Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[AlcoHoDL]

He even told me to withdraw that 0.17 BTC from Kraken and keep it in a paper wallet, so that he won't be tempted to "play" with shitcoins again.

May I suggest a normal wallet like, say, Electrum. Then write on paper the seed phrase. I understand paper wallet also means private key written down but that can get confusing in the future and you might inadvertently use a different address format that is not native segwit.

Of course, done on an air gapped cold machine, if possible.

Yes, good idea, thanks. He's not very good with technical stuff, so I should keep things as simple as can be. A vanilla paper wallet (without a seed) can be dangerous. The seed is a human-readable version of the private key, so I should use that instead.

[AlcoHoDL]

El Salvador is adopting Lightning Network. Will this be the kick-off of layer 2?

70% has no bank acount, few million working in the U.S, this will give their remittance market a major boost.

Impressive and mind blowing. The world will finally realize the awesomeness Bitcoin can offer, this is just the beginning.

Those shitcoiners in total disbelieve and so butthurted they running around like headless chickens, fck them all!

This sounds like big news. I just hope LN won't collapse under such a heavy load as an entire country officially adopting it. I'm in favor of LN, but from the few things I've read about it over the years, I get a bittersweet feeling, like it's not yet a polished protocol. I hope I'm wrong and it passes the test with flying colors.

Lots of good news lately, not yet reflected in the price. I'm sensing a massive UPpity move in the coming weeks.

[DaRude]

Jack Mallers Announces El Salvador Bitcoin Adoption
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3uGOfqN2y9k

Watch it in case you have any doubts about the future of Bitcoin. Worrying about the ticker price can sometimes almost be embarrassing. Bitcoin is hope.


Edit:

 The US and Canada enforces capital gains tax on currency transactions so it doesn't make a difference in my case unless the net gain (or loss) is less than $200... I can't live on that!

Not a legal advise, but the way i read it, it's $200 capital gain per transaction. So if you you buy a $7 coffee in the morning, have a $40 lunch, and then pay $100 for a dinner, and then hit up few bars not spending over $200 in each, all of it shouldn't be taxable.

such transaction is a personal transaction,
no gain shall be recognized for purposes of this subtitle by reason of changes in exchange rates after such currency was acquired by such individual and before such disposition. The preceding sentence shall not apply if the gain which would otherwise be recognized on the transaction exceeds $200.

https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/26/988

 Wow!  I find it hard to believe the US gov't would allow so much potentially unpaid taxes on the table.  

 The way I understand the wording in the guidance provided by the Canadian gov't, it would be on all transactions.  I'm not a pharmacist though so it's possible I have misinterpreted it.

from canada.ca - the gov't of Canada website:

Foreign exchange gains or losses from capital transactions of foreign currencies (that is, money) are considered to be capital gains or losses. However, you only have to report the amount of your net gain or loss for the year that is more than $200. If the net amount is $200 or less, there is no capital gain or loss and you do not have to report it on your income tax and benefit return.

Yeah that reads as if it's cumulative for the year. That's pretty dumb, technically you're obligated to keep track of every cap gain on your FX, so if you had a quick trip to US on Jan 1st and bought crap that resulted in some cap gain even if it's under $200 you're expected to keep track of it, just in case on Dec 31 you do another trip that pushes you over C$200 Sucks for Canucks

[Paashaas]

El Salvador is adopting Lightning Network. Will this be the kick-off of layer 2?

70% has no bank acount, few million working in the U.S, this will give their remittance market a major boost.

Impressive and mind blowing. The world will finally realize the awesomeness Bitcoin can offer, this is just the beginning.

Those shitcoiners in total disbelieve and so butthurted they running around like headless chickens, fck them all!

This sounds like big news. I just hope LN won't collapse under such a heavy load as an entire country officially adopting it. I'm in favor of LN, but from the few things I've read about it over the years, I get a bittersweet feeling, like it's not yet a polished protocol. I hope I'm wrong and it passes the test with flying colors.

Lots of good news lately, not yet reflected in the price. I'm sensing a massive UPpity move in the coming weeks.

You should be interested reading this article from Forbes.

The Salvadoran marriage to Bitcoin has been two years in the making. Bitcoin entrepreneur Jack Mallers, who helped build the Lightning Network to facilitate fast, low-cost bitcoin transactions, has been working with Bukele and other Salvadorans to make bitcoin a feasible means of exchange for everyday purchases.

Another crypto entrepreneur, Adam Back of Blockstream, told CNBC that he “plans to contribute technologies like Liquid,” which like Lightning can speed up bitcoin transactions, “and satellite infrastructure to make El Salvador a model for the world.” Satellites can help rural Salvadorans connect to the internet, and thereby to the Bitcoin network, in places where land-based connectivity is poor.

Mallers has been working to increase Salvadoran adoption of his smartphone app Strike, a Lightning-powered analog to Venmo or Cash App. In 2019, thanks to a anonymous donation, crypto entrepreneurs founded Bitcoin Beach, as a way to pilot in El Salvador a circular Bitcoin economy in which residents and businesses transact entirely in bitcoin, without conversions to and from U.S. dollars.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2021/06/07/el-salvador-to-make-bitcoin-legal-tender-a-milestone-in-monetary-history/?sh=3cd5186275b9

[AlcoHoDL]

El Salvador is adopting Lightning Network. Will this be the kick-off of layer 2?

70% has no bank acount, few million working in the U.S, this will give their remittance market a major boost.

Impressive and mind blowing. The world will finally realize the awesomeness Bitcoin can offer, this is just the beginning.

Those shitcoiners in total disbelieve and so butthurted they running around like headless chickens, fck them all!

This sounds like big news. I just hope LN won't collapse under such a heavy load as an entire country officially adopting it. I'm in favor of LN, but from the few things I've read about it over the years, I get a bittersweet feeling, like it's not yet a polished protocol. I hope I'm wrong and it passes the test with flying colors.

Lots of good news lately, not yet reflected in the price. I'm sensing a massive UPpity move in the coming weeks.

You should be interested reading this article from Forbes.

The Salvadoran marriage to Bitcoin has been two years in the making. Bitcoin entrepreneur Jack Mallers, who helped build the Lightning Network to facilitate fast, low-cost bitcoin transactions, has been working with Bukele and other Salvadorans to make bitcoin a feasible means of exchange for everyday purchases.

Another crypto entrepreneur, Adam Back of Blockstream, told CNBC that he “plans to contribute technologies like Liquid,” which like Lightning can speed up bitcoin transactions, “and satellite infrastructure to make El Salvador a model for the world.” Satellites can help rural Salvadorans connect to the internet, and thereby to the Bitcoin network, in places where land-based connectivity is poor.

Mallers has been working to increase Salvadoran adoption of his smartphone app Strike, a Lightning-powered analog to Venmo or Cash App. In 2019, thanks to a anonymous donation, crypto entrepreneurs founded Bitcoin Beach, as a way to pilot in El Salvador a circular Bitcoin economy in which residents and businesses transact entirely in bitcoin, without conversions to and from U.S. dollars.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2021/06/07/el-salvador-to-make-bitcoin-legal-tender-a-milestone-in-monetary-history/?sh=3cd5186275b9

Will do, thanks. Too busy IRL, but so great to have WO (and WOers) pointing us to the good stuff.  

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[DaRude]

Here we go again:



https://twitter.com/michael_saylor/status/1401879767943729154?s=21

Fuck me this guy is a beast

I am still not sure if he will make into the history books as the biggest retard or the greatest genius. Time will tell. But if crypto really fails (because the system starts to fight it with all they have) he surely will be torn in pieces by the mass media.

And yes, if one Elon Tweet can cause a 50% drop, the system has all the power to bring it down to 3 digits. By all the crypto fanboyism, we have to stay realistic.

Just as the system won the war on drugs in the 90s right? riiight?? 

[suchmoon]

~

So enlighten me (and I don't mean it sarcastically - I genuinely don't know) how Saylor and/or MSTR is going to pay interest on that debt and repay the debt itself? Dump some corn? What if corn lags around $30k?

[Arriemoller]

F this chart buddy can't we do it every 2 hours

I second that.

Merited.

[Arriemoller]

F this chart buddy can't we do it every 2 hours

NO leave him alone.  Not yours

Not yours either.

[Arriemoller]

@ XhomerX

You asked about the fees at the ATM for the Binance card, the Binance fee is 0.9% on shopping as well as withdrawals and then the conversion rate is displayed on the ATM. You then get the choice of debiting in EUR or SEK and as far as I can tell there is no difference, but I choose SEK anyway since that's the advice given here.

[JayJuanGee]

One man's trash is another man's treasure. Don't discount the possibility of trash having any value just because you believe it should not. They do. While we all believe they should be zero ... it's currently above zero for now. If you know how to take advantage of it, you probably would try. If not, then it's just as well to keep whatever value you need in just bitcoin.

Of course.. no need to either fuck around with shitcoins nor talk about possible hopenings of them here... so go take those kinds of nonsense ponderings about the possibility of value in trash..  blah blah blah...  somewhere else.  Oh yeah, I just found a can in that trash, and I could recycle it.. .. blah blah blah..

i.e... "subjective value is value too" blah blah blah..

We (royal of course) are not concerned about the truth of the matter asserted.... anything but bitcoin is shit, in case you were wondering. #nohomo

......and don't you dare go into this cryptocurrency shit.

I remember seeing that video a while back... ... it is even funnier now.. upon watching it again...

He even told me to withdraw that 0.17 BTC from Kraken and keep it in a paper wallet, so that he won't be tempted to "play" with shitcoins again.

May I suggest a normal wallet like, say, Electrum. Then write on paper the seed phrase. I understand paper wallet also means private key written down but that can get confusing in the future and you might inadvertently use a different address format that is not native segwit.

Of course, done on an air gapped cold machine, if possible.

Yes, good idea, thanks. He's not very good with technical stuff, so I should keep things as simple as can be. A vanilla paper wallet (without a seed) can be dangerous. The seed is a human-readable version of the private key, so I should use that instead.

Yes... I understand that peeps are quite reluctant to spend $150-ish  whoops, they went up in price $200-ish for a hardware wallet, such as a Trezor Model T - and yeah.. I see that they are now claiming to support 1,200 shitcoins.. so that could end up causing too many temptations to hold onto shitcoins.. so kind of understandable, that.  Maybe I am just confused by paper wallets and traumatized by some of my previous electrum experiences when I was trying to figure out if I could claim my bcash through electrum in 2017.. so surely sometimes experiential limitations might inform choices.. and even show my own needs to learn and experiment with other wallets to have some better knowledge and comforts... like wallets that allow for transacting through lightning network, too  (more of a "me" thing rather than considering the situation of your kind of coiner friend).  

By the way would be good to get your friend into DCA investing.. fucking powerful to have DCA investing.. and hardly even notice how powerful it tends to become.  $20 a week or whatever.. or just lump sum with $80 per month to save on some fees..even though I am kind of more inclined towards weekly purchases.. and Swan bitcoin would surely be good for that.. if the amounts are relatively small, then once a year or so, send from Swan to cold storage wallet... I know.. more involved, but still.. fuck the laziness of just ONLY sitting on BTC... and your friend has already shown that he needs something to keep him busy as long as he knows that the rules are not to fuck around with selling, just accumulation and HODL only...

Yes.. I know that you are suggesting that your friend could have had 5 BTC over the past 5 years, but the power of DCA shows that $20 per week over the past 5 years would have gotten the guy about 1.87BTC..  which would have been $5,220 invested.

I am going to presume that if we multiply by three to $60 per week, then maybe your friend could budget 3x higher than my $20 starting suggestion.. especially since he is more experienced, and he seems to potentially have a higher budget. Over the past 5 years, $60 per week would have generated 12.25x in profits on an investment of $15,660 that would have added up to the accumulation of about 5.6 BTC.  

Sure so, even if that $60 per week DCA method is not getting to the 30x returns that you are saying that he could have had gotten (presuming lump sum front-loading investing), it is still a very good return.. and somewhat passive.  Note: I am going to admit that lump sum investing can surely be better than DCA in terms of actual front-loading price performance, but you are saying that your friend is already doing a certain amount of front-end lump-summing with his $6k.  Furthermore, if someone such as your friend is actually somewhat burnt out on the whole investing in "crypto" situation, he might be more able to swallow the medicine of practical investing (rather than gambling) with DCA-ing that is kind of more under the radar in terms of just ongoing investing of relatively small amounts that he should be able to afford without any major sacrifices in his expected ongoing lifestyle.

[cAPSLOCK]

El Salvador is adopting Lightning Network. Will this be the kick-off of layer 2?

70% has no bank acount, few million working in the U.S, this will give their remittance market a major boost.

Impressive and mind blowing. The world will finally realize the awesomeness Bitcoin can offer, this is just the beginning.

Those shitcoiners in total disbelieve and so butthurted they running around like headless chickens, fck them all!

This sounds like big news. I just hope LN won't collapse under such a heavy load as an entire country officially adopting it. I'm in favor of LN, but from the few things I've read about it over the years, I get a bittersweet feeling, like it's not yet a polished protocol. I hope I'm wrong and it passes the test with flying colors.

Lots of good news lately, not yet reflected in the price. I'm sensing a massive UPpity move in the coming weeks.

I was about to come post here to say that the lightning network is about to get it's "kicked the hornets nest, and the swarm is headed towards us." moment.

But the Salvadorians have already been using it.  They are not getting stated.  They are USING it.  It's why the president is making it legal tender.  I am sure use will go up in El Salvador, but where we are going to see the load is coming in from Paraguay, Columbia, Venezuela, Mexico, Kenya, Ghana, Nigeria, India and all the other countries that either do tons of remittance or have a majorly effed up currency or both.

But as to what you've read about the lightning network etc.  Have you used it much?  I have done a lot of use of it both as nodes and from wallets.  You are right it's not polished.  But it works pretty damn good.  Better than Bitcoin in the day.  That's the crazy part.  The settlement is INSTANT.  When it hits your wallet the transaction is OVER. And the fees are still fractions of a cent usually.  And it is rare that I cannot get a payment to go through.

The reality is users who come into custodial wallets benefit from the trusted pool they are in.  I think this is why Wallet of Satoshi is so popular in E.S.  If you and me both use it and I want to send you money?  There is no chance of it failing really.  Even the non custodial good UX wallets like Breez, Phoenix, and Muun will work this way too since those services default you to their super connected node.  So they work 99.9% of the time too.  It really is when Joe with his own node with 6 channels, and Frank with the same thing want to trade and they either can't find a path to each other, or the fees on the route they can find are kind of high.

But that's not going to be lots of people.

I think where we have the most risk is these centralized, and semi-centralized wallets can become targets, or points of failure.  WoS type wallets in particular.  They are an unregulated bank basically if I understand it correctly.

Can you imagine what is coming if these lightning wallets actually work as we expect them to?  If people can use the most pristine asset the world has ever know transactionally, and basically skip over all other payment networks  Katie bar the effing door.

I almost can't believe it, but it's not just Western Union that should be worried right now.  (It's too late for them to worry... they make buggy whips)

It's Visa.  I did not see that coming.  But it just might be.

[serveria.com]

Here we go again:



https://twitter.com/michael_saylor/status/1401879767943729154?s=21

Fuck me this guy is a beast

I am still not sure if he will make into the history books as the biggest retard or the greatest genius. Time will tell. But if crypto really fails (because the system starts to fight it with all they have) he surely will be torn in pieces by the mass media.

And yes, if one Elon Tweet can cause a 50% drop, the system has all the power to bring it down to 3 digits. By all the crypto fanboyism, we have to stay realistic.

Realistic? Bitcoin going down to 3 digits is realistic? MUahahahahaha... hahahaha.... 

[Biodom]

I invest in bitcoin mostly for ideological reasons, but have to say that since Dec 2017 (last ATH), bitcoin underperformed FAANG and almost all of those stocks with the exception of FB outperformed btc by a factor of about 2X. MSFT also outperformed during this time period.
It has NOT been 2X a year since Dec 2017, no sireee.

This might hurt our/your feelings, but it is what it is..and some people in bitcoin are starting to get on my nerves, especially Max Keiser...what a douche.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[jojo69]

[DaRude]

El Salvador is adopting Lightning Network. Will this be the kick-off of layer 2?

70% has no bank acount, few million working in the U.S, this will give their remittance market a major boost.

Impressive and mind blowing. The world will finally realize the awesomeness Bitcoin can offer, this is just the beginning.

Those shitcoiners in total disbelieve and so butthurted they running around like headless chickens, fck them all!

This sounds like big news. I just hope LN won't collapse under such a heavy load as an entire country officially adopting it. I'm in favor of LN, but from the few things I've read about it over the years, I get a bittersweet feeling, like it's not yet a polished protocol. I hope I'm wrong and it passes the test with flying colors.

Lots of good news lately, not yet reflected in the price. I'm sensing a massive UPpity move in the coming weeks.

You should be interested reading this article from Forbes.

The Salvadoran marriage to Bitcoin has been two years in the making. Bitcoin entrepreneur Jack Mallers, who helped build the Lightning Network to facilitate fast, low-cost bitcoin transactions, has been working with Bukele and other Salvadorans to make bitcoin a feasible means of exchange for everyday purchases.

Another crypto entrepreneur, Adam Back of Blockstream, told CNBC that he “plans to contribute technologies like Liquid,” which like Lightning can speed up bitcoin transactions, “and satellite infrastructure to make El Salvador a model for the world.” Satellites can help rural Salvadorans connect to the internet, and thereby to the Bitcoin network, in places where land-based connectivity is poor.

Mallers has been working to increase Salvadoran adoption of his smartphone app Strike, a Lightning-powered analog to Venmo or Cash App. In 2019, thanks to a anonymous donation, crypto entrepreneurs founded Bitcoin Beach, as a way to pilot in El Salvador a circular Bitcoin economy in which residents and businesses transact entirely in bitcoin, without conversions to and from U.S. dollars.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2021/06/07/el-salvador-to-make-bitcoin-legal-tender-a-milestone-in-monetary-history/?sh=3cd5186275b9

What i feel is being way under reported is that El Salvador's current official currency is ... <drum roll> ... USD. So if they adopt BTC as a legal tender it will be in parallel, and in direct competition to USD over there. US printers going brrrr bring inflation to US, but at least the newly printed coupons stay in US, now think of all of those countries who pegged their currencies to USD. They see printers in US going Brrrr devaluating their own currencies, but can't Brrr anything themselves, so it's only a downside to them. They only get inflation without seeing new money.

Think we all know how historically countries that challenged USD dominance (petrodollar) fared. Wouldn't be surprised to see US exporting some of its "freedom" to El Salvador to pinch the trend before other countries even consider doing the same. Things are heating up fast.

[Elwar]

I've finally gotten a Bitcoin Lightning Network wallet working on my phone and filled it with BTC for spending.

It is a lot easier than it was in the past. I use BLW, you need to choose a channel operator and pay them for your channel since you're not running one yourself but it's about the cost of a BTC transaction.

I use it on the Moon plugin to buy things on any website that accepts Visa.

[Wekkel]

On the Saylor money raising event: if money can be loaned at near zero interest, the value of assets nears infinity. Saylor understands this. I think his choices will turn out great over time. More upside to be had in this trick than running a normal business. I’m sure Musk knows this too; I’d not be surprised if Musk has Tesla adding to its BTC position during these times.

On LN: I’ve been using it to obtain payouts from LN powered games. In essence it’s about obtaining tickets to participate in daily raffles. The more tickets, presumably the higher chance to win Sats. It’s quite addicting I must say. I’d like to think that every Sats earned will become worth $1 one day. I specifically reserved 1M Sats in LN for that purpose  all subject to a future boating accident of course (it happens to all of us it seems) 

Its paid by the dev out of ad revenue. Sustainable thus and it brings new people into the LN network.

This weekend the dev had a promotional event. LN raffles each hour instead of daily. He processed 13k LN transactions with an average multiples fee lower than Bitcoin Cash 

I’m not sold on LN yet but it’s impressive how it got here from zero in 2018 until where we are now.

On El Salvador: laws can be changed for the worse as quickly as for the better. I think the news is a non event but it’s a proper signal: be early or be left out.

We already see the shift from Bitcoin investing being a career risk to not Bitcoin investing as a career risk. The same will happen for true sources of money. Once money creation centres (central banks and perhaps large countries holding Bitcoin reserves) start joining the fray, it becomes truly interesting. For now, we’ll have to do with the precursor of companies like MStrategy lending money for essentially nothing plowing it into still the best asymmetric bet out there.

All of this takes time. But we are at a good spot in time. There’s no way back, and the only way is forward. Fast or slow but that is where honey badger is taking us.