Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[JayJuanGee]

That's why I'm holding to 2025 

Expecting anything disastrous to happen in 2026?

The cycles would suggest 2025 to be better than 2026 - but of course, there are no real guarantees exactly how cycles might fall... and therefore, none of us should be getting too wedded to any exact pattern - even though it still may be reasonable to use as a kind of guide -until and unless something better comes along.

  For example, there could be an outrageous peak and then dump in 2025 that would then cause 2026 to play out better than 2025.. Can think about the new pattern as a kind of 2013 double top scenario that drags out into 2026, and surely we are not even limited to previous patterns that still kinds of stick to the overall grander background pattern with more noise in the middle, so, even though the previous BTC price performance cycles have had a certain kind of consistency and patterns to them, there could surely be cases in which the pattern ends up getting messed up on a shorter timeline of 6-18 months, either purposefully or just by the way other related factors (macro or otherwise) play out, but then it may or may not still end up playing out very similarly, once we end up zooming out and looking at the pattern in a broader way (and perhaps after the fact?).

1BTC purchasing power!

There is maybe a bear market in between, so we go back to lambo from the house

Don't you wish, you market-timer wannabe.   

You get my drift...

Next halving is in May 2024.
ATH is about 1 year after that. Eta may 2025.
Then a crash to 1/6th of it's price in 2026.
Build up to halving in 2028 and ATH in 2029.

So good vintages are
2013
2017
2021
2025
2029

Years in between are shit years...

Even though you might end up being correct about the 4 year cycles, I would be a bit careful about trying to put too much reliance on such patterns playing out as you are expecting, either financially or psychologically.

Regarding your "shit years" assessment, I am having hard times with that too.  I did not really consider 2018 to 2020 to be that bad.. and of course, 2014 to 2016, I was still in a more accumulation phase.. so maybe milage is going to vary in terms of there are really feelings about those in between years or any real need to worry.

For example in my case, in about early 2019, I started to consider that I did not really need to worry about whether I sold BTC so long as the price was above $5k, and then I started to think that maybe I should move that price up.. and I started to consider the 208-week moving average to be a good price to consider as a kind of longer term bottom, and so long as the BTC price is above the 208-week moving average, I am getting extra profits for any BTC that I might decide to sell... so currently the 208-week moving average is at about $9,800 which is about twice the price of my earlier psychological preference to make sure that I am selling above $5k.. so maybe so much of the extra BTC price appreciation is just a bunch of icing on the cake and I don't really need to worry.. just cash out some or all BTC at any time, so I am having troubles considering that the bTC price is very likely to ever go below $5k especially since historically it usually does not go below the 208-week moving average, and if it does it might be for a week at most (like it did in March 2020)

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[serveria.com]

A friend just bought this one..... cool isn’t it

If:
cool = another level of retard

Then:

I agree   - cool

BAT PATTERN OF BTC

Oh my! Where in the world they find these shitty TAs? What is that they'll find in a BTC graph next? A dick pointing down as a bearish sign?   

Technical analysis is not a perfect science, it is science of Probabilities. It goes right more than 60% but can go wrong as well. It is based on Historical data, what happens yesterday same will happen tomorrow because typically Human behaviour never changes.

Wut? Biggest bs I've read here on wo in weeks (if not years). Ok ok prolly except proud honey's and gembitz's masterpieces 

[shahzadafzal]

Happy Women's day (International) to WO chicks!
...if there are any 
Well, I infer that "Bitcoinbunny" is probably a "she", one or two nicks more, MAYBE.

Welcome to the club... well i mean I'm not a lady... but sure enough i like them.

[Parazyd]

Good morning WO. It feels like a good day waking up to 53k
It's also been more than a day of 50k+. NEW NORMAL!

[Cryptotourist]

Thank you very much Homer - awesome - I was feeling a bit left out there.

I guess its my fault... ... But I see pump still happening. HUGE ONE!

FTFY.

Chug a bottle of gatorade after each shot. Apparently it makes the hangover minimal.

Hey, it even has electrolytes. ELECTRO-LYTES.

I wonder where's that savetherainforest fuck? Lost one of his properties today I guess? 

He's off to the doctor today. Hemorrhoids issues, wish him luck.


Observing ~ $53500.
Go BTC, go!

[Sayeds56]

A friend just bought this one..... cool isn’t it

If:
cool = another level of retard

Then:

I agree   - cool

BAT PATTERN OF BTC

Oh my! Where in the world they find these shitty TAs? What is that they'll find in a BTC graph next? A dick pointing down as a bearish sign?   

Technical analysis is not a perfect science, it is science of Probabilities. It goes right more than 60% but can go wrong as well. It is based on Historical data, what happens yesterday same will happen tomorrow because typically Human behaviour never changes.

Wut? Biggest bs I've read here on wo in weeks (if not years). Ok ok prolly except proud honey's and gembitz's masterpieces 

[dieselmeister]

How awesome ... I were nearly fall from my chair by laughing XD

[Cryptotourist]

- APXH ΣOΦIAΣ ΓNΩΣIΣ AΓNOIAΣ - (Kλεόβoυλoς o Pόδιoς, 6oς αι. π.χ.).  <> You start to acquire wisdom, when you acknowledge that you don't know shit.

[dieselmeister]

Welp, vaccinated today guess I'll make through till the next one.

Ha ha, me too (Pfizer), not sure if they injected saline or something (completely inactive) as I did not feel anything, at least locally.
People who are vaccinated with virus vector vaccines at least report something, which may be indicative of a response (soreness, slight fever).
There is no way for me to check that they kept this stuff at -70oC. I might check for antibodies in 3-4 weeks.

Same here, barley felt it, super fine needle.

I think 18 days should be max effect timing.

Wow ... I get my vaccination not until next year, because here in germany they are slow as fuck and the politians were to stupid to get this right ...

[Cryptotourist]

Have fun getting vaccinated guys.

Personally I wouldn't do it - even if my life depended on it, but that's just me.

[Wilhelm]

Welp, vaccinated today guess I'll make through till the next one.

Ha ha, me too (Pfizer), not sure if they injected saline or something (completely inactive) as I did not feel anything, at least locally.
People who are vaccinated with virus vector vaccines at least report something, which may be indicative of a response (soreness, slight fever).
There is no way for me to check that they kept this stuff at -70oC. I might check for antibodies in 3-4 weeks.

Same here, barley felt it, super fine needle.

I think 18 days should be max effect timing.

Wow ... I get my vaccination not until next year, because here in germany they are slow as fuck and the politians were to stupid to get this right ...

Europe is fucking slow because they dictate who gets what.... I’m in Holland....
Want the vaccine ASAP...

[AlcoHoDL]

- APXH ΣOΦIAΣ ΓNΩΣIΣ AΓNOIAΣ - (Kλεόβoυλoς o Pόδιoς, 6oς αι. π.χ.).  <> You start to acquire wisdom, when you acknowledge that you don't know shit.

Merited.

Adding to this:

"The more I know, the more I realize I know nothing." ― Socrates

[Cryptotourist]

- APXH ΣOΦIAΣ ΓNΩΣIΣ AΓNOIAΣ - (Kλεόβoυλoς o Pόδιoς, 6oς αι. π.χ.).  <> You start to acquire wisdom, when you acknowledge that you don't know shit.

Merited.

Adding to this:

"The more I know, the more I realize I know nothing." ― Socrates

Thank you.

Both boil down to the same thing of course.
Socrates was the later, not that it's of any significance, as I'm pretty sure that there were others (not Greek) before Kλεoβoυλoς too.

[Parazyd]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3L4YrGaR8E4

[Wilhelm]

- APXH ΣOΦIAΣ ΓNΩΣIΣ AΓNOIAΣ - (Kλεόβoυλoς o Pόδιoς, 6oς αι. π.χ.).  <> You start to acquire wisdom, when you acknowledge that you don't know shit.

Merited.

Adding to this:

"The more I know, the more I realize I know nothing." ― Socrates

Thank you.

Both boil down to the same thing of course.
Socrates was the later, not that it's of any significance, as I'm pretty sure that there were others (not Greek) before Kλεoβoυλoς too.

[shahzadafzal]

- APXH ΣOΦIAΣ ΓNΩΣIΣ AΓNOIAΣ - (Kλεόβoυλoς o Pόδιoς, 6oς αι. π.χ.).  <> You start to acquire wisdom, when you acknowledge that you don't know shit.

Merited.

Adding to this:

"The more I know, the more I realize I know nothing." ― Socrates

Dunning–Kruger effect

[hisslyness]

Your fucking kidding me!... and they are plugging it into the WAN port not LAN port!

[Parazyd]

Your fucking kidding me!... and they are plugging it into the WAN port not LAN port!

[Wilhelm]

Your fucking kidding me!... and they are plugging it into the WAN port not LAN port!

Connecting to the internet is done through the WAN connection
Just needs to plug in the PCs after that....

[AlcoHoDL]

Your fucking kidding me!... and they are plugging it into the WAN port not LAN port!

Yeah, I saw that too. Actually I don't think it can go in (on some countries at least―the WAN jack is smaller, only 4 pins)... That's why it's not shown pushed in... LOL!