Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[Last of the V8s]

Who is that V8??

@ToneVays and Julia something i forget @BraveTheWorld

[Last of the V8s]

snip

http://stuffin.space/

Fantastic stuff

for info:

[gentlemand]

http://stuffin.space/

Holy shit. What an utter disgrace. It's incredible the ISS isn't flattened 500 times a day.

[rjclarke2000]

snip

http://stuffin.space/

Fantastic stuff

for info:

Come on Africa, sort it out.

[deepcolderwallet]

Is this that ackward moment in which people that were praying for a dip a few hours ago are now too scared to rebuy?

BIP 141 (Segregated Witness) activation is scheduled to take place in: 1175 Blocks (8.15 days)

Hi bitserve,

Do you think the price will go up after activation in just over a week? I mean surely it's priced in as it's a guarantee now. Seems strange it going up at that moment when everyone knows about it.

Also I know btc is it's own beast but didn't litecoin drop after activation and then increase in price later?

Love to know everyone's thoughts here.

The only reference I can use is Litecoin. It kept pumping until just after activation. Then a mild drop that took some days(?)  to recover.

At the moment, Bitcoin is doing exactly the same. So it should keep rising until activation. I wouldn't be surprised if it breaks 5K during last days/hours before activation.

Of course, both are not the same. Litecoin didn't need Segwit as much as Bitcoin does, because it had no capacity problem... but Segwit is much more than that though.

There have been some interesting advances in Segwit wallets and even in Lighting Network. I think it will be those advances what will propel Bitcoin to new heights, but not sure if it will be right after activation or a few months later.

Also, Segwit "capacity increase" will become more noticeable as soon as more people and services start using segwit tx's, something that will come gradually over the next few months.

In conclusion, I don't fucking know.... But I think the scenario is very bullish and that, even if it dips now, it should keep rising later.

Right here I'd like bitserve, rjclarke2000, Elwar, Torque, lightfoot, infofront, JimboToronto and Searing's opinion.

Interesting times are coming. Segwit is about to activate. We already know Litecoin's behavior. But things are different right now. Another fork is about to happen. And this is not like the previous, when the honey badger just ignored the altcash for our cheers. About 8 days from here we may see Bitcoin's price submerge and another alt rise with (maybe) half BTC's value.

In my opinion it would be similar to March's Winklevoss ETF. There happened a rush from $800+ to $1200+ in a few minutes, then... BOOM! Two months to recover to another (very celebrated) ATH.

Not that I care about it, I learned my lesson from afrocoin's irresponsibility. I'm a Matrix hodlr since then.
I'm asking only because I'd like to have some help to predict a window where I could buy some cheap coins.

Thank you for you attention.

I know you didn't ask for my opinion, but I figured I'd toss in my thoughts anyway ...

I wouldn't draw too many parallels between price action around segwit activation for litecoin vs bitcoin. There's a tiny but nevertheless worrisome chance -- especially worrisome to new investors -- that SegWit activitation in 8 days will trigger some unexpected software bug and cause some sort of technical disaster. So when SegWit activates and the first SW transaction propagates without mishap, that could be a little bullish. So same effect as bip141 lock-in, although maybe not as pronounced. Up until a few weeks ago, investors have been viewing litecoin as a hedge against the possibility of unending deadlock on the scaling debate. SW lockin and activation was less of a concern for litecoin than for bitcoin, relatively speaking (relative to the other forces driving litecoin price).

For context, I'm viewing this under the assumption that the current uptrend is fueled by institutional investors who are just now getting comfortable with bitcoin investing. So I try to interpret events from what I imagine their perspective to be.

Thank you, your serious reply is very welcome.
If I recall correctly ETF's result was exactly what we can describe as a "buy the rumor, sell the news" event. Don't you think this "uptrend fueled by institutional investors" can be analogous move for an "already-vaccinated" market?

[Ludwig Von]

The Spitznagel article was also published on Zerohedge. Ludwig Von Mises has turned around in his grave... .

I like gold and silver for different reasons (as insurance). But some of these goldbugs are either being disingenious or just plain stupid in their arguments against Bitcoin.

If one could create an unlimited number of different kinds of fools gold with similar properties, would that diminish belief in true Gold as money or wealth storage value? Would that cause Gold's price to automatically drop?

No I think not. Not for people who truly believe in Gold vs. those that believe in all of the alt-gold substitutes.

It's the same for Bitcoin. Just because an infinite number of altcoins can be created does not defacto diminish Bitcoin's value to the true believers. Otherwise every single time an alt was created, Bitcoin's price would automatically drop a corresponding amount. Which it never does.

Same for moissanite vs. diamond. Even though moissanite can be created in a lab and has superior spectacular brilliance/clarity vs. most diamond, there are still who value diamond more and will likely always do so and pay more for it.

Exactly. These guys think that all cryptos are only representing fiat in aggregated.

[deepcolderwallet]

Deepcolderwallet

I would not be surprised if there is a dip after activation. I then am not sure from then until the November fork. There will be obvious FUD around and this usually causes a drop in price.

I wouldn't be confident to say where the price will be until after the November shenanigans. If all goes will after the fork I can see us finishing this year over $5k with not too much trouble. I'm not saying 2xxxs are out of the question but I'm pretty confident we will finish this year higher than we are now.


I am no trader, I just hodl but I enjoy playing with a little TA and apart from any unforeseen events we know what fundamentals we have in store so judge how you will.


I'm sure there are people here who's opinion is far more solid than mine anyway.

These are just my thoughts on the matter but I'm trying not to be too bullish.

Thank you. I value your opinion, reason why I mentioned you.

[deepcolderwallet]

Who is that V8??

@ToneVays and Julia something i forget @BraveTheWorld

She's hot!

[BTCtrader71]

I know you didn't ask for my opinion, but I figured I'd toss in my thoughts anyway ...

I wouldn't draw too many parallels between price action around segwit activation for litecoin vs bitcoin. There's a tiny but nevertheless worrisome chance -- especially worrisome to new investors -- that SegWit activitation in 8 days will trigger some unexpected software bug and cause some sort of technical disaster. So when SegWit activates and the first SW transaction propagates without mishap, that could be a little bullish. So same effect as bip141 lock-in, although maybe not as pronounced. Up until a few weeks ago, investors have been viewing litecoin as a hedge against the possibility of unending deadlock on the scaling debate. SW lockin and activation was less of a concern for litecoin than for bitcoin, relatively speaking (relative to the other forces driving litecoin price).

For context, I'm viewing this under the assumption that the current uptrend is fueled by institutional investors who are just now getting comfortable with bitcoin investing. So I try to interpret events from what I imagine their perspective to be.

Thank you, your serious reply is very welcome.
If I recall correctly ETF's result was exactly what we can describe as a "buy the rumor, sell the news" event. Don't you think this "uptrend fueled by institutional investors" can be analogous move for an "already-vaccinated" market?

ETF's result? ...

[virtualkeybuyer]

Bitcoin correction right now. I hope we can stand still and firm at 3800 level. September is another drama period for bitcoin so it will be another drop before a huge rally. I am really feeling that those above the clouds prediction before at 10,000 this 2017 is happening.

Price is rising and bitcoin is giving opportunity to people once again today because it has reduce the price for people to buy and get a lot of income once again because it is giving opportunity to people to invest in less income and get a high profit. So it's best way by bitcoin that they are playing a very good role in this types of situation.

[deepcolderwallet]

I know you didn't ask for my opinion, but I figured I'd toss in my thoughts anyway ...

I wouldn't draw too many parallels between price action around segwit activation for litecoin vs bitcoin. There's a tiny but nevertheless worrisome chance -- especially worrisome to new investors -- that SegWit activitation in 8 days will trigger some unexpected software bug and cause some sort of technical disaster. So when SegWit activates and the first SW transaction propagates without mishap, that could be a little bullish. So same effect as bip141 lock-in, although maybe not as pronounced. Up until a few weeks ago, investors have been viewing litecoin as a hedge against the possibility of unending deadlock on the scaling debate. SW lockin and activation was less of a concern for litecoin than for bitcoin, relatively speaking (relative to the other forces driving litecoin price).

For context, I'm viewing this under the assumption that the current uptrend is fueled by institutional investors who are just now getting comfortable with bitcoin investing. So I try to interpret events from what I imagine their perspective to be.

Thank you, your serious reply is very welcome.
If I recall correctly ETF's result was exactly what we can describe as a "buy the rumor, sell the news" event. Don't you think this "uptrend fueled by institutional investors" can be analogous move for an "already-vaccinated" market?

ETF's result? ...

Winklevoss Brothers' back in march. For how long have you been around here?

[Last of the V8s]

Who is that V8??

@ToneVays and Julia something i forget @BraveTheWorld

She's hot!

Steady, she's practically a child still.

She has a youtube channel eg: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OEJCgf5Wz00
The Declaration of Bitcoin Bloopers

[Lauda]

It makes sense, the drop on the 13th already tested that region for support. Fingers crossed it stays firm..

Seems to hold, for now at least. This is becoming quite the roller coaster. We haven't see this kind of .

I thought it rather apt also, unfortunately I found it on Google so can't take credit for the amazing drawing skills

You should try drawing one yourself. I know that you can do it!

ETF's result? ...

Wait for the first, real, ETF to be approved and then we can talk. $4xxx will be a thing of the past.

[Icygreen]

The Spitznagel article was also published on Zerohedge. Ludwig Von Mises has turned around in his grave... .

Same for moissanite vs. diamond. Even though moissanite can be created in a lab and has superior spectacular brilliance/clarity vs. most diamond, there are still those who value diamond more and will likely always do so and pay more for it.

Moissanite, when it was first created, was sold as real diamonds for awhile before people were wise enough to figure it out. When the truth was discovered, those selling it as real diamond skipped town and lost all credibility in the gemstone community although Moissanite did earn its rightful place eventually.   Hopefully we won't need to visit that scenario with the forks.

The wall is looking super bullish again, a couple legs up and we will have another cup and handle.

[Meuh6879]

She's hot!

She has a youtube channel eg: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OEJCgf5Wz00

And here (3min33s) : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yQGQXy0RIIo (Ulterior States.)










I prefer ... Elizabeth Starks.

[jojo69]

wall observer thread:  the babes of Bitcoin edition

[Icygreen]

31.5 million in buy orders on stamp. Wow, never saw more than 24-25

[BTCtrader71]

I know you didn't ask for my opinion, but I figured I'd toss in my thoughts anyway ...

I wouldn't draw too many parallels between price action around segwit activation for litecoin vs bitcoin. There's a tiny but nevertheless worrisome chance -- especially worrisome to new investors -- that SegWit activitation in 8 days will trigger some unexpected software bug and cause some sort of technical disaster. So when SegWit activates and the first SW transaction propagates without mishap, that could be a little bullish. So same effect as bip141 lock-in, although maybe not as pronounced. Up until a few weeks ago, investors have been viewing litecoin as a hedge against the possibility of unending deadlock on the scaling debate. SW lockin and activation was less of a concern for litecoin than for bitcoin, relatively speaking (relative to the other forces driving litecoin price).

For context, I'm viewing this under the assumption that the current uptrend is fueled by institutional investors who are just now getting comfortable with bitcoin investing. So I try to interpret events from what I imagine their perspective to be.

Thank you, your serious reply is very welcome.
If I recall correctly ETF's result was exactly what we can describe as a "buy the rumor, sell the news" event. Don't you think this "uptrend fueled by institutional investors" can be analogous move for an "already-vaccinated" market?

ETF's result? ...

Winklevoss Brothers' back in march. For how long have you been around here?

Forever. Lots of ETF history, was not sure what you were referring to. I usually think of the expression "buy the rumor, sell the news" as referring to a bullish development and communicating a sense of irony bc the price drops instead of rises once the bullish event happens. Winklevoss ETF denial was obviously not a bullish development. But I suppose the general idea is the same for bearish news, just in reverse. Price drops beforehand, then (ironically) rises after the bearish event. And the price dip after the Winklevoss ETF denial was much more brief and more shallow than most ppl expected (unless I misremember), so yeah I suppose it would count.

So could this be the same thing leading up to Aug 21? Yeah, I suppose it could. Although it doesn't seem to me that Aug 21 will be as big an event from a trading perspective as bip141 lock-in. The former is guaranteed (now), the latter was not until shortly before it happened.


 

[Last of the V8s]

wall observer thread:  the babes of Bitcoin edition

well she does have nice poppies in that photo^

anyway sorry yes the price will go up then down then up in the short and medium terms. there will be whales, walls, sharks and sentiment

edit https://www.ft.com/content/ae19e60e-81b0-11e7-94e2-c5b903247afd
Large-scale purchases of bonds in the decade since the financial crisis have left central banks, including the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Bank of England and European Central Bank, owning a fifth of their respective governments' total debt

The Fed could give investors a hint about its stance on monetary policy tightening when the minutes of its July meeting are published on Wednesday.

[Globb0]

snip

http://stuffin.space/

What an excellent link.

I worked for the European space  agency quite a bit a few years back and I have seen then some static drawing versions of this type of data. Of course to represent it they make big dots but in reality its tiny bits miles apart.