Im gonna miss the bullishness of COVBULL-19, but Farr's Law says it will fade as fast as it peaks.
https://nypost.com/2020/03/08/coronavirus-going-to-hit-its-peak-and-start-falling-sooner-than-you-think/?fbclid=IwAR3DUo3ZutkEq4sFjC_q_bJ5IqIgHcCGLBHJGJYyzFjCgktsk-XkHTPQ9WECoronavirus going to hit its peak and start falling sooner than you think
By Michael Fumento
"Both
political parties have realized the crisis could severely impact the November elections — House, Senate, presidency. And sacré bleu, they’ve even shuttered the Louvre!
Some of these reactions are understandable,
much of it pure hysteria. Meanwhile, the spread of the virus continues to slow."Worldwide, there have been
about 3,400 coronavirus deaths, out of about 100,000 identified cases.
Flu, by comparison, grimly reaps about 291,000 to 646,000 annually.
China is the origin of the virus and still accounts for over 80 percent of cases and deaths. But its
cases peaked and began declining more than a month ago, according to data presented by the Canadian epidemiologist who spearheaded the World Health Organization’s coronavirus mission to China. Fewer than 200 new cases are reported daily, down from a peak of 4,000.
Subsequent countries will follow this same pattern, in what’s called Farr’s Law. First formulated in 1840 and ignored in every epidemic hysteria since, the law states that epidemics tend to rise and fall in a roughly symmetrical pattern or bell-shaped curve. AIDS, SARS, Ebola — they all followed that pattern. So does seasonal flu each year.
"
Clearly, flu is vastly more contagious than the new coronavirus, as the WHO has noted."
"More good news. This month, the Northern Hemisphere, which includes the countries with the most cases, starts heating up.
Almost all respiratory viruses hate warm and moist weather. That’s why flu dies out in America every year by May at the latest and probably
why Latin America has reported only 25 coronavirus cases. The Philippines, where I live, has about a third of the US population, but it’s so damned hot and humid here, so far we have had no confirmed cases of internal transmission."
About the Author:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Fumento"
Fumento is perhaps best known for his epidemiology work, especially infectious disease outbreaks. He argues that the perception of such outbreaks becomes exaggerated or otherwise distorted by those who exploit them to serve various agendas. In November 1987 he published a landmark article, "AIDS: Are Heterosexuals at Risk?"[23] in Commentary that in 1990 became the basis of a controversial book,
The Myth of Heterosexual AIDS: How a Tragedy Has Been Distorted by the Media and Partisan Politics.[24] He wrote dozens of subsequent pieces on the subject.[25] In Commentary, he challenged the presumption that, as Life magazine's July 1985 cover declared in bold red letters, "Now No One Is Safe from AIDS."[26]
By 1987 the theme had become common. A January U.S. News & World Report cover story declared, "The disease of them is suddenly the disease of us ... finding fertile growth among heterosexuals."[27] A New York Times headline that month read: "
AIDS May Dwarf the Plague,"[28] citing remarks of the then-
secretary of health and Human Services, Otis R. Bowen, that AIDS could be worse than the "Black Death," estimated to have killed 30 percent to 60 percent of Europe's population.[30][31][33]
Surgeon General C. Everett Koop made remarks[34] giving rise to the term "heterosexual AIDS explosion."
Oprah Winfrey told her audience, "Research studies now project that one in five—listen to me, hard to believe—one in five heterosexuals could be dead from AIDS at the end of the next three years."[35]
Fumento challenged that orthodoxy, for which he and even those who wrote about him were condemned and even threatened.[36][37] He did so by interviewing and citing the work of epidemiologists, including the top Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) AIDS epidemiologist, Dr. Harold Jaffe,[38] who told him,
"Those who are suggesting that we are going to see an explosive spread of AIDS in the heterosexual population have to explain why this isn't happening."
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