weekend dumps beginning?
What are the odds of a dump beginning within the $1,800 to $1,900 range?
55% down / 45% up ?
What are the odds of a dump that starts after going within the $1,900 to $2,000 range?
45% down / 55% up ?
What are the odds of a dump that starts after going within the $2,000 to $2,200 range?
40% down / 60% up ?
What are the odds of a dump that starts after going within the $2,200 to $2,500 range?
60% down / 40% up ?
What are the odds of a dump that starts after going within the $2,500 to $3,000 range?
53% down / 47% up ?
What are the odds of a dump that starts after going within the $3,000 to $4,000 range?
51% down / 49% up ?
What are the odds of a dump that starts after going within the $4,000 to $5,000 range?
75% down / 25% up ?
Unless we happen to be a real giant manipulator (and even those guys might be lacking confidence), we should be considering odds of direction, no? Surely, sooner or later we gotta go down - yet if we make it past a certain threshold, we have to recalculate the odds, no?
Right now, the odds of going into the $4k to $5k price range within the next 6 months is probably less than 10% - however, if we were to get passed $4k, then the odds of going either up or down change, no?