Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[belmonty]

Adams, could we have this poll please.

Bitcoin price at September would be ?

September is a long time away my old friend, let's predict more short term, maybe end of June - 500 USD?

My dear brother, I know it's a long time, but I asked for september exactly because it will be post-halving and most probably we will have fireworks

Oh ok I see. Well yes I'd like to see a few fireworks in September then

I'm 95% sure about this

I checked the charts for the last halving, it went up a bit then flatlined for a month or two afterwards. A few months later was when it started going up in price, then mooning. If history repeats itself then September sounds good for fireworks.

[1714575309]

1714575309

[1714575309]

1714575309

[r0ach]

I checked the charts for the last halving, it went up a bit then flatlined for a month or two afterwards. A few months later was when it started going up in price, then mooning. If history repeats itself then September sounds good for fireworks.

It will not play out like last time.  The timelines between cause and effect will likely be shorter, and there is more expectation of profits, so it's likely to pump harder beforehand.

[whored]

I checked the charts for the last halving, it went up a bit then flatlined for a month or two afterwards. A few months later was when it started going up in price, then mooning. If history repeats itself then September sounds good for fireworks.

It will not play out like last time.  The timelines between cause and effect will likely be shorter, and there is more expectation of profits, so it's likely to pump harder beforehand.

This time it's gonna be different. This time, for sure!

[USB-S]

Adams, could we have this poll please.

Bitcoin price at September would be ?

September is a long time away my old friend, let's predict more short term, maybe end of June - 500 USD?

My dear brother, I know it's a long time, but I asked for september exactly because it will be post-halving and most probably we will have fireworks

Oh ok I see. Well yes I'd like to see a few fireworks in September then

I'm 95% sure about this

I checked the charts for the last halving, it went up a bit then flatlined for a month or two afterwards. A few months later was when it started going up in price, then mooning. If history repeats itself then September sounds good for fireworks.

I find the idea of going to mars a bit better. I mean even elon musk is aiming there. We can't be worse guys.

[Tzupy]

A chart that should make bitcoin permabulls jealous:

[adamstgBit]

I dont consider the halfing bullish or bearish
It certainly can't be priced in beforehand because its very much unknown how it will effect the network
On one hand we have half the supply, on the other hand chaos may ensue if miners become drastically unprofitable and hash rate drops accordingly.
so my thinking for halving halfing? is that we will price it in after the fact, if it goes well UP, if SHTF down.

personally i think everything will be just fine, we MIGHT have a small temporary drop in hashrate but Shit will not Hit The Fan. not really willing to place a serious amount of money either way tho.

[megadeth]

A chart that should make bitcoin permabulls jealous:

Fellow wsb yoloer

[SheHadMANHands]

bitfinex, look at the bulls and bear go !

volume indeed rising

 

[snoovering]

i think everything will be just fine, ... Shit will not Hit The Fan.

Why you worry? Fan no work 2 year. Fan clogged with shit, is safe.

[USB-S]

i think everything will be just fine, ... Shit will not Hit The Fan.

Why you worry? Fan no work 2 year. Fan clogged with shit, is safe.

Shit is a perk, it's quality shit.
Price is a bit shaky lately, lets get some positive news up in here.

Some things don't work with a snap of a finger, shame. Might be wrong on this one.

[Mrpumperitis]

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[Dotto]

BTC is one player and ETH is the other, guess who is who

[Fakhoury]

  i was so wasted that night

You are always wasted Adams

not always, only after 8:00... expect saturdays and sunday, sometimes friday i'll start early, really bad monday might have a few dozen drinks come 2:00.

hahahaha i'm kidding....

You are not kidding, you are a liar

I insist, you are always wasted especially when we are on a rally

Adams, could we have this poll please.

Bitcoin price at September would be ?

September is a long time away my old friend, let's predict more short term, maybe end of June - 500 USD?

My dear brother, I know it's a long time, but I asked for september exactly because it will be post-halving and most probably we will have fireworks

Sounds like a good thread topic.

It's a poll not a thread topic my bullish friend

I understand that, and I would like to see a poll on that too; however, since the actual event is so long into the future, it seems that it would clog up the polling system (unless there can be two polls at a time?)... I mean the basic logic that a September poll would not close until September.

Adams, could we have this poll please.

Bitcoin price at September would be ?

September is a long time away my old friend, let's predict more short term, maybe end of June - 500 USD?

My dear brother, I know it's a long time, but I asked for september exactly because it will be post-halving and most probably we will have fireworks

Oh ok I see. Well yes I'd like to see a few fireworks in September then

I'm 95% sure about this

Regarding your 95% prediction... gosh.. that is a pretty decent topic too, and I enjoy those kinds of topics.....  yet, I am hardly that certain about anything in life, including what I am going to eat for dinner a few hours later, even if I have made preparations.

So, yep.. it is interesting both in terms of how high the price will be, and what is the likelihood that it will get to that predicted price.  At least the time frame would be set, but there are two more variables.

In the past, I have played around with these kinds of predictions in the past to attempt to assign my ideas of probabilities to various outcomes, and it tends to be a good exercise  to also attempt to align your own investment level with your view of various possible outcomes.

Accordingly, I would venture to assert my view that there is a 95% chance the price will be higher than $350, but maybe I would be too scared to assert greater than a 70% chance that the price would be higher than $450... I still consider myself bullish though...     

You are bullish bro, but you calculate it a lot.

As r0ach said, (It will not play out like last time.  The timelines between cause and effect will likely be shorter, and there is more expectation of profits, so it's likely to pump harder beforehand.)

Halving is NOT priced in, fireworks is a MUST.

Adams, could we have this poll please.

Bitcoin price at September would be ?

September is a long time away my old friend, let's predict more short term, maybe end of June - 500 USD?

My dear brother, I know it's a long time, but I asked for september exactly because it will be post-halving and most probably we will have fireworks

Oh ok I see. Well yes I'd like to see a few fireworks in September then

I'm 95% sure about this

I checked the charts for the last halving, it went up a bit then flatlined for a month or two afterwards. A few months later was when it started going up in price, then mooning. If history repeats itself then September sounds good for fireworks.

I find the idea of going to mars a bit better. I mean even elon musk is aiming there. We can't be worse guys.

I agree, we just need time and momentum, momentum is here, we just need time.

I dont consider the halfing bullish or bearish
It certainly can't be priced in beforehand because its very much unknown how it will effect the network
On one hand we have half the supply, on the other hand chaos may ensue if miners become drastically unprofitable and hash rate drops accordingly.
so my thinking for halving halfing? is that we will price it in after the fact, if it goes well UP, if SHTF down.

personally i think everything will be just fine, we MIGHT have a small temporary drop in hashrate but Shit will not Hit The Fan. not really willing to place a serious amount of money either way tho.

What do you think about this brother ?

[adamstgBit]

  i was so wasted that night

You are always wasted Adams

not always, only after 8:00... expect saturdays and sunday, sometimes friday i'll start early, really bad monday might have a few dozen drinks come 2:00.

hahahaha i'm kidding....

You are not kidding, you are a liar

I insist, you are always wasted especially when we are on a rally

hey hey hey i'm not wasted right now...

i only had 1 bottle of wine

i gtg to the store b4 it closes brb...

[Chef Ramsay]

  i was so wasted that night

You are always wasted Adams

not always, only after 8:00... expect saturdays and sunday, sometimes friday i'll start early, really bad monday might have a few dozen drinks come 2:00.

hahahaha i'm kidding....

You are not kidding, you are a liar

I insist, you are always wasted especially when we are on a rally

hey hey hey i'm not wasted right now...

i only had 1 bottle of wine

i gtg to the store b4 it closes brb...

Please tell me you're walking or Ubering to the store and not driving, Mr. Wino. Ya need to have all your preparations in place before a night of drinking instead of running out in the midst of the celebration. I suspect you're buddies w/ the local bartender at the store and are talking up the upward trajectory of Bitcoin during this dispatch for goods. Like, "Yo, I'm bout to be rich, homie!"

[UngratefulTony]

102:17:36  Aldrin: Roger. The burn was on time. The residuals before nulling: minus 0.1, minus 0.4, minus 0.1, X and Z nulled to zero (Static) (Garbled) nulling (garbled). (Long Pause)

[adamstgBit]

silly midnight bears cashing out into fiat, they will regret it in the morning.

[adamstgBit]

[adamstgBit]

GOOD NIGHT bitchcoin

[marcus_of_augustus]

A chart that should make bitcoin permabulls jealous:

really?? bitcoin permabulls have zero jealousy ... AMD is a good company besides (build best APU integer chips going   )