JayJuanGee
Legendary
Online
Activity: 3822
Merit: 10729
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
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March 09, 2021, 07:05:34 AM |
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That's why I'm holding to 2025 ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif) Expecting anything disastrous to happen in 2026? The cycles would suggest 2025 to be better than 2026 - but of course, there are no real guarantees exactly how cycles might fall... and therefore, none of us should be getting too wedded to any exact pattern - even though it still may be reasonable to use as a kind of guide -until and unless something better comes along. For example, there could be an outrageous peak and then dump in 2025 that would then cause 2026 to play out better than 2025.. Can think about the new pattern as a kind of 2013 double top scenario that drags out into 2026, and surely we are not even limited to previous patterns that still kinds of stick to the overall grander background pattern with more noise in the middle, so, even though the previous BTC price performance cycles have had a certain kind of consistency and patterns to them, there could surely be cases in which the pattern ends up getting messed up on a shorter timeline of 6-18 months, either purposefully or just by the way other related factors (macro or otherwise) play out, but then it may or may not still end up playing out very similarly, once we end up zooming out and looking at the pattern in a broader way (and perhaps after the fact?). 1 BTC purchasing power! ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ibb.co%2FW2DSbVg%2FF25-A500-D-407-A-4-EE5-9-D1-B-34-AA3820-E2-CC.jpg&t=665&c=dRJ_LFwclb5Bmw) There is maybe a bear market in between, so we go back to lambo from the house ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) Don't you wish, you market-timer wannabe. ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) You get my drift... ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) Next halving is in May 2024. ATH is about 1 year after that. Eta may 2025. Then a crash to 1/6th of it's price in 2026. Build up to halving in 2028 and ATH in 2029. So good vintages are 2013 2017 2021 2025 2029 Years in between are shit years... Even though you might end up being correct about the 4 year cycles, I would be a bit careful about trying to put too much reliance on such patterns playing out as you are expecting, either financially or psychologically. Regarding your "shit years" assessment, I am having hard times with that too. I did not really consider 2018 to 2020 to be that bad.. and of course, 2014 to 2016, I was still in a more accumulation phase.. so maybe milage is going to vary in terms of there are really feelings about those in between years or any real need to worry. For example in my case, in about early 2019, I started to consider that I did not really need to worry about whether I sold BTC so long as the price was above $5k, and then I started to think that maybe I should move that price up.. and I started to consider the 208-week moving average to be a good price to consider as a kind of longer term bottom, and so long as the BTC price is above the 208-week moving average, I am getting extra profits for any BTC that I might decide to sell... so currently the 208-week moving average is at about $9,800 which is about twice the price of my earlier psychological preference to make sure that I am selling above $5k.. so maybe so much of the extra BTC price appreciation is just a bunch of icing on the cake and I don't really need to worry.. just cash out some or all BTC at any time, so I am having troubles considering that the bTC price is very likely to ever go below $5k especially since historically it usually does not go below the 208-week moving average, and if it does it might be for a week at most (like it did in March 2020)
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serveria.com
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1189
Privacy Servers. Since 2009.
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 07:18:04 AM |
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![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ibb.co%2FdBt7PHs%2FA31308-C8-9-BF7-4-FD7-AAF5-3233-D935-FB3-A.jpg&t=665&c=QwOzJQXuCoIJLg) A friend just bought this one..... cool isn’t it If: cool = another level of retard Then: I agree - cool BAT PATTERN OF BTC![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FuuAyTaL.png&t=665&c=8EeGL2qcAB5ysA) Oh my! Where in the world they find these shitty TAs? What is that they'll find in a BTC graph next? A dick pointing down as a bearish sign? Technical analysis is not a perfect science, it is science of Probabilities. It goes right more than 60% but can go wrong as well. It is based on Historical data, what happens yesterday same will happen tomorrow because typically Human behaviour never changes.Wut? Biggest bs I've read here on wo in weeks (if not years). Ok ok prolly except proud honey's and gembitz's masterpieces ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif)
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shahzadafzal
Copper Member
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1638
Merit: 3005
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 07:19:39 AM |
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Happy Women's day (International) to WO chicks! ...if there are any ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) Well, I infer that "Bitcoinbunny" is probably a "she", one or two nicks more, MAYBE. Welcome to the club... well i mean I'm not a lady... but sure enough i like them.
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Parazyd
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 07:30:38 AM |
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Good morning WO. It feels like a good day waking up to 53k ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) It's also been more than a day of 50k+. NEW NORMAL!
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Cryptotourist
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Thank you very much Homer - awesome - I was feeling a bit left out there.
FTFY.
Chug a bottle of gatorade after each shot. Apparently it makes the hangover minimal.
Hey, it even has electrolytes. ELECTRO-LYTES. ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif)
I wonder where's that savetherainforest fuck? Lost one of his properties today I guess? ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) He's off to the doctor today. Hemorrhoids issues, wish him luck.
Observing ~ $53500. Go BTC, go!
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Sayeds56
Copper Member
Hero Member
![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif) ![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif) ![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif) ![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif)
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Activity: 1400
Merit: 734
stead.builders
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 08:26:05 AM |
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![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ibb.co%2FdBt7PHs%2FA31308-C8-9-BF7-4-FD7-AAF5-3233-D935-FB3-A.jpg&t=665&c=QwOzJQXuCoIJLg) A friend just bought this one..... cool isn’t it If: cool = another level of retard Then: I agree - cool BAT PATTERN OF BTC![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FuuAyTaL.png&t=665&c=8EeGL2qcAB5ysA) Oh my! Where in the world they find these shitty TAs? What is that they'll find in a BTC graph next? A dick pointing down as a bearish sign? Technical analysis is not a perfect science, it is science of Probabilities. It goes right more than 60% but can go wrong as well. It is based on Historical data, what happens yesterday same will happen tomorrow because typically Human behaviour never changes.Wut? Biggest bs I've read here on wo in weeks (if not years). Ok ok prolly except proud honey's and gembitz's masterpieces ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FBBR2O6U.jpg&t=665&c=zu3cVW0c1dJdXw)
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dieselmeister
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 08:46:52 AM |
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How awesome ... I were nearly fall from my chair by laughing XD
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Cryptotourist
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- APXH ΣOΦIAΣ ΓNΩΣIΣ AΓNOIAΣ - (Kλεόβoυλoς o Pόδιoς, 6oς αι. π.χ.). <> You start to acquire wisdom, when you acknowledge that you don't know shit.
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dieselmeister
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 08:54:18 AM |
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Welp, vaccinated today guess I'll make through till the next one. ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Ha ha, me too (Pfizer), not sure if they injected saline or something (completely inactive) as I did not feel anything, at least locally. People who are vaccinated with virus vector vaccines at least report something, which may be indicative of a response (soreness, slight fever). There is no way for me to check that they kept this stuff at -70oC. I might check for antibodies in 3-4 weeks. Same here, barley felt it, super fine needle. I think 18 days should be max effect timing. Wow ... I get my vaccination not until next year, because here in germany they are slow as fuck and the politians were to stupid to get this right ...
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Cryptotourist
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 09:06:13 AM |
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Have fun getting vaccinated guys. Personally I wouldn't do it - even if my life depended on it, but that's just me. ![Kiss](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/kiss.gif)
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Wilhelm
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1265
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 09:09:39 AM |
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Welp, vaccinated today guess I'll make through till the next one. ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Ha ha, me too (Pfizer), not sure if they injected saline or something (completely inactive) as I did not feel anything, at least locally. People who are vaccinated with virus vector vaccines at least report something, which may be indicative of a response (soreness, slight fever). There is no way for me to check that they kept this stuff at -70oC. I might check for antibodies in 3-4 weeks. Same here, barley felt it, super fine needle. I think 18 days should be max effect timing. Wow ... I get my vaccination not until next year, because here in germany they are slow as fuck and the politians were to stupid to get this right ... Europe is fucking slow because they dictate who gets what.... I’m in Holland.... Want the vaccine ASAP...
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AlcoHoDL
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2478
Merit: 4532
Addicted to HoDLing!
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 09:14:00 AM |
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- APXH ΣOΦIAΣ ΓNΩΣIΣ AΓNOIAΣ - (Kλεόβoυλoς o Pόδιoς, 6oς αι. π.χ.). <> You start to acquire wisdom, when you acknowledge that you don't know shit.
Merited. Adding to this: "The more I know, the more I realize I know nothing." ― Socrates
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Cryptotourist
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 09:20:16 AM |
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- APXH ΣOΦIAΣ ΓNΩΣIΣ AΓNOIAΣ - (Kλεόβoυλoς o Pόδιoς, 6oς αι. π.χ.). <> You start to acquire wisdom, when you acknowledge that you don't know shit.
Merited. Adding to this: "The more I know, the more I realize I know nothing." ― Socrates Thank you. Both boil down to the same thing of course. Socrates was the later, not that it's of any significance, as I'm pretty sure that there were others (not Greek) before Kλεoβoυλoς too.
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Parazyd
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 09:22:12 AM |
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Wilhelm
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1265
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March 09, 2021, 09:23:47 AM |
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- APXH ΣOΦIAΣ ΓNΩΣIΣ AΓNOIAΣ - (Kλεόβoυλoς o Pόδιoς, 6oς αι. π.χ.). <> You start to acquire wisdom, when you acknowledge that you don't know shit.
Merited. Adding to this: "The more I know, the more I realize I know nothing." ― Socrates Thank you. Both boil down to the same thing of course. Socrates was the later, not that it's of any significance, as I'm pretty sure that there were others (not Greek) before Kλεoβoυλoς too. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fbestdemotivationalposters.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2012%2F07%2Fknowledge-is-power-albert-einstein-best-demotivational-posters.jpg&t=665&c=CtNtXx5WPZMRKQ)
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shahzadafzal
Copper Member
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1638
Merit: 3005
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- APXH ΣOΦIAΣ ΓNΩΣIΣ AΓNOIAΣ - (Kλεόβoυλoς o Pόδιoς, 6oς αι. π.χ.). <> You start to acquire wisdom, when you acknowledge that you don't know shit.
Merited. Adding to this: "The more I know, the more I realize I know nothing." ― Socrates Dunning–Kruger effect![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia-exp1.licdn.com%2Fdms%2Fimage%2FC5112AQHxmxkx13dpEQ%2Farticle-cover_image-shrink_720_1280%2F0%2F1574717626209%3Fe%3D1619049600%26v%3Dbeta%26t%3DcfE2JEya6Vdm2DdFMiwqIs-JQ7VlNpghIzzoIABw468&t=665&c=-GuFQ48n7PllMA)
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hisslyness
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 09:30:01 AM |
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Your fucking kidding me!... and they are plugging it into the WAN port not LAN port!
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Parazyd
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 09:31:41 AM |
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Your fucking kidding me!... and they are plugging it into the WAN port not LAN port!
![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fparazyd.org%2Fpub%2Fdev%2Frandom%2Fethernetmagic.jpg&t=665&c=ncdXO0m-Tdyapg)
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Wilhelm
Legendary
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Activity: 1652
Merit: 1265
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 09:33:16 AM |
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Your fucking kidding me!... and they are plugging it into the WAN port not LAN port! Connecting to the internet is done through the WAN connection ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) Just needs to plug in the PCs after that....
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AlcoHoDL
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2478
Merit: 4532
Addicted to HoDLing!
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 09, 2021, 09:34:55 AM |
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Your fucking kidding me!... and they are plugging it into the WAN port not LAN port! Yeah, I saw that too. Actually I don't think it can go in (on some countries at least―the WAN jack is smaller, only 4 pins)... That's why it's not shown pushed in... LOL!
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