IF they believe that it is less costly than a physical confrontation.

But in that case the laws and contracts are useless, because the dispute will be decided by the expected costs and benefits of each action (e.g., the party with the machine guns gets his way), and not by any laws or contracts.

Anarcho-capitalists also theorize that third party mediators will offer their services in dispute resolution based on commonly-accepted community norms. If Both parties can agree on a third party Dispute Resolution Organization, then they would also have to agree on mechanisms for enforcing the outcome.

Today I learned a new name for "government": "Dispute Resolution Organization". 
 
I suppose that the difference is that there will be several DROs that the parties can choose from.  But suppose that they both agree on DRO A when they sign te contract, but when the dispute arises one party asks his buddies from DRO B to persuade the other party, while the latter brings his nuke-launching Abrams tank out of the cellar...   

Those multiple DROs sound very much like big city gangs...

War is expensive. Throughout history, you will find that it is mostly engaged in by parties that do not bear the full cost. We propose that any parties engaging in physical conflict bear the full cost of doing so, thereby discouraging the practice. 

That would be wonderful!  But does anyone have any idea on how we can get that rule to apply?

Reputation also has an economic and social value. Credit scores are one example.  Other members of the community can enforce laws and contracts even if they are not a direct party by imposing opportunity costs on violators. An example: you defaulted on a loan, so most others will refuse to lend to you in the future, and if they do it will be at a much higher interest rate.  or another: You punch somebody in the nose and word gets out so you are no longer welcome at certain social events.

Well, I think that bitcoin will in the future be a textbook example of (among other things) why loss of reputation is hardly an effective deterrent.  See Josh Garza, Patrick Strateman, Zhou Tong, ...  While a scammer or defaulter may lose a fraction of his market, there will always be whose who take his side.  Why, even Danny "Neo&Bee" Brewster seems to still have friends in the community...

And, according to the P. T. Barnum Law, there is a sucker born every 12 seconds...

[billyjoeallen]

But in that case the laws and contracts are useless, because the dispute will be decided by the expected costs and benefits of each action (e.g., the party with the machine guns gets his way), and not by any laws or contracts.

as opposed to being decided by who has the best political connections or the most expensive lawyers?  

Today I learned a new name for "government": "Dispute Resolution Organization".  
 
I suppose that the difference is that there will be several DROs that the parties can choose from.  But suppose that they both agree on DRO A when they sign te contract, but when the dispute arises one party asks his buddies from DRO B to persuade the other party, while the latter brings his nuke-launching Abrams tank out of the cellar...  

Those multiple DROs sound very much like big city gangs...

And the police aren't a gang?  I'm not proposing a utopia. Only a system that is less violent than one centered on a violence monopoly funded by theft.

War is expensive. Throughout history, you will find that it is mostly engaged in by parties that do not bear the full cost. We propose that any parties engaging in physical conflict bear the full cost of doing so, thereby discouraging the practice.  

That would be wonderful!  But does anyone have any idea on how we can get that rule to apply?

repealing or nullifying the laws that oblige us to pay for wars we don't support would be a good start.

Reputation also has an economic and social value. Credit scores are one example.  Other members of the community can enforce laws and contracts even if they are not a direct party by imposing opportunity costs on violators. An example: you defaulted on a loan, so most others will refuse to lend to you in the future, and if they do it will be at a much higher interest rate.  or another: You punch somebody in the nose and word gets out so you are no longer welcome at certain social events.

Well, I think that bitcoin will in the future be a textbook example of (among other things) why loss of reputation is hardly an effective deterrent.  See Josh Garza, Patrick Strateman, Zhou Tong, ...  While a scammer or defaulter may lose a fraction of his market, there will always be whose who take his side.  Why, even Danny "Neo&Bee" Brewster seems to still have friends in the community...

People have gotten lazy by allowing the state to do the due diligence for them and to protect them from bad actors.  I'm sure you know of many many cases where the State has failed to do just that, but it does give us a false sense of security.   Look, I can't tell you how a Stateless society will solve all social problems, because it's not a centrally planned community.  If I could give you all the answers you seek, then I would make a good central planner, but in truth NOBODY can be a good central planner because central planning doesn't work. It's F.A. Hayek's economic calculation problem.

I just know that an institution that is financially dependent on initiating or threatening violence to aquire revenue is in no position to enforce the laws that govern a just society.

[ChartBuddy]

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Explanation

[Dotto]

This descending triangle closes in few hours. Dumpage incoming

[JorgeStolfi]

The majority who thinks they are morally right will not focus on the injustice suffered by the minority. They will focus on the crimes committed in reaction to that injustice.  Look at how every militant group in the U.S. from the Black Panthers to the KKK are treated.

But that is actually an example of what I was referring to.  After a decade of fighting black rights movements, the white majority eventually decided to improve the right of minorities with anti-discrimination laws, equal opportunity and affirmative action, financial support, etc.. The same happened half a century before with labor disputes, that eventually resulted in the US having a surprisingly worker-friendly labor legislation.

A voter pays no immediate direct penalty for an uninformed vote. There is not sufficient incentive to become informed. To know this, all you have to do is look at election results throughout history. Why spend hours researching the relevant policy options and politicians when the chance of the election being decided by your one vote is infinitesimal? Voting is more useful for signaling your allegiance to a group.

Even knowing that one's own vote will not decide the election, a "socially intelligent" person will take the time to vote according to his desires; because democracy has a chance of working if, and only if, everybody does that.   (And that is why votes must be secret, and even the voter himself must be prevented to provide proof that he voted in a certain way: so that the election can measures the actual wishes of the citizens, without the distortions of peer pressure).

My experience is that even the poorly educated people can vote much better than the elites claim.  When democracy fails, it is often because it is not given a fair chance, or not used often enough.  (Here in Brazil the main Executive and Legislative posts are elected, but the Judiciary is totally self-selected and indepednent. As a result, while the first two branches barely work, and are highly corrupt, the latter does not work at all, and is totally corrupt...)

Recognition of Natural Rights is enshrined in the U.S. Declaration of Independence. This may not be the case for other countries, but here it was used as a justification by the Founding Fathers to rebel against Mother England. If Natural Rights have no legitimacy, then our government is a criminal organization with no legitimacy either.  AngloSaxon law is based on two main concepts: ...

What matters in the Constitution are its articles . The reference to "self-evident rights" is only a pretense of justification for them, without any legal relevance -- because each one has his own opinion about what is "self-evident". 

While there are important differences in specific areas, the legal systems of most Western countries are pretty much the same pastiche of constituional articles, laws voted by elected representatives, laws enacted by public referendums, more or less arbitrary decrees of various authorities, judiciary precedents, etc.. There is very little space for "natural laws" or 'self-evident principles" in those legal systems, except in the nooks and gaps where the written laws don't quite reach.

Democracy is BY DEFINITION the domination of the minority by the majority. Politics is merely the art of convincing enough people to agree with you so that you can FORCIBLY impose your will on those who don't.

That is true, but the alternative is, inevitably, domination of the majority by some minority.  Methinks that, by and large, the latter is much worse.

[billyjoeallen]

This descending triangle closes in few hours. Dumpage incoming

looks short term oversold to me. beware of the fourth punch: the second bounce.

[ImI]

This descending triangle closes in few hours. Dumpage incoming

[aztecminer]

Smallblockers don't seem to get it. The only way you can prove me wrong about Bitcoin is by making me rich. If the market goes down, it's because it rejects the smallblocker vision. Miners are more likely to take the big block fork. If it goes up, I can sell my coins at a nice profit so I can re-invest in a coin more true to what I believe Bitcoin is supposed to be.

so what's it going to be? Checkmate.

yeah bitcoin you are checkmated! only thing u can do is either go up or down! which is it we're not messing around anymore .

[aztecminer]

This descending triangle closes in few hours. Dumpage incoming

looks short term oversold to me. beware of the fourth punch: the second bounce.

did you hear that everyone ?? the four punchmens are raiding.